Hurricane Force Wind Warning 1, NWS Anchorage, AK

875 
FZAK51 PAFC 071657 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
750 AM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

UPDATED 121 126 1271 128 129 138 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-080300-
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 990 MB LOW 90 NM SOUTHEAST OF SEWARD WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN TO 994 MB
AS IT MOVES TO 150 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK THIS EVENING AND THEN
CONTINUES TO TRACK FURTHER SOUTHWEST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD
INTO THE GULF TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-080300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-080300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 55 KT BECOMING E 40 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT.
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18
FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 10
FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-080300-
RESURRECTION BAY
750 AM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-080300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE.
SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-080300-
PORT VALDEZ
750 AM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-080300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
750 AM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 5
FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
 .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-080300-
VALDEZ ARM
750 AM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-080300-
PASSAGE CANAL
750 AM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO
4 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-080300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 65 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 18
FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-080300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 55 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-080300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...N WIND 50 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT...EXCEPT 18 FT NORTH OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-080300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 45 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-080300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-080300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
750 AM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 55 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT OVER THE NORTHERN
STRAIT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT...EXCEPT BUILDING
TO 20 FT OVER THE NORTHERN STRAIT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-080300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 55 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-080300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 AM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-080300-
KACHEMAK BAY
750 AM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

690 
FZAK51 PAFC 080029
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-081500-
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 990 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTH
PACIFIC TONIGHT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST IN THE CENTRAL
GULF THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-081500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-081500-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-081500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-081500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ126-081500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-081500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-081500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-081500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT DURING THE EVENING. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT BY MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-081500-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ131-081500-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-081500-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NE 15 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-081500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ137-081500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-081500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-081500-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-081500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-081500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST FRI FEB 7 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
145 PM AKST THU FEB 6 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN UNUSUALLY STRONG UPPER HIGH CONTINUES TO DOMINATE WEATHER ACROSS
THE REGION. THE MUCH-ANTICIPATED UPPER SHORTWAVE HAS ROUNDED THE TOP
OF THIS HIGH AND IS NOW DROPPING SOUTHWARD THROUGH INTERIOR ALASKA. A
STRONG 150 KT JET BETWEEN THESE TWO FEATURES IS FUELING THE RAPID
AMPLIFICATION OF THE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN ALONG WITH THE RESULTING
SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR CURRENTLY MOVING TOWARD SOUTHERN ALASKA. AT THE
SURFACE...PRESSURE GRADIENTS ARE CURRENTLY LIGHT ACROSS MOST OF THE
SOUTHERN MAINLAND. A TROUGH IN THE NORTHERN GULF CONTINUES TO PRODUCE
SOME GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THE FAVORED GAPS IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY
OF THE COAST. SOME SCATTERED AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG ARE
LINGERING AROUND COOK INLET AND THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND BUT ARE
GRADUALLY DIMINISHING IN COVERAGE. OUT WEST...STRONG LOW-LEVEL
INVERSIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE BERING SEA CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LIGHT
WINDS AND WIDESPREAD AREAS OF MARINE FOG AND STRATUS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN EXCELLENT OVERALL AGREEMENT. THERE IS STILL A
PERSISTENT DISCREPANCY IN REGARDS TO THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW
OVER THE WESTERN GULF AS IT WEAKENS AND MOVES TO THE SOUTHWEST DURING
THE DAY TOMORROW. THESE DIFFERENCES WILL HAVE FAIRLY MINOR IMPACTS ON
THE TIMING AND STRENGTH OF MANY OF THE GAP WINDS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
TONIGHT AROUND THE AREA...BUT WILL MAKE A MUCH BIGGER DIFFERENCE FOR
KODIAK ISLAND. THE NAM TAKES THE LOW CENTER ACROSS KODIAK
ISLAND...WHICH WOULD DIMINISH THE WINDS AROUND THE TIME OF HEAVIEST
SNOWFALL. MEANWHILE THE GFS TAKES THE LOW WELL SOUTH OF THE ISLAND
AND WOULD KEEP BOTH WINDS AND HEAVY SNOW CONCURRENT FOR MUCH OF THE
DAY. THE ECMWF AND GEM BOTH SPLIT THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE OTHER
TWO MODELS...AND REPRESENT A GOOD MIDDLE GROUND SOLUTION THAT IS ALSO
RELATIVELY CONSISTENT WITH THE INHERITED FORECAST.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...A DECEPTIVELY TRANQUIL DAY IS UNFOLDING ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTHERN ALASKA. INCREASING MID AND HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDINESS ARE AN
EARLY INDICATION OF THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER DESTINED TO IMPACT THE
AREA BEGINNING THIS EVENING. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE
OVERALL FORECAST PHILOSOPHY TODAY. UPSTREAM SNOWFALL RATES ACROSS THE
INTERIOR HAVE BEEN IMPRESSIVE...WHICH RAISES CONFIDENCE IN SOME MINOR
ACCUMULATIONS THIS EVENING...MAINLY AROUND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN. MEANWHILE...WINDS WILL INCREASE DRAMATICALLY
ACROSS THE MATANUSKA VALLEY AND THROUGH THOMPSON PASS THIS EVENING AS
COLD AIR ADVECTION AND RAPID STORM INTENSIFICATION IN THE GULF KICK
INTO HIGH GEAR. SOON AFTER...ANCHORAGE AND THE WESTERN KENAI AS WELL
AS ALL FAVORED GAP WIND LOCATIONS WILL START TO SEE WINDS INCREASE
MARKEDLY. PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW LOW WILL BE CONFINED
ALMOST ENTIRELY TO COASTAL AREAS...WITH THE EASTERN KENAI AND KODIAK
ISLAND BERING THE BRUNT OF THE SNOW. BLOWING SNOW ADVISORIES REMAIN
IN PLACE IN BOTH OF THESE AREAS.

SOUTHWEST...A SHIFT TO OVERALL OFFSHORE FLOW HAS COMMENCED...WHICH
WILL GRADUALLY ELIMINATE THE LOW CLOUDS AND FOG LOITERING ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA. THE MAIN IMPACT TO THE AREA FROM THE BIG STORM IN THE
GULF WILL BE A DRAMATIC INCREASE IN NORTHERLY WINDS TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW...WITH GUSTS LIKELY APPROACHING 60 MPH BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON
ALONG THE COAST. ACCOMPANYING THESE WINDS WILL BE A SIGNIFICANTLY
COLDER AIRMASS...WITH WIND CHILL VALUES WELL BELOW ZERO BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS... HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS FIRMLY IN CONTROL
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...WHICH MEANS A CONTINUATION OF
UNSEASONABLY TRANQUIL WEATHER ACROSS THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS. THE
MOST ACTIVE WEATHER WILL BE FOUND OVER THE EASTERN BERING AND BRISTOL
BAY WHERE COLD AIR COMING OFF THE LAND WILL GENERATE SNOW SHOWERS AND
BLOWING SNOW ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
THE EXTENDED FORECAST LOOKS TO BE DRIVEN BY THE CLOSED UPPER LOW
CURRENTLY DROPPING DOWN FROM THE ARCTIC. RIDGING WILL REMAIN OVER THE
WESTERN BERING WHILE THE REMNANTS OF THE CURRENT UPPER LOW WILL
GYRATE AROUND THE GULF. DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE IS IN PRETTY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE LONG-WAVE PATTERN WHICH WILL REMAIN CONDUCIVE FOR
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE MAINLAND ALONG WITH A
CONTINUATION OF DRY CONDITIONS. NORTH AMERICAN ENSEMBLE
GUIDANCE...GFS ENSEMBLES...AND EUROPEAN ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE ALL FAVOR
AN ARCTIC AIR DUMP INTO THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND AND SUBSEQUENT
TROUGHING ALOFT...WHICH WOULD EVENTUALLY FAVOR THE RETURN OF
PRECIPITATION TO THE SOUTHCENTRAL BUT COLD AND DRY WILL PREVAIL FOR
THE TIME BEING.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 111
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY 125 171
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 121 126 127 130 140 141 160 180 181 185
         STORM 119 120 127 130 131 138 139 180
         GALE 121 125 126 128 132 136 137 140 141 150 155 160 165 170
              171 172 173 174 175 176 179 181 185
FIRE WEATHER...RED FLAG WARNING 111 121

AMD FEB 14