Alert archive / Alaska / Wind Advisories in 2014

Wind Advisory 20, NWS Fairbanks, AK

July 14, 2014

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this wind advisory at Jul 14, 2014, 3:27 PM AKDT. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 14, 2014, 3:27 PM AKDT (23:27 UTC)
Expired
Jul 14, 2014, 11:30 PM AKDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

388 
WWAK73 PAFG 142327
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
327 PM AKDT MON JUL 14 2014

AKZ222-150800-
/O.NEW.PAFG.WI.Y.0020.140714T2327Z-140715T0800Z/
MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...FAIRBANKS...FORT WAINWRIGHT...EIELSON AFB...ESTER...
NORTH POLE...MOOSE CREEK...TWO RIVERS...FOX...CHATANIKA...
CHENA HOT SPRINGS...SOURDOUGH CAMP
327 PM AKDT MON JUL 14 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST GUSTING UP TO 40 MPH.

* TIMING...STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING.
  GUSTS WILL DECREASE BEFORE MIDNIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED. TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS WHICH MAY
BE BLOWN ABOUT BY THE WIND. TREES COULD BLOW OVER ON POWER LINES
AS WELL. 

&&

$$
1 follow-up statement
137 
WWAK73 PAFG 150730
NPWAFG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1130 PM AKDT MON JUL 14 2014

AKZ222-150830-
/O.CAN.PAFG.WI.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-140715T0800Z/
MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...FAIRBANKS...FORT WAINWRIGHT...EIELSON AFB...ESTER...
NORTH POLE...MOOSE CREEK...TWO RIVERS...FOX...CHATANIKA...
CHENA HOT SPRINGS...SOURDOUGH CAMP
1130 PM AKDT MON JUL 14 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jul 14, 11:39 AM AKDT, 3 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 14, 11:39 AM AKDT, 3 hours 48 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1139 AM AKDT MON JUL 14 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER AIR...
CURRENT MODELS ARE INDICATING AN ACTIVE PROGRESSIVE FLOW PATTERN
OVER THE FORECAST AREAS FOR THE NEXT WEEK. A DEEP UPPER LOW
CENTER...535 DAM AT 500 MB...400 MILES NORTH OF DEADHORSE WILL
MOVE TO THE WESTERN CANADIAN ARCHIPELAGO BY WED AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE ON EASTWARD THROUGH THU. A SHORT WAVE SWINGING AROUND
THE UPPER LOW WILL SWEEP ACROSS NORTHERN ALASKA TODAY AND
TONIGHT...REACHING THE ALCAN BORDER LATE TONIGHT.

AFTER THE UPPER LOW AND SHORT WAVE EXIT TO THE EAST...NORTHERN
ALASKA WILL BE UNDER A LIGHTER WESTERLY FLOW PATTERN TUE
AFTERNOON THROUGH WED AFTERNOON...WITH A WEAK RIPPLE IN THE FLOW
SCOOTING EASTWARD ACROSS THE INTERIOR.

THE NEXT SHORT WAVE TROUGH IS NOW CENTERED OVER THE NEW SIBERIAN
ISLANDS IN RUSSIA...ABOUT 1000 MILES NORTHWEST OF BARROW. THIS
SHORT WAVE IS PROGGED TO STRENGTHEN INTO A DEEPENING UPPER LOW
CENTER OVER THE WESTERN BEAUFORT SEA BY WED AFTERNOON...WITH A
TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE CHUKCHI SEA. THIS UPPER LOW
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO ABOUT 200 MILES NORTH OF BARROW BY THU
AFTERNOON...USING A MEAN POSITION OF THE GFS AND ECMWF PROGS.

BY SAT AFTERNOON...MODEL SOLUTIONS DIVERGE BUT BOTH SUGGEST
A LONG WAVE THROUGH POSITION OVER NORTHERN ALASKA. A COOL
MOIST WESTERLY FLOW APPEARS LIKELY OVER NORTHERN ALASKA
FOR DAYS 5-7.

SURFACE...
A 999 MB LOW 350 MILES NORTH OF DEADHORSE WILL MOVE TO 200 MILES
NORTH OF BANKS ISLAND BY TUE AFTERNOON...THEN REMAINING NEARLY
STATIONARY THROUGH WED AFTERNOON. A 996 MB LOW OVER EAST CENTRAL
SIBERIA...ABOUT 700 MILES WEST OF WRANGEL ISLAND...DEEPENING TO
A 998 MB CENTER ABOUT 50-75 MILES NORTH OF WAINWRIGHT BY WED
AFTERNOON. GFS AND ECMWF POSITIONS AND CENTRAL PRESSURE FAIRLY
CLOSE AT 00Z THU...WILL GO WITH MEAN POSITION. THIS LOW CENTER
LIKELY TO DEEPEN A FEW MB AND MOVE A LITTLE FARTHER EAST BY THU
AFTERNOON...BUT THERE IS MORE SPREAD IN MODEL POSITIONS.
BRISK WINDS...INITIALLY WEST THEN SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST...
LIKELY ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST AS THE LOW TRACKS EASTWARD
ACROSS THE BEAUFORT SEA. BRISK WINDS WITH THIS SYSTEM LIKELY
BEGINNING ON THE NORTHWEST COAST AND ADJACENT MARINE AREAS
LATE WED NIGHT...THEN SPREADING EASTWARD.

EASTWARD MOVING WEATHER FRONT AND BAND OF MOIST AIR
IS GENERATING RAIN OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PARTS OF THE
WESTERN INTERIOR...NULATO HILLS...AND CENTRAL/WESTERN BROOKS
RANGE.RAIN SPREADING ACROSS MOST OF THE EASTERN INTERIOR AND
BROOKS RANGE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...
WILL NEED TO MONITOR POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED SURF AND BEACH
EROSION ALONG THE NORTHWEST COAST FROM WAINWRIGHT TO CAPE
LISBURNE DUE TO BRISK WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED.
THE FETCH FOR WESTERLY WINDS IS QUITE LONG BUT BECOMES
CONSIDERABLY LESS FOR NORTHWEST WINDS...CURRENT ICE GRIDS
HAVE THE ICE EDGE EXTENDING FROM NORTH OF WAINWRIGHT WESTWARD
TO SOUTH OF WRANGEL ISLAND.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
MIN RH REMAINING ABOVE 30 PERCENT. WETTING RAINS EXPECTED
OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL/EASTERN INTERIOR AND BROOKS RANGE
OVER THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN PARTS OF THE WESTERN INTERIOR.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
1-2 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER THE NORTHERN NULATO HILLS
SINCE SUN. 1-2 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED OVER THE KOKRINE
HILLS AND NORTHERN KUSKOKWIM MOUNTAINS THROUGH TUE. LOCAL
AMOUNTS TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE. A SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS. WHILE RAIN HAS ALSO OCCURRED
OVER THE FLATLAND AREAS IN THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN PARTS OF THE
WESTERN INTERIOR...NO FLOOD ISSUES ARE EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS
ALTHOUGH GENERAL RISES ON THE LARGER RIVERS WILL LIKELY EVENTUALLY
OCCUR. IN THE MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY...ABOUT AN INCH OF RAIN IS
EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
IN TOPOGRAPHICALLY FAVORABLE AREAS. THIS SHOULD PRODUCE ELEVATED
RIVER STAGES BUT NO FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.
SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY...AKZ210-AKZ212-AKZ216-AKZ221-AKZ227.

&&

RF JUL 14

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 14, 11:06 AM AKDT, 4 hours 21 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1106 AM AKDT MON JUL 14 2014

AKZ222>224-151400-
MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY-DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND THE FORTYMILE COUNTRY-
INCLUDING...FAIRBANKS...FORT WAINWRIGHT...EIELSON AFB...ESTER...
NORTH POLE...MOOSE CREEK...TWO RIVERS...FOX...CHATANIKA...
CHENA HOT SPRINGS...SOURDOUGH CAMP...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...
FORT GREELY...HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...
HEALY LAKE...TOK...TANACROSS...EAGLE...TETLIN...NORTHWAY...
ALCAN...CHICKEN...BOUNDARY
1106 AM AKDT MON JUL 14 2014

...MORE RAIN AND HIGH WATER LEVELS EXPECTED ON AREA RIVERS...

A WEATHER FRONT WILL SWEEP EASTWARD ACROSS THE INTERIOR TODAY AND
TUESDAY. RAIN WILL SPREAD INTO THE FAIRBANKS AREA THIS AFTERNOON
AND PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 1 INCH
ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE REGION WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN NORTH AND EAST OF FAIRBANKS...INCLUDING
THE CHENA...CHATANIKA...AND SALCHA RIVER BASINS.

SOILS ACROSS THE AREA ARE STILL SATURATED AND GROUNDWATER LEVELS
REMAIN HIGH DUE TO THE VERY WET WEATHER DURING THE PAST FEW WEEKS.
THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO RUNOFF INTO THE LOCAL
RIVERS AND RESULT IN HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS ONCE
AGAIN THIS WEEK...INCLUDING THE CHENA...CHATANIKA...AND SALCHA
RIVERS. FLOODING IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME BUT MOST GRAVEL
BARS WILL BE COVERED AND THERE MAY BE INCREASED DEBRIS MOVING
DOWNRIVER.

EWP
Special weather statement, Jul 14, 11:06 AM AKDT, 4 hours 21 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1106 AM AKDT MON JUL 14 2014

AKZ222>224-151400-
MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY-DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS-
UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND THE FORTYMILE COUNTRY-
INCLUDING...FAIRBANKS...FORT WAINWRIGHT...EIELSON AFB...ESTER...
NORTH POLE...MOOSE CREEK...TWO RIVERS...FOX...CHATANIKA...
CHENA HOT SPRINGS...SOURDOUGH CAMP...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...
FORT GREELY...HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...
HEALY LAKE...TOK...TANACROSS...EAGLE...TETLIN...NORTHWAY...
ALCAN...CHICKEN...BOUNDARY
1106 AM AKDT MON JUL 14 2014

...MORE RAIN AND HIGH WATER EXPECTED ON AREA RIVERS...

A WEATHER FRONT WILL SWEEP EASTWARD ACROSS THE INTERIOR TODAY AND
TUESDAY. RAIN WILL SPREAD INTO THE FAIRBANKS AREA THIS AFTERNOON
AND PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 1 INCH
ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE REGION WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN NORTH AND EAST OF FAIRBANKS...INCLUDING
THE CHENA...CHATANIKA...AND SALCHA RIVER BASINS.

SOILS ACROSS THE AREA ARE STILL SATURATED AND GROUNDWATER LEVELS
REMAIN HIGH DUE TO THE VERY WET WEATHER DURING THE PAST FEW WEEKS.
THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO RUNOFF INTO THE LOCAL
RIVERS AND RESULT IN HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS ONCE
AGAIN THIS WEEK...INCLUDING THE CHENA...CHATANIKA...AND SALCHA
RIVERS. FLOODING IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME BUT MOST GRAVEL
BARS WILL BE COVERED AND THERE MAY BE INCREASED DEBRIS MOVING
DOWNRIVER.

EWP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 14, 3:04 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG59 hr
Jul 14, 9:42 AM AKDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAFG36 hr
Jul 14, 1:07 PM AKDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAFG24 hr
Jul 14, 2:17 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG4 days

Nearby

Wind Advisories in Alaska, 2014Every wind advisory in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.