Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Warnings in 2014
Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS Albany, NY
NWS Albany, NY issued this winter storm warning at Feb 4, 2014, 3:13 AM EST for 4 states. It took effect at Feb 5, 2014, 12:00 AM EST. It was in force for 18 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 4, 2014, 3:13 AM EST (08:13 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 5, 2014, 12:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Feb 5, 2014, 6:00 PM EST
- In force
- 18 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Albany, NY
Counties Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Albany County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Bennington County, VT, Windham County, VT
The radar
The Albany radar (KENX), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 7 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 957 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 52 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -11 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 59 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
072 WWUS41 KALY 040813 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 313 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-041600- /O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0003.140205T0500Z-140205T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KALY.WS.W.0003.140205T0500Z-140205T2300Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON- WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER... NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION... HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE... GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE... SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE... WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA... KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON... PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA... MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO... WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 313 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...ALL OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...SOUTHERN VERMONT... WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH 12 TO 15 INCHES IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE EASTERN CATSKILLS... BERKSHIRES AND SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS. * MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATES...ONE INCH PER HOUR. * TIMING...LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY THE WEDNESDAY MORNING COMMUTE...POSSIBLY INTO THE WEDNESDAY EVENING COMMUTE. * VISIBILITIES...WILL DECREASE TO A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN HEAVY SNOW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$
8 follow-up statements
222 WWUS41 KALY 041133 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 633 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-042200- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0003.140205T0500Z-140205T2300Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON- WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER... NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION... HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE... GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE... SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE... WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA... KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON... PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA... MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO... WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 633 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * LOCATIONS...ALL OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...SOUTHERN VERMONT... WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS... 8 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH 12 TO 15 INCHES IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE EASTERN CATSKILLS... BERKSHIRES AND SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS. * MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATES...ONE INCH PER HOUR. * TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY THE WEDNESDAY MORNING COMMUTE...POSSIBLY INTO THE WEDNESDAY EVENING COMMUTE. * VISIBILITIES...WILL DECREASE TO A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN HEAVY SNOW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$
635 WWUS41 KALY 042116 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 416 PM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-051015- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0003.140205T0500Z-140205T2300Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON- WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER... NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION... HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE... GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE... SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE... WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA... KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON... PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA... MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO... WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 416 PM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * LOCATIONS...ALL OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...SOUTHERN VERMONT... WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW...WITH SOME SLEET LIKELY IN THE MID HUDSON VALLEY AND NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH 12 TO 16 INCHES IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE EASTERN CATSKILLS... BERKSHIRES AND SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS. 5 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE LIKELY IN THE MID HUDSON VALLEY AND NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT. * MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATES...ONE INCH PER HOUR. * TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY THE WEDNESDAY MORNING COMMUTE... POSSIBLY INTO THE WEDNESDAY EVENING COMMUTE. * VISIBILITIES...WILL DECREASE TO A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN HEAVY SNOW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$
697 WWUS41 KALY 050309 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 1009 PM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-051200- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0003.140205T0500Z-140205T2300Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON- WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER... NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION... HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE... GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE... SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE... WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA... KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON... PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA... MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO... WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 1009 PM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * LOCATIONS...ALL OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...SOUTHERN VERMONT... WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW...WITH SOME SLEET LIKELY IN THE MID HUDSON VALLEY AND NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH 12 TO 16 INCHES IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE EASTERN CATSKILLS... BERKSHIRES AND SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS. 5 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE LIKELY IN THE MID HUDSON VALLEY AND NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT. * MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATES...ONE INCH PER HOUR. * TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY THE WEDNESDAY MORNING COMMUTE... POSSIBLY INTO THE WEDNESDAY EVENING COMMUTE. * VISIBILITIES...WILL DECREASE TO A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN HEAVY SNOW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY
152 WWUS41 KALY 050858 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 358 AM EST WED FEB 5 2014 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-052300- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140205T2300Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON- WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER... NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION... HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE... GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE... SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE... WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA... KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON... PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA... MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO... WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 358 AM EST WED FEB 5 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... * LOCATIONS...ALL OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...SOUTHERN VERMONT... WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW...WITH SOME SLEET LIKELY IN THE MID HUDSON VALLEY AND NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 12 INCHES...EXCEPT LOCALIZED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES ACROSS THE CATSKILLS...SOUTHERN GREENS AND BERKSHIRES. * MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATES...ONE TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR. * TIMING...TODAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS THIS MORNING. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS TODAY...ESPECIALLY THE MORNING COMMUTE...POSSIBLY INTO THE EVENING COMMUTE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ HWJIV
263 WWUS41 KALY 051354 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 854 AM EST WED FEB 5 2014 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-052300- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140205T2300Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON- WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER... NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION... HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE... GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE... SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE... WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA... KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON... PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA... MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO... WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 854 AM EST WED FEB 5 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... * LOCATIONS...EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...SOUTHERN VERMONT... WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. SOME SLEET WILL MIX IN WITH THE SNOW ACROSS THE MID HUDSON VALLEY AND ACROSS LITCHFIELD COUNTY CONNECTICUT. SOME FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID HUDSON VALLEY AND LITCHFIELD COUNTY LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 16 INCHES...WITH HIGHER TOTALS ACROSS THE EASTERN CATSKILLS...SOUTHERN GREENS AND BERKSHIRES. * MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATES...1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$
595 WWUS41 KALY 051730 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 1230 PM EST WED FEB 5 2014 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-052300- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140205T2300Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON- WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER... NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION... HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE... GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE... SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE... WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA... KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON... PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA... MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO... WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 1230 PM EST WED FEB 5 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... * LOCATIONS...EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...SOUTHERN VERMONT... WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL MIX IN WITH THE SNOW ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE MID HUDSON VALLEY AND TACONICS...AS WELL AS LITCHFIELD COUNTY CONNECTICUT INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO SNOW. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 16 INCHES...WITH HIGHER TOTALS ACROSS THE EASTERN CATSKILLS...SOUTHERN GREENS AND BERKSHIRES. * MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATES...1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$
618 WWUS41 KALY 052125 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 425 PM EST WED FEB 5 2014 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-052300- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140205T2300Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON- WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER... NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION... HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE... GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE... SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE... WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA... KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON... PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA... MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO... WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 425 PM EST WED FEB 5 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... * LOCATIONS...EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...SOUTHERN VERMONT... WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 16 INCHES...WITH HIGHER TOTALS ACROSS THE EASTERN CATSKILLS...SOUTHERN GREENS AND BERKSHIRES. * MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATES...UP TO ONE INCH PER HOUR. * TIMING...MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY THIS EVENING FROM AROUND THE MOHAWK VALLEY AND SARATOGA REGION NORTHWARD...WITH LIGHTER SNOW FROM AROUND THE CAPITAL DISTRICT SOUTHWARD. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$
902 WWUS41 KALY 052300 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 600 PM EST WED FEB 5 2014 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-060000- /O.EXP.KALY.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140205T2300Z/ NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY- EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER- WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA- WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS- NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON- WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER... NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION... HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE... GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE... SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE... COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG... SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE... WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER... TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO... JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE... WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA... KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON... PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA... MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS... WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE... GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO... WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 600 PM EST WED FEB 5 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... MAINLY LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA INTO THIS EVENING ...ALTHOUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL HAS ALREADY FALLEN. SOME ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME SPOTS. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 4, 12:50 AM EST, 2 hours 23 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 4, 12:50 AM EST, 2 hours 23 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1250 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH
DRY CONDITIONS...ALONG WITH A GRADUALLY CLEARING SKY. A STORM
TRACKING JUST TO OUR SOUTH WILL BRING A WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL TO THE
REGION LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WITH
GENERALLY DRY BUT COLD WEATHER WILL BUILD IN FOR THE REST OF THE
WORK WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
WINTER STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...
AS OF 1215 AM EST...CLOUDS STILL HANGING TOUGH OVER MUCH OF THE
AREA. THEY DID BREAK SOUTH OF HERE AND TEMPERATURES HAVE TUMBLED
WITH A SNOW PACK IN PLACE. HAD TO RE-LOWER SOME OF THESE NUMBERS.
ELSEWHERE...EVEN THE CLOUD HANG TOUGH THE HANDWRITING IS ON THE WALL
THAT WILL EVENTUALLY DISSIPATE AS SAT PIX INDICATED LOTS OF HOLES IN
THE CLOUDS AND A GENERAL DRYING TREND NOT ONLY NORTH TO SOUTH BUT
SOUTH TO NORTH. THEY MIGHT HANG PAST SUNRISE BUT NOT MUCH LONGER
THAN THAT.
STILL SEEING SOME ECHOES IN OUR NORTHWESTERN ZONES BUT THIS ACTIVITY
LOOKS TO BE WINDING DOWN. WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION SLIGHT POPS (AS
THIS ACTIVITY MIGHT NOT EVEN BE REACHING THE GROUND)...UNTIL LATER
OVERNIGHT.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE MAINLY IN THE TEENS...CLOSER TO ZERO NEAR THE
ADIRONDACKS...AND ALSO AROUND 10 IN SOUTHERN ZONES WHERE AGAIN FRESH
SNOW HAS FALLEN.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
WINTER STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST AND OFFSHORE THROUGH THE DAY BUT MID AND
HIGH CLOUDS SHOULD STREAM INTO THE REGION AHEAD OF THE NEXT
SYSTEM. LIGHT WINDS AND DECREASING SUNSHINE COULD LIMIT THE
WARMING. SO..HIGHS TUESDAY IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S...MID TO UPPER
20S NORTHERN AREAS.
SNOW SPREADS ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT...BUT SOME COOLING
POSSIBLE TUESDAY EVENING DEPENDING ON THE TIMING OF THE
THICKENING OF THE CLOUDS. LOWS SHOULD OCCUR IN THE EVENING...THEN
HOLD STEADY OR RISE A DEGREE OR TWO THROUGH THE REST OF THE NIGHT.
LOWS TUESDAY NIGHT IN THE LOWER 20S...TEENS IN NORTHERN AREAS.
STILL A GOOD CONSENSUS FROM GUIDANCE AND ENSEMBLES FOR A MOSTLY
SNOW EVENT FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA. THERE STILL COULD BE A
MIX WITH SLEET DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY FROM KPOU INTO NW CT...BUT
ONLY A CHANCE...AND IT SHOULD NOT COMPROMISE SNOWFALL TOTALS MUCH
IF ANY FOR THOSE AREAS.
THE USUAL DYNAMICS...LOW LEVEL JET CORE...ISENTROPIC LIFT AND
FRONTOGENESIS FORCING MECHANISMS COME TOGETHER OVER OUR REGION...
ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER ENERGY EJECTING FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL U.S.
THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR A WIDESPREAD 7 INCHES OF SNOW
OR BETTER...BUT THE LOCAL TERRAIN EFFECTS AND ANY DOWNSLOPING AND
VALLEY SHADOWING DETAILS WILL BE CLEARER AS WE GET NEARER TO THE
EVENT. SOME AREAS WILL SEE CLOSER TO 6 OR 7 INCHES...OTHER
AREAS...ESPECIALLY HIGHER TERRAIN...COULD SEE OVER A FOOT OF
SNOW...AGAIN DEPENDING ON WHAT AREAS SEE DOWNSLOPING OR VALLEY
SHADOWING THAT COULD LIMIT THE SNOWFALL IN SOME AREAS.
BASED ON THERMAL PROFILES IN THE GUIDANCE...LIQUID TO SNOWFALL
RATIONS LOOK TO BE NEAR CLIMATOLOGY...10 TO 1 OR 12 TO 1...WHICH
WOULD RESULT IN A BIT HEAVIER SNOW THAN THE DRY FLUFFY SNOWS
EARLIER IN THE WINTER. HIGHS WEDNESDAY LOOK TO BE IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. THE SNOW WILL IMPACT THE WEDNESDAY MORNING
COMMUTE...AND DEPENDING ON HOW LONG SNOW LINGERS...MAYBE AS
HUDSON/MOHAWK CONVERGENCE...THERE COULD BE AN EXTENSION INTO THE
WEDNESDAY EVENING COMMUTE.
SNOW SHOULD DEPART WEDNESDAY EVENING...WITH GRADUAL CLEARING
THROUGH THE REST OF THE NIGHT. LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN THE
TEENS...PERHAPS NEAR ZERO SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS. THERE COULD BE
SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACTIVITY INTO THE WESTERN MOHAWK
VALLEY...SCHOHARIE VALLEY AND EASTERN CATSKILLS....THAT COULD
EXTEND INTO THURSDAY. HIGHS THURSDAY IN THE 20S...TEENS IN
NORTHERN AREAS.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE PERIOD STARTS OFF LARGELY DRY WITH A GOOD MIX OF SUN AND CLOUDS
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE...WHICH ON FRIDAY EXTENDS FROM
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND PLAINS ACROSS THE MIDWESTERN CORN BELT TO
THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION. THEN WE SEGUE INTO A WINTER STORM FOR THE
WEEKEND...THEN BACK TO A DRIER REGIME WITH INCREASING SUNSHINE
THROUGH MONDAY.
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE GULF COAST REGION WILL TRACK UP THE
LEE OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS SATURDAY NIGHT CONTINUING ON UP OFF
THE DELMARVA COAST THROUGH SUNDAY...AND OUT OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC
SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA INTO MONDAY. WHILE IT WOULD SEEM THE MAIN LOW
WOULD APPEAR TO BE HELD SOUTH ENOUGH TO STAVE OFF HIGHER SNOW
AMOUNTS FOR OUR FORECAST AREA...A SURFACE TROF ORIENTED FROM THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES ON SUNDAY COULD BE
A FLY IN THE OINTMENT. WITH THE GFS AND ECMWF OFF FROM ONE ANOTHER
ON START TIMING BY A GOOD 6 TO 12 HOURS...CONFIDENCE IS STILL ON THE
LOW SIDE FOR THIS SYSTEM...AND WE HAVE NO MORE THAN CHC POPS ATTM.
BOTH MODELS ARE VERY CLOSE IN PROVIDING US SUFFICIENTLY LESS SNOW
THAN WHAT IS FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY.
DAY-TO-DAY HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE FAIRLY CONSISTENT DURING THIS
PERIOD...AND WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. THE HIGHS WILL
RANGE FROM MAINLY THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30 DEGREES. LOWS WILL
SHOW MORE OF A TENDENCY TOWARD MODERATION...WITH READINGS STARTING
OUT IN THE MINUS 5 TO MID SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO RANGE THURSDAY
NIGHT. BY SATURDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHTS...THE LOWS WILL RANGE FROM
AROUND ZERO IN THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS...TO THE MID TEENS IN THE MID
HUDSON VALLEY...STILL A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR/MVFR CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION ARE SLOWLY ERODING AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS. AT 0530Z LARGE BREAKS WERE SEEN ON STLT
PICS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN AREAS. KPOU NOW HAS CLEAR SKIES
AND CALM WINDS AND HAS ALREADY STARTED TO FOG IN DUE TO PLENTIFUL
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LEFTOVER FROM THE WET SNOW THAT FELL MONDAY. WILL
FORECAST CONDITIONS THERE RANGING FROM MVFR TO OCNL LIFR THROUGH
AROUND 13Z SINCE THERE IS NOTHING THAT COULD BREAK UP THE FOG UNTIL
THE SUN RISES ON TUESDAY. AT THE KALB/KGFL/KPSF TAF SITES WILL
FORECAST BKN/SCT MAINLY VFR CLOUDS...BUT MVFR CLOUDS AT KPSF. AFTER
AROUND 10Z/11Z EXPECT THE CLOUD DECK WILL BE REDUCED TO SCT OR LESS.
VFR CONDITIONS FORECAST AT ALL THE TAF SITES FOR THE REST OF THE TAF
PERIOD ENDING AT 06Z WEDNESDAY. CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AHEAD
OF THE NEXT STORM LATE IN THE DAY TUESDAY...BUT ANY SNOW WILL HOLD
OFF UNTIL AFTER 06Z WEDNESDAY.
WINDS WILL CALM OR LIGHT THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
OUTLOOK...
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT TO WEDNESDAY: HIGH OPERATIONAL IMPACT. DEFINITE
SN.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. CHANCE OF SHSN.
THURSDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
THURSDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
FRIDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
FRIDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
SATURDAY: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SN.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
NO WIDESPREAD HYDRO PROBLEMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.
OUR REGION WILL HAVE A SNOWSTORM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.
DRY AND COLD WEATHER RETURNS BY THURSDAY.
FOR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING OBSERVED
AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE VISIT THE
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON OUR WEBSITE.
&&
.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR CTZ001-013.
NY...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084.
MA...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR MAZ001-025.
VT...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR VTZ013>015.
&&
SYNOPSIS...HWJIV
NEAR TERM...HWJIV/KL/NAS
SHORT TERM...NAS
LONG TERM...ELH
AVIATION...GJM
HYDROLOGY...GJM/NASHazardous weather outlook, Feb 3, 4:18 PM EST, 10 hours 55 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 418 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-041100- NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER- SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN- NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY- EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY- WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE- WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER- WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN- SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- 418 PM EST MON FEB 3 2014 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in New York, 2014Winter Storm Warnings in Vermont, 2014Winter Storm Warnings in Connecticut, 2014Every winter storm warning in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.