Small Craft Advisory 932, NWS Anchorage, AK

791 
FZAK52 PAFC 241227
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
327 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-250130-
327 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 997 MB LOW 95 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK WEAKENS TO 1012 MB MON NIGHT
AS IT MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA. A 981 MB LOW 230 NM
WEST-NORTHWEST OF ATTU TONIGHT STRENGTHENS TO 970 MB WHILE
REMAINING NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH MON NIGHT...THEN MOVES NORTH
TO 340 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ATTU WHILE WEAKENING TO 984 MB TUE
NIGHT. A NORTH PACIFIC 982 MB LOW MOVES NORTHEAST TO 170 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SHEMYA TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-250130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
327 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW WIND 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ155-250130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
327 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-250130-
BRISTOL BAY-
327 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N WIND 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-250130-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
327 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-250130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
327 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-250130-
UNALASKA BAY-
327 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE MORNING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-250130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
327 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ173-250130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
327 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ174-250130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
327 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S WIND 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ175-250130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
327 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ176-250130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
327 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ177-250130-
ADAK TO KISKA-
327 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ178-250130-
KISKA TO ATTU-
327 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE MORNING. SEAS 12
FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ179-250130-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
327 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-250130-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
327 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-250130-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
327 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ185-250130-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
327 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 35 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 45 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

108 
FZAK52 PAFC 250019
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
319 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-251330-
319 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 974 MB LOW 360 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 290 NM
NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA TUE AFTERNOON AT 982 MB THEN TO 250 NM
NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA WED AFTERNOON AT 994 MB. A 985 MB LOW 280 NM
SOUTH OF ATKA TUE AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 120 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAINT
PAUL WED AFTERNOON AND WEAKEN TO 998 MB. A 982 MB LOW 230 NM SOUTH
OF KISKA LATE TUE NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 110 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK WED
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-251330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
319 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ155-251330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
319 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING SW 20 KT W OF THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SE 15 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ160-251330-
BRISTOL BAY-
319 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-251330-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
319 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT EXCEPT S 15 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SE 15 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E.
SEAS 6 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-251330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
319 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-251330-
UNALASKA BAY-
319 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-251330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
319 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ173-251330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
319 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-251330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
319 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ175-251330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
319 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ176-251330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
319 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ177-251330-
ADAK TO KISKA-
319 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ178-251330-
KISKA TO ATTU-
319 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ179-251330-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
319 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ180-251330-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
319 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-251330-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
319 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-251330-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
319 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE
30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 40 KT.
SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY E OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND... SE 40 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

141 
FZAK52 PAFC 251232
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-260200-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 971 MB LOW 230 NM NORTHWEST OF ATTU WEAKENS TO 984 MB 290 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ATTU TUE NIGHT...THEN WEAKENS TO 995 MB NEAR
100 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ATTU WED NIGHT. A 979 MB LOW 430 NM
SOUTH OF ADAK WEAKENS TO 993 MB 120 NM WEST OF SAINT PAUL WED
MORNING BEFORE DISSIPATING. A STRENGTHENING 979 MB NORTHWEST
PACIFIC LOW MOVES NORTHEAST 295 NM SOUTH OF ATTU THIS
EVENING...THEN WEAKENS TO 985 MB AS IT MOVES TO 190 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-260200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ155-260200-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SE 15 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS
E. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SE 15 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
SEAS 14 FT EXCEPT 6 FT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-260200-
BRISTOL BAY-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-260200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT EXCEPT S 15 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SE 20 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS
6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT SE 20 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-260200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE MORNING. SEAS 9
FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-260200-
UNALASKA BAY-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-260200-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ173-260200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ174-260200-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 28 FT LATE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS 28 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ175-260200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-260200-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT BUILDING TO 28 FT LATE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
26 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ177-260200-
ADAK TO KISKA-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT BERING SIDE...21 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ178-260200-
KISKA TO ATTU-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ179-260200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 25 FT
SUBSIDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ180-260200-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-260200-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-260200-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
332 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
424 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A LARGE STACKED UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO SPIN IN VICINITY OF
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS THIS MORNING JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE ALASKA
PENINSULA. WATER VAPOR AND INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE A FAIRLY
UNSTABLE REGIME TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTH OF THE LOW PRESSURE
CIRCULATION FROM SOUTHCENTRAL THROUGH THE GULF OF ALASKA
GENERATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS.

OUT WEST...A PAIR OF SHORTWAVE RIDGES MAKE UP THE GENERAL
RIDGINESS OVER THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN BERING SEA. A STRONG LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR KAMCHATKA IS BEGINNING TO STRENGTHEN AS IT
BEGINS TO SLOWLY MOVE EAST TOWARD THE WESTERN BERING SEA.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS ARE IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT SYNOPTICALLY. THEY ALL TAKE
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS OCCLUDED LOW AND DRIFT IT EAST INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF BY LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...MAKING IT BROAD AND
DIFFUSE IN THE PROCESS. MODELS DIFFER SOMEWHAT IN ITS DEPICTION IN
THE GULF BUT WITH NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON THE FORECAST.

OUT IN THE FAR WEST...THE KAMCHATKA LOW CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN
AND MATURE INTO A STRONG CYCLONE CENTERED NORTH AND WEST OF ATTU
THROUGH MON NIGHT. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL STRENGTHEN ALONG ITS
ASSOCIATED FRONT AS IT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS LATE
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...THEN CIRCLE BACK TOWARD BACK TOWARD THE
PARENT LOW AND MERGE WITH IT LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY NORTH AND
WEST OF ATTU.

THE IMPACT OF THE STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BECOMING STATIONARY
OVER THE FAR WESTERN BERING LATE MONDAY INTO MID-WEEK WILL RESULT
IN HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING STRENGTHENING ALOFT OVER THE MAINLAND
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE
GULF OF ALASKA TO SOUTHCENTRAL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE QUITE THE
CHALLENGE FOR THE PRECIPITATION FORECAST. FOR THE MOST PART SHOWERS
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE DISTURBANCES HAVE BEEN CONFINED TO THE GULF
COASTAL REGION WITH VERY FEW SHOWERS MAKING IT OVER THE COASTAL
MOUNTAINS. THIS IS DUE TO WEAK DOWNSLOPE FLOW AND LOW LEVEL DRY
AIR SUPPORTED BY OFFSHORE FLOW AT THE SURFACE. HOWEVER...THERE
HAVE BEEN A FEW STRONGER UPPER WAVES (ONE OF WHICH IS MOVING
THROUGH THIS MORNING) WHICH TEMPORARILY MODIFY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW
(TO WEAKEN DOWNSLOPING). PINPOINTING THE LOCATION AND AMOUNT OF
PRECIP IS VERY DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY SINCE NONE OF THE MODELS
HAVE A GREAT HANDLE ON THE PLACEMENT AND TIMING OF INDIVIDUAL
FEATURES. SATELLITE AND RADAR TRENDS ARE THE MOST USEFUL TOOL IN
THIS SITUATION. BECAUSE OF THIS...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE
PRECIP FORECAST BEYOND THE FIRST SIX HOURS IS LOW.

THE AIR MASS ACROSS THE REGION HAS CONTINUED A STEADY COOLING
TREND. THE IMMEDIATE COAST REMAINS ALL RAIN...BUT INTERIOR
PORTIONS OF WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND HAVE SEEN SOME PERIODS OF
SNOW OR RAIN AND SNOW MIXED WITH VERY MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.
AS PER THE ANCHORAGE SOUNDING ANYTHING ON THE LEE SIDE OF THE
COASTAL RANGE WILL FALL AS SNOW.

UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL SHIFT SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS THE LOW
ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA EXITS EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF AND
UPPER FLOW OVER SOUTHCENTRAL BECOMES WESTERLY. PRECIP WILL THEN
BECOME FAVORED ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF MOUNTAINS WHILE PRECIP IN
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WILL DIMINISH.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 THROUGH 3)...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP TODAY ALONG
A WEAK STATIONARY BOUNDARY ACROSS BRISTOL BAY. WITH TEMPERATURES
NEAR FREEZING ALONG THE EASTERN ALASKA PENINSULA AND ALEUTIAN
RANGE AND BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES TO THE NORTH...ISOLATED
POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY SOUTH AND EAST OF
DILLINGHAM. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL MAKE IT INTO THE ALASKA
RANGE TODAY AS THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE PUSHES A SHORTWAVE
WESTWARD. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED PRECIPITATION DIMINISHES MONDAY
NIGHT AS THE MAIN LOW CENTER SHIFTS EAST. THE NEXT FRONT PUSHES
INTO THE EASTERN BERING ON TUESDAY BRINGING INCREASED RAIN CHANCES
FOR RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND WESTERN
COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 THROUGH 3)...
NORTHERLY FLOW WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS
THE BERING TODAY. LOW PRESSURE EAST OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA
WILL PUSH A WARM FRONT INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THIS AFTERNOON
BRINGING STRONG WINDS AND RAIN THROUGH TONIGHT. THE BOUNDARY MOVES
INTO CENTRAL BERING/EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY TUESDAY MORNING AND THEN
REMAINS STATIONARY AS THE LOW FILLS. ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE UP FROM
THE NORTH PACIFIC WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION MID WEEK.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE EXTENDED FORECAST LOOKS MUCH THE SAME TODAY AND WILL STILL BE
DEPENDENT ON A COMPLEX LOW SETTING UP SHOP IN THE WESTERN/CENTRAL
BERING SEA. A CURRENTLY DEVELOPING KAMCHATKA LOW WILL ANCHOR THE
LONGWAVE PATTERN WHILE SEVERAL COMPACT SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL
DEVELOP AND JOIN THE LARGE SCALE CIRCULATION. THE FIRST WILL
STRENGTHEN ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY PROGRESSING EASTWARD ACROSS
THE CHAIN IN THE VICINITY OF THE CENTRAL/EASTERN ALEUTIANS
BRINGING RAIN AND GALE FORCE WINDS. ANOTHER WAVE QUICKLY FOLLOWS
BY WEDNESDAY REINFORCING THE CIRCULATION AND BRINGING MORE RAIN
AND WIND TO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WHILE SENDING THE FRONT FURTHER
EAST IN THE BERING SEA. GLOBAL GUIDANCE HAS BEEN SIGNALING THAT
THIS ACTIVITY OUT WEST WILL PUMP UP A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IN
THE GULF WHICH WILL ACT TO SLOW THE PROGRESSION OF THE PATTERN AND
KEEP THE SOUTHCENTRAL DRY FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. EXPECT
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT WINDS FOR THE WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 181.
         GALE 175 176 177 178 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...CC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SEB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...MTL