Small Craft Advisory 929, NWS Anchorage, AK

002 
FZAK52 PAFC 221222
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
322 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-230145-
322 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 970 MB LOW 60 NM WEST OF SAND POINT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY
THROUGH EARLY SUN MORNING AS IT WEAKENS TO 983 MB AND THEN MOVES
TO 150 NM EAST OF SAND POINT AT 996 MB EARLY MON MORNING. A
DEVELOPING 990 MB LOW 420 NM WEST OF ATTU PUSHES A FRONT INTO THE
WESTERN BERING SUN EVENING. THIS LOW THEN STRENGTHENS TO 982 MB AS
IT MOVES TO 210 NM WEST OF ATTU EARLY MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-230145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
322 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ155-230145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
322 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT VARIABLE 15 KT FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ160-230145-
BRISTOL BAY-
322 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-230145-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
322 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ170-230145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
322 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ171-230145-
UNALASKA BAY-
322 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ172-230145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
322 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 27 FT.

$$

PKZ173-230145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
322 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ174-230145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
322 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT.

$$

PKZ175-230145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
322 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ176-230145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
322 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ177-230145-
ADAK TO KISKA-
322 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ178-230145-
KISKA TO ATTU-
322 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ179-230145-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
322 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ180-230145-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
322 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT FROM CAPE NEWENHAM N. SEAS
6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ181-230145-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
322 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR
THE COAST.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ185-230145-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
322 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY E OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

685 
FZAK52 PAFC 230007
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-231330-
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 975 MB LOW 60 NM WEST OF SAND POINT MOVES TO 40 NM SOUTHEAST OF
KODIAK ISLAND AT 1002 MB MONDAY AFTERNOON. A DEVELOPING 995 MB LOW
360 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA SUNDAY AFTERNOON MOVES TO 130 NM NORTHEAST
OF SHEMYA AT 980 MB MONDAY MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-231330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ155-231330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT SW 20 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ160-231330-
BRISTOL BAY-
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-231330-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-231330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-231330-
UNALASKA BAY-
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-231330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ173-231330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ174-231330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ175-231330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ176-231330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ177-231330-
ADAK TO KISKA-
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ178-231330-
KISKA TO ATTU-
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ179-231330-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ180-231330-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG
THE COAST N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
COAST N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
COAST N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ181-231330-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
COAST.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ185-231330-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

506 
FZAK52 PAFC 231211
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
311 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-240045-
311 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 983 MB LOW OVER THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS MOVES TO 100 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF SITKINAK AT 995 MB SUN NIGHT...THEN MOVES INTO THE GULF OF
ALASKA MON AFTERNOON WHILE WEAKENING TO 1003 MB. A STRENGTHENING
KAMCHATKA LOW MOVES TO 365 NM WEST OF ATTU AT 988 MB SUN
AFTERNOON...THEN PEAKS AT 972 MB 210 NM NORTHWEST OF ATTU MON
NIGHT. A 987 MB LOW 325 NM SOUTH OF ATTU SUN EVENING STRENGTHENS
TO 977 MB 135 NM EAST OF SHEMYA MON MORNING...THEN MERGES WITH THE
KAMCHATKA LOW MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-240045-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
311 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S WIND 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ155-240045-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
311 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE MORNING. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ160-240045-
BRISTOL BAY-
311 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-240045-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
311 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-240045-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
311 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-240045-
UNALASKA BAY-
311 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-240045-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
311 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-240045-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
311 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ174-240045-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
311 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ175-240045-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
311 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ176-240045-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
311 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ177-240045-
ADAK TO KISKA-
311 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ178-240045-
KISKA TO ATTU-
311 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ179-240045-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
311 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-240045-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
311 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
COAST N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
COAST N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ181-240045-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
311 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
COAST.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG
THE COAST.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
COAST.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ185-240045-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
311 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. E OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
439 AM AKST FRI NOV 21 2014

FOR NOVEMBER 21TH MORNING AFD PACKAGE:

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN OCCLUDED GALE FORCE LOW IS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF CHIGNIK. AN
ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS LOCATED THROUGH THE BARREN ISLANDS
EXTENDING INTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THE ASCAT SCATTEROMETER
WINDS ARE SHOWING GALE FORCE AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS
THROUGH THE AFOREMENTIONED REGION. THE UPPER LEVELS HAVE A CLOSED
VERTICALLY STACKED LOWS ALOFT OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THE
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LARGE SWATH OF MOISTURE THROUGHOUT
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA AND SPREADING INTO THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA
REGION. THE RADAR IS SHOWING RAIN ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
COASTLINE SPREADING INLAND WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S.
THE ANCHORAGE BOWL CONTINUES TO HAVE DOWNSLOPE DRYING DUE TO THE
CROSS BARRIER FLOW WITH SOME SHOWERS ALONG THE CHUGACH MOUNTAINS
ON THE RADAR. WITH THE NEARLY STATIONARY UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE
EASTERN ALEUTAINS...THERE IS WEAK SHORTWAVES ROTATING AROUND THE
LOW WHICH IS PRODUCING SHOWERY PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE BRISTOL
BAY AREA AND ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA COASTLINE. THE SOUTHEAST
ALASKA AREA HAS AN NEGATIVE TILTED HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING
INTO THE BROOKS RANGE WITH THE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES OVER THE YUKON TERRITORY EXTENDING INTO BARROW.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE OCCLUDED LOW OVER THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS AS IT CONTINUES TO BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY
HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. THE MODELS OF CHOICE WERE THE NAM/GEM-
REG THROUGH THE SHORT TERM FORECAST PERIOD. THE FORECAST
CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER THE ALASKA
PENINSULA THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THE FRONTAL SYSTEM OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE SLOWLY NORTH TODAY...REACHING
THE GULF COAST THIS EVENING THEN DISSIPATING. FLOW ALOFT WILL
REMAIN CYCLONIC AND THIS WILL KEEP PLENTY OF SHOWERS OVER THE
GULF AND GULF COAST. LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FOR
THE INLAND VALLEYS TODAY...BUT CHANCES WILL START TO INCREASE
TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE CROSS-BARRIER FLOW WEAKENS
AFTER THE FRONT DISSIPATES AND A WEAK UPPER TROUGH MOVES IN. NOT A
HUGE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE LEFT BY THAT POINT...SO CHANCES ARE STILL
SMALL.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY RESIDES ALONG THE ALASKA
PENINSULA JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS. THE LOW HAS
WEAKENED SLIGHTLY IN THE PAST 12 HOURS...WITH ONLY PATCHES OF GALE
FORCE WINDS REMAINING ALONG THE COAST OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND
ON THE SOUTH END OF THE LOW NEAR CHIRIKOF ISLAND. GUSTY WINDS TO
50 MPH HAVE BEEN OBSERVED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BRISTOL BAY
AREA...GENERALLY THROUGH THE GAPS AND PASSES OF THE ALASKA RANGE.
THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH THIS MORNING AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WEAKENS A BIT AND BECOMES LESS FAVORABLY ORIENTED TO FORCE WINDS
THROUGH THE AFOREMENTIONED GAPS. PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE OVER
THE ALASKA PENINSULA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA.
STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AT MOUNTAIN TOP LEVEL WILL CREATE
DOWNSLOPING CONDITIONS FOR PARTS OF THE BRISTOL BAY AREA...WHILE
UPSLOPE REGIONS OF THE ALASKA RANGE AND THE AHKLUN MOUNTAINS WILL
PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN SHOWER ACTIVITY. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY WILL DROP CLOSER TO
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND BUT CONTINUE TO REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SITUATED OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL
MEANDER WESTWARD SLIGHTLY WHICH WILL LEAD TO A CONTINUATION OF
STRATIFORM RAINFALL ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THIS RAIN IS
EXPECTED TO LINGER THROUGH THE WEEKEND...ALTHOUGH BECOMING MORE
SHOWERY IN NATURE BY SUNDAY. BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE BERING SEA...LEADING TO SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS PERSISTING ACROSS THE REGION. SNOW SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO
MIX WITH THE RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE BERING SEA
BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK A BIT OF A PATTERN CHANGE
IS IN STORE FOR THE ALEUTIANS AND THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. THE
CURRENT OCCLUDED LOW OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL RETROGRADE
WESTWARD WHILE WEAKENING AS THE FRONT WILL FALL APART OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF. WAY TO THE WEST...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH FEEDING OFF
THE WARM KUROSHIO CURRENT WILL PHASE WITH ANOTHER WAVE COMING OFF
OF EAST ASIA. THE RESULT WILL BE A CLASSIC KAMCHATKA LOW WITH
FRONTAL BOUNDARY PROGRESSING FROM WEST TO EAST OVER THE ALEUTIANS.
THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME MORE PROGRESSIVE AND THE REMNANTS OF
THE PREVIOUS SYSTEM WILL GET PUSHED INTO THE GULF WITH ONLY
SHOWERY ACTIVITY REMAINING. GUIDANCE STRUGGLES WITH THE PATTERN
INTO MID-WEEK NAMELY WITH INDIVIDUAL WAVES ROTATING AROUND THE
PARENT LONGWAVE AS WELL AS ANOTHER SYSTEM IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC.
THE MAIN FACET TO TAKE AWAY IS THAT THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE
SIGNALLING A REX BLOCK SETTING UP IN OUR VICINITY WHICH WOULD KEEP
SENSIBLE WEATHER DRY AND TEMPERATURES AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL.
EXPECT SHOWERY CONDITIONS IN THE GULF THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
DRIER CONDITIONS INLAND ALONG WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 119 130 131 139 160 180.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...PD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...LUDWIG
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CLAY
LONG TERM...MTL