Storm Warning 171, NWS Anchorage, AK

170 
FZAK52 PAFC 261650 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
750 AM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-270430-
750 AM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 959 MB LOW 120 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA THIS MORNING MOVES 210 NM 
NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA AT 960 MB SAT MORNING THEN DRIFTS TO 280 NM
NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA AT 978 MB SUN AFTERNOON. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW
MOVES 370 NM SOUTHEAST OF UNALASKA AT 979 MB SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-270430-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
750 AM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ155-270430-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
750 AM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT EXCEPT W 25 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT EXCEPT S 20 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS
E. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ160-270430-
BRISTOL BAY-
750 AM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-270430-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
750 AM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT EXCEPT S 25 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS
13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-270430-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
750 AM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ171-270430-
UNALASKA BAY-
750 AM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-270430-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
750 AM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ173-270430-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
750 AM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ174-270430-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
750 AM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
22 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ175-270430-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
750 AM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ176-270430-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
750 AM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT EARLY THIS MORNING DIMINISHING TO 25 KT
LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ177-270430-
ADAK TO KISKA-
750 AM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ178-270430-
KISKA TO ATTU-
750 AM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ179-270430-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
750 AM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ180-270430-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
750 AM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. PATCHY
FOG. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ181-270430-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
750 AM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ185-270430-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
750 AM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO
45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 50 KT.
SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

695 
FZAK52 PAFC 262350
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
250 PM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-271230-
250 PM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 958 MB LOW 220 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY AND SLOWLY WEAKEN TO 979 MB SUN AFTERNOON. A WEATHER
FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WILL MOVE EASTWARD AND MOVE INLAND
OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA LATE SAT NIGHT. A 967 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW
WILL DEVELOP 515 NM SOUTHEAST OF ADAK SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-271230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
250 PM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ155-271230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
250 PM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT EXCEPT S 25 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS
E. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SE WIND 30 KT
INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SE 35 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ160-271230-
BRISTOL BAY-
250 PM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING NW 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ165-271230-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
250 PM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ170-271230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
250 PM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. E OF DUTCH HARBOR...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ171-271230-
UNALASKA BAY-
250 PM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-271230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
250 PM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 15 KT E OF DUTCH HARBOR.
SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-271230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
250 PM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT EARLY BECOMING SW 20 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ174-271230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
250 PM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 23 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ175-271230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
250 PM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ176-271230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
250 PM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.

$$

PKZ177-271230-
ADAK TO KISKA-
250 PM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT EXCEPT NW 15 KT E OF 180. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT.

$$

PKZ178-271230-
KISKA TO ATTU-
250 PM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 29 FT.

$$

PKZ179-271230-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
250 PM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING SW 20 KT W OF THE
ISLANDS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ180-271230-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
250 PM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. PATCHY
FOG.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ181-271230-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
250 PM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING SE 30 KT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO
9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ185-271230-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
250 PM AKST FRI DEC 26 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30
KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 50 KT
BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW CHANGING TO RAIN
AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING N OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND... SE 25 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

054 
FZAK52 PAFC 271224
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
324 AM AKST SAT DEC 27 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-280130-
324 AM AKST SAT DEC 27 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 961 MB LOW 230 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL REMAIN STATIONARY
AND WEAKEN TO 979 MB SUN EVENING. A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE
CENTRAL BERING WILL MOVE INLAND OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA BY SAT
AFTERNOON. A 991 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 270 NM SOUTH OF ADAK BY SAT
EVENING BEFORE MOVING 260 NM NORTH OF ADAK AT 987 MB SUN AFTERNOON
AND DISSIPATES SUN EVENING. A SECOND LOW MOVES 220 NM SOUTH OF
UNALASKA AT 974 MB MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-280130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
324 AM AKST SAT DEC 27 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ155-280130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
324 AM AKST SAT DEC 27 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ160-280130-
BRISTOL BAY-
324 AM AKST SAT DEC 27 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ165-280130-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
324 AM AKST SAT DEC 27 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
FROM PORT MOLLER E...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ170-280130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
324 AM AKST SAT DEC 27 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ171-280130-
UNALASKA BAY-
324 AM AKST SAT DEC 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS DIMINISHING TO
20 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-280130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
324 AM AKST SAT DEC 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-280130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
324 AM AKST SAT DEC 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ174-280130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
324 AM AKST SAT DEC 27 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ175-280130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
324 AM AKST SAT DEC 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ176-280130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
324 AM AKST SAT DEC 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.

$$

PKZ177-280130-
ADAK TO KISKA-
324 AM AKST SAT DEC 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 27 FT.

$$

PKZ178-280130-
KISKA TO ATTU-
324 AM AKST SAT DEC 27 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 29 FT.

$$

PKZ179-280130-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
324 AM AKST SAT DEC 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 17
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ180-280130-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
324 AM AKST SAT DEC 27 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ181-280130-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
324 AM AKST SAT DEC 27 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. AREAS OF
FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ185-280130-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
324 AM AKST SAT DEC 27 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO
25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 30 KT.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE 30 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
411 PM AKST THU DEC 25 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE NORTH POLE ACROSS
THE AKPEN INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH AFFECTING INTERIOR SOUTH CENTRAL AND THE LAST OF A SERIES
OF SHORTWAVES MOVING INTO SOUTHWEST AK AND BRISTOL BAY. A CUT-
OFF LOW REMAINS IN PLACE NEAR KAMCHATKA. THE MAIN RIDGE IS OVER
THE WESTERN COAST OF NORTH AMERICA...WITH A SHORTWAVE RIDGE MOVING
OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA AND ANOTHER OVER THE CENTRAL BERING. AT
THE SURFACE...THE DECAYING FRONT IS OVER THE TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS
AND STRETCHES ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN TO THE WRANGELLS...AND
A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER SOUTHWEST AK. BOTH OF THESE FEATURES ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW OVER THE ALEUTIANS AND
KENAI PENINSULA...WITH SIGNIFICANT SNOW INLAND...ESPECIALLY OVER
THE SUSITNA VALLEY.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS AGREE THAT THE BAND OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE NORTHERN
SUSITNA VALLEY THIS EVENING BEFORE THE SHORT WAVE RIDGE AND DECAYING
SURFACE FRONT MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. THE FINAL SHORTWAVE/FRONT WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE AKPEN TONIGHT AND REACH SOUTHCENTRAL DURING THE
DAY ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL THEN BE FOLLOWED BY THE BERING RIDGE
WHICH WILL STRENGTHEN AS IT BUILDS EAST...COVERING ALL OF MAINLAND
AK BY SAT AFTERNOON. OVER THE EXTREME WESTERN BERING THE KAMCHATKA
UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL SPIN IN PLACE THROUGH
SAT AFTERNOON. AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE EAST BEHIND
THE RIDGE...AND WILL CROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND AKPEN AND
MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST AK BY SAT AFTERNOON. THE FORECAST UTILIZES
THE NAM/EC IN THE EAST AND GEM REGIONAL AND EC IN THE WEST.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE FRONT HAS PASSED LEAVING MOST LOCATIONS IN AN UNSTABLE SOUTHERLY
FLOW. THE COOK INLET REGION IS GUSTING INTO THE 30 MPH RANGE WHICH
SHOULD HOLD THROUGH THE EVENING BEFORE LETTING UP OVERNIGHT. THERE
ARE SHOWERS MOVING INTO THE SOUTHCENTRAL FROM THE SOUTHWEST BUT
MOST OF THEM ARE BEING BLOCKED BY THE ALEUTIAN RANGE. TEMPERATURES
WILL STAY ELEVATED WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS WITH NOT MUCH DROP OFF
OVERNIGHT. A BETTER CHANCE FOR SNOW COMES TOMORROW MORNING INTO
THE AFTERNOON AS THE LAST DISTURBANCE IN THIS PATTERN MOVES
OVERHEAD FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL QUICKLY PASS
AND BRING CLEARING SKIES OVERNIGHT AS RIDGING ALOFT AGGRESSIVELY
BUILDS INTO THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
RELATIVELY UNSTABLE SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BRING
SNOW SHOWERS (OCCASIONALLY MIXED WITH RAIN) THAT WILL LAST INTO
FRIDAY AS RIDGING WILL BUILD IN THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
WARMER CONDITIONS RETURN ESPECIALLY TO THE BRISTOL BAY REGION FOR
FRIDAY BRINGING CHANCES FOR A CHANGEOVER OR MIX WITH RAIN. SOUTH
TO SOUTHEAST WINDS AND TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RISE INTO THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS INTO THE FAR SOUTHWEST BERING AND THEN BECOME STATIONARY
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. A PERIOD OF STORM-FORCE WINDS IS EXPECTED
NEAR SHEMYA ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS LOW LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING...WITH SOME DECREASE IN WIND SPEEDS AS THE LOW BEGINS TO
VERY SLOWLY FILL INTO THE WEEKEND. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT
WILL BRING STRONG GALE FORCE WINDS WITH OCCASIONAL STORM FORCE
GUSTS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AS IT MOVES NORTH AND EAST ACROSS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL BERING...THEN BEGINS TO SLOWLY WEAKEN TOWARD
THE WEEKEND AS IT STALLS OVER THE EASTERN BERING NEAR THE
PRIBILOFS.

A DISTURBANCE MOVING NORTH AND EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS
LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY WILL BRING A PERIOD OF STORM-FORCE GUSTS
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF ATKA BEFORE WEAKENING AS IT BECOMES ABSORBED
INTO THE BROADER FLOW.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...

A SIGNIFICANT SHIFT IN THE LONGWAVE PATTERN BEGINNING EARLY THIS
WEEKEND AND LASTING THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE UPCOMING WEEK
LOOKS TO BRING WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. AN AMPLIFYING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
EXTENDING FROM THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA TO THE ALASKA PANHANDLE
WILL COLLIDE WITH A BUILDING NORTHEAST PACIFIC RIDGE BUILDING
ACROSS THE ALASKA MAINLAND. WITHIN THIS AMPLIFYING TROUGH...AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ORIGINATING IN THE NORTH PACIFIC SOUTH OF THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL INTERACT WITH A MOISTURE RICH AIR MASS IN
THE SUBTROPICS AND PUSH IT TOWARDS SOUTHWEST ALASKA BY SUNDAY
MORNING. THIS WILL BRING PRECIPITATION TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA...WITH
PRECIP ORIGINATING AS SNOW AND ULTIMATELY TRANSITIONING TO RAIN AS
THE AIR MASS MODIFIES WITH SUBTROPICAL AIR ADVECTING NORTHWARD.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO ONCE AGAIN RISE WELL ABOVE NORMAL
VALUES...WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA
AND PARTS OF THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA. FREEZING RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE
IN THE SHELTERED LOCATIONS OF THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AS THE
COOLER AIR WILL BE HARDER TO DISPLACE. THE RAIN AND SNOW MIX WILL
GRADUALLY TAPER OFF BY WEDNESDAY AS A SECOND RIDGE BEGINS TO
DEVELOP OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA.

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA WILL BE IN STORE FOR QUITE THE WARM UP AND
POTENTIALLY A DECENT WIND EVENT. AS THE RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE
ALASKA MAINLAND...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN SIGNIFICANTLY
ACROSS THE COOK INLET AND PORTAGE VALLEY LOCATIONS. THIS SHOULD
LEAD TO STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS THROUGH THE VALLEY WHICH WOULD
ULTIMATELY IMPACT TURNAGAIN ARM AND THE ANCHORAGE HILLSIDE. WHILE
IT IS WAY TOO FAR OUT TO ESTIMATE AT WINDS SPEEDS...WINDS BETWEEN
45 TO 60 MPH DURING THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK CANNOT BE RULED
OUT. THESE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO BRING A CHINOOK TO MUCH
OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. THIS WILL AID IN WARMING TEMPERATURES INTO
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S ACROSS ANCHORAGE AND PARTS OF THE MAT-SU
VALLEY. WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEEN ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST AND PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AS MOISTURE FROM THE SUBTROPICS
HAMMERS THE COASTLINE.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...173 174 178 185.
         GALE WARNING...155 165 170 172 175 176 177 179 181.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...181 185.
         FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MTL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CC
LONG TERM...MC