Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2014

Storm Warning 137, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 18, 2014

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Nov 18, 2014, 3:28 AM AKST. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 18, 2014, 3:28 AM AKST (12:28 UTC)
Expired
Nov 18, 2014, 3:48 PM AKST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

719 
FZAK51 PAFC 181228
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
328 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-190115-
328 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 985 MB LOW 270 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND TUE MORNING MOVES
TO 50 NM NORTHWEST OF KODIAK ISLAND AT 976 MB TUE AFTERNOON BEFORE
DISSIPATING BY TUE NIGHT. A FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF
BY THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-190115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
328 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ120-190115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
328 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-190115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
328 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-190115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
328 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT BY LATE MORNING THEN
BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-190115-
PORT VALDEZ-
328 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-190115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
328 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-190115-
VALDEZ ARM-
328 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-190115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
328 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-190115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
328 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S IN THE EVENING THEN
DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-190115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
328 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT BY MIDDAY.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-190115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
328 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ136-190115-
CHINIAK BAY-
328 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-190115-
MARMOT BAY-
328 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-190115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
328 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-190115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
328 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-190115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
328 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-190115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
328 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
1 follow-up statement
784 
FZAK51 PAFC 190048
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
348 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-191400-
348 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 976 MB LOW OVER SHELIKOF STRAIT MOVES INLAND ACROSS SOUTHWEST
ALASKA AND DISSIPATES THROUGH THIS EVENING. A 957 MB LOW 425 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK WED EVENING MOVES TO 175 NM SOUTHWEST OF
SITKINAK AT 955 MB THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-191400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
348 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT E 40 KT NEAR THE COAST 
DURING THE EARLY EVENING. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-191400-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
348 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-191400-
RESURRECTION BAY-
348 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT SHIFTING TO S 25 KT DURING THE EARLY
EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-191400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
348 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-191400-
PORT VALDEZ-
348 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-191400-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
348 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-191400-
VALDEZ ARM-
348 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT EARLY EVENING. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-191400-
PASSAGE CANAL-
348 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT BY MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER THROUGH EARLY EVENING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING
TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-191400-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
348 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S WIND 35 KT EARLY EVENING.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-191400-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
348 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-191400-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
348 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ136-191400-
CHINIAK BAY-
348 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-191400-
MARMOT BAY-
348 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-191400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
348 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 35 KT EARLY EVENING. 
WIND DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. 
RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-191400-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
348 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 30 KT EARLY EVENING. 
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-191400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
348 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-191400-
KACHEMAK BAY-
348 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT EARLY EVENING. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Nov 17, 4:33 PM AKST, 10 hours 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 17, 4:33 PM AKST, 10 hours 55 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
433 PM AKST MON NOV 17 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
ANOMALOUSLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING PERSISTS
FROM SOUTHEAST ALASKA NORTH AND WEST ALONG THE ALCAN BORDER
AREA...WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL LOW (WITH ATTENDANT 971 MB SURFACE LOW
LOCATED 140 MILES SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR) PERSISTS ALONG AND NEAR
THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH RESPONSIBLE FOR BRINGING
A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN TO THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN SUSITNA
VALLEY IS MOVING NORTH INTO THE INTERIOR EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVES ARE SITUATED WELL SOUTH OF THE
GULF OF ALASKA IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC...MOVING NORTH AND WEST
TOWARD SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE BERING SEA AROUND THE UPPER LEVEL
LOW NEAR THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE LOW SOUTH OF DUTCH
HARBOR MOVING NORTH AND WEST INTO THE SOUTHERN BERING THROUGH
TUESDAY...THEN DRIFTING NORTH THROUGH MID-WEEK WITH ITS
CIRCULATION BECOMING MORE BROAD AND DIFFUSE. THIS LOW WILL SERVE
AS AN ANCHOR LOW OF SORTS FOR A STRONG UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WITH
DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF ALASKA
CURRENTLY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE THE NEXT MAJOR PLAYER FOR SOUTHERN
ALASKA TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS IT MOVES NORTH AND WEST ACROSS
KODIAK ISLAND TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL STRENGTHEN FROM
989 MB THIS EVENING TO 975 MB TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS IT MOVES
ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND AND SHELIKOF STRAIT BEFORE WEAKENING AS IT
MOVES INLAND. AS THE LOW MOVES THROUGH SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND
WEAKENS TOMORROW...STRONG RIDGING MOVING NORTH AND WEST ACROSS THE
GULF AND INLAND WILL PRODUCE RAPID PRESSURE RISES RESULTING IN
STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY FLOW INTO COASTAL AREAS OF
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AND FROM THERE THROUGH TERRAIN GAPS INTO
INLAND AREAS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
PERSISTENT WARM AND MOIST SOUTHEAST FLOW REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS
THE REGION. THE FIRST WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA HAS
NOW PASSED INTO INTERIOR ALASKA. ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS
DISSIPATED...EVEN OVER THE SUSITNA VALLEY WHERE THE THREAT OF
FREEZING RAIN HAS NOW PASSED. THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE NOW
BECOMES THE NEXT LOW THAT IS ALREADY EVIDENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY
OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC MOVING QUICKLY TOWARD SOUTHERN ALASKA.

THIS NEXT LOW WILL BE DIFFERENT FROM THE PREVIOUS IN A FEW KEY
WAYS...NAMELY THAT A DEEPER DEPTH OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
EXPERIENCE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN AN EVEN MORE
PRONOUNCED DOWNSLOPE SHADOW TOMORROW ACROSS UPPER COOK INLET
INCLUDING ANCHORAGE AND THE MATANUSKA VALLEY. OVER THE SUSITNA
VALLEY...THE ENVIRONMENT WILL LIKELY AGAIN BE CONDUCIVE FOR A
PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY MORNING...BUT SINCE THE MAJORITY
OF THE PRECIP SHOULD FALL WELL WEST OF THE PARKS HIGHWAY THE
IMPACTS SHOULD BE MINIMAL.

ADDITIONALLY...THE SURFACE LOW WILL BE STRENGTHENING AS IT
FOLLOWS A SIMILAR TRACK TOWARD KODIAK ISLAND. THIS WILL LEAD TO
STRONGER WINDS ACROSS THE AREA...AS WELL AS A STORM-FORCE BARRIER
JET ALONG THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA. AFTER THE FRONT PASSES
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...A MODERATELY STRONG AREA OF PRESSURE
RISES WILL QUICKLY MOVE IN FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA...WHICH SHOULD
ABRUPTLY SWITCH WINDS IN ANCHORAGE AND THE MATANUSKA VALLEY TO
SOUTHEASTERLY WITH TEMPERATURES LIKELY RISING TO NEAR 40
OVERNIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
GUSTY WINDS AND WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD ACROSS THE
REGION TONIGHT...AS THE WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRENGTHENING
LOW SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR TRACKS INTO THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND
THROUGH MID WEEK. LOCALLY STRONG GUSTS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE
BRISTOL BAY ZONE AS THE FRONT TRACKS INLAND THIS EVENING INTO
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE POSSIBILITY STILL EXISTS FOR SOME ISOLATED
POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN TO POP UP ACROSS THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW MORNING. WARMER AIR
ALOFT WILL KEEP RAIN AS THE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE...WHICH
CAN FALL OVER AREAS WITH BELOW FREEZING GROUND TEMPERATURES.
COLDER AIR ALOFT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING
BACK A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS BY MID WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A LARGE GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE BERING SEA
TODAY...KEEPING RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS OVER THE REGION THROUGH MID
WEEK. STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND PRIBILOF ISLANDS THIS EVENING BEFORE
DIMINISHING TOMORROW MORNING. GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AND
SHOWERY CONDITIONS ON THE BACK END OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO
PICK UP OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TONIGHT...AND SPREAD WESTWARD
THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON...AS THE LOW GRADUALLY WEAKENS AND
DRIFTS NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL BERING.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE MAIN FEATURE AFFECTING THE PATTERN LATER THIS WEEK INTO THE
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK WILL BE A NORTH PACIFIC SHORTWAVE THAT
RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES AS IT ROUNDS THE BASE OF THE LONGWAVE TROUGH
OVER THE BERING SEA AND TRACKS TOWARD THE ALASKA PENINSULA LATE
THURSDAY. THIS WILL EVENTUALLY RESULT IN AN EASTWARD SHIFT OF THE
TROUGH AXIS AS THE SHORTWAVE EVOLVES INTO A CLOSED LOW IN THE
VICINITY OF THE AKPEN AND BRISTOL BAY AND BECOMES THE DOMINANT
FEATURE WITHIN THE BROADER BERING TROUGH BY THIS WEEKEND. THIS
WILL CAUSE THE THE PERSISTENT BLOCKING RIDGE OVER WESTERN CANADA
TO BE DISPLACED TO THE EAST...USHERING IN ANOTHER PERIOD OF
UNSETTLED WEATHER ALONG THE GULF COAST AS VARIOUS DISTURBANCES
ROTATE NORTHWARD THROUGH THE GULF. MEANWHILE...THE BERING WILL
REMAIN IN A MORE SHOWERY REGIME BENEATH THE UPPER TROUGH WITH THE
MOST ACTIVE WEATHER CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN BERING AS A DEEP
SURFACE LOW MOVES TOWARDS THE AKPEN LATE THIS WEEK ACCOMPANIED BY
WIDESPREAD RAIN AND GALE FORCE WINDS.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING 120 131.
GALE WARNING 119 125 130 132 136 137 138 139 155 165 170 172 174
176 177 178 179 180 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...CC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TP
LONG TERM...CB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 17, 3:31 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC3 days
Nov 17, 3:31 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC24 hr
Nov 17, 3:34 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC50 hr
Nov 17, 3:34 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC83 min
Nov 17, 4:57 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC10 hr
Nov 17, 8:53 PM AKSTFreezing Rain AdvisoryAFC7 hr
Nov 18, 3:06 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC37 hr
Nov 18, 3:11 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 18, 3:28 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 18, 3:28 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Nov 18, 4:22 AM AKSTFreezing Rain AdvisoryAFC20 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2014Every storm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.