Red Flag Warning 26, NWS Fairbanks, AK

773 
WWAK63 PAFG 142209
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
209 PM AKDT SAT JUN 14 2014

AKZ218-150600-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-140615T0600Z/
SOUTHEASTERN BROOKS RANGE-
209 PM AKDT SAT JUN 14 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 218...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 218.

* WIND...NORTHEAST GUSTING TO 25 MPH

* HUMIDITY...DROPPING TO 20%.

* HIGHEST THREAT...IS LOCATED EAST OF THE PIPELINE.

* TIMING...RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL END ABOUT 10PM TONIGHT 
           AS HUMIDITIES RISE AND WINDS DECREASE.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

AKZ220-150600-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-140615T0600Z/
YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS-
209 PM AKDT SAT JUN 14 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 220...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 220.

* WIND...NORTHEAST GUSTING TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...15 TO 25%.

* TIMING...RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL END ABOUT 10PM TONIGHT 
           AS HUMIDITIES RISE AND WINDS DECREASE.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR WILL
OCCUR WHICH COULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE AND DANGEROUS
FIRES. IT IS DIRECTED TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM...
TO THE PUBLIC.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

496 
WWAK63 PAFG 150519
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
919 PM AKDT SAT JUN 14 2014

AKZ218-220-150630-
/O.CAN.PAFG.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-140615T0600Z/
SOUTHEASTERN BROOKS RANGE-YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS-
919 PM AKDT SAT JUN 14 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR STRONG WINDS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 218 AND 220...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING.

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
415 AM AKDT SAT JUN 14 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN ALASKA INTERIOR WILL BUILD A
LITTLE THROUGH SUN...RIDGE AXIS WILL MOVE NORTHWARD TO THE ARCTIC
COAST BY MON AFTERNOON AND NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COAST MON NIGHT.
LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL PERSIST OVER THE CHUKCHI AND BERING SEAS
THROUGH MON NIGHT. AN UPPER LOW NORTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD THROUGH SAT...THEN TRACK EASTWARD TO THE
NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA BY TUESDAY MORNING...UNDERCUTTING THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND SHIFTING THE FLOW ALOFT FROM SOUTHEASTERLY
TO EASTERLY. A WEAKENING SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE INTERIOR SAT NIGHT INTO SUN. CURRENT MODEL RUNS IN GENERALLY
GOOD AGREEMENT OUT THROUGH SUN NIGHT.

A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COAST WILL REMAIN
IN PLACE THROUGH SUN...WITH NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS CONTINUING
ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST. LOW STRATUS COVERS THE WEST COAST FROM
LONELY WESTWARD...AND OFFSHORE FATHER TO THE EAST. THE EASTWARD
SPREAD OF THE STRATUS WILL BE VERY SLOW. A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDING FROM GALENA TO NORTHWAY THEN SOUTHEAST INTO CANADA WILL
SHIFT SLOWLY...EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHWEST INTERIOR TO NORTHWAY
AND EASTWARD INTO CANADA BY TUE AFTERNOON. AN OCCLUDED FRONT
MOVING ONSHORE ALONG THE EASTERN NORTH GULF COAST HAS SPREAD
CONSIDERABLE MOISTURE AND OVERCAST CLOUD COVER IN THE SOUTHERN AND
WESTERN INTERIOR. RAIN OR SHOWERS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE
ALASKA RANGE EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 0.25 TO 1 INCH.

THE MOST UNSTABLE AIR THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE IN THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN INTERIOR...ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN PERIMETER
OF THE UPPER RIDGE. SURFACE HEATING WILL BE LIMITED BY OVERCAST
CLOUD COVER. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS BE WILL POSSIBLE...BUT ACTIVITY
SHOULD BE MINIMAL. THE 12Z FAIRBANKS RAOB SHOWS LITTLE POTENTIAL
FOR THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WITH DRY LOWER LAYERS AND ONLY ABOUT 60
JOULES OF PREDICTED CAPE FOR THE AFTERNOON. A SIMILAR PATTERN FOR
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED SUN. FOR MON AND TUE...INCREASED
INSTABILITY AND AN INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED
AS THE UPPER LOW LEVEL OVER THE INTERIOR BECOMES MORE
SOUTHEASTERLY. ECMWF IS MORE BULLISH THAN THE GFS OR NAM ON QPF
AMOUNTS AND COVERAGE IN THE WESTERN INTERIOR SUN INTO MON.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
LOWEST AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES WILL BE IN THE NORTHEAST INTERIOR...
MIN RH COULD BE AS LOW AS 20 PERCENT IN ZONE 220. MIN RH TODAY
IN ZONE 219 LIKELY TO BE SOMEWHAT HIGHER AS MOISTURE HAS
INFILTRATED INTO THAT AREA. SURFACE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
KOYUKUK RIVER BASIN COULD SEE A HALF INCH OR MORE OF RAIN THR0UGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK WHICH COULD MAKE ITS WAY DOWN TO THE HUSLIA AREA
BY THE MIDDLE OF THE NEXT WEEK. RISES ARE EXPECTED ON SMALL
STREAMS DRAINING OUT OF THE ALASKA RANGE AS SHOWER ACTIVITY
CONTINUES...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 0.25 TO 1 INCH EXPECTED THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220.
&&

JUN 14