Small Craft Advisory 739, NWS Anchorage, AK

059 
FZAK52 PAFC 251130 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
330 AM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

CORRECTED TYPO ZONE 171

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-260030-
330 AM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

1006 MB LOW 180 NM NORTH OF AMCHITKA DISSIPATES THIS AFTERNOON. A
1001 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR STRENGTHENS TO 988 MB AS
IT MOVES TO 180 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAND POINT EARLY FRI MORNING AND
THEN MOVES TO 240 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AT
THE SAME STRENGTH.

$$

PKZ150-260030-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
330 AM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ155-260030-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
330 AM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...VARIABLE
WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY
FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT BY LATE EVENING. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT EXCEPT E 30 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ160-260030-
BRISTOL BAY-
330 AM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-260030-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
330 AM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ170-260030-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
330 AM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT EXCEPT N 25 KT FROM UNALASKA W. SEAS 11 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ171-260030-
UNALASKA BAY-
330 AM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-260030-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
330 AM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ173-260030-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
330 AM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ174-260030-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
330 AM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ175-260030-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
330 AM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ176-260030-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
330 AM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ177-260030-
ADAK TO KISKA-
330 AM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ178-260030-
KISKA TO ATTU-
330 AM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ179-260030-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
330 AM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ180-260030-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
330 AM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ181-260030-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
330 AM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-260030-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
330 AM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

745 
FZAK52 PAFC 252348
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
348 PM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-261245-
348 PM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...A 993 MB LOW 125 NM
SOUTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL MOVE TO 200 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT
FRI AFTERNOON AT 985 MB AND THEN EXIT TO THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC ON
SAT. A DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC WILL TRACK TO 390
NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA SAT AFTERNOON AT 990 MB. A WEAK FRONT WILL
CROSS THE NORTHERN BERING SEA ON SAT.

$$

PKZ150-261245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
348 PM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ155-261245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
348 PM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT IN THE EVENING
BUILDING TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ160-261245-
BRISTOL BAY-
348 PM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-261245-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
348 PM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING NE 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT W OF PORT MOLLER. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-261245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
348 PM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT EXCEPT NE INCREASING TO 45
KT FROM UNALASKA E. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ171-261245-
UNALASKA BAY-
348 PM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11
FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN AND MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-261245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
348 PM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT BECOMING N 50 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ173-261245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
348 PM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ174-261245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
348 PM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ175-261245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
348 PM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ176-261245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
348 PM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ177-261245-
ADAK TO KISKA-
348 PM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ178-261245-
KISKA TO ATTU-
348 PM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ179-261245-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
348 PM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ180-261245-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
348 PM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-261245-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
348 PM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-261245-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
348 PM AKDT THU SEP 25 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S 20 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND... SW 25 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
225 PM AKDT WED SEP 24 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN SHOWS A LONG WAVE TROUGH RUNNING OUT OF
THE ARCTIC AND DOWN THE ALCAN BORDER AND FAR TO THE SOUTH OFF THE
COAST OF CALIFORNIA. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED IN THE WESTERN
BERING SEA HAS A TROUGH EXTENDING TO THE SOUTH WITH THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA. THE RIDGE IS NOT AS STRONG AS
IT LOOKED LIKE IT WOULD BE AS IT HAS BEEN FLATTENED OUT BY THE
POLAR JET WHICH IS RUNNING WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART
OF THE STATE. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH HAS MOVED INTO THE KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY AND ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE BRINGING SOME CLOUDS WITH IT.
THE SUBTROPICAL JET IS MUCH STRONGER AND IS RUNNING SOUTH OF THE
UPPER LEVEL LOWS. THIS PATTERN IS CONDUCIVE FOR THE STRENGTHENING
OF THE SURFACE LOW THAT IS SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS. ANOTHER SURFACE
LOW IS IN THE BERING SEA AND IS REMAINING NEARLY STATIONARY. THE
SURFACE RIDGE IS OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA THROUGH THE INTERIOR
OF THE STATE. A TROUGH ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST IS KEEPING THE
FLOW NORTHERLY OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE DOING WELL OVERALL BUT ARE ALL MOVING THE LOW THAT IS
CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS ALONG A LITTLE MORE SOUTHERLY
TRACK AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE GULF. THEY ARE ALSO BACK TO HAVING
SOME STRUGGLES WITH THE STRUCTURE OF THE LOW AS IT MOVES INTO THE
GULF. WHILE THERE IS A 150 MILE DIFFERENCE IN THE LOW CENTER
POSITION BETWEEN THE NAM AND ECMWF ON FRI AFTERNOON THIS WILL
LIKELY RESOLVE ITSELF ON LATER MODEL RUNS. THE BIGGER ISSUE IS THE
WAY A TRIPLE POINT LOW DEVELOPS SOUTH OF THE GULF LATE FRIDAY AND
MOVES NORTHWARD INTO THE GULF BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE ECMWF
FAVORS A STRONGER LOW TO THE NORTH WHICH WOULD BRING IN MORE
CLOUDS AND RAIN TO THE NORTH GULF COAST AND EVEN INLAND INTO PARTS
OF SOUTHCENTRAL. THIS SOLUTION LOOKS LESS LIKELY DUE TO THE
LOCATION OF THE JET STREAM BUT THE NAM AND GFS ALSO BRING IN A
CHANCE OF RAIN INTO THE REGION AS WELL DUE TO A DISTURBANCE ALOFT
AND A WEAKER LOW AT THE SURFACE. IT IS PROBABLY FAIR OT SAY THAT
THIS SITUATION IS STILL UNRESOLVED AND WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED AS
IT DEVELOPS. THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE GULF LOW WILL ALSO BE
INFLUENCED BY THE STRENGTH OF THE RIDGE OVER THE MAINLAND PART OF
THE STATE. THE LATEST MODEL RUNS ON THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE ALSO
BREAKING DOWN THE RIDGE LATE THIS WEEKEND AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
BUILDS INTO THE STATE FROM THE NORTHWEST.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
CLEAR SKIES WILL CONTINUE OVER MOST OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THROUGH
THURSDAY. A FEW CLOUDS MAY MAKE IT OVER THE ALASKA RANGE INTO THE
SUSITNA VALLEY AND THERE IS A CONTINUED RISK OF EARLY MORNING FOG
TOMORROW MORNING AROUND COOK INLET...BUT OTHERWISE IT SHOULD BE
CLEAR. THE GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST AND OTHER
CHANNELED TERRAIN WILL BE STRONGEST TODAY AND THEN SLOWLY
WEAKENING THROUGH THURSDAY AS THE TROUGH DISSIPATES AND THE
SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE GULF.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE AREA IS BRINGING
SOME CLOUDINESS AND A FEW SHOWERS. THIS AREA SHOULD CLEAR OUT
THURSDAY AS THE WAVE DISSIPATES AND THE RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE
AREA. PATCHY FOG IS LIKELY IN LOW LYING AREAS AGAIN TONIGHT.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
THE MODELS MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK OF THE LOW WILL MEAN THAT THERE
WILL BE LESS WIND AND RAIN IN THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AS
IT PASSES BY THE AREA. THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL STILL LIKELY SEE
STEADY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS WITH THIS LOW. THE OLD LOW IN THE
WESTERN BERING SEA WILL STILL BRING SOME SHOWERS TO THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS BUT THEY WILL TAPER OFF AS THAT LOW DISSIPATES THURSDAY
NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE CURRENT BERING LOW WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR RAIN TO
MAINLY COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THIS WEEKEND AS IT
TRACKS EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF...ALTHOUGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REMAINS LOW WITH THIS FEATURE AS MENTIONED ABOVE. ONCE THAT
SYSTEM DEPARTS...A PERIOD OF DRY AND SEASONABLY COOL WEATHER
APPEARS TO BE IN STORE FOR MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND THROUGH
LATE NEXT WEEK. MODELS HAVE BEEN MORE AGGRESSIVE OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS IN BRINGING AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN MAINLAND FROM
THE NORTHWEST...WHICH HAS HAD THE EFFECT OF FLATTENING THE RIDGE
WHICH WAS BEING DEPICTED OVER THE GULF AND SOUTHERN MAINLAND EARLY
NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER...SENSIBLE WEATHER IMPACTS WILL REMAIN MUCH THE
SAME AS NORTHWESTERLY FLOW YIELDS DRY CONDITIONS AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES AS A COLDER AIRMASS FILTERS IN FROM THE NORTH. MODELS
HAVE ALSO BEEN LESS CONSISTENT WITH THE TRACK OF THE NEXT LOW
ACROSS THE BERING NEXT WEEK...BUT GENERALLY RAINY AND GUSTY
CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE ALEUTIANS DURING THAT TIME
PERIOD.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 155 172.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

EZ/CB SEP 14