Small Craft Advisory 486, NWS Anchorage, AK

362 
FZAK52 PAFC 182342
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
342 PM AKDT WED JUN 18 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-191300-
342 PM AKDT WED JUN 18 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE EASTERN BERING ON THU MORNING
AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON. A WEAK WEATHER FRONT WILL
REACH THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THU MORNING AND DISSIPATE OVER THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THU NIGHT. A 1000 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA
THU MORNING WILL WEAKEN TO 1005 MB NEAR ADAK FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-191300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
342 PM AKDT WED JUN 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ155-191300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
342 PM AKDT WED JUN 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ160-191300-
BRISTOL BAY-
342 PM AKDT WED JUN 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT TOWARDS MORNING.
SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 6
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-191300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
342 PM AKDT WED JUN 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 9
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ170-191300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
342 PM AKDT WED JUN 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT TOWARDS MORNING.
SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ171-191300-
UNALASKA BAY-
342 PM AKDT WED JUN 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO W 20 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.

$$

PKZ172-191300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
342 PM AKDT WED JUN 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ173-191300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
342 PM AKDT WED JUN 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ174-191300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
342 PM AKDT WED JUN 18 2014

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ175-191300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
342 PM AKDT WED JUN 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ176-191300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
342 PM AKDT WED JUN 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ177-191300-
ADAK TO KISKA-
342 PM AKDT WED JUN 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ178-191300-
KISKA TO ATTU-
342 PM AKDT WED JUN 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ179-191300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
342 PM AKDT WED JUN 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS 9
FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 7
FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ180-191300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
342 PM AKDT WED JUN 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY
FOG.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ181-191300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
342 PM AKDT WED JUN 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ185-191300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
342 PM AKDT WED JUN 18 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...FROM SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND E...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...FROM SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND E...N WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING
BECOMING NE 15 KT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS
6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

434 
FZAK52 PAFC 191128 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
328 AM AKDT THU JUN 19 2014

CORRECTED ZONE 177

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-200000-
328 AM AKDT THU JUN 19 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE EASTERN BERING ON THU MORNING
AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON. A WEAK WEATHER FRONT IS
STRETCHING OUT OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND WILL DISSIPATE OVER
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TONIGHT. A 1000 MB LOW 440 NM SOUTH OF
SHEMYA WILL WEAKEN TO 1005 MB 230 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK FRI
MORNING. THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN TO 1009 MB AS IT DRIFTS
TO 85 NM SOUTH OF ADAK BY SAT MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-200000-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
328 AM AKDT THU JUN 19 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT EXCEPT 5 FT N OF CHIRIKOF
ISLAND.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ155-200000-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
328 AM AKDT THU JUN 19 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ160-200000-
BRISTOL BAY-
328 AM AKDT THU JUN 19 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. AREAS
OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. AREAS OF FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ165-200000-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
328 AM AKDT THU JUN 19 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ170-200000-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
328 AM AKDT THU JUN 19 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ171-200000-
UNALASKA BAY-
328 AM AKDT THU JUN 19 2014

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-200000-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
328 AM AKDT THU JUN 19 2014

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ173-200000-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
328 AM AKDT THU JUN 19 2014

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ174-200000-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
328 AM AKDT THU JUN 19 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY... W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ175-200000-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
328 AM AKDT THU JUN 19 2014

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ176-200000-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
328 AM AKDT THU JUN 19 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ177-200000-
ADAK TO KISKA-
328 AM AKDT THU JUN 19 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...BERING SIDE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...
VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT E OF AMCHITKA PASS.
SEAS 5 FT BERING SIDE...8 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ178-200000-
KISKA TO ATTU-
328 AM AKDT THU JUN 19 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT FROM SHEMYA W. SEAS 4 FT
BERING SIDE...10 FT PACIFIC SIDE. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT BERING SIDE...8 FT PACIFIC
SIDE.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT BERING SIDE...8 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ179-200000-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
328 AM AKDT THU JUN 19 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ180-200000-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
328 AM AKDT THU JUN 19 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT S OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ181-200000-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
328 AM AKDT THU JUN 19 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ185-200000-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
328 AM AKDT THU JUN 19 2014

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT NE 10 KT FROM SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND E. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT NE 15 KT FROM SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND E. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
225 PM AKDT TUE JUN 17 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
WEATHER TODAY ACROSS MAINLAND ALASKA IS DOMINATED BY AN
UNSEASONABLY STRONG LOW CURRENTLY LOCATED OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST
OF KODIAK ISLAND. THE CENTRAL PRESSURE LIKELY DROPPED INTO THE LOW
980S MB RANGE...SUPPORTED BY AN EQUALLY STRONG 5280 METER CENTER
AT 500 MB. A STORM-FORCE BARRIER JET DEVELOPED ALONG THE NORTH
GULF COAST OVERNIGHT AND EVEN NOSED INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
BRIEFLY. MEANWHILE...3-6 INCHES OF RAIN FELL ALONG THE EASTERN
COAST OF THE KENAI PENINSULA IN A PERIOD OF A LITTLE OVER 24
HOURS. SATELLITE DATA AND LIMITED SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE
THIS LOW HAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN AND HAS ALSO BEGUN AN EXPECTED
MOVEMENT TO THE EAST. WITH THE DEEP ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE HAVING
NOW MOVED AWAY TO THE EAST...SIGNIFICANT CLEARING OF SKIES
DEVELOPED IN THE LEE OF THE COASTAL MOUNTAIN RANGES. THIS CLEARING
HAS ALLOWED SURFACE TEMPERATURES TO JUMP AT MANY AREAS...AND WHEN
COMBINED WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES FROM THE COLD POOL ALOFT...HAS LED
TO A RAPID INITIATION OF SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA TO THE MAT-
SU VALLEY AND TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
ALSO FORMED OVER INTERIOR AREAS OF THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...AND
WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. OUT WEST...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE WESTERN BERING IS LEADING TO THE CONTINUATION OF
WIDESPREAD MARINE FOG/STRATUS CONCERNS...WITH RELATIVELY BENIGN
WEATHER OTHERWISE. A WEAK VORT MAX ROTATING AROUND THE PERIPHERY
OF THE LARGE CIRCULATION IN THE GULF IS PASSING OVER THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS...BUT HAS PRODUCED LITTLE MORE THAN GUSTY
WINDS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD OVERALL AGREEMENT...BUT AS IS OFTEN THE
CASE THERE ARE SOME SMALLER DIFFERENCES THAT COULD POTENTIALLY
HAVE BIG IMPACTS ON SENSIBLE WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA. CONCERNING
THE CURRENT LOW IN THE GULF...THE MODELS ARE SLOWLY TRENDING
TOWARD THE SOLUTION ADVERTISED BY THE ECMWF THAT KEEPS THE
REMNANTS OF THE CIRCULATION SOUTH OF PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.
SIMILARLY...AS A SECONDARY UPPER LOW DEVELOPS OVER INTERIOR ALASKA
DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY THERE HAD BEEN SOME QUESTION OF HOW
QUICKLY AND HOW FAR SOUTH THIS FEATURE WOULD DROP. THE CONSENSUS
OF AVAILABLE MODELS HAVE AGAIN MOVED TOWARD THE ECMWF SOLUTION
THAT KEEPS THIS LOW LARGELY STATIONARY...AND WHICH KEEPS
ASSOCIATED STEADY RAINFALL OVER AND NORTH OF THE SUSITNA
VALLEY...RATHER THAN BRINGING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL DOWN TOWARD
UPPER COOK INLET. OUT WEST...A VORT MAX MOVING THROUGH THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND ON WEDNESDAY HAS MINOR TIMING
DIFFERENCES...WITH THE 12Z NAM FASTER AND FURTHER NORTH.
OVERALL...THE ECMWF IS PREFERRED OVER THE EASTERN DOMAIN...AND THE
GFS PREFERRED OVER THE WESTERN DOMAIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
CONVECTION WILL BE THE NAME OF THE GAME FOR THE REST OF THE
DAY...AS THE POOL OF COLD AIR ALOFT HAS LED TO SOME IMPRESSIVE
LAPSE RATES AND INSTABILITY ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. SOUTHEAST
WINDS FROM TURNAGAIN ARM HAVE BEGUN TO SPREAD INTO SOUTH AND WEST
ANCHORAGE...AND SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING AS THE COOK
INLET GRADIENT CONTINUES TO REVERSE. WEDNESDAY WILL BE ANOTHER
CONVECTIVE DAY...BUT WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES ALOFT THERE SHOULD
NOT BE ENOUGH WIDESPREAD INSTABILITY TO RESULT IN
THUNDERSTORMS...BUT SIGNIFICANT SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL STILL BE
PRESENT. BY THURSDAY...WITH A FURTHER NORTH UPPER LOW POSITION
OVER THE INTERIOR THERE MAY BE SOME MORE STRATIFORM RAIN THAT
WORKS ITS WAY DOWN FROM THE NORTH. AS MENTIONED ABOVE...MODELS ARE
TRENDING FURTHER NORTH WITH THIS FEATURE. STAYED TUNED FOR
DETAILS.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
AS MENTIONED ABOVE...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INITIATED AND WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING AT MANY INLAND LOCATIONS. THIS IS
LARGELY DUE TO THE SIGNIFICANT POOL OF COLD AIR AT THE UPPER
LEVELS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH.
THESE TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL WARM SIGNIFICANTLY BY
TOMORROW...PRECLUDING WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.
HOWEVER...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE AREA
MAY COMBINE WITH LINGERING INSTABILITY OVER PORTIONS OF THE
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY TO KICK OFF AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM...AND WILL
THUS ADD THIS MENTION TO THE AFTERNOON FORECAST. THIS SAME FEATURE
WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF STEADY RAIN TO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE BEFORE CONDITIONS IMPROVE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
MOST OF THE AREA WILL REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE
AND RELATIVELY WARM TEMPERATURES AND BENIGN WEATHER FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. A WEAKENING FRONT WILL BRING A ROUND OF RAIN ON
THURSDAY MORNING TO THE WESTERN HALF OF THE ALEUTIANS...BUT WILL
DISSIPATE BEFORE REACHING DUTCH HARBOR.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL REVOLVE AROUND THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
CURRENTLY SETTING UP SHOP IN THE GULF OF ALASKA. NUMEROUS
DISTURBANCES WILL PROPAGATE AROUND THE SYSTEM WITH ONE MOVING EAST
OF THE PANHANDLE OVER THE ALASKA RANGE. GUIDANCE HAS BEEN
INCONSISTENT RECENTLY WITH THIS FEATURE BUT LOOKS TO BRING
NUMEROUS SHOWERS TO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN ON SATURDAY...SLOWLY
SPREADING WESTWARD OVER THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE NEAR
NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WITH RAIN SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY
ALONG MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND WILL HAVE ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH RAIN SHOWERS MAINLY ALONG THE ALASKA
RANGE.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 132
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

AMD/MTL JUN 14