Small Craft Advisory 522, NWS Anchorage, AK

985 
FZAK51 PAFC 072356
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
356 PM AKDT MON JUL 7 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-081315-
356 PM AKDT MON JUL 7 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1009 MB LOW 220 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE TO 200 NM
SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING TUE MORNING AT 1013 MB THEN MOVE INLAND
NEAR CORDOVA TUE AFTERNOON. A WEATHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE
GULF FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON WED.

$$

PKZ119-081315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
356 PM AKDT MON JUL 7 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-081315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
356 PM AKDT MON JUL 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-081315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
356 PM AKDT MON JUL 7 2014

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT SUBSIDING. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-081315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
356 PM AKDT MON JUL 7 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-081315-
PORT VALDEZ-
356 PM AKDT MON JUL 7 2014

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-081315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
356 PM AKDT MON JUL 7 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-081315-
VALDEZ ARM-
356 PM AKDT MON JUL 7 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-081315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
356 PM AKDT MON JUL 7 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-081315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
356 PM AKDT MON JUL 7 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-081315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
356 PM AKDT MON JUL 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-081315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
356 PM AKDT MON JUL 7 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-081315-
CHINIAK BAY-
356 PM AKDT MON JUL 7 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-081315-
MARMOT BAY-
356 PM AKDT MON JUL 7 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-081315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
356 PM AKDT MON JUL 7 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-081315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
356 PM AKDT MON JUL 7 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-081315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
356 PM AKDT MON JUL 7 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-081315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
356 PM AKDT MON JUL 7 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

930 
FZAK51 PAFC 081140
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
340 AM AKDT TUE JUL 8 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-090015-
340 AM AKDT TUE JUL 8 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1012 MB LOW 250 NM SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING WILL MOVE INLAND 
NEAR CORDOVA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO WEDNESDAY.
A WEATHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE GULF FROM THE SOUTHWEST WED
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-090015-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
340 AM AKDT TUE JUL 8 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-090015-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
340 AM AKDT TUE JUL 8 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-090015-
RESURRECTION BAY-
340 AM AKDT TUE JUL 8 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-090015-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
340 AM AKDT TUE JUL 8 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-090015-
PORT VALDEZ-
340 AM AKDT TUE JUL 8 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN 
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-090015-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
340 AM AKDT TUE JUL 8 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN 
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-090015-
VALDEZ ARM-
340 AM AKDT TUE JUL 8 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
SEAS 1 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-090015-
PASSAGE CANAL-
340 AM AKDT TUE JUL 8 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-090015-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
340 AM AKDT TUE JUL 8 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-090015-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
340 AM AKDT TUE JUL 8 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-090015-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
340 AM AKDT TUE JUL 8 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-090015-
CHINIAK BAY-
340 AM AKDT TUE JUL 8 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-090015-
MARMOT BAY-
340 AM AKDT TUE JUL 8 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-090015-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
340 AM AKDT TUE JUL 8 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-090015-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
340 AM AKDT TUE JUL 8 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-090015-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
340 AM AKDT TUE JUL 8 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-090015-
KACHEMAK BAY-
340 AM AKDT TUE JUL 8 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
243 PM AKDT SUN JUL 6 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

IN THE UPPER LEVELS THE MAIN FEATURE OF CONCERN IS THE EASTERLY
WAVE THAT IS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA. THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE INTERIOR IS DRIFTING NORTH ALLOWING FOR
MORE CLOUDS AND HUMIDITY TO PUSH INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL REGION
ACROSS THE ALASKA RANGE INTO THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE BRISTOL
BAY AND KUSKOKWIM VALLEY ZONES. THE MORE STABLE COOLER AIR
ASSOCIATED WITH THE EASTERLY WAVE WILL INHIBIT CONVECTION THOUGH
SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ALONG THE EASTERN
ALASKA RANGE. AT THE SURFACE THE THERMAL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
KUSKOKWIM BAY INTO THE EASTERN INTERIOR WHILE WEAK RIDGING IS
BUILDING IN BEHIND THE EASTERLY WAVE ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST.
A BROAD AREA OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE IS PERSISTING OVER THE EASTERN
BERING SEA UNDER THE SUPPORTING UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT HAS REMAINED
RELATIVELY STATIONARY FOR THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

THE MODELS PICKED UP ON THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE NOW MOVING
NORTH TOWARD THE BERING STRAIT AND DID FAIRLY WELL WITH THE
EASTERLY WAVE OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL REGION. IN THE SHORT TERM THE
MODELS ARE HANDLING THE CURRENT SITUATION FAIRLY WELL...BUT THEN
STRUGGLE AS WE MOVE OUT TO TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES CROP UP BETWEEN THE MODELS. THERE IS GOOD
AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT TERM BRINGING THE TROUGH UP ALONG THE NORTH
GULF COAST TONIGHT WITH A RIDGE POKING IN ALONG THE COAST INTO
SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER AND MORE STABLE
CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE COPPER
RIVER BASIN TO SUSITNA VALLEY AND ACROSS THE COOK INLET REGION
THROUGH TOMORROW. EASTERLY FLOW FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA INTO
KODIAK ISLAND WILL RESULT IN COOLER CLOUDIER CONDITIONS FOR KODIAK
ISLAND. AS THE TROUGH SWINGS UP FROM THE SOUTH RAIN WILL SPREAD
OVER KODIAK ISLAND THE SOUTHERN COOK INLET AND INTO PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND OVER NIGHT. THE CROSS BARRIER FLOW ACROSS THE
CHUGACH MOUNTAINS WILL PRODUCE THE TYPICAL RAIN SHADOW ON THE LEE
SIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS.
WHILE NOT IN FLOOD STAGE THE WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT THE PREVIOUS
FEW DAYS HAS CAUSED INCREASED SNOW MELT AND THEREFORE SIGNIFICANT
RISES IN THE MATANUSKA RIVER AND COPPER RIVER.

THE UPPER LOW OVER THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE TO THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS THROUGH MON NIGHT RESULTING IN AN OVERALL SOUTH TO EAST
FLOW OFF THE GULF OF ALASKA INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA THROUGH MID
WEEK THUS EXPECT COOLER CLOUDIER MORE HUMID CONDITIONS OVER THE
SOUTHERN MAINLAND INCLUDING SOUTHWEST ALASKA.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER WITH SOMEWHAT COOLER
CONDITIONS WILL INHIBIT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER SOUTHWEST
ALASKA THIS EVENING. BY MONDAY THE INFLUX OF MOISTURE FROM THE
EASTERLY WAVE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES WITH
MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN OR SHOWERS. THE UNSTABLE AIR ASSOCIATED WITH
THE UPPER COULD STILL POSSIBLY INITIATE AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA MAINLY ALONG THE KILBUCK MOUNTAINS.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...THE BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW DRIFTS SOUTH TO
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS THOUGH MONDAY NIGHT HOLDING THE CLOUDY WET
PATTERN IN PLACE FOR THE REGION. CLOUDS AND MOISTURE WILL ROTATE
WEST ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA THUS THE BRIEF SUNNY PERIOD WILL
COME TO AN END FOR THE WESTERN ALASKA PENINSULA THIS EVENING TO
BE REPLACED BY CLOUDY MORE RAINY CONDITIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST...

THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND OF ALASKA WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY WET LATE
WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND AS A PAIR OF VERY SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL
LOWS ENCOMPASS BOTH THE BERING SEA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL PERSIST OVER NORTHWEST ALASKA AND THE
BERING STRAIT REGION AS WELL AS TOWARD THE FAR WESTERN BERING AND
WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THIS WILL HELP KEEP THE BERING MAINLY ON THE
DRY SIDE OUTSIDE OF THE TYPICAL FOG AND LOW STRATUS.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
&&

JUL 14