Severe Thunderstorm Warning 70, NWS Albany, NY

622 
WWUS51 KALY 090001
SVSALY

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
801 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2014

NYC035-041-043-057-090015-
/O.CON.KALY.SV.W.0070.000000T0000Z-140709T0015Z/
HAMILTON NY-MONTGOMERY NY-FULTON NY-HERKIMER NY-
801 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN HERKIMER...FULTON...MONTGOMERY AND SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON
COUNTIES...

AT 759 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER 
SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS 
WERE LOCATED NEAR BLISS CORNER...OR 13 MILES NORTHEAST OF LITTLE 
FALLS...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  6 MILES NORTH OF NEWKIRK AND 8 MILES NORTH OF NORTH BUSH BY 805 PM
  EDT...
  CANADA LAKE...ARIETTA...WHEELERVILLE AND PETERS CORNERS BY 810 PM
  EDT...
  LINDSLEY CORNERS...UPPER BENSON...PINNACLE AND BOWLERS CORNERS BY
  815 PM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE ACROSS 
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS 
SITUATION. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY 
FROM WINDOWS.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL SIZE...DAMAGING WINDS AND REPORTS OF TREES DOWN TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY EMAIL AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV...
ON FACEBOOK AT WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.ALBANY.GOV
OR TWITTER @NWSALBANY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR NORTHERN CONNECTICUT AND WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS
AND EASTERN NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

&&

LAT...LON 4320 7509 4342 7418 4292 7411 4283 7468
      4289 7486 4289 7488 4284 7488 4282 7490
      4290 7509 4285 7514 4286 7522 4292 7521
      4306 7522
TIME...MOT...LOC 0001Z 251DEG 43KT 4317 7464

$$

NAS/IRL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
720 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CROSS OUR REGION FROM WEST TO EAST THIS
EVENING...POSSIBLY BRINGING DESTRUCTIVE WIND GUSTS...HEAVY
RAINFALL...LARGE HAIL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. THE
COLD FRONT RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS LINE OF STORMS WILL CROSS OUR REGION
OVERNIGHT. IT WILL TURN A LITTLE LESS HUMID WEDNESDAY...BUT A
SECONDARY COLD FRONT WORKING THROUGH COULD SPARK ADDITIONAL
SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
AS OF 730 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH CONTINUES ALL EASTERN
NEW YORK STATE AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

UPDATED THE PUBLIC PACKAGE TO INCLUDE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH.

HAVE ALREADY ISSUED A TORNADO WARNING FOR HERKIMER COUNTY...ALONG
WITH TWO SEPARATE THUNDERSTORMS DUE TO DISCRETE SUPERCELLS.

OTHER STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS HAVE BEEN NOTED UPSTREAM. THIS LINE
WAS MOVING INTO INSTABILITY AROUND SURFACE BASED CAPES STILL AROUND
2000 J/KG. THE 0-6KM BULK SHEAR OFF THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER'S (SPC)
MESOSCALE ANALYSIS WAS UP TO 60 KTS!

LOOK FOR THE LINE TO WORK THROUGH THE MOHAWK VALLEY AND REACH THE
CAPITAL REGION AT OR EVEN A LITTLE BEFORE 900 PM. THIS LINE IF IT
HOLDS TOGETHER...WILL REACH WESTERN NEW ENGLAND BEFORE 1000 PM.

BY MIDNIGHT...THE LINE OF STORMS SHOULD BE TO OUR EAST. IN ITS WAKE
A COLD FRONT WILL FOLLOW...BRINGING IN SOME DRIER AIR...FIRST
ALOFT...EVENTUALLY AT THE SURFACE. THERE MIGHT BE ANOTHER RENEGADE
SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM OVERNIGHT BUT THE LION SHARE OF ACTION WILL
BE DONE WITH OVERNIGHT.

WE MIGHT HAVE SOME PATCHES OF FOG ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHERE THE
SOUTHWEST BREEZE DIMINISHES AND GROUND IS ESPECIALLY WET FROM
HEAVIER SHOWERS.

LOOK FOR LOWS STILL ON THE MUGGY SIDE...GENERALLY IN THE 60S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
ON WEDNESDAY...OUR AREA WILL STILL BE A BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT
WITH SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR (PWATS UNDER AN INCH) ACROSS OUR REGION TO
START THE DAY. WITH A CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT...AND ONE MORE COLD FRONT
TO WORK THROUGH...WE STILL LOOK TO BECOME UNSETTLED ONCE AGAIN BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE JUST ENOUGH INSTABILITY WITH A
LITTLE MOISTURE RELOADING THAT COULD TRIGGER ANOTHER ROUND OF
SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. INSTABILITY LOOKS TO INCREASE TO
ABOUT 1500 J/KG WITH LAPSE RATES UP TO 6.5 C/KM. THERE WILL ALSO BE
A BRISK LOW LEVEL WIND OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 40KTS.

THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY COULD AT THE VERY LEAST PRODUCE SOME
SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. FOR NOW...WE DID NOT INCLUDE ENHANCED
WORKING IN THE GRIDS SINCE THE CONFIDENCE OF STORMS IN ONLY IN THE
30 PERCENT RANGE.

HIGH TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE 80-85 HIGHER TERRAIN...75-80
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

THE SURFACE WIND WILL BE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH...SHIFTING TO
WEST BY LATE IN THE DAY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

ANY THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD QUICKLY DIMINISH BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
AFTER THAT IT WILL CLEAR OUT...TURNING A LITTLE COOLER AND DRIER
WITH LOWS GENERALLY DIPPING INTO THE 50S.

THURSDAY LOOKS LIKE A NICE WITH LOTS OF SUNSHINE...COMFORTABLE
HUMIDITY (DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S) AND HIGHS AROUND 80 IN THE
VALLEYS...70S HIGHER TERRAIN.

THURSDAY NIGHT LOOKS CLEAR AND COOL. LOWS BACK INTO THE 50S ALBANY
SOUTHWARD...MID TO UPPER 40S WELL NORTH OF THE CAPITAL
REGION.

FRIDAY LOOKS LIKE A NICE DAY WITH LOTS OF SUNSHINE AND CONTINUED
LOWER HUMIDITY. HIGHS WILL BE 80-85 VALLEYS...75-80 HIGHER
TERRAIN.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
TRANQUIL WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY AS WARM
ADVECTION INCREASES AND TEMPERATURES REACH HIGHS IN THE 80S...SOME
UPPER 70S IN HIGHER TERRAIN.  LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES LATER IN
THE WEEKEND AND SOME FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH AN ADVANCING WARM FRONT
COULD SUPPORT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY.  HIGHS SUNDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 80S...WITH
MID TO UPPER 70S IN HIGHER TERRAIN.

BY SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...SOME UPPER ENERGY TRACKING
SOUTHEAST OUT OF CANADA AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH
WITH INCREASING COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
PERIOD AS PREFRONTAL TROUGH TYPE CONVECTION INCREASES IN THE
REGION.  HIGHS MONDAY IN THE 80S...WITH MID TO UPPER 70S IN HIGHER
TERRAIN. HIGHS TUESDAY IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. AT THIS
TIME...LONG RANGE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE TUESDAY
BUT AS ALWAYS THE TIMING COULD CHANGE AS WE GET CLOSER.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL VERY LIKELY IMPACT THE TERMINALS
BETWEEN 01Z AND 04Z WITH HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND POSSIBLE HAIL.

AS OF 2320Z...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WAS ADVANCING INTO THE MOHAWK
VALLEY AND LOOKS TO REACH THE TAFS IN A COUPLE OF HOURS.

BASED ON UPSTREAM ASOS OBSERVATIONS WE INCREASED WIND GUSTS TO 40KTS
FROM 01Z-03Z AT KALB/KGFL AND 30-35KTS AT KPOU/KPSF. KEEP IN
MIND...THE WINDS COULD EVEN GUST A LITTLE HIGHER THAN THAT.

THE LINE LOOKS TO MOVE EAST OF THE TERMINALS BY 04Z. AFTER THAT...A
COLD FRONT WILL PASS...SHIFTING THE WIND AND ALLOWING FOR SLOW
DRYING. THE DILEMMA IS HOW FAST THIS DRYING ARRIVES. GUIDANCE
SUGGESTED PERHAPS NO MVFR WITH JUST LIGHT MIST POSSIBLE. IF ANY OF
TERMINALS RECEIVE AN UNUSUAL AMOUNT OF RAINFALL WE MIGHT HAVE TO
RETHINK THIS SCENARIO.

SO IF YOU ARE FLYING EARLY TOMORROW...PLEASE CHECK BACK OUR LATEST
THINKING.

OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL AFTER THE MORNING PEAK
THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD. THE WIND WILL BE SW OR WEST
AROUND 10KTS.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...AND NOW WE PLACED VCSH IN THE TAFS AFTER 18Z TO REFLECT
LOW CHANCES OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS DIRECTLY IMPACTING ANY
SPECIFIC TAF.

OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHRA.
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT.
SUNDAY: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. CHC OF SHRA/TSRA.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CROSS OUR REGION THIS EVENING WITH A
LEAST A QUARTER INCH OR MORE OF RAINFALL ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.
HOWEVER...SINCE THE RAIN WILL FALL FOR ONLY A SHORT DURATION AND AT
NIGHT...DID NOT ASSIGN A WET FLAG TO OUR NFDRS.

DRIER WEATHER ON WEDNESDAY WITH RH VALUES DIPPING INTO THE 40S.
HOWEVER...MOSE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED BUT
NOT EVERYONE WILL LIKELY RECEIVE THEM.

DRY WEATHER EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE
USUAL NEARLY FULL RECOVER (AND SOME DEW) AT NIGHT...AND SEASONABLE
AFTER RH HUMIDITIES IN THE 30S TO 40 EACH AFTERNOON.

THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOOKS TO BE SUNDAY
PERSISTING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

THE SURFACE WIND WILL BE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST TONIGHT 5-15 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST AT SIMILAR SPEEDS
WEDNESDAY...BECOMING NORTHWESTERLY AT 5-15 MPH ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS WILL HEAD ACROSS OUR REGION THIS
EVENING. WHILE OVER AVERAGE RAINFALL BASINS WILL UNDER AN
INCH...LOCALIZED MUCH HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE...POSSIBLY LOCALLY
EXCEEDING TWO INCHES. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING BUT NOT ENOUGH AREA TO CONSIDER A FLASH FLOOD WATCH YET.

SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO TOMORROW...BUT THE AIR MASS LOOKS
TO BE REMAIN UNSTABLE FOR ADDITIONAL SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. AT THIS POINT...WE DO NOT EXPECT
ANY SIGNIFICANT HYDRO PROBLEMS OTHER THAN THE USUAL LOCALIZED
PONDING OF WATER ON SOME ROADS AND AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE.

DRY WEATHER THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

FOR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING
OBSERVED AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE
VISIT THE ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON
OUR WEBSITE.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HWJIV
NEAR TERM...HWJIV
SHORT TERM...HWJIV
LONG TERM...NAS
AVIATION...HWJIV
FIRE WEATHER...HWJIV
HYDROLOGY...HWJIV

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
634 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2014

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-091100-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-
WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-
WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
634 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 405 IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND
SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND
AGAIN SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
224 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2014

NYZ059>061-064-065-081900-
EASTERN GREENE NY-EASTERN ULSTER NY-WESTERN DUTCHESS NY-
WESTERN COLUMBIA NY-EASTERN COLUMBIA NY-
224 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2014

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN

  GREENE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...
  ULSTER COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...
  DUTCHESS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...
  COLUMBIA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...

AT 220 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN.  THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR RED HOOK...OR ABOUT OVER SAUGERTIES...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
CLERMONT BY 230 PM EDT
LIVINGSTON...8 MILES NORTHWEST OF ANCRAM AND 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
CATSKILL BY 235 PM EDT
CLAVERACK AND 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HUDSON BY 240 PM EDT
PHILMONT AND 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF COPAKE BY 245 PM EDT
8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CHATHAM BY 255 PM EDT
AUSTERLITZ BY 300 PM EDT

LAT...LON 4207 7409 4214 7406 4244 7362 4229 7343
      4210 7350 4191 7393
TIME...MOT...LOC 1824Z 232DEG 42KT 4205 7388

LFM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
545 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2014

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-090300-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...
NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION...
HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...
GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...
SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
545 PM EDT TUE JUL 8 2014

...SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED THIS EVENING...

UNUSUALLY STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH A WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS IS
ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE REGION WHICH IS SETTING THE STAGE FOR
SEVERE WEATHER INTO EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK ESPECIALLY TO THE WEST
OF THE HUDSON RIVER VALLEY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING EASTWARD HAS TRIGGERED STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK AND ACROSS
PENNSYLVANIA. THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD FORMING
INTO ORGANIZED LINES WHICH WILL BE CAPABLE TO PRODUCING INTENSE
WIND GUSTS.

THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS AND
MOHAWK VALLEY BY 7 TO 8 PM. THE STORMS WILL RACE EASTWARD CROSSING
THE GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT AND EASTERN CATSKILLS BY 9 TO 10 PM AND
REACHING WESTERN NEW ENGLAND BY AROUND 11 PM. THESE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS THEY MOVE EASTWARD ESPECIALLY BY THE TIME
THEY REACH WESTERN NEW ENGLAND.

WIND GUSTS EXCEEDING 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WHICH WOULD CAUSE NOTABLE
DAMAGE. THERE WILL ALSO BE FREQUENT LIGHTNING...BRIEF BUT INTENSE
RAINFALL AND POSSIBLY LARGE HAIL.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES ON THIS SEVERE WEATHER SITUATION. YOU CAN VISIT OUR
WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY AND CHECK US OUT ON FACEBOOK
AND TWITTER.