Storm Warning 25, NWS Anchorage, AK

120 
FZAK51 PAFC 171920 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1020 AM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

UPDATED ZONE 129

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-180300-
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEATHER FRONT IN THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF
FRIDAY MORNING WHERE IT WILL DISSIPATE SAT EVENING AS IT MOVES
INLAND. THE ASSOCIATED STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE
NORTHERN PACIFIC INTO BRISTOL BAY.

$$

PKZ119-180300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT...EXCEPT 55 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 22 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR THE
COAST...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-180300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT BUILDING TO 21 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-180300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-180300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS
10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-180300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. 
.SUN AND MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-180300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-180300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-180300-
PASSAGE CANAL
1020 AM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
50 KT NEAR WHITTIER DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT.
RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-180300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-180300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
21 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-180300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-180300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 13
FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-180300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-180300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-180300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-180300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-180300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING
TO 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

614 
FZAK51 PAFC 180007
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-181500-
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 955 MB LOW NEAR SAND POINT MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS BRISTOL BAY THEN
INLAND OVERNIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE GULF MOVES EAST TONIGHT. A
SECONDARY WEATHER FRONT MOVES EAST ACROSS THE GULF SATURDAY. A
DEVELOPING NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 140 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT AT
957 MB SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ITS WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH INTO THE
GULF SUNDAY.

$$

PKZ119-181500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR THE
COAST...E WIND 55 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-181500-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-181500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-181500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-181500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-181500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ128-181500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 25 KT IN THE EVENING.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.   

$$

PKZ129-181500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
50 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-181500-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-181500-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-181500-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-181500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-181500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-181500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-181500-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-181500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-181500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST FRI JAN 17 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 PM AKST THU JAN 16 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE WAVE WHICH BROUGHT A BRIEF PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW
ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL IS MOVING RAPIDLY NORTH ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN THIS AFTERNOON. SUBSIDENCE AND LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ON
THE BACKSIDE OF THIS PRODUCED AREAS OF FOG ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL. A
DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC IS FULLY OCCLUDED AND
HAS A CENTRAL PRESSURE IN THE LOW TO MID 950S. THE LOW WILL BECOME
STACKED WITH THE UPPER CENTER AND MOVE TO OVER THE AK PEN FRI
AFTERNOON WITH A PRESSURE IN THE 950S. A SECONDARY AS EQUALLY STRONG
LOW WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONTAL TROUGH AS IT BOWS NORTH INTO THE
EASTERN BERING SEA FRI. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT SWEEPS NORTH AND EAST
AND EXTENDS ACROSS INTERIOR SW ALASKA...THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL...TO
ALONG THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN GULF FRI AFTERNOON. THE FRONT
CONTINUES NORTH AND EAST AND WEAKENS SAT.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS OVERALL INITIALIZED FAIRLY WELL WITH THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN.
SOME DIFFERENCES IN INITIALIZING THE DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE NORTH
PACIFIC WERE FAIRLY MINOR. A SHIP OB NEAR THE LOW CENTER INDICATED
THAT THE ECMWF 18Z FORECAST POSITION WAS BEST...BUT THAT THE PRESSURE
WAS OFF BY A COUPLE OF MILLIBARS. FORECAST TRENDS ARE SIMILAR THROUGH
SAT MORNING...THEN THE NAM BECOMES THE OUTLIER.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
.SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
WARM...WINDY...AND WET CONDITIONS SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION FRI AS THE
NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TOWARD THE AK PEN AND THE FRONT PUSHES NORTH
INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENTS AND UPPER JET
SUPPORT BRING STRONG GAP AND CHINOOK CONDITIONS BEGINNING FRI MORNING
AND CONTINUING INTO FRI NIGHT. ADDITIONALLY...WARM AND MOIST AIR WILL
SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA FRI AND PRODUCE VARIED PRECIPITATION TYPES.
UPSLOPE FLOW WILL PRODUCED MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS ALONG THE NORTH
GULF COAST AND EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA FRI WITH QPF VALUES IN THE 3
TO 5 INCH RANGE. PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME MORE SHOWERY AND CHANGE
MORE TOWARD SNOW ON SAT AS COLD AIR SWEEPS IN FROM THE WEST.

.SW ALASKA...
THE DEVELOPING LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL TROUGH APPROACHING THE AK
PEN WILL BRING WARMING TEMPS AND WET AND WINDY CONDITIONS TO SW
ALASKA. COLD DRAINAGE FLOW INITIALLY WILL KEEPS TEMPS BELOW FREEZING
AS MOISTURE REACHES THE DELTA LATE TONIGHT. THE ACCOMPANIED STRONG
WINDS WILL BRING IN BLIZZARD POTENTIAL. MIXED PRECIPITATION TYPES
WILL BECOME MORE PROBLEMATIC FRI AS WARM AIR SPREADS IN FROM THE
SOUTH AND EAST. FREEZING RAIN POTENTIAL WILL BE RELATIVELY LIGHT OVER
THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM FRI AS DOWNSLOPE CONDITIONS SHOULD BE FAIRLY
WIDESPREAD. SNOW SHOWERS SPREAD ACROSS SW ALASKA SAT AS COLD AIR
SPREADS IN FROM THE WEST.

ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA...
THE STORM MOVING SNOW WILL BRING BLIZZARD POTENTIAL TO THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS TONIGHT. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS MAY
BECOME QUESTIONABLE IF THE WARMER AIR SPREADS TOO FAR WEST TONIGHT.
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS END OVER THESE AREAS FRI NIGHT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
WITH THE LONGWAVE PATTERN STAYING IN PLACE INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE
NEXT WEEK A SEASONABLY WARM AND VERY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL
CONTINUE FOR THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND OF ALASKA. A COLD AND SHOWERY
AIRMASS STAYS IN PLACE OVER THE BERING. BETWEEN THE TWO AIR
MASSES...THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER WILL
INCREASE EARLY NEXT WEEK OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE EASTERN BERING
WHERE THE TWO AIR MASSES WILL CLASH.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 155 185 195
         HIGH WIND WARNING 101 111
         FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY 152
MARINE...GALES 120 125 130 131 132 136 137 138 139 155 160 165 170
         171 173 174 176 179 180 181 185 411 412 413 414
         STORM WARNING 119 150 172 185
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 179 180 185 411 412 413 414
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RMC JAN 14