Severe Thunderstorm Warning 110, NWS Albany, NY

405 
WWUS51 KALY 311739
SVSALY

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
139 PM EDT THU JUL 31 2014

NYC083-091-115-311815-
/O.CON.KALY.SV.W.0110.000000T0000Z-140731T1815Z/
WASHINGTON NY-RENSSELAER NY-SARATOGA NY-
139 PM EDT THU JUL 31 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM EDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL SARATOGA...EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL RENSSELAER AND
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

AT 134 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS 
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SALEM 
TO 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF HOOSICK FALLS TO 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF 
MECHANICVILLE TO 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF MECHANICVILLE TO 
MECHANICVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

THE PUBLIC REPORTED QUARTER INCH HAIL AT THE SARATOGA BATTLEFIELD AT 
125 PM EDT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  EAST GREENWICH...COSSAYUNA AND NORTH CAMBRIDGE BY 145 PM EDT...
  FITCH POINT...CRANDALL CORNERS AND COILA BY 150 PM EDT...
  REXLEIGH...GREENWICH JUNCTION...SHUSHAN AND CAMBRIDGE BY 155 PM
  EDT...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY 
BUILDING AT ONCE. 

WHEN POSSIBLE...PLEASE REPORT HAIL SIZE...DAMAGING WINDS AND REPORTS 
OF TREES DOWN TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY EMAIL AT 
ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV...ON FACEBOOK AT WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSALBANY 
OR TWITTER @NWSALBANY.

LAT...LON 4324 7327 4314 7328 4307 7329 4303 7328
      4294 7333 4291 7382 4292 7382 4295 7383
      4301 7380 4314 7370
TIME...MOT...LOC 1737Z 256DEG 18KT 4311 7345 4304 7347
          4299 7352 4298 7356 4296 7367

$$

HWJIV

609 
WWUS51 KALY 311816
SVSALY

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
216 PM EDT THU JUL 31 2014

NYC083-091-115-311824-
/O.EXP.KALY.SV.W.0110.000000T0000Z-140731T1815Z/
WASHINGTON NY-RENSSELAER NY-SARATOGA NY-
216 PM EDT THU JUL 31 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL SARATOGA...
EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL RENSSELAER AND SOUTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES
WILL EXPIRE AT 215 PM EDT...

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE WEAKENED A LITTLE SO WILL ALLOW THIS 
WARNING TO EXPIRE. HOWEVER...FUTURE WARNINGS MIGHT BE ISSUED ON THIS 
STORM.
 
PLEASE REPORT HAIL SIZE...DAMAGING WINDS AND REPORTS OF TREES DOWN TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY EMAIL AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV...
ON FACEBOOK AT WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSALBANY OR TWITTER @NWSALBANY.

LAT...LON 4324 7327 4314 7328 4307 7329 4303 7328
      4294 7333 4291 7382 4292 7382 4295 7383
      4301 7380 4314 7370
TIME...MOT...LOC 1814Z 256DEG 18KT 4315 7320 4308 7322
          4303 7327 4302 7331 4300 7342

$$

HWJIV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1245 PM EDT THU JUL 31 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DISTURBANCE ROTATING AROUND AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER
SOUTHERN CANADA WILL SET OFF SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY...SOME OF WHICH MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE. THE THREAT FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE
TO THE NEARBY UPPER LEVEL LOW AND A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY OFF THE
EASTERN SEABOARD...WITH INCREASINGLY WARMER AND MORE HUMID
CONDITIONS RETURNING TO THE REGION THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 910 AM EDT...SCATTERED SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED JUST TO THE EAST
OF SOUTH OF ALBANY. MEANWHILE...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WAS
APPROACHING HERKIMER COUNTY.

UPDATE INCLUDED TWEAKING NEAR TERM TRENDS...MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS
FASTER CD AND SOUTHEAST. OTHERWISE TIMING OF THE MORE SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION LOOKS GOOD. NO CHANGES TO HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY.

A LINE OF MORE SIGNIFICANT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WAS ABOUT TO
ENTER HERKIMER COUNTY. THIS LINE LOOKS TO TRACK EAST AND COULD
STRENGTHEN WITH TIME. OUR NEW ALY RAOB INDICATED INSTABILITY ALREADY
IS ABOUT 400 J/KG WITH WITH A 0-3KM BULK SHEAR ALREADY 35KTS.
EARLIER PARAMETERS LOOK GOOD AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS
THERE...MAINLY NORTH OF THE CAPITAL REGION.

CLOSED OFF UPPER LEVEL LOW IS SITUATED NEAR JAMES BAY OVER EASTERN
ONTARIO. THIS UPPER LEVEL LOW IS BASICALLY EXPECTED TO SIT AND SPIN
THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...WITH A VORTICITY MAX SWINGING AROUND THE
BASE OF THE LOW TOWARDS THE NORTHEASTERN US. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WORKING THROUGH OUR REGION
THROUGH MORNING WEST OF THE HUDSON VALLEY...MIDDAY CAPITAL REGION
AND NORTHEAST...AND INTO THE AFTERNOON TO THE EAST OF THE HUDSON
VALLEY.

IN ADDITION TO 500 HPA TEMPS BEING VERY COLD FOR LATE JULY /AROUND
-16 DEGREES C/...THERE WILL BE DECENT MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES OF 6
TO 6.5 DEGREES C PER KM...AND 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR OF AROUND 40 KTS.
EVEN THOUGH TD WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 50S...ENOUGH INSTABILITY
WILL BE PRESENT...WITH CAPE VALUES UP TO J PER KG. OUR LOCAL
HIRESWRF AND THE 3KM HRRR SHOW CELLULAR STORMS MOVING QUICKLY ACROSS
THE AREA BETWEEN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. WITH THE
COOL TEMPS ALOFT...LARGE HAIL AROUND 1 INCH IN DIAMETER WILL BE THE
BIGGEST THREAT WITH ANY STORM...ALTHOUGH SOME BOWING SEGMENTS COULD
ALLOW FOR GUSTY WINDS WITHIN THE STRONGEST STORMS AS WELL. THE
HIGHER THREAT MAY BE ACROSS NORTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA
/CLOSER TOWARDS THE UPPER LOW/ BUT WE CAN/T RULE OUT A STRONG TO
SEVERE STORM ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. WE WILL INCLUDE ENHANCED
WORDING IN OUR GRIDS...AND CONTINUE TO MONITOR RADAR TRENDS
THROUGH THE DAY.

MAX TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO BELOW NORMAL FOR LATE JULY...THANKS TO
THE COOL TEMPS ALOFT AND PROXIMITY OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW...AS
WELL AS THE CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE RAINFALL. MAX TEMPS LOOK TO MAINLY
BE IN THE 70S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
THE SHORTWAVE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST OF THE AREA TONIGHT...ENDING THE THREAT FOR PRECIP...AS
THE WHOLE UPPER LEVEL LOW WOBBLES TOWARDS WESTERN QUEBEC. AS A
RESULT...MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH COOL LOWS
IN THE 40S AND 50S.

DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL START TO WEAKEN
AND MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS QUEBEC. HOWEVER...A LARGE SCALE TROUGH
WILL CONTINUE TO BE SITUATED OVER THE AREA...AS A TROUGH AXIS DIGS
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY...AND RIDGING STRENGTHENS OVER THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A BROAD S-SW FLOW OVER OUR
AREA...WHICH WILL START TO RETURN MOISTURE TO THE AREA.
MEANWHILE...THIS SET UP WILL HELP ESTABLISH A STATIONARY BOUNDARY
RIGHT ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD...WHICH WILL HELP FOCUS SOME
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR FRI AFTN INTO FRI NIGHT. THESE WILL
MAINLY AFFECT SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PARTS OF THE AREA. MAX TEMPS ON
FRIDAY LOOK TO REACH THE MID 70S TO LOW 80S...AND MINS WILL MAINLY
BE IN THE MID 50S T0 LOW 60S.

THE PATTERN WILL BE RATHER STAGNANT FOR SAT/SAT NIGHT....WITH A
TROUGH AXIS JUST UPSTREAM OVER THE OHIO VALLEY...AND A STATIONARY
BOUNDARY RIGHT OFF THE COAST. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE...ESP DURING THE DIURNALLY FAVORED AFTN
AND EVENING HOURS. IT WILL START TO BE NOTICEABLY MORE HUMID WITH
DEWPOINTS RETURNING INTO THE 60S FOR MOST AREAS. TEMPS WILL BE
SIMILAR TO FRIDAY...WITH HIGHS NEAR 80 AND LOWS GENERALLY IN THE
MID 50S TO MID 60S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE AMPLIFIED LONGWAVE PATTERN
WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER THE
TROUGH WILL LINGER OVER THE REGION. AT THE SURFACE...THE NEARLY
STATIONARY BOUNDARY ALONG THE EAST COAST WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE AS
WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK. IN THE MEANTIME...NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY
MOVING ACROSS EASTERN CANADA WILL HELP PUSH AS COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. THERE ARE SOME
DIFFERENCES WITH THE STRENGTHEN AND TIMING BUT OVERALL OUR WEATHER
WILL REMAIN UNSETTLED AS WE CLOSE OUT THE WEEKEND AND HEAD INTO NEXT
WEEK. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AND DEW POINTS WILL RISE AHEAD OF
THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT SO SOME HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED.
WITH PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT A LESS HUMID AIRMASS WILL BE USHERED
BACK INTO THE REGION WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN AT THE
SURFACE FOR MID WEEK.

TEMPERATURES TO START OUT AUGUST ARE ANTICIPATED TO SEASONABLY WARM
WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S AND LOWS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. THE COOLEST DAY SHOULD BE SUNDAY DUE TO EXTENSIVE
CLOUD COVER.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 1245 PM EDT...REMOVED THE TEMPO FOR THUNDER OUT OF BOTH KALB
AND KPSF.

RADARS INDICATED A LINE OF STORMS WILL LIKELY MOVE NORTH OF THESE
AIRPORTS. THERE COULD BE SOME OTHER CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT BUT
RIGHT NOW THE THREAT LOOKS LOW. WILL CONTINUE WITH THE VCSH.

AT KPOU HAVE USED VCSH WHERE LIKELIHOOD FOR CONVECTION IS LESS
LIKELY...MORE IN THE 30-49 PERCENT RANGE.

OVERALL VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD DOMINATE THROUGH THE DAY.

WITH A POSSIBLE WET GROUND...A CLEARING SKY AND LIGHT
WIND...RADIATIONAL FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT WITH IFR
CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP AT KPSF AND KGFL LATE.

SOUTHERLY FLOW TODAY AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS WITH WINDS DIMINISHING THIS
EVENING. WINDS IN THE VICINITY OF THUNDERSTORMS COULD GUST UP TO
30KTS OR BETTER...GENERALLY FROM WSW DIRECTION.

OUTLOOK...
FRI NIGHT-MON: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. CHANCE OF MAINLY PM
SHRA...TSRA.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY...WITH THE GREATEST
THREAT BETWEEN THE LATE MORNING HOURS AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.
THIS WILL BRING A WETTING RAINFALL TO SOME LOCATIONS...ESP
NORTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA. RH VALUES WILL ONLY FALL TO AROUND 50
PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO THE CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE PRECIP WITH
S-SW WINDS OF 5-10 MPH.

RH VALUES WILL RETURN TO NEARLY 100 PERCENT TONIGHT WITH LIGHT TO
CALM WINDS AND DEW FORMATION. RH VALUES WILL ONLY FALL TO AROUND
50 PERCENT ON FRI AFTN...WITH SOME MORE RAIN SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE...MAINLY FOR SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY THANKS TO AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW SITUATED NORTH OF THE AREA. WHILE SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY
RAINFALL...FLOODING IS NOT ANTICIPATED...AS THESE STORMS SHOULD BE
QUICK MOVING...AND OVERALL MOISTURE CONTENT IS NOT AS HIGH AS SOME
PREVIOUS TSTM EVENTS FROM EARLIER THIS SUMMER. THESE STORMS MAY BE
ENOUGH TO CAUSE SOME PONDING ON ROADWAYS...BUT NO WIDESPREAD FLOOD
CONCERNS ARE ANTICIPATED.

HOWEVER...WARMER AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS WILL BE GRADUALLY
RETURNING OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. WITH A CONTINUED THREAT FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS COULD
OCCUR...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AND URBAN AREAS WILL BE
POSSIBLE IF THUNDERSTORMS REPEATEDLY PASS OVER THE SAME
LOCATIONS...ESP BY SAT AND SUNDAY...WHEN PWAT VALUES WILL BE AS HIGH
AS 1.90 INCHES OVER FAR SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA.

FOR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING OBSERVED
AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE VISIT THE
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON OUR WEBSITE.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...FRUGIS
NEAR TERM...IAA/FRUGIS/HWJIV
SHORT TERM...FRUGIS
LONG TERM...IAA
AVIATION...IAA/HWJIV
FIRE WEATHER...FRUGIS
HYDROLOGY...FRUGIS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
458 AM EDT THU JUL 31 2014

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-011100-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-
WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-
WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
458 AM EDT THU JUL 31 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND
SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY...ESPECIALLY BETWEEN THE LATE
MORNING AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE
STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. THE
GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 90.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OR A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM EACH DAY
BETWEEN FRIDAY AND TUESDAY...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1109 AM EDT THU JUL 31 2014

NYZ033-039-041-042-082-311530-
HAMILTON NY-NORTHERN WARREN NY-SOUTHERN FULTON NY-NORTHERN FULTON NY-
NORTHERN SARATOGA NY-
1109 AM EDT THU JUL 31 2014

...A LINE OF LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN

  HAMILTON COUNTY IN EASTERN NEW YORK...
  WARREN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...
  FULTON COUNTY IN EASTERN NEW YORK...
  SARATOGA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...

AT 1103 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...AROUND HALF INCH HAIL...
FREQUENT LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND HEAVY RAINFALL.

THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 15 MILES WEST
OF NORTH CREEK TO WELLS TO 7 MILES WEST OF WELLS TO CAROGA
LAKE...AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
CAROGA LAKE BY 1110 AM EDT
CAROGA LAKE PUBLIC CAMPGROUND AND WELLS BY 1115 AM EDT
SACANDAGA CAMPGROUND...7 MILES NORTHWEST OF MAYFIELD...8 MILES WEST
OF CRANBERRY CREEK AND 8 MILES WEST OF NORTHVILLE BY 1130 AM EDT

LAT...LON 4372 7395 4342 7395 4332 7411 4303 7420
      4312 7469 4338 7454 4348 7438 4378 7438
TIME...MOT...LOC 1504Z 281DEG 14KT 4367 7428 4346 7425
          4336 7441 4318 7451

HWJIV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1137 AM EDT THU JUL 31 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1135 AM     LIGHTNING        4 NW DOLGEVILLE         43.14N  74.83W
07/31/2014                   HERKIMER           NY   PUBLIC

            LIGHTNING STRUCK TREE THAT FELL ONTO WIRES

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY1400450

LFM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1148 AM EDT THU JUL 31 2014

NYZ033-039>043-049-050-082>084-311615-
HAMILTON NY-MONTGOMERY NY-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON NY-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON NY-NORTHERN WARREN NY-SOUTHEAST WARREN NY-
SOUTHERN FULTON NY-NORTHERN FULTON NY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY NY-
SOUTHERN SARATOGA NY-NORTHERN SARATOGA NY-
1148 AM EDT THU JUL 31 2014

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN

  HAMILTON COUNTY IN EASTERN NEW YORK...
  MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN EASTERN NEW YORK...
  WASHINGTON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...
  WARREN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...
  FULTON COUNTY IN EASTERN NEW YORK...
  SCHENECTADY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...
  SARATOGA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...

AT 1148 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...AROUND HALF INCH HAIL...
FREQUENT LIGHTNING.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM SCAROON MANOR PUBLIC CAMPGROUND TO 7 MILES WEST OF WARRENSBURG
TO DAY CENTER TO CRANBERRY CREEK TO FORT JOHNSON...OR ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 18 MILES NORTH OF WARRENSBURG TO 7 MILES WEST OF
WARRENSBURG TO 17 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LAKE GEORGE VILLAGE TO 8 MILES
NORTHEAST OF GLOVERSVILLE TO AMSTERDAM...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
HAGAMAN BY 1155 AM EDT
WARRENSBURG BY NOON EDT
LAKE LUZERNE CAMPGROUND...LAKE LUZERNE-HADLEY AND GALWAY BY 1205 PM
EDT
ROGERS ROCK CAMPGROUND...LAKE GEORGE VILLAGE...HAGUE AND BOLTON
LANDING BY 1210 PM EDT
ROCK CITY FALLS BY 1215 PM EDT

LAT...LON 4377 7334 4365 7342 4359 7342 4357 7341
      4340 7350 4322 7372 4298 7380 4288 7443
      4312 7435 4331 7414 4351 7403 4377 7383
      4381 7338
TIME...MOT...LOC 1548Z 259DEG 32KT 4376 7373 4352 7391
          4332 7402 4314 7424 4298 7425

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1150 AM EDT THU JUL 31 2014

NYZ033-039>043-050-082>084-311615-
HAMILTON NY-MONTGOMERY NY-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON NY-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON NY-NORTHERN WARREN NY-SOUTHEAST WARREN NY-
SOUTHERN FULTON NY-NORTHERN FULTON NY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA NY-
NORTHERN SARATOGA NY-
1150 AM EDT THU JUL 31 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN

  HAMILTON COUNTY IN EASTERN NEW YORK...
  MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN EASTERN NEW YORK...
  WASHINGTON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...
  WARREN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...
  FULTON COUNTY IN EASTERN NEW YORK...
  SARATOGA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...

AT 1148 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...UP TO ONE HALF INCH
HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND HEAVY
RAINFALL.

 THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SCAROON MANOR
PUBLIC CAMPGROUND TO 7 MILES WEST OF WARRENSBURG TO DAY CENTER TO
CRANBERRY CREEK TO FORT JOHNSON...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
HAGAMAN BY 1155 AM EDT
WARRENSBURG BY NOON EDT
LAKE LUZERNE CAMPGROUND...LAKE LUZERNE-HADLEY AND GALWAY BY 1205 PM
EDT
ROGERS ROCK CAMPGROUND...LAKE GEORGE VILLAGE...HAGUE AND BOLTON
LANDING BY 1210 PM EDT
ROCK CITY FALLS BY 1215 PM EDT

LAT...LON 4377 7334 4365 7342 4359 7342 4357 7341
      4340 7350 4322 7372 4298 7380 4299 7410
      4288 7443 4312 7435 4331 7414 4351 7403
      4377 7383 4381 7338
TIME...MOT...LOC 1549Z 259DEG 32KT 4376 7372 4353 7390
          4333 7401 4314 7422 4298 7424

HWJIV

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
103 PM EDT THU JUL 31 2014

NYZ041-050-053-084-311730-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON NY-WESTERN RENSSELAER NY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA NY-
NORTHERN SARATOGA NY-
103 PM EDT THU JUL 31 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN

  WASHINGTON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...
  RENSSELAER COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...
  SARATOGA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...

AT 1259 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS
TO 40 MPH AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL.

THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES
NORTHEAST OF BALLSTON SPA TO 9 MILES EAST OF BALLSTON SPA TO
BALLSTON SPA TO ROUND LAKE...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
MECHANICVILLE BY 115 PM EDT
GREENWICH BY 125 PM EDT

LAT...LON 4315 7331 4310 7329 4309 7332 4304 7338
      4292 7348 4286 7388 4295 7390 4302 7385
      4303 7379 4313 7373
TIME...MOT...LOC 1702Z 253DEG 27KT 4309 7368 4305 7366
          4304 7373 4298 7377 4290 7385

HWJIV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
110 PM EDT THU JUL 31 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0109 PM     HAIL             MALTA                   42.97N  73.79W
07/31/2014  E0.75 INCH       SARATOGA           NY   METEOROLOGIST

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY1400451

LFM