Gale Warning 50, NWS Fairbanks, AK

469 
FZAK69 PAFG 071208
OFFAFG

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
408 AM AKDT SUN SEP 7 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE US ARCTIC WATERS

SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF
THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
TWICE AS HIGH.

PKZ599-080015-
408 AM AKDT SUN SEP 7 2014

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC WATERS...
A 1028 MB HIGH OVER THE EASTERN ARCTIC COAST WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST
TODAY. A COLD FRONT IN THE WESTERN CHUKCHI SEA WILL MOVE TO 300
NM NORTH OF DEMARCATION POINT TO BARROW TO CAPE LISBURNE BY 4PM
MON AND THEN MOVE EAST TO LIE ALONG THE ARCTIC COST OF ALASKA BY TUE.

$$

PKZ500-080015-
WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
408 AM AKDT SUN SEP 7 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ505-080015-
CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
408 AM AKDT SUN SEP 7 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ510-080015-
EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
408 AM AKDT SUN SEP 7 2014

.TODAY...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG.
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

SEP 14

057 
FZAK69 PAFG 072208
OFFAFG

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
208 PM AKDT SUN SEP 7 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE US ARCTIC WATERS

SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF
THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
TWICE AS HIGH.

PKZ599-081200-
208 PM AKDT SUN SEP 7 2014

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC WATERS...
A 1028 MB HIGH OVER NORTHEAST ALASKA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
SOUTHEAST TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT IN THE WESTERN CHUKCHI SEA WILL
MOVE EAST TO LIE ALONG A LINE 200 NM NORTHWEST OF A BARROW TO
100 NM EAST OF WRANGELL ISLAND THIS EVENING AND THEN MOVE EAST TO
LIE ALONG THE ARCTIC COST OF ALASKA MONDAY MORNING.

$$

PKZ500-081200-
WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
208 PM AKDT SUN SEP 7 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT.
.MON...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG.
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ505-081200-
CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
208 PM AKDT SUN SEP 7 2014

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT.
.MON...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG.
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ510-081200-
EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
208 PM AKDT SUN SEP 7 2014

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

CCC/JL SEP 14

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1203 PM AKDT SAT SEP 6 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS INITIALIZED WELL AND CONTINUE TO PROVIDE SIMILAR SOLUTIONS
FOR THE SHORT TERM AND MID TERM BUT DISPLAY CONSIDERABLE
DIFFERENCES IN THE LONG TERM IN BOTH POSITION AND STRENGTH OF A
DEEP LOW PROGGED TO MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. MODELS CONTINUE TO HAVE POSITION AND
STRENGTH PROBLEMS INCORPORATING REMNANTS OF TROPICAL SYSTEM NOW
FORMING SOUTH OF JAPAN INTO BAROCLINIC LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN
ISLANDS THURSDAY AND HOW FAST AND DEEP THE HYBRID LOW WILL WILL
FORM IN THE BERING SEA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...CONTINUE TO MONITOR
FOR POTENTIAL BERING SEA STORM BY THE END OF UPCOMING WEEK.

NICE FALL WEATHER HAS SETTLED OVER THE WEST COAST AS WELL AS THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL INTERIOR WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT
WINDS AS A 1025 MB HIGH OVER THE NORTHEAST PART OF THE STATE
SLOWLY DRIFTS TO THE SOUTHEAST. RAIN CONTINUES IN THE SOUTHEAST
INTERIOR WITH SNOW FALLING ABOVE 5000 FEET IN THE EASTERN ALASKA
RANGE. STORM TOTAL PRECIP ALREADY OVER 1 INCH ALONG THE SOUTHERN
FACES OF THE ALASKA RANGE WITH WITH RAIN ONE HALF TO ONE INCH
COMMON ALONG THE NORTH FACES...AROUND HALF AND INCH HAS FALLEN IN
THE UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND SOUTHERN FORTY MILE COUNTRY. STORM
TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE NEARLY 2 INCHES ON THE SOUTHERN
FACES OF THE ALASKA RANGE AND THE 1 TO 2 INCH RANGE ON THE
NORTHERN FACES OF THE EASTERN ALASKA RANGE WITH AROUND AND 1 INCH
EXPECTED IN THE UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND FORTY MILE COUNTRY WITH
THE PRECIP TAPERING OFF ON SUNDAY. SNOW LEVELS WILL FALL TO PASS
LEVEL TONIGHT WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOWFALL EXPECTED.

MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS TODAY OVER THE WESTERN NORTH SLOPE HOWEVER
ON SHORE FLOW OVER THE EASTERN NORTH SLOPE HAS BROUGHT A RETURN TO
LOW STRATUS...FOG AND FLURRIES.

A SHORTWAVE ROTATING AROUND AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE POLE
SWEEPS EAST AND TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO
SMALL CRAFT LEVELS ALONG THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH SLOPE
COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT. WINDS WILL WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE IN
THE OFF SHORE WATERS TONIGHT.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
CONTINUE TO MONITOR ONGOING PRECIP EVENT IN THE EASTERN ALASKA
RANGE FOR RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND RIVER...SNOW AT ELEVATION IS
EXPECTED TO LIMIT RAPID STREAM RESPONSE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235.
&&

CCC SEP 14