Alert archive / New York / Flood Watches in 2014

Flood Watch 2, NWS Albany, NY

March 28, 20144 states

NWS Albany, NY issued this flood watch at Mar 28, 2014, 3:19 PM EDT for 4 states. It took effect at Mar 29, 2014, 8:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 34 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 28, 2014, 3:19 PM EDT (19:19 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 29, 2014, 8:00 PM EDT
Expired
Mar 31, 2014, 6:28 AM EDT
In force
34 hr
Issued by
NWS Albany, NY
Flood severity
None

Counties Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Albany County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Bennington County, VT, Windham County, VT

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 23 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 1 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2014-03-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2014-03-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 185 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1045 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
59 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
185 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
195 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

209 
WGUS61 KALY 281919
FFAALY

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
319 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014


CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-291100-
/O.NEW.KALY.FA.A.0002.140330T0000Z-140331T1200Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-
NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-
WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-
EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...
FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...
WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
319 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN
  MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN VERMONT AND EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK
  EXCLUDING THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS. 

* FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE MID
  ATLANTIC REGION SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT ALONG A STALLED
  FRONTAL BOUNDARY. MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OCCUR NORTH OF
  THE BOUNDARY AS THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SLOWLY MOVES EAST INTO
  THE DAY SUNDAY BEFORE EXITING BY MONDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES
  WILL RISE INTO THE MID AND UPPER 40S SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
  ALLOWING SNOW MELT TO OCCUR ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. RAINFALL
  AMOUNTS WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL RANGE FROM ONE TO TWO INCHES
  ACROSS THE CAPITAL REGION NORTH AND WEST...AND TWO TO THREE
  INCHES TO THE SOUTH AND EAST. THIS RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO
  SIGNIFICANT RISES WITH SOME RIVERS AND STREAMS OVERFLOWING THEIR
  BANKS.

* WARM TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL MAY
  CAUSE ICE MOVEMENT AND BREAK UP FOR ICE JAM FLOODING ON SOME OF
  THE RIVERS AND STREAMS...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 90. ICE
  JAM FLOODING WOULD HAVE ITS GREATEST THREAT LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
  INTO THE DAY SUNDAY. POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING OF URBAN AND LOW
  LYING AREAS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
9 follow-up statements
146 
WGUS61 KALY 290837
FFAALY

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
437 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-292100-
/O.CON.KALY.FA.A.0002.140330T0000Z-140331T1200Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-
NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-
WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-
EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...
FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...
WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
437 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* THE MOHAWK VALLEY...EASTERN CATSKILLS...GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT
  INCLUDING THE SARATOGA AND GLENS FALLS AREAS...WASHINGTON
  COUNTY...TACONICS...MID HUDSON VALLEY...BERKSHIRES...NORTHWESTERN
  CONNECTICUT AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

* FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ALONG A STALLED FRONTAL
  BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH BRINGING A MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL TO
  THE WATCH AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE
  EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO AROUND 3 INCHES
  POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CAPITAL DISTRICT. IN
  ADDITION TO THE RAIN...RUNOFF FROM SNOWMELT IS EXPECTED AS
  TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S TODAY. SIGNIFICANT
  RISES ARE EXPECTED WITH MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE ON SOME RIVERS
  AND STREAMS.

* RUNOFF FROM THE SNOW MELT AND RAINFALL MAY CAUSE ICE MOVEMENT
  AND ICE BREAK UP LEADING TO ICE JAM FLOODING ON SOME OF THE
  RIVERS AND STREAMS...ESPECIALLY SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CAPITAL
  DISTRICT. THE ICE JAM FLOODING THREAT WILL BE AT ITS GREATEST
  LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ALSO...POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING OF URBAN
  AND LOW LYING AREAS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
964 
WGUS61 KALY 292024
FFAALY

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
424 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-300430-
/O.CON.KALY.FA.A.0002.140330T0000Z-140331T1200Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-
NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-
WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-
EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...
FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...
WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
424 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...
   EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN VERMONT...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHERN 
  LITCHFIELD AND SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD. IN WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...
   NORTHERN BERKSHIRE AND SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE. IN EAST CENTRAL 
  NEW YORK...EASTERN ALBANY...EASTERN COLUMBIA...EASTERN 
  DUTCHESS... EASTERN GREENE...EASTERN RENSSELAER...EASTERN 
  SCHENECTADY... EASTERN ULSTER...MONTGOMERY...NORTHERN FULTON...
  NORTHERN SARATOGA...NORTHERN WASHINGTON...SCHOHARIE...
  SOUTHEAST WARREN...SOUTHERN FULTON...SOUTHERN HERKIMER...
  SOUTHERN SARATOGA...SOUTHERN WASHINGTON...WESTERN ALBANY...
  WESTERN COLUMBIA...WESTERN DUTCHESS...WESTERN GREENE...WESTERN 
  RENSSELAER...WESTERN SCHENECTADY AND WESTERN ULSTER. IN 
  SOUTHERN VERMONT...BENNINGTON...EASTERN WINDHAM AND WESTERN 
  WINDHAM. 

* FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ALONG A STALLED FRONTAL
  BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH BRINGING A MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL TO
  THE WATCH AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES ARE
  EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO AROUND 4 INCHES
  POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CAPITAL DISTRICT. IN
  ADDITION TO THE RAIN...RUNOFF FROM SNOWMELT IS EXPECTED AS
  TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S TODAY.
  SIGNIFICANT RISES ARE EXPECTED WITH MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE ON
  SOME RIVERS AND STREAMS.

* RUNOFF FROM THE SNOW MELT AND RAINFALL MAY CAUSE ICE MOVEMENT 
  AND ICE BREAK UP LEADING TO ICE JAM FLOODING ON SOME OF THE 
  RIVERS AND STREAMS...ESPECIALLY SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CAPITAL 
  DISTRICT. THE ICE JAM FLOODING THREAT WILL BE AT ITS GREATEST 
  LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ALSO...POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING OF 
  URBAN AND LOW LYING AREAS WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
984 
WGUS61 KALY 300250
FFAALY

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1050 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-301115-
/O.CON.KALY.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140331T1200Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-
NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-
WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-
EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...
FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...
WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
1050 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* THE MOHAWK VALLEY...EASTERN CATSKILLS...GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT
  INCLUDING THE SARATOGA AND GLENS FALLS AREAS...WASHINGTON
  COUNTY...TACONICS...MID HUDSON VALLEY...BERKSHIRES...NORTHWESTERN
  CONNECTICUT AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ALONG A STALLED
  FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH BRINGING A MODERATE TO HEAVY
  RAINFALL TO THE WATCH AREA. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3
  INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO AROUND 4
  INCHES POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CAPITAL DISTRICT.
  IN ADDITION TO THE RAIN...RUNOFF FROM SNOWMELT HAS OCCURRED DUE
  TO THE WARM WEATHER ON SATURDAY. SIGNIFICANT RISES ARE EXPECTED
  WITH MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE ON SOME RIVERS AND STREAMS
  PARTICULARLY TO THE EAST OF THE HUDSON RIVER INTO WESTERN NEW
  ENGLAND. ALSO...POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING OF URBAN AND LOW LYING
  AREAS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

* RUNOFF FROM THE SNOW MELT AND RAINFALL MAY CAUSE ICE MOVEMENT
  AND ICE BREAK UP LEADING TO ICE JAM FLOODING ON SOME OF THE
  RIVERS AND STREAMS...ESPECIALLY SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CAPITAL
  DISTRICT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
319 
WGUS61 KALY 300837
FFAALY

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
437 AM EDT SUN MAR 30 2014

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-302200-
/O.CON.KALY.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140331T1200Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-
NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-
WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-
EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...
FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...
WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
437 AM EDT SUN MAR 30 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* THE MOHAWK VALLEY...EASTERN CATSKILLS...GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT
  INCLUDING THE SARATOGA AND GLENS FALLS AREAS...WASHINGTON
  COUNTY...TACONICS...MID HUDSON VALLEY...BERKSHIRES...NORTHWESTERN
  CONNECTICUT AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* STEADY RAINFALL EARLY THIS MORNING HAS TAPERED OFF TO AREAS OF
  LIGHT RAIN AND SHOWERS FOR DURING THE DAY TODAY. RUNOFF FROM
  THIS MORNING/S RAINFALL HAS LED TO SHARP RISES ON RIVERS AND
  STREAMS. IN ADDITION TO THE RAIN...RUNOFF FROM SNOW MELT HAS
  OCCURRED DUE TO THE WARM WEATHER ON SATURDAY. WITH ADDITIONAL
  RAINFALL EXPECTED TODAY INTO TONIGHT...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES
  TO BE POSSIBLE ON SOME RIVERS AND STREAMS...PARTICULARLY TO THE
  EAST OF THE HUDSON RIVER INTO WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. ALSO...POOR
  DRAINAGE FLOODING OF URBAN AND LOW LYING AREAS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

* RUNOFF FROM THE SNOW MELT AND RAINFALL MAY CAUSE ICE MOVEMENT 
  AND ICE BREAK UP LEADING TO ICE JAM FLOODING ON SOME OF THE 
  RIVERS AND STREAMS...ESPECIALLY SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CAPITAL 
  DISTRICT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
261 
WGUS61 KALY 301858
FFAALY

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
258 PM EDT SUN MAR 30 2014

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-311000-
/O.CON.KALY.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140331T1200Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-
NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-
WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-
EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...
FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...
WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
258 PM EDT SUN MAR 30 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...EAST
  CENTRAL NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN VERMONT...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...IN NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHERN LITCHFIELD AND
  SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD. IN WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS... NORTHERN
  BERKSHIRE AND SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE. IN EAST CENTRAL NEW
  YORK...EASTERN ALBANY...EASTERN COLUMBIA...EASTERN DUTCHESS...
  EASTERN GREENE...EASTERN RENSSELAER...EASTERN SCHENECTADY...
  EASTERN ULSTER...MONTGOMERY...NORTHERN FULTON... NORTHERN
  SARATOGA...NORTHERN WASHINGTON...SCHOHARIE... SOUTHEAST
  WARREN...SOUTHERN FULTON...SOUTHERN HERKIMER... SOUTHERN
  SARATOGA...SOUTHERN WASHINGTON...WESTERN ALBANY... WESTERN
  COLUMBIA...WESTERN DUTCHESS...WESTERN GREENE...WESTERN
  RENSSELAER...WESTERN SCHENECTADY AND WESTERN ULSTER. IN SOUTHERN
  VERMONT...BENNINGTON...EASTERN WINDHAM AND WESTERN WINDHAM.

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* RUNOFF FROM SUNDAYS RAINFALL HAS LED TO SHARP RISES ON RIVERS
  AND STREAMS. IN ADDITION TO THE RAIN...RUNOFF FROM SNOW MELT HAS
  OCCURRED DUE TO THE WARM WEATHER ON SATURDAY. WITH ADDITIONAL
  RAINFALL EXPECTED TONIGHT...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES TO BE
  POSSIBLE ON SOME RIVERS AND STREAMS... PARTICULARLY TO THE EAST
  OF THE HUDSON RIVER INTO WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. ALSO...POOR
  DRAINAGE FLOODING OF URBAN AND LOW LYING AREAS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

* RUNOFF FROM THE SNOW MELT AND RAINFALL MAY CAUSE ICE MOVEMENT 
  AND ICE BREAK UP LEADING TO ICE JAM FLOODING ON SOME OF THE 
  RIVERS AND STREAMS...ESPECIALLY SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CAPITAL 
  DISTRICT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
487 
WGUS61 KALY 310252
FFAALY

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1052 PM EDT SUN MAR 30 2014

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-311200-
/O.CON.KALY.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140331T1200Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-
NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-
WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-
EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...
FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...
WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
1052 PM EDT SUN MAR 30 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...NORTHWESTERN
  CONNECTICUT...LITCHFIELD COUNTY. IN WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...THE
  BERKSHIRES. IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...THE CAPITAL
  REGION...MOHAWK VALLEY...LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...THE
  CATSKILLS...MID HUDSON VALLEY AND TACONICS. IN SOUTHERN
  VERMONT...THE SOUTHERN GREENS AND THE CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY.

* UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY

* RUNOFF FROM SUNDAYS RAINFALL HAS LED TO SHARP RISES ON RIVERS 
  AND STREAMS. IN ADDITION TO THE RAIN...RUNOFF FROM SNOW MELT 
  HAS OCCURRED DUE TO THE WARM WEATHER ON SATURDAY. WITH 
  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL EXPECTED TONIGHT...MINOR FLOODING 
  CONTINUES TO BE POSSIBLE ON SOME RIVERS AND STREAMS... 
  PARTICULARLY TO THE EAST OF THE HUDSON RIVER INTO WESTERN NEW 
  ENGLAND. ALSO...POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING OF URBAN AND LOW LYING 
  AREAS WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

* RUNOFF FROM THE SNOW MELT AND RAINFALL MAY CAUSE ICE MOVEMENT 
  AND ICE BREAK UP LEADING TO ICE JAM FLOODING ON SOME OF THE 
  RIVERS AND STREAMS...ESPECIALLY SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CAPITAL 
  DISTRICT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
058 
WGUS61 KALY 310540
FFAALY

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
140 AM EDT MON MAR 31 2014

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-311200-
/O.CON.KALY.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140331T1200Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-
NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-
WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-
EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...
FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...
WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
140 AM EDT MON MAR 31 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* THE MOHAWK VALLEY...EASTERN CATSKILLS...GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT
  INCLUDING THE SARATOGA AND GLENS FALLS AREAS...WASHINGTON
  COUNTY...TACONICS...MID HUDSON VALLEY...BERKSHIRES...NORTHWESTERN
  CONNECTICUT AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

* SHARP RISES HAVE OCCURRED ON RIVERS...STREAMS AND CREEKS ACROSS
  THE WATCH AREA WITH SOME MINOR FLOODING AS A RESULT OF RUNOFF
  FROM THE RAIN AND SNOW MELT OVER THE WEEKEND. ADDITIONAL
  PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR ESPECIALLY TO THE SOUTH AND OF EAST OF
  THE CAPITAL DISTRICT EARLY THIS MORNING RESULTING IN MORE
  RUNOFF.
 
* THERE IS STILL THE CHANCE FOR ICE MOVEMENT AND ICE BREAK UP
  LEADING TO ICE JAM FLOODING ON SOME OF THE RIVERS AND STREAMS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
567 
WGUS61 KALY 310809
FFAALY

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
409 AM EDT MON MAR 31 2014

NYZ038>041-043-047>053-058>060-063>065-082>084-310915-
/O.CAN.KALY.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140331T1200Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-
WESTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...
MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...
AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...WHITEHALL...
GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...
DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...
MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...
WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...
NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...NORTHVILLE...
MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...
FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH
409 AM EDT MON MAR 31 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK HAS BEEN
CANCELLED FOR THE GREATER CAPITAL DISTRICT INCLUDING THE
SARATOGA AND GLENS FALLS AREAS...WASHINGTON COUNTY...EASTERN
CATSKILLS...AND THE MOHAWK AND SCHOHARIE VALLEYS.

THE STEADY PRECIPITATION HAS COME TO AN END ACROSS THIS AREA AND
MANY RIVERS...STREAMS AND CREEKS ARE CRESTING OR HAVE CRESTED.

$$

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ054-061-066-VTZ013>015-311200-
/O.CON.KALY.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140331T1200Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-EASTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...HOOSICK FALLS...CHATHAM...PAWLING...
DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON...
BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
409 AM EDT MON MAR 31 2014

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* THE TACONICS...BERKSHIRES... LITCHFIELD HILLS AND  SOUTHERN
  VERMONT.

* UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING.

* SHARP RISES HAVE OCCURRED ON RIVERS...STREAMS AND CREEKS ACROSS
  THE WATCH AREA WITH SOME MINOR FLOODING AS A RESULT OF RUNOFF
  FROM THE RAIN AND SNOW MELT. PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF BY
  MID TO LATE MORNING.

* THERE IS STILL THE CHANCE FOR ICE MOVEMENT AND ICE BREAK UP
  LEADING TO ICE JAM FLOODING ON SOME OF THE RIVERS AND STREAMS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
574 
WGUS61 KALY 311028
FFAALY

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
628 AM EDT MON MAR 31 2014

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ054-061-066-VTZ013>015-311130-
/O.CAN.KALY.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140331T1200Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-EASTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...HOOSICK FALLS...CHATHAM...PAWLING...
DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON...
BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
628 AM EDT MON MAR 31 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR LITCHFIELD COUNTY CONNECTICUT... WESTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...THE TACONICS OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN
VERMONT HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

THE THREAT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF WIDESPREAD FLOODING HAS
DIMINISHED. THE FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED. 

$$


FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Mar 28, 1:29 PM EDT, 1 hour 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 28, 1:29 PM EDT, 1 hour 50 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
129 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
IN THE WAKE OF A WARM FRONT....MAINLY LIGHT RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGHOUT THE DAY...AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS
INTO SOUTHEAST CANADA. RAIN SHOULD END DURING THE EVENING HOURS AS
THE STORM/S COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. A DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE REGION WITH MODERATE TO
HEAVY AMOUNTS OF RAIN AND OR WINTRY PRECIPITATION OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 1230 PM EDT...OUTSIDE OF A FEW ISOLATED SPOTS WHERE
TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR FREEZING...ALL AREAS WILL CONTINUE TO CLIMB
IN TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE BALANCE OF THE AFTERNOON. COLD FRONT
WAS STILL UPSTREAM ACROSS MI/OH AND WILL TRACK TOWARD THE REGION.
THE MAIN THRUST OF MOISTURE TRANSPORT IS EXPECTED TO BE EAST OF
THE REGION WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS INDICATED BY THE
RUC/HRRR...AS ADDITIONAL SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE FRONT
APPROACHING. SO WE WILL KEEP POPS RATHER HIGH AND SLOWLY TAPER
THOSE VALUES OFF TOWARD LATE IN THE DAY.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES...DID SLOW DOWN THE DIURNAL RANGE A BIT BUT
STILL EXPECTING TO ACHIEVE HIGHS NEAR 50F FOR THE MID HUDSON
VALLEY AND MAINLY 40S ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE
THIS EVENING...WITH THE BEST CHANCE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AS THE
FLOW ALOFT BECOMES WESTERLY. SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF BY MID TO LATE
EVENING...ESPECIALLY IN NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED VALLEYS FIRST. SOME
LIMITED CLEARING IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS SOUTHEAST CANADA.
HOWEVER...THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL JUST TO OUR SOUTH AND A POTENT
DISTURBANCE WILL START TO EMERGE FROM THE SOUTHERN CONUS BY SATURDAY
MORNING. SO THERE IS SOME QUESTION AS TO HOW MUCH OR HOW LONG ANY
CLEARING TAKES PLACE.

CLOUDS WILL INCREASE AND THICKEN SATURDAY...AS THE DISTURBANCE ALOFT
STARTS TO CLOSE OFF AT 500 MB WHICH WILL ALLOW A SURFACE WAVE TO
DEVELOP ALONG THE OLD STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED TO OUR SOUTH.
THIS SHOULD RESULT IN ISENTROPIC LIFT INCREASING SUBSTANTIALLY FROM
SOUTH TO NORTH BY LATE IN THE DAY...AS THE 00Z GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT REGARDING ONSET OF PRECIP. WILL MENTION DRY CONDITIONS
SATURDAY MORNING...BUT WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE POPS DURING THE
AFTERNOON. DUE TO CLOUDS/PRECIP AND A DEVELOPING NORTHERLY
WIND...TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY WARM INTO THE 40S IN MOST AREAS.

SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY IS WHEN THE BRUNT OF THE PRECIPITATION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEEPENING CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AS IT
TRACKS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL
CONSIDERABLE SPREAD IN MODEL GUIDANCE REGARDING THE TRACK/INTENSITY
OF THE THE UPPER LEVEL LOW...WHICH HAS MAJOR IMPLICATIONS ON QPF
AMOUNTS AND THE THERMAL PROFILE. THE GFS IS DEPICTING A VERY
HEAVY PRECIP EVENT...WHILE THE ECMWF/CMC/NAM WERE SLIGHTLY TEMPERED
COMPARED TO THE GFS BUT STILL SIGNIFICANT. THE 00Z GEFS MEAN SHOWED
A HIGH PROBABILITY OF GREATER THAN AN INCH ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA...WITH A STRONG SIGNAL FOR GREATER THAN 2 INCHES ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE AREA.

THERMAL PROFILES ARE HIGHLY UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME...AS THE 00Z GFS
WAS ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE ENVELOP WHILE THE NAM WAS MUCH COLDER.
THE ECMWF WAS WARMER COMPARED TO THE NAM. LEANED TOWARDS THE WARMER
SOLUTIONS IN GENERAL...BUT ALSO FOLLOWED DIURNAL TRENDS FOR COLDER
LOW LEVEL TEMPS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING...WHICH WOULD
IMPLY SOME SORT OF A WINTRY MIX OR SNOW FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE
BEST CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BE ACROSS THE ADIRONDACK
ZONES...BUT AMOUNTS ARE HIGHLY UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. DEPENDING ON
THE THERMAL PROFILE AND POTENTIAL WARM NOSE SIGNATURE...EVEN MIXED
PRECIP IS POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAIN IS A THREAT AS WELL...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST 2/3 OF THE FORECAST AREA. THERE ARE INCREASING
CONCERNS FOR HYDRO ISSUES...PLEASE REFER TO HYDRO DISCUSSION BELOW
FOR DETAILS.

NO HEADLINES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR NOW...BUT POSSIBLE FLOOD WATCHES
AND WINTER WEATHER STATEMENTS ARE POSSIBLE ONCE CONFIDENCE LEVELS
INCREASE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AT THE START OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD...A CUTOFF LOW AND ATTENDANT
SURFACE WAVE WILL SLOWLY BE DRIFTING EASTWARD OFF THE EASTERN
SEABOARD AS UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING ATTEMPTS TO BUILD IN FROM THE GREAT
LAKES REGION. THE LONG RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO STRUGGLE HANDLING
THE EXACT TRACK OF THE SURFACE WAVE. MOST MODELS NOW SUGGEST PCPN
LINGERING INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA...ESPECIALLY AREAS SOUTHEAST OF ALBANY. EARLY SUNDAY EVENING
LIKELY POPS ARE STILL FORECAST OVER THE SE HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA...WITH CHANCE POPS NORTHWEST. THE POPS ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE
BY MONDAY MORNING TO AROUND 30 PERCENT OVER THE SOUTHEAST THIRD OF
THE REGION...AROUND 20 PERCENT OVER THE CENTRAL THIRD...AND DRY
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST THIRD. FOR MONDAY AFTN MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST IN ALL AREAS. LOWS SUNDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE MID 20S
TO MID 30S...AND IF STEADY PCPN DOES LINGER WELL INTO SUNDAY
NIGHT...SOME SNOW ACCUMULATION WOULD BE POSSIBLE OVER HIGHER TERRAIN
AREAS. HIGHS MONDAY WILL BE IN THE MID 40S TO MID 50S.

A NARROW RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING FAIR WEATHER MONDAY NIGHT
INTO MOST OF TUESDAY. LOWS MONDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. HIGHS TUESDAY IN THE UPPER 40S AND 50S.

ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC
(WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE CANADIAN BORDER) TUESDAY NIGHT. IT WILL
BRING THE THREAT OF MAINLY RAIN SHOWERS TO THE REGION AND HAVE
FORECAST POPS OF 25 TO 40 PERCENT..WITH THE HIGHEST POPS NORTH. LOWS
TUESDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE UPPER 20S AND 30S.

MAINLY FAIR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN. HIGHS WEDNESDAY WILL BE IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LOWS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE MID 20S TO MID 30S. THE FAIR WEATHER
MAY CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY...BUT ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL BE
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST...AND HAVE FORECAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
MAINLY RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S ONCE
AGAIN.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION...AN AREA OF RAIN THIS AFTERNOON
WILL TAPER OFF TO SHOWERS BY THIS EVENING. WITHIN THIS
RAINFALL...FLYING CONDITIONS WILL GENERALLY BE MVFR...BUT BRIEF
PERIODS OF IFR CIGS/VSBYS CANNOT BE RULED OUT FOR KGFL/KPSF/KALB
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. HAVE ACCOUNTED FOR THIS WITH A
TEMPO GROUP. SOUTHERLY SFC WINDS WILL BE AROUND 10 KTS...WITH A
FEW HIGHER GUSTS FOR KALB...AS AIR IS FUNNELED UP THE HUDSON
VALLEY.

THE THREAT FOR RAINFALL WILL END THIS EVENING WITH THE PASSAGE OF
THE COLD FRONT. FLYING CONDITIONS WILL STILL BE MVFR FOR A FEW
HOURS DUE TO LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE KEEPING CIGS AROUND 1-3
KFT. BY LATER TONIGHT...A DRIER W-NW FLOW AT 5-10 KTS WILL ALLOW
FOR VFR CONDITIONS TO RETURN WITH JUST SOME REMAINING SCT CLOUDS
AROUND.

LIGHT N-NE WINDS WILL BE IN PLACE FOR SATURDAY MORNING WITH NO
PRECIPITATION. HOWEVER...MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL INCREASE
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS A STORM ORGANIZES
OVER THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. SOME RAIN WILL SPREAD BACK INTO THE
REGION FROM SOUTH TO NORTH DURING THE AFTN HOURS...WITH MVFR
CONDITIONS /MAINLY DUE TO VSBYS/ EXPECTED.

OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY AFTN: HIGH OPERATIONAL IMPACT. LIKELY RA.
SATURDAY NIGHT: HIGH OPERATIONAL IMPACT. DEFINITE RA...SLEET.
SUNDAY: HIGH OPERATIONAL IMPACT. BREEZY. DEFINITE RA.
SUNDAY NIGHT: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. BREEZY. CHANCE OF
SHRA...SHSN.
MONDAY: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHRA.
MONDAY NIGHT TO WEDNESDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO FIRE WEATHER RELATED ISSUES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA IS SNOW COVERED EXCEPT
FOR PARTS OF THE CAPITAL REGION...MID HUDSON VALLEY...AND NORTHWEST
CONNECTICUT. ALSO...THE PATTERN WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY UNSETTLED
WITH ONE SYSTEM AFFECTING THE REGION WITH MIXED PRECIPITATION
CHANGING TO RAIN TODAY. THEN A STRONGER COASTAL SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO BRING MODERATE TO HEAVY AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION
OVER THE WEEKEND. SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION MAY FALL AS SNOW OR A
WINTRY MIX...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR HYDROLOGIC
ISSUES...INCLUDING RIVER ICE BREAK UP AND POSSIBLE FLOODING...OVER
THE WEEKEND.

A WARM FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO BRING
PRECIPITATION THIS MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE A WINTRY MIX
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS BEFORE CHANGING TO A PLAIN RAIN BY MID
MORNING. A COLD FRONT APPROACHING LATE IN THE DAY WILL ALLOW FOR
MAINLY LIGHT RAIN TO CONTINUE EVERYWHERE THROUGH THE DAY. QPF
AMOUNTS WILL BE HIGHEST FOR AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF THE CAPITAL
REGION...WITH OVER A HALF INCH OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT PRECIP ACROSS
THE WESTERN/SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND UPPER MOHAWK BASIN. AMOUNTS
WILL DECREASE FARTHER SOUTH...WITH ONLY A TENTH TO A THIRD OF AN
INCH FOR AREAS SOUTH OF THE CAPITAL REGION...WITH THE LOWEST AMOUNTS
IN THE MID HUDSON VALLEY AND NW CT.

THIS PRECIPITATION MAY ALLOW FOR SOME SMALL RISES ON RIVERS AND
STREAMS...BUT DOESN/T LOOK TO CAUSE ANY FLOODING. RAINFALL ACROSS
THE ADIRONDACKS SHOULD BE ABSORBED BY THE EXISTING SNOWPACK.
DESPITE TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE 40S DURING THE DAY...IT DOESN/T
LOOK TO BE A LONG ENOUGH PERIOD OF RAINFALL OR WARMTH TO BREAK UP
RIVER ICE ON LARGER RIVERS AND STREAMS. HOWEVER...SOME ICE MAY BEGIN
TO LET GO ON SMALLER CREEKS OR STREAMS...WHICH WILL HAVE TO BE
WATCHED FOR POTENTIAL SMALL ICE JAMS.

ANOTHER MORE SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST TOWARDS NEW ENGLAND FOR LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.
THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING MODERATE TO HEAVY AMOUNTS OF
PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS FROM THE CAPITAL
REGION SOUTH AND EAST...WITH SOME MODELS SHOWING ONE TO THREE INCHES
OF RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN PARTS OF THE REGION. WHILE MUCH OF
THIS WILL BE IN THE FORM OF RAINFALL...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE PRECIP TO CHANGE TO A WINTRY MIX OR SNOWFALL BEFORE
ENDING...MAINLY FOR NORTHERN AND HIGH TERRAIN AREAS.

ALTHOUGH CURRENT NERFC RIVER FORECASTS DO NOT SHOW ANY FLOODING JUST
YET...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT RISES...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE HOUSATONIC BASIN...AND SUBSEQUENT RIVER ELEVATION
FORECASTS MAY NEED TO BE INCREASED IF THE LATEST TRENDS IN MODEL
GUIDANCE ARE CORRECT. ALTHOUGH QPF AMOUNTS ARE STILL UNCERTAIN...THE
CURRENT MODEL PREDICTED RAINFALL...INCLUDING THE BULK OF THE GEFS
ENSEMBLE MEMBERS...MAY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE ICE TO BREAK UP ON LARGER
MAIN STEM RIVERS AS WELL...WHICH COULD POTENTIALLY CAUSE ICE JAMS IN
SOME LOCATIONS. WITH THE BULK OF THE RAINFALL EXPECTED TO OCCUR
SATURDAY NIGHT IN A RELATIVELY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...SOME MINOR
URBAN...LOW LYING...AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING COULD POTENTIALLY
OCCUR AS WELL. THE MOST LIKELY AREAS TO SEE ISSUES WOULD BE FROM THE
MOHAWK BASIN SOUTH AND EAST.

DRIER WEATHER LOOKS TO RETURN FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY OF NEXT
WEEK...ALLOWING RIVERS AND STREAMS TO SLOWLY RECEDE.

FOR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING OBSERVED
AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE VISIT THE
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON OUR WEBSITE.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...FRUGIS/JPV
NEAR TERM...FRUGIS/BGM/JPV
SHORT TERM...JPV
LONG TERM...GJM
AVIATION...FRUGIS
FIRE WEATHER...JPV
HYDROLOGY...FRUGIS/JPV
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 28, 10:07 AM EDT, 5 hours 12 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1007 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014

NYZ032-033-041>043-082>084-VTZ013>015-291100-
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
1007 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN
ADIRONDACKS...LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON
INTO SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING MODERATE TO
HEAVY AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION. ALTHOUGH PRECIPITATION
WILL BEGIN AS RAINFALL...IT MAY CHANGE TO A WINTRY MIX OR SNOW
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

IN ADDITION...THE RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT RISES ON RIVERS
AND STREAMS...WHICH MAY LEAD TO THE BREAK UP OF ICE ON SOME
RIVERS AND STREAMS AND POSSIBLE ICE JAMS. MINOR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>040-047>054-058>061-063>066-291100-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-
SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
1007 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND THE MOHAWK AND SCHOHARIE
VALLEYS...EASTERN CATSKILLS...HELDERBERGS...GREATER CAPITAL
REGION...MID HUDSON VALLEY...AND TACONICS OF EAST CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

A STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO
SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING MODERATE TO HEAVY
AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION...MAINLY IN THE FORM OF
RAIN. A TRANSITION TO WINTRY PRECIPITATION CANNOT BE RULED OUT FOR
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS FOR LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.

THE RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT RISES ON RIVERS AND
STREAMS...WHICH MAY LEAD TO THE BREAK UP OF ICE ON SOME RIVERS AND
STREAMS AND POSSIBLE ICE JAMS. IT APPEARS THAT AT LEAST MINOR
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 28, 10:00 AM EDT, 5 hours 19 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1000 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014

NYZ032-033-038>043-047-048-051-054-058-063-082>084-VTZ013>015-
281600-
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-
MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...
DOLGEVILLE...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...
SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
ALTAMONT...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...
NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
1000 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014

...POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

ALTHOUGH MOST AREAS HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING...A FEW POCKETS OF
SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE STILL OCCURRING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS...MOHAWK AND SCHOHARIE
VALLEYS...HELDERBERGS...LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...EASTERN
CATSKILLS...SOUTHERN VERMONT...AND NORTHERN TACONICS. THIS IS
MAINLY OCCURRING IN SHELTERED MOUNTAIN VALLEY LOCATIONS. BY
NOON...ALL AREAS SHOULD RISE ABOVE FREEZING...ENDING THE THREAT
FOR WINTRY PRECIPITATION.

ANY SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN MAY ALLOW FOR SLIPPERY
SURFACES...ESPECIALLY PARKING LOTS...DRIVEWAYS...WALKWAYS AND
SIDEWALKS. BE ESPECIALLY CAREFUL IF OUT THIS MORNING...AS ANY ICE
MAY BE DIFFICULT TO SEE.

FRUGIS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 28, 3:20 PM EDTWinter Storm WatchALYHamilton, Herkimer, Warren14 hr

Nearby

Flood Watches in New York, 2014Flood Watches in Vermont, 2014Flood Watches in Connecticut, 2014Every flood watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.