Alert archive / Alaska / Red Flag Warnings in 2014

Red Flag Warning 20, NWS Anchorage, AK

May 24, 2014

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this red flag warning at May 24, 2014, 6:59 AM AKDT. It took effect at May 24, 2014, 12:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 24, 2014, 6:59 AM AKDT (14:59 UTC)
In effect from
May 24, 2014, 12:00 PM AKDT
Expired
May 24, 2014, 9:28 PM AKDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

233 
WWAK61 PAFC 241459
RFWAER

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
659 AM AKDT SAT MAY 24 2014

...STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ON THE WAY...

.THE COMBINATION OF A SURFACE TROUGH OVER COOK INLET WITH A
BUILDING HIGH OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WILL
LEAD TO STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY WINDS UP COOK INLET AND THE
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA UP TO THE SUSITNA VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE HIGHER THAN FRIDAY...BUT
A VERY DRY AIR MASS REMAINS IN PLACE AND IT WILL BE SLOW TO MODIFY
IT EVEN WITH ONSHORE FLOW. THE GUSTY SOUTHERLIES WILL HANG ON INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT AND THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BEGIN A SLOW RISE AS
TEMPERATURES FALL DURING THE MID TO LATE EVENING HOURS.

AKZ121-250600-
/O.NEW.PAFC.FW.W.0020.140524T2200Z-140525T0600Z/
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
659 AM AKDT SAT MAY 24 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
AKDT THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WIND FOR THE WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR STRONG WIND...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING.

* 20 FT WINDS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS TO 35 MPH
  ALONG THE INLET.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...22 TO 32 PERCENT...DRIEST INLAND.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND PEAK
  DURING THE EVENING HOURS. THE LOWEST RHS WILL OCCUR LATE
  AFTERNOON THROUGH MID EVENING. RHS WILL SLOWLY RISE OVERNIGHT
  WHILE WINDS WILL BE SLOW TO DIMINISH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. IT IS DIRECTED
TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM TO THE PUBLIC.

&&

$$

AKZ141-250600-
/O.NEW.PAFC.FW.W.0020.140524T2000Z-140525T0600Z/
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
659 AM AKDT SAT MAY 24 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WIND FOR THE COPPER RIVER BASIN...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR STRONG WIND...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING.

* 20 FT WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 30 MPH...STRONGEST ALONG THE COPPER
  RIVER.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...22 TO 30 PERCENT.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND PEAK DURING
  THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE LOWEST RHS WILL
  OCCUR MID AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. IT IS DIRECTED
TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM TO THE PUBLIC.

&&

$$

AKZ145-250600-
/O.NEW.PAFC.FW.W.0020.140524T2200Z-140525T0600Z/
SUSITNA VALLEY-
659 AM AKDT SAT MAY 24 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
AKDT THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WIND FOR THE SUSITNA VALLEY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR STRONG WIND...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING.

* 20 FT WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...22 TO 30 PERCENT.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND PEAK
  DURING THE EVENING HOURS. THE LOWEST RHS WILL OCCUR LATE
  AFTERNOON THROUGH MID EVENING. RHS WILL SLOWLY RISE OVERNIGHT
  WHILE WINDS WILL BE SLOW TO DIMINISH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. IT IS DIRECTED
TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM TO THE PUBLIC.

&&

$$
2 follow-up statements
394 
WWAK61 PAFC 250008
RFWAER

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
408 PM AKDT SAT MAY 24 2014


AKZ121-250600-
/O.CON.PAFC.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140525T0600Z/
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
408 PM AKDT SAT MAY 24 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WIND FOR THE WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA...

* 20 FT WINDS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS TO 35 MPH 
  ALONG THE INLET.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...22 TO 32 PERCENT...DRIEST INLAND.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL PEAK DURING THE EVENING HOURS. THE LOWEST
  RHS WILL OCCUR THROUGH MID EVENING. RHS WILL SLOWLY RISE
  OVERNIGHT WHILE WINDS WILL BE SLOW TO DIMINISH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. IT IS DIRECTED
TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM TO THE PUBLIC.

&&

$$

AKZ141-250600-
/O.CON.PAFC.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140525T0600Z/
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
408 PM AKDT SAT MAY 24 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WIND FOR THE COPPER RIVER BASIN...

* 20 FT WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 30 MPH...STRONGEST ALONG THE COPPER 
  RIVER.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...22 TO 30 PERCENT.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL PEAK DURING THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE
  LOWEST RHS WILL OCCUR THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. IT IS DIRECTED
TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM TO THE PUBLIC.

&&

$$

AKZ145-250600-
/O.CON.PAFC.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140525T0600Z/
SUSITNA VALLEY-
408 PM AKDT SAT MAY 24 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR STRONG WIND FOR THE SUSITNA VALLEY...

* 20 FT WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...22 TO 30 PERCENT.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL PEAK DURING THE EVENING HOURS. THE LOWEST
  RHS WILL OCCUR THROUGH MID EVENING. RHS WILL SLOWLY RISE
  OVERNIGHT WHILE WINDS WILL BE SLOW TO DIMINISH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. IT IS DIRECTED
TOWARD FIRE AGENCIES...AND THROUGH THEM TO THE PUBLIC.

&&

$$
778 
WWAK61 PAFC 250528
RFWAER

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
928 PM AKDT SAT MAY 24 2014

AKZ121-141-145-250630-
/O.CAN.PAFC.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140525T0600Z/
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-COPPER RIVER BASIN-SUSITNA VALLEY-
928 PM AKDT SAT MAY 24 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR STRONG WIND FOR THE SUSITNA
VALLEY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING.

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HAS RECOVERED THIS EVENING.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at May 24, 5:19 AM AKDT, 1 hour 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 24, 5:19 AM AKDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
519 AM AKDT SAT MAY 24 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS POSITIONED OVER THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS EXTENDING NORTHWARD THROUGH SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA. THE SATELLITE IMAGERY IS SHOWING CLEAR SKIES OVER
SOUTHWEST ALASKA EXCEPT SOME LOWER CLOUDS OVER THE ALASKA RANGE.
THE WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA HAS SMOKE SHOWING FROM THE FOREST FIRE
THAT IS SHOWING ON THE SATELLITE AND STREAMING NORTHWARD WITH THE
SOUTHERLY WIND DIRECTION AT THE SURFACE. THE WESTERN ALEUTINS HAS
A CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW WITH A TROUGH DOWNSTREAM OVER THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS. THE SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ALONG THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS ARE REPORTING LOW STRATUS WITH RAIN AND SOUTHEASTERLY
FLOW. THE MAJORITY OF THE BERING SEA IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WITH LOW STRATUS AND FOG.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WEEKEND. THE THERMAL TROUGH REMAINS FOR REST OF THE WEEKEND OVER
THE ALASKA RANGE WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN
GULF. THE NAM IS THE PREFERRED MODEL OF CHOICE OVER SOUTHCENTRAL
AND THE NORTHERN GULF. FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE BERING SEA
THE EC WAS THE PREFERRED MODEL OF CHOICE. THE FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REMAINS HIGH THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
THE SOUTHWEST TO SOUTHERLY FLOW UP THROUGH THE COOK INLET COMBINED
WITH THE SMOKE FROM THE FOREST FIRE IN THE SOUTHERN KENAI
PENINSULA WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHWARD. THE SMOKE WILL FORM A
BROKEN CEILING THIS MORNING IN THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND NORTHWARD
INTO THE MATANUSKA/SUSITNA VALLEY BEFORE BEING SCATTERED OUT WITH
STRONGER WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON. THE TURNAGAIN ARM WINDS WILL BE
GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE STARTING TO
BUILD INTO THE AREA. THERE IS A GOOD POSSIBILITY FOR THE COPPER
RIVER BASIN...THE WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA...THE MATANUSKA
VALLEY...POSSIBLY MEETING RED FLAG CRITERIA THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS WITH STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. THERE IS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH UPSTREAM THAT
WILL TRACK ACROSS THE BROOKS RANGE AND WILL BRING SOME SCATTERED
SHOWERS TO THE NORTHERN MATANUSKA VALLEY AND NORTHERN COPPER RIVER
BASIN THIS WEEKEND.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA
WITH OFFSHORE FLOW WITH THE NORTHWESTERLY WINDS. AS THE RIDGE
MOVES EASTWARD THE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO ONSHORE FLOW RESULTING IN
MARINE LAYER STRATUS STREAMING INLAND THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS A
MINOR TROUGH PASSING THROUGH THE BROOKS RANGE AND WILL BRING A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE UPPER KUSKOKWIM MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
MAJORITY OF THE BERING SEA AND THE CENTRAL/EASTERN ALEUTIANS HAVE
LOW STRATUS WITH FOG UNDER THE INVERSION FROM THE HIGH PRESSURE IN
PLACE. THE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING RAIN AND SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS TO THE AREA AND SPILL OVER INTO
THE WESTERN BERING SEA THROUGHOUT THIS WEEKEND. THE LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED WEST OF THE SHEMYA WILL CROSS OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND TRACK NORTH OF THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS GOING
INTO NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BRING SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WITH RAIN AND
AREAS OF FOG TO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE EASTWARD AND
BE LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF BY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING
WARMER TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY TURNAGAIN ARM WINDS TO SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT IS APPROACHING THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS THIS WEEKEND WILL TRACK ACROSS THE BERING SEA AND MOVE
INLAND NEAR THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA BY THURSDAY MORNING. MOISTURE AND
RAIN WILL BE ADVECTED INTO THE SOUTHWEST/SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
TOWARDS THE LATER PART OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
&&

PLD MAY 14

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 24, 3:05 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC6 days
May 24, 3:29 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC3 days

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Alaska, 2014Every red flag warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.