Small Craft Advisory 35, NWS Anchorage, AK

350 
FZAK51 PAFC 120020 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

CORRECTED ZONE 120

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-121500-
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 978 MB LOW NEAR SITKINAK WILL QUICKLY TRACK TO AROUND 80 NM EAST OF
CAPE SUCKLING AT 983 MB SUN AFTERNOON THEN MOVE ASHORE NEAR YAKUTAT
SUN NIGHT. A PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO AROUND 250 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK
CITY AT 973 MB MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-121500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-121500-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE EVENING. 
SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-121500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-121500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-121500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ127-121500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-121500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-121500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-121500-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-121500-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-121500-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ136-121500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-121500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-121500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-121500-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-121500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-121500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

913 
FZAK51 PAFC 121241
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-130300-
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 980 MB LOW 90 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES
INLAND NEAR YAKUTAT TUE MORNING. A 985 MB LOW FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC
WILL MOVE TO 540 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK MON MORNING AND THEN STRENGTHEN
TO 965 MB AS IT MOVES TO 60 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK TUE MORNING.
$$

PKZ119-130300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-130300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-130300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-130300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 3
FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-130300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-130300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-130300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-130300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. SNOW.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-130300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-130300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW
AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-130300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT....EXCEPT SW 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 16
FT...EXCEPT 9 FT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-130300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-130300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-130300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO
7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-130300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-130300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-130300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

867 
FZAK51 PAFC 130008
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-131500-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 985 MB LOW 100 NM EAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE INLAND NEAR
YAKUTAT LATE TONIGHT. A 975 MB PACIFIC LOW CENTERED 450 NM SOUTHWEST
OF KODIAK CITY MON MORNING WILL MOVE TO NEAR SITKINAK AT 969 MB LATE
MON NIGHT THEN TRACK TO NEAR NEAR WHITTIER AT 981 MB TUE AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ119-131500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-131500-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-131500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
PATCHY FOG. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-131500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-131500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ127-131500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-131500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-131500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-131500-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG. SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-131500-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-131500-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-131500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4
FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-131500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-131500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-131500-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-131500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FT BUILDING TO 3 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-131500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A FLAT RIDGE EXISTS OVER THE NE PACIFIC JUST SOUTH OF THE GULF WITH
LONGWAVE TROUGHING IN THE NW PACIFIC AND THE FAR WESTERN BERING/CHAIN
ANCHORED BY A COLD UPPER-LOW NEAR SAKHALIN ISLAND. A 965 MB LOW 150
MILES NORTH OF ATKA IS SLOWLY DRIFTING EAST AND FILLING. WIDESPREAD
GALE FORCE WINDS EXIST AROUND THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN QUADRANTS OF
THIS LOW. AN UPPER-LOW NEAR THE CENTRAL ALCAN BORDER IS EJECTING INTO
NW CANADA. THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND NESTLED IN BETWEEN THESE FEATURES
REMAINS IN A NEUTRAL FLOW ALOFT...THOUGH RESIDUAL LOW-LVL MOISTURE IN
THE STAGNANT FLOW HAS ALLOWED LOW CLOUDS AND FOG TO PERSIST ACROSS
UPPER-COOK INLET. A FRONT IS ELONGATING OVER THE EASTERN BERING TO
SOUTHWESTERN GULF (THOUGH IT STRETCHES BACK AND STALLS IN THE N
PACIFIC)...WITH SNOW/RAIN HAVING OVERSPREAD KODIAK ISLAND AND NOSING
INTO BRISTOL BAY. A TRIPLE POINT HAVING FORMED ALONG THE FRONT OVER
THE ISLAND IS TRACKING QUICKLY NORTHEASTWARD. PRECIPITATION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW IN THE BERING IS RATHER SHOWERY. MILD
TEMPERATURES ALLOWS MUCH OF IT TO FALL AS RAIN SHOWERS...THOUGH SOME
COOLER AIR WRAPPING IN BEHIND THE LOW SUPPORTS A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS FOR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. ALSO OF NOTE IS
AN UPPER-LOW AROUND 500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ATTU MOVING EAST.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE CLOSE IN SPIRIT WITH THE SHIFTING OF THE PATTERN ALOFT IN
THE COMING DAYS. OUT WEST...THE LOW NORTH OF ATKA IS DEPICTED
DRIFTING TO AROUND 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAINT PAUL SUN EVENING AND
THEN TRACKING ASHORE THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA NEAR KIPNUK MON EVENING.
THERE IS GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS DEVELOPMENT AMONG THE MODELS SAVE
FOR THE GFS WHICH IS ABOUT 12 TO 18 HOURS FASTER WITH THE SPEED THAN
THE CONSENSUS. FURTHER EAST...THE TRIPLE-POINT LOW OVER KODIAK IS
SHOWN QUICKLY MOVING TO AROUND 80 MILES EAST OF CAPE SUCKLING SUN
AFTERNOON THEN MOVING ASHORE NEAR YAKUTAT SUN NIGHT. AS THESE
FEATURES RUN THEIR COURSE...THE PATTERN ALOFT SHOWS AMPLIFICATION.
THE UPPER-LOW SOUTHWEST OF ATTU CONTINUES TO DIG THE LONGWAVE
EASTWARD SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...WITH A REINFORCING SHOT OF ENERGY
SPLITTING OFF FROM THE SAKHALIN ISLAND UPPER-LOW ADDING MORE TO THE
MIX BY MID NEXT WEEK. ALL OF THIS ENERGY WILL BEGIN INTERACTING WITH
THE OLD FRONTAL ZONE IN THE N PACIFIC...WITH A SURFACE LOW DEPICTED
BY THE MODELS FORMING NEAR 40N 164W SUN NIGHT AND MOVING TO AROUND
250 MILES SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY MON AFTERNOON. THE ECMWF AND NAM ARE
SIMILAR WITH TRACK AND SPEED MOVING THE SYSTEM TO NEAR SE PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND ON TUE. THE GFS LAGS BEHIND BY ABOUT 12 HOURS...WHILE
THE GEM IS SEVERAL HOURS FASTER AND FURTHER EAST WITH THE DEPICTION.
IN GENERAL HAVE NUDGED FORECASTS TOWARDS THE NAM/ECMWF AS THEY HAVE
REASONABLE CONSENSUS AND SOME CONSISTENCY.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL/GULF...
THE TRIPLE-POINT OVER KODIAK QUICKLY MOVES THROUGH THE GULF
TONIGHT...WITH PERIPHERAL SNOWS EXPECTED TO CLIP THE SOUTHERN KENAI
PENINSULA AND EASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND...BUT WITH THE FEATURE
BEING FAST MOVING...NOT EXPECTING SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS. SOME
DOWN INLET FLOW DEVELOPS ACROSS UPPER-COOK INLET AS THE LOW MOVES
THROUGH THE GULF...BUT IT MAY NOT BE ROBUST ENOUGH TO COMPLETELY
SCOUR OUT THE LOW CLOUDS AND FOG TONIGHT. IN THE WAKE OF THE
TRIPLE-POINT AND AMPLIFYING PATTERN ALOFT...A SERIES OF WEAK
SHORTWAVES WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE SOUTH. THESE FEATURES
MAY BE ENOUGH TO SQUEEZE OUT SOME PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MON. THESE FEATURES APPEAR FAIRLY WEAK...SO HAVE ADVERTISED
CHANCE POPS BUT IF THINGS TREND TOWARDS THE 18Z NAM (WHICH IS HEAVIER
WITH QPF) SUN NIGHT...WILL NEED TO REVISIT FORECASTS TO INCLUDE SOME
ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE POPULATION CENTERS OF UPPER COOK INLET. BY MON
EVENING...PERIPHERAL SNOW/RAIN WITH STRONG WINDS WILL BE PUSHING
TOWARDS KODIAK ISLAND ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEXT PACIFIC SYSTEM.

SOUTHWEST/AKPEN...
LIGHT SNOW FOR BRISTOL BAY ASSOCIATED WITH THE ELONGATING FRONT
TONIGHT TO SUN MORNING. A REINFORCING SHOT OF MOISTURE TO OVERSPREAD
THE SW MAINLAND BY SUN NIGHT AS THE PARENT LOW IN THE BERING SNEAKS
BY THE PRIBILOFS AND TOWARDS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA COAST. THERE MAY BE
SOME LOCAL AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW THROUGH THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AS THE
SNOW SHOULD BE RATHER LIGHTWEIGHT AND EASY TO BLOW AROUND IN 25 MPH
WINDS. BLOWING SNOW INTENSITY AND REDUCED VISIBILITY IS NOT EXPECTED
TO BE SUFFICIENT FOR ANY ADVISORIES/WARNINGS. WESTERN REACHES OF
BRISTOL BAY'S AKPEN OUT THROUGH COLD BAY ARE WEAKER SIDE OF THE
FRONT...WHERE TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING WILL ALLOW PRECIP TO FALL
AS MAINLY PASSING RAIN SHOWERS. THE S TO W GALES IN THE CENTRAL CHAIN
MIGRATE TO THE AKPEN AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS LATE TONIGHT BEFORE
DIMINISHING TO SMALL CRAFT LEVELS OR LESS SUN NIGHT AS THE PARENT LOW
FILLS AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
RUN OF THE MILL SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WITH THE SLOW MOVING LOW TO
PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE CHAIN. TEMPERATURES ALOFT REMAIN FAIRLY
STEADY STATE...SO COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF SHOWERS LIKELY TO REMAIN
UNCHANGED THROUGH MON.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...WHILE THERE IS STILL QUITE A LARGE SPREAD
IN THE TRACK OF THE LOW MOVING INTO THE GULF...THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE
HAS TRENDED TOWARD A MUCH STRONGER LOW TRACKING FARTHER WEST THAN
INITIALLY EXPECTED. SNOW WILL LIKELY OVERSPREAD THE COAST AND COPPER
RIVER BASIN LATE MONDAY INTO EARLY TUESDAY AS THIS LOW TRACKS
INLAND...WITH A POSSIBLE BRIEF CHANGE TO RAIN ALONG THE COAST. INLAND
LOCATIONS FROM COOK INLET INTO THE SUSITNA VALLEY WILL BE QUITE
SENSITIVE TO THE TRACK OF THE LOW WITH RESPECT TO POTENTIAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS. SUCH DETAILS WILL BE MORE CLEAR IN THE NEXT COUPLE
DAYS.

THEREAFTER...A MAJOR SHIFT IN THE PACIFIC PATTERN WILL BEGIN AS A
POWERFUL 220 KNOT EAST ASIAN JET STREAM TRACKS EASTWARD INTO THE
NORTHEAST PACIFIC. THERE REMAINS GOOD CONTINUITY AMONG THE GLOBAL
GUIDANCE WITH RESPECT TO A LEADING WARM FRONT SPREADING INTO SOUTHERN
ALASKA SOMETIME ON WEDNESDAY. GIVEN THE COLD DOME IN PLACE...
PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY BEGIN AS OVERRUNNING SNOW...WITH A
CHANGEOVER TO RAIN ALONG THE COAST. LATE WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
A DEEP NEGATIVE TILT TROUGH WILL THEN TAKE SHAPE OVER THE NORTHEAST
PACIFIC...WITH A WAVE TRAIN OF STRONG LOWS AND FRONTS TRACKING INTO
SOUTHERN ALASKA AND THE EASTERN BERING SEA. THE ENTIRE SUITE OF
GLOBAL GUIDANCE INCLUDING THE CANADIAN GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC
PREDICTION SYSTEM...GFS...ECMWF...AND THEIR RESPECTIVE ENSEMBLES
DEPICT SIMILAR PATTERNS. SUCH A PATTERN WILL POTENTIALLY HAVE LOCALLY
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS AS THE ACTIVE PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE...132 150 155 165 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 185
                351 352 411 412
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...180 181 185 412 414
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

ANALYSIS/MODEL DISCUSSION/SHORT TERM FORECAST...MALOY
LONG TERM FORECAST...AHSENMACHER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1000 AM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 AM     SNOW             SLANA                   62.70N 143.99W
01/11/2014  M7.0 INCH                           AK   PUBLIC

            TOTAL OF 7 INCHES OF SNOW IN 36 HOURS.

&&

JAM