Storm Warning 42, NWS Anchorage, AK

577 
FZAK62 PAFC 081456 CCA
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 8 2014

CORRECTED SYNOPSIS

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-090100-
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 8 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 992 MB LOW NEAR 50N 158W WILL MOVE TO 47N 160W AT SAME STRENGTH BY
SUN MORNING AND THEN REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH EARLY MON
MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE CENTRAL BERING THROUGH
EARLY MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ411-090100-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 8 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...E WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 10 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 TO 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-090100-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 8 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY E OF
173W. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY E OF
173W. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-090100-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 19 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-090100-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKST SAT FEB 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF
57N. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF
57N. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 56N.

.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 13 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
130 PM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE MORNING WEATHER MAP SHOWS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE OVER MOST
OF THE BERING SEA WITH A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW OVER THE WESTERN
GULF. BETWEEN THESE FEATURES REMAINS A POTENT 150 KT NORTHEASTERLY
JET STREAK. AS EXPECTED THE CURRENT LOW IN THE GULF DEVELOPED RAPIDLY
OVERNIGHT...ALLOWING VERY STRONG WINDS TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE COOK
INLET REGION...PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND...THE WESTERN GULF...AND THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND. THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND IS NOW IN THE PEAK OF THE
EVENT...WITH PRESSURE GRADIENTS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TRENDING DOWNWARD
IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. STRONG WINDS ARE COMBINING WITH HEAVY SNOW
ACROSS THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA AND KODIAK ISLAND. OUT WEST...VERY
STRONG WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED THROUGH THE COMPLEX TERRAIN OF THE ALASKA
PENINSULA AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS...WITH HIGH WIND WARNINGS CURRENTLY
IN PLACE FOR BOTH LOCATIONS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS REMAIN IN VERY GOOD OVERALL AGREEMENT AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS
IN CONTROL OF THE BERING SEA AND COLD NORTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES OVER
THE MAINLAND. A REINFORCING SURGE OF COLD AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHERN MAINLAND THIS WEEKEND...WHICH IS DEPICTED BY ALL AVAILABLE
MODELS. THIS WILL BUMP WINDS AGAIN THROUGH THE FAVORED GAPS ALONG THE
COAST...BUT WILL NOT BE NEARLY AS STRONG AS WINDS FROM THE CURRENT
STORM.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...THE RAPID MOVEMENT OF THE DEPARTING LOW WILL ALLOW
GRADIENTS TO RELAX QUICKLY THIS EVENING...WITH KODIAK ISLAND THE LAST
LOCATION TO SEE SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT. THIS WILL BRING WINDS
STEADILY DOWNWARD AT VIRTUALLY ALL LOCATIONS...ALSO IMPROVING
UNSEASONABLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN THE MATANUSKA
VALLEY AND WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA. MEANWHILE...SNOWFALL WILL
DIMINISH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ALONG THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA THIS
EVENING. AS MENTIONED ABOVE...A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR MOVES
INTO THE AREA TOMORROW...BUMPING WINDS BACK UP THROUGH THE MATANUSKA
VALLEY AND OTHER FAVORED GAPS...BUT REMAINING WELL BELOW WHAT HAS
BEEN EXPERIENCED DURING TODAYS STORM. THIS NEXT COLD SURGE WILL ALSO
BE ALMOST COMPLETELY DRY...WITH ONLY COASTAL LOCATIONS SEEING
DEVELOPMENT OF SNOW SHOWERS.

SOUTHWEST...WINDS TO REMAIN STRONG OUT OF THE NORTHEAST THROUGHOUT
THE NIGHT AS THE LOW TRACKS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. WINDS AND
CLOUDCOVER WILL DECREASE FOR THE START OF THE WEEKEND AS COLD AIR
CONTINUES TO SLOWLY SPILL INTO THE REGION. THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD
SURGE ON SUNDAY WILL BRING IN SOME MIDLEVEL CLOUDINESS...BUT WILL
REMAIN DRY AT ALL LOCATIONS.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...WINDS SHOULD DROP BELOW WARNING LEVELS
OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA THIS EVENING...BUT WILL
STAY VERY GUSTY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENTS
REMAIN IN PLACE ALONG THE CHAIN FROM DUTCH HARBOR EASTWARD. SNOW
SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL ALSO BE LARGELY CONFINED TO POINTS ALONG THE
CHAIN FROM DUTCH HARBOR EASTWARD...AS COLD AIR COMING OFF THE
MAINLAND ENHANCES SNOWFALL. OTHER LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN UNDER THE
UNSHAKABLE INFLUENCE OF STRONG HIGH PRESSURE...LEADING TO RELATIVELY
LIGHT WINDS AND LOW-LEVEL CLOUDINESS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
NEXT WEEK THE REMNANTS OF THE UPPER LOW CURRENTLY OVERHEAD WILL
MIGRATE BACK INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA WHILE ANOTHER WEAKER
TROUGH/UPPER LOW WILL SINK DOWN FROM THE ARCTIC. SOME DETAILS ARE
STILL UP IN THE AIR AS FAR AS GUIDANCE IS CONCERNED BUT DETERMINISTIC
AND ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE ALIKE ALL BRING A SLUG OF ARCTIC AIR DOWN OVER
THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND WITH AN UPPER LOW. THAT PATTERN VERBATIM WOULD
EVENTUALLY RETURN SOME PRECIPITATION TO THE SOUTHCENTRAL. UNTIL THEN
COLD...DRY...AND WINDY WILL PREVAIL.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 111 181 185
         BLIZZARD WARNING 121
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY 171
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 126 127 130 139 140 160 180 181 185 414
         STORM 130 160 170 180
         GALE 119 120 131 132 136 137 138 139 140 150 155 165 171 172
              173 174 175 176 179 181
FIRE WEATHER...RED FLAG WARNING 111 121

AMD FEB 14

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1245 PM AKST FRI FEB 07 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 NNW HOMER             59.65N 151.54W
02/07/2014                                      AK   PUBLIC

            TREES UPROOTED. ROOFS PEELING OFF. HOUSES LOSING ABOUT
            HALF THEIR SHINGLES. SOME SHEET METAL ROOFS ROLLING UP.
            SPRUCE NEEDLES STRIPPED FROM TREES COVERING STREETS.

&&

KUTZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
244 PM AKST FRI FEB 07 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0241 PM     SNOW             9 S GIRDWOOD            60.81N 149.13W
02/07/2014  M10.0 INCH                          AK   PARK/FOREST SRVC

            STORM TOTAL 10 INCHES AT TURNAGAIN PASS. ROAD ELEVATION
            1000 FT.ASL.

&&

KUTZ