Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2014
Storm Warning 56, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Feb 22, 2014, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 22, 2014, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 23, 2014, 4:00 AM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
978 FZAK52 PAFC 221231 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-230300- 400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 963 MB LOW 250 NM NORTHWEST OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO 290 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA AT 972 MB SUN NIGHT. A SERIES OF WEAK LOWS WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHWEST ALONG A STATIONARY WEATHER FRONT OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ150-230300- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT W OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 35 KT. W OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT EXCEPT 12 FT W OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ155-230300- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SE 35 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E. SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 17 FT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ160-230300- BRISTOL BAY 400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. $$ PKZ165-230300- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT EXCEPT 10 FT FROM PORT MOLLER E. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT EXCEPT E 35 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 6 FT EXCEPT 12 FT FROM PORT MOLLER E. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ170-230300- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE 400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ171-230300- UNALASKA BAY 400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ172-230300- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE 400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ173-230300- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE 400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ174-230300- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE 400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ175-230300- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE 400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ176-230300- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE 400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ177-230300- ADAK TO KISKA 400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ178-230300- KISKA TO ATTU 400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 25 KT E OF SHEMYA. SEAS 20 FT BERING SIDE...15 FT PACIFIC SIDE. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY FROM SHEMYA W. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ179-230300- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS 400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ180-230300- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT 400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM CAPE NEWENHAM S...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .TUE AND WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. $$ PKZ181-230300- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND 400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. .TUE AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. $$ PKZ185-230300- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 35 KT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 35 KT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. .TUE AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. $$
2 follow-up statements
066 FZAK52 PAFC 230010 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-231500- 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 964 MB LOW 240 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 360 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA AT 982 MB MON AFTERNOON. A SERIES OF WEAK LOWS WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHWEST ALONG A STATIONARY WEATHER FRONT OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON. A 994 MB LOW 600 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO 320 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR AT 989 MB MON AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ150-231500- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ155-231500- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 17 FT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT NW 20 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ160-231500- BRISTOL BAY 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONGER GUSTS 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. $$ PKZ165-231500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT E 40 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ170-231500- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ171-231500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ172-231500- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ173-231500- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ174-231500- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ175-231500- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ176-231500- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ177-231500- ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ178-231500- KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ179-231500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING TO 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ180-231500- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 60 KT NEAR HEADLANDS AND OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONGER GUSTS 60 KT NEAR HEADLANDS AND OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. $$ PKZ181-231500- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. PATCHY FOG. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. .MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. $$ PKZ185-231500- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 35 KT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 25 KT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. PATCHY FOG. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. .TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. $$
727 FZAK52 PAFC 231200 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 23 2014 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-240300- 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 23 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 968 MB LOW 285 NM N OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 360 NM NW OF SHEMYA AT 986 MB BY TUE MORNING. A SERIES OF WEAK LOWS WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHWEST ALONG A STATIONARY WEATHER FRONT OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. A 995 MB LOW WILL FORM 170 NM E OF COLD BAY MON MORNING AND MOVE INLAND NEAR CAPE NEWENHAM AT 1002 MB MON NIGHT. A 987 MB LOW 215 NM SW OF SHEMYA MON MORNING WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE WESTERN BERING TUE MORNING. $$ PKZ150-240300- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 23 2014 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ155-240300- SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 23 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT EXCEPT 25 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT W 20 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E. SEAS 12 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ160-240300- BRISTOL BAY 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 23 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES DIMINISHING TO E 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. $$ PKZ165-240300- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 23 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT SW 20 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ170-240300- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 23 2014 .TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ171-240300- UNALASKA BAY 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 23 2014 .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ172-240300- CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 23 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ173-240300- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 23 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ174-240300- NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 23 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ175-240300- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 23 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ176-240300- SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 23 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE AND WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ177-240300- ADAK TO KISKA 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 23 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ178-240300- KISKA TO ATTU 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 23 2014 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ179-240300- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 23 2014 .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. DENSE FOG. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ180-240300- KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 23 2014 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. $$ PKZ181-240300- NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 23 2014 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. PATCHY FOG. .MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. $$ PKZ185-240300- SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 AM AKST SUN FEB 23 2014 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 40 KT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. PATCHY FOG. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. $$ JM
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Feb 21, 2:00 PM AKST, 14 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 21, 2:00 PM AKST, 14 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKST FRI FEB 21 2014
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A STORM IN THE CENTRAL BERING IS USHERING IN A NEW LONGWAVE PATTERN.
A RIDGE IS AMPLIFYING AND MOVING INTO MAINLAND ALASKA FROM THE SOUTH.
AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER TROUGH IS DEEPENING OVER THE BERING SEA.
BETWEEN THESE FEATURES IS A 125 KT SOUTHERLY JET FEEDING SUBTROPICAL
MOISTURE TO A 964 MB LOW AND FRONTAL SYSTEM CURRENTLY IMPACTING THE
ALASKA PENINSULA AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA. SNOW IS CURRENTLY FALLING
THROUGHOUT BRISTOL BAY AND THE SOUTHERN KUSKOKWIM DELTA.
HOWEVER...WARM AIR IS SURGING NORTHWARD AND WILL BE CREATING AN
INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE THERMAL PROFILE FOR FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THESE
AREAS THIS EVENING. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
FRONT IS QUICKLY INCREASING WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN BERING
SEA AND SOUTHWEST MAINLAND. MEANWHILE...SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA IS
EXPERIENCING A SLOW INCREASE IN UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS AS THE BERING
SYSTEM EXPANDS NORTHWARD. KODIAK ISLAND AND THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE
KENAI PENINSULA ARE THE ONLY LOCATIONS SEEING PRECIPITATION FROM THE
FRONT...WHICH WILL LIKELY CONTINUE AS THE FRONT STALLS THIS EVENING.
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD OVERALL AGREEMENT ON THE LARGE-SCALE PATTERN
SHIFT. THE 12Z NAM HAD BEEN TOO AGGRESSIVE BRINGING REMNANT FRONTAL
PRECIPITATION INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND UPPER COOK INLET THIS
EVENING...AND THE 18Z NAM HAS COME CLOSER INTO LINE WITH THE DRIER
ECMWF/GFS SOLUTIONS. AS THE FRONT REMAINS STALLED JUST OFF THE COAST
OF THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND THIS WEEKEND THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES
WITH THE TIMING AND STRENGTH OF FAIRLY WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATIONS THAT
WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE FRONT. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT IMPACT OF
THESE MODEL DIFFERENCES WILL BE IN HOW STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE
ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND AND THE BRISTOL BAY AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY. WEAK FEATURES IN FAST FLOW IS A COMMON SETUP FOR THE MODELS
TO STRUGGLE WITH...AND WILL OPT FOR A CONSENSUS-BASED APPROACH FOR
THE FORECAST WHICH WILL BE FAIRLY SIMILAR TO THE 12Z GFS.
.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND WILL REMAIN LARGELY INSULATED
FROM THE EFFECTS OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER OUT WEST. AS MENTIONED
ABOVE...KODIAK ISLAND AND TO A LESSER EXTENT THE SOUTHERN END OF THE
KENAI PENINSULA WILL SEE SEVERAL ROUNDS OF PRECIPITATION OVER THE
COMING DAYS...WITH THE MOST SIGNIFICANT BEING A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL OVER KODIAK ISLAND ON SUNDAY. THE REST OF
THE AREA WILL SEE MORE SUNSHINE THAN RECENT DAYS AS WELL AS DAILY
INCREASES IN TEMPERATURES...EVENTUALLY BECOMING WARMER THAN NORMAL BY
THE START OF THE WEEK.
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...THE BIG CHALLENGE IS PRECIPITATION TYPE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT MOVING ONSHORE THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES
ARE CURRENTLY COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT ALL-SNOW AS FAR SOUTH AS KING
SALMON...THOUGH THIS WILL ALL BE CHANGING AS WARM AIR SURGES
NORTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON. THE THERMAL PROFILE WILL EVENTUALLY SUPPORT
FREEZING RAIN AND THEN EVENTUALLY RAIN...BUT THE BIG QUESTION IS IF
THIS WILL HAPPEN IN TIME FOR APPRECIABLE AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION TO
FALL AND HAVE AN IMPACT. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THERE WILL LIKELY
BE A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN NORTH AND WEST OF
DILLINGHAM LATE THIS AFTERNOON...TRANSITIONING UP INTO THE DELTA
DURING THE EVENING. WHILE CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TOWARD MORNING
STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL REMAIN AND CONTINUE THROUGHOUT MUCH OF
THE WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST AND AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
THE ALEUTIAN RANGE.
BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE 40S OVER
THE EASTERN HALF OF THE ALEUTIANS AS DEEP MOISTURE TRANSPORT IS
LEADING TO HEAVY RAINFALL RATES OVER THE AREA. THE 964 MB LOW IN THE
SOUTHERN BERING WILL MOVE NORTHWEST TOWARD RUSSIA BY SUNDAY. THIS
WILL LEAVE MOST OF THE REGION IN A FAIRLY SHOWERY PATTERN WITH
COLDEST TEMPERATURES OVER THE WESTERN BERING AND WARMEST TEMPERATURES
IN THE EAST. A FAIRLY NARROW BAND OF STRONG WINDS AND RAINFALL WILL
PERSIST OVER THE EASTERN BERING AS THE RIDGE OVER THE MAINLAND HALTS
ANY PROGRESSION IN THE LONGWAVE PATTERN WELL INTO NEXT WEEK.
.LONG TERM FORECAST...
LONG RANGE MODELS SUGGEST THE NEW PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP THE MAINLAND IN ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS INLAND...WHILE THE
EASTERN BERING AND KODIAK ISLAND REMAINS THE SCENE OF ACTIVE WEATHER.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY 155
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY 161
MARINE...STORM 185
GALE 120 130 131 132 136 137 138 150 155 160 165 170 173 174
175 176 178 179 180 181 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE
AMD FEB 14The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Feb 21, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Feb 21, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 6 days | |
| Feb 21, 4:00 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Feb 22, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 3 days | |
| Feb 22, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Feb 22, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Feb 22, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 5 days | |
| Feb 22, 4:00 AM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 24 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.