Storm Warning 54, NWS Anchorage, AK

202 
FZAK52 PAFC 220006
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 21 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-221500-
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 21 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 967 MB LOW 130 NM NORTHEAST OF ADAK WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN TO 973 MB
400 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA SUN AFTERNOON. A SERIES OF WEAK LOWS WILL MOVE
TO THE NORTHWEST ALONG A STATIONARY WEATHER FRONT OVER THE EASTERN
BERING SEA THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-221500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 21 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 

$$

PKZ155-221500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 21 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SE WIND
30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-221500-
BRISTOL BAY
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 21 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 30 KT. 

$$

PKZ165-221500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 21 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT
W OF PORT MOLLER. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT E 35 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E.
SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-221500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 21 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-221500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 21 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.

.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-221500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 21 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-221500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 21 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-221500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 21 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-221500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 21 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-221500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 21 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-221500-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 21 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-221500-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 21 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 16
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-221500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 21 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-221500-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 21 2014

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 45 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ181-221500-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 21 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  PATCHY
FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ185-221500-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 21 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE 35 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT.  

$$

978 
FZAK52 PAFC 221231
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-230300-
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 963 MB LOW 250 NM NORTHWEST OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO 290 NM NORTHWEST
OF SHEMYA AT 972 MB SUN NIGHT. A SERIES OF WEAK LOWS WILL MOVE TO THE
NORTHWEST ALONG A STATIONARY WEATHER FRONT OVER THE EASTERN BERING
SEA THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-230300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT W OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. W OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING
VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT EXCEPT 12 FT W OF
CHIRIKOF ISLAND. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-230300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SE 35 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS
E. SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 17 FT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-230300-
BRISTOL BAY
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-230300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT EXCEPT 10 FT FROM PORT
MOLLER E. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT EXCEPT E 35 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS
6 FT EXCEPT 12 FT FROM PORT MOLLER E. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING
TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-230300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-230300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-230300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-230300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-230300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-230300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-230300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-230300-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-230300-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 25 KT E OF SHEMYA. SEAS 20 FT BERING
SIDE...15 FT PACIFIC SIDE. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY FROM SHEMYA W. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-230300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-230300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM CAPE
NEWENHAM S...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.   

$$

PKZ181-230300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY
FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY
FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY
FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 25 KT.   

$$

PKZ185-230300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 22 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO
30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 35 KT.
AREAS OF FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 35 KT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  AREAS OF
FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. 

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
145 PM AKST THU FEB 20 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A DECAYING UPPER LOW REMAINS OVER UPPER SOUTHERN ALASKA THIS
MORNING...CONTINUING AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW MAINLY AROUND COOK INLET. A
SURFACE LOW HAS SPUN UP IN THE NORTHWEST GULF WITH A SMALL BUT
IMPRESSIVE CIRCULATION NOTED ON RADAR IMAGERY. THE VAST MAJORITY OF
THE VIGOROUS SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW IS REMAINING
OFFSHORE...BARELY BRUSHING THE COAST NEAR CORDOVA. THE MAIN IMPACT
FROM THIS LOW HAS BEEN AN UPTICK OF OUTFLOW GAP WINDS ALONG THE COAST
FROM SEWARD TO WHITTIER AND ON TO THOMPSON PASS. OUT WEST...THE
ANTICIPATED AMPLIFICATION OF THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IS WELL UNDERWAY
AT THIS TIME...WITH INCREASINGLY MERIDIONAL FLOW USHERING WARMER AIR
INTO THE EASTERN BERING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND. A PAIR OF
SMALL YET IMPACTFUL LOWS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE REGION. THE
FIRST...CURRENTLY WEST OF SHEMYA...BROUGHT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW TO
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS OVERNIGHT. CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED
SIGNIFICANTLY AS THE STRONGEST WINDS AND SNOWFALL HAVE MOVED OUT INTO
THE PACIFIC. THE SECOND SYSTEM CROSSED INTO THE SOUTHERN BERING
OVERNIGHT AND IS NOW WEAKENING SOUTHWEST OF THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS. AN
ASSOCIATED FRONT BROUGHT STRONG WINDS AND A SHORT PERIOD OF HEAVY
PRECIPITATION TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA. FURTHER
NORTH...THE COMBINATION OF ENTRENCHED COLD AIR AND THIS FRONT IS
PRODUCING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AROUND THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS WHICH WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT AND OVERALL FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE. THERE ARE A FEW DIFFERENCES WITH THE
TIMING OF THE FRONT MOVING INTO KODIAK ISLAND TONIGHT AS WELL AS THE
STRENGTH OF A WAVE THAT RIDES NORTHWARD ALONG A FRONTAL ZONE AND INTO
THE ALASKA PENINSULA ON SATURDAY NIGHT. FOR BOTH ISSUES THE ECMWF HAS
BEEN THE MOST CONSISTENT AND ALSO REPRESENTS A MIDDLE-GROUND BETWEEN
SOME OF THE OTHER MODEL SOLUTIONS. THUS THE ECMWF WILL BE USED TO
UPDATE THE FORECAST ON BOTH DOMAINS WITH THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE. THE
MOST SIGNIFICANT NET EFFECT WILL BE TO STRENGTHEN THE LOW MOVING UP
TOWARD THE ALASKA PENINSULA SATURDAY NIGHT.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...THE BIG QUESTION IS HOW LONG LOW CLOUDS AND FLURRIES
LINGER AROUND SOUTHCENTRAL...AND ESPECIALLY COOK INLET...TONIGHT.
ASSUMING A FEW BREAKS OF LATE SUN BY THIS EVENING...THINKING THERE
WILL BE A DECENT SHOT AT FOG FORMATION THIS EVENING AS THE ATMOSPHERE
WARMS AND BECOMES MORE STABLE AT ALL LEVELS. WORKING AGAINST THIS
WILL BE A GRADUALLY INCREASING NORTHERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT...BUT
STILL THINK SOME PATCHY FOG IS LIKELY ESPECIALLY AROUND ANCHORAGE. IN
TERMS OF MORE ACTIVE WEATHER...KODIAK ISLAND WILL BE THE CENTER OF
ATTENTION AS A WEAK FRONT MAKES SLOW NORTHWARD PROGRESS THIS EVENING.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMING...BUT STILL THINK THERE WILL BE ENOUGH
COLD AIR TO RESULT IN AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW. THIS FRONT WILL BE THE
FIRST IN A SERIES OF FRONTS THAT WILL ALL STALL IN THE VICINITY OF
KODIAK ISLAND OVER THE COMING DAYS...BRINGING NOTABLY WET WEATHER
THAT WILL FALL IN THE FORM OF RAIN BEGINNING THIS WEEKEND.

SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...THICKENING CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD INLAND
TONIGHT EVEN AS SURFACE WINDS BECOME INCREASINGLY OFFSHORE. PRECIP
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAKENING FRONT IN THE BERING WILL HAVE A HARD
TIME MAKING PROGRESS INLAND TONIGHT...BUT A MUCH MORE SUBSTANTIAL
FRONT FRI NIGHT NOW APPEARS IT WILL BE ABLE TO PUSH PRECIP INTO MUCH
OF THE AREA BY SATURDAY MORNING. WHILE PRECIP WILL BEGIN AS
SNOW...SIGNIFICANT WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW A MIX OR CHANGEOVER
TO RAIN AT MANY LOCATIONS. THE BIGGEST IMPACT FROM THE UPCOMING
PATTERN CHANGE WILL BE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT OVER THE AREA. THIS WILL RESULT IN AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF
STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
THE ALEUTIAN RANGE. AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS LIKE STRONG LOW-LEVEL
TEMPERATURE INVERSIONS WILL HELP KEEP THE STRONGEST CORE OF WINDS AT
THESE ELEVATED LOCATIONS...BUT THIS WILL BE WATCHED CLOSELY IN FUTURE
MODEL CYCLES.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...CONDITIONS ARE IMPROVING ACROSS THE
PRIBILOF ISLANDS AS THE ASSOCIATED LOW CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND CURVE
WESTWARD INTO THE LONGWAVE TROUGH. THE NEXT IMPACTFUL SYSTEM IS
TAKING SHAPE SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS...AND WILL CROSS INTO THE
SOUTHERN BERING BY MIDDAY FRIDAY. THE ALEUTIANS...ALASKA
PENINSULA...AND PRIBILOF ISLANDS WILL ALL LIKELY SEE PRECIPITATION IN
THE FORM OF RAIN EVEN AT THE VERY START OF THE STORM AS A SIGNIFICANT
SURGE OF WARM AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA. THIS LOW WILL BRING A
WIDESPREAD SWATCH OF GALE-FORCE WINDS TO THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
BERING...WHILE COOLER AND MORE SHOWERY PRECIP WILL PREVAIL OVER THE
FAR WESTERN BERING AND ALEUTIANS. THIS GENERAL PATTERN OF UNSETTLED
WEATHER OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE BERING LOOKS AS IF IT WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
LONG RANGE MODELS ARE CONTINUING TO INDICATE A SIGNIFICANT WARM-UP
OVER MAINLAND ALASKA THIS WEEKEND AND CONTINUING THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
MOST AREAS WILL SEE TEMPERATURES NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE FIRST
HALF OF THE WEEK...WITH AN EVEN MORE SIGNIFICANT WARM-UP POSSIBLE FOR
THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK. MOST OF THE UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL
REMAIN OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND KODIAK ISLAND...WITH AN
INCREASED CHANCE OF PRECIP BEGINNING TO AFFECT THE GULF COASTLINE BY
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE 130 131 138 155 160 170 172 174 176 179 180 181 185
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 126 127 139
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

AMD FEB 14