Gale Warning 757, NWS Anchorage, AK

845 
FZAK52 PAFC 271815 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
915 AM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-280415-
915 AM AKST THU NOV 27 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 983 MB LOW 250 NM W OF SAINT PAUL WILL MOVE TO 160 NM W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND AT 986 MB THU EVENING AND THEN MOVE OVER NORTHEAST
RUSSIA WHILE WEAKENING TO 1005 MB BY LATE FRI NIGHT.


$$

PKZ150-280415-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
915 AM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NW 25 KT. SEAS
8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ155-280415-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
915 AM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ160-280415-
BRISTOL BAY-
915 AM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-280415-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
915 AM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ170-280415-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
915 AM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ171-280415-
UNALASKA BAY-
915 AM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN. 
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-280415-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
915 AM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ173-280415-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
915 AM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ174-280415-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
915 AM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ175-280415-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
915 AM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ176-280415-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
915 AM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ177-280415-
ADAK TO KISKA-
915 AM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT.

$$

PKZ178-280415-
KISKA TO ATTU-
915 AM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT PACIFIC SIDE...W WIND 30 KT BERING SIDE.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 31 FT.

$$

PKZ179-280415-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
915 AM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ180-280415-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
915 AM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ181-280415-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
915 AM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ185-280415-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
915 AM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SW 35 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

013 
FZAK52 PAFC 280039
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
339 PM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-281400-
339 PM AKST THU NOV 27 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 988 MB LOW 275 NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND WILL STEADILY
WEAKEN TO 1011 MB NEAR THE BERING STRAIT SAT AFTERNOON. A 979 MB
NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 520 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA SAT
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-281400-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
339 PM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ155-281400-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
339 PM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ160-281400-
BRISTOL BAY-
339 PM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ165-281400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
339 PM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ170-281400-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
339 PM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ171-281400-
UNALASKA BAY-
339 PM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-281400-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
339 PM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ173-281400-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
339 PM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ174-281400-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
339 PM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ175-281400-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
339 PM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ176-281400-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
339 PM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14
FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ177-281400-
ADAK TO KISKA-
339 PM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ178-281400-
KISKA TO ATTU-
339 PM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT.  SNOW THEN RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ179-281400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
339 PM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ180-281400-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
339 PM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ181-281400-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
339 PM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ185-281400-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
339 PM AKST THU NOV 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
407 PM AKST WED NOV 26 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THERE IS A FAIRLY SHARP UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER WESTERN/CENTRAL
ALASKA. THERE IS NORTH-NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER EASTERN ALASKA ON
THE EAST SIDE OF THIS RIDGE. TO THE WEST THERE IS A DEEP UPPER LOW
OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS. AN UPPER TROUGH AND
SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER LOW IS OVER THE NORTHERN
BERING WITH A WEAKENING FRONT JUST WEST OF THE ALASKAN WEST COAST.
A STRONG SURFACE LOW CENTERED JUST WEST OF ADAK IS RAPIDLY MOVING
NORTH. THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW STRETCHES FROM THE SOUTH
CENTRAL BERING TO THE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE ALEUTAINS JUST WEST OF
UMNAK ISLAND...INTO THE NORTHERN PACIFIC WHERE IT BENDS BACK
TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH ABOUT 72
HOURS (12Z SATURDAY) THEN IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT TO 84 HOURS.
THERE IS STILL SOME SPREAD IN THE LOCATION OF A LOW MOVING TOWARD
THE ALEUTIANS IN THE 72-84 HOUR TIME FRAME...BUT LESS THAN IN
PREVIOUS RUNS. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL FOR
THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE MAIN STORY THROUGH FRIDAY WILL BE THE STRENGTH OF OUTFLOW GAP
WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...AND AREAS OF PATCHY FOG AND
LOW STRATUS AROUND COOK INLET...THE COPPER BASIN...AND THE
MATANUSKA VALLEY. OUTFLOW GAP WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK TONIGHT
AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS AHEAD OF THE BUILDING RIDGE. THE
STRONGEST GAP WINDS WILL BE ACROSS PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND INTO
VALDEZ...ALTHOUGH THEY WILL NOT BE ALL THAT IMPRESSIVE AS A
WHOLE...GENERALLY REMAINING AT OR BELOW GALE FORCE. PATCHY FOG AND
LOW STRATUS WILL BE A CONCERN ACROSS COOK INLET INTO THE
MATANUSKA VALLEY AS LINGERING CLOUDS GET TRAPPED ALONG THE
WESTERN FACING MOUNTAINS...WITH WEAK LOW LEVEL FLOW PROMOTING
INVERSIONS AND MOISTENING FROM THE KNIK ARM AND COOK INLET. THERE
IS LOW CONFIDENCE ON THE EXACT PLACEMENT AND DENSITY OF THE
FOG...BUT LOCALLY DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW MORNING...ESPECIALLY FROM ANCHORAGE TO THE MAT VALLEY.

ELSEWHERE...A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF FRIDAY
MORNING...SPREADING RAIN AND POSSIBLY MIXED RAIN AND SNOW FROM
KODIAK TO THE SOUTHERN KENAI PENINSULA COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHWEST SLOWLY PUSHES OFF TO THE EAST AS
A FRONT MOVES OVER THE AREA THURSDAY MORNING FROM THE BERING. THIS
FRONT WILL BRING PRIMARILY SNOW TO THE AREA THAT WILL LIKELY MIX
WITH RAIN ALONG THE COAST. HOWEVER...WITH WARMER AIR OVERRUNNING
SOME OF THE MORE PROTECTED AREAS OF COLDER AIR AT THE SURFACE THERE
IS A POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AROUND BRISTOL BAY
AND THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
THE LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN BERING WILL CONTINUE ITS TRACK NORTH
LEAVING WESTERLY FLOW IN ITS WAKE FOR THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS.
THIS FLOW WILL BRING IN COLDER AIR THAT WILL START TO CHANGE THE
RAIN TO SNOW STARTING IN THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THESE SHOWERY
CONDITIONS WILL LAST INTO THE WEEKEND UNTIL THE NEXT SYSTEM COMES
FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC BRINGING IN MORE STEADY RAIN.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...SATURDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY)...THIS TIME FRAME WILL FEATURE SEVERAL MORE BROAD
AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE BERING EVENTUALLY PUSHING TOWARDS
SOUTH CENTRAL BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. THE FIRST OF THESE
LOWS WILL MOVE NORTH INTO THE BERING THANKSGIVING DAY. COLD AIR
WRAPPING AROUND IT ON FRIDAY WILL DIG A TROUGH INTO THE NORTH
PACIFIC SOUTH OF BRISTOL BAY. THIS TROUGH SHOULD PROVIDE UPPER
LEVEL SUPPORT...ALBEIT WEAK...TO A WEAK FRONT MOVING THROUGH SOUTH
CENTRAL ON SATURDAY. MODESTLY DEEP SOUTHWEST FLOW SHOULD COINCIDE
WITH THIS SUPPORT TO FINALLY PUSH SOME MOISTURE INTO THE AREA.
THIS WILL LIKELY BE THE BEST CHANCE FOR SNOW FOR MANY AREAS THAT
WE HAVE SEEN FOR WEEKS. WHILE MODELS ARE STILL IRONING OUT SOME OF
THE CRITICAL DETAILS...A COUPLE OF INCHES OF ACCUMULATION DOES
LOOK POSSIBLE FOR THE ANCHORAGE AREA WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE
OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE A QUICK-HITTER THOUGH
AS IT MOVES TO THE ALCAN BORDER BY SUNDAY MORNING.

EARLY SUNDAY ANOTHER LOW WILL BULL ITS WAY FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC
INTO THE WESTERN BERING. IT WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF GALE FORCE
WINDS TO MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY. IT WILL ALSO PUSH A FAIRLY SHARP RIDGE TOWARD THE
MAINLAND. THIS RIDGE WILL KEEP THE PATTERN RATHER PROGRESSIVE AND
SHOULD LIMIT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FROM THE AFORE MENTIONED FRONT.
MODELS ARE NOW IN DECENT AGREEMENT THAT THE LOW WILL PIVOT OVER
THE WESTERN BERING AS IT TAPS INTO SOME COLDER AIR OFF OF RUSSIA.
THIS COLD AIR ADVECTION COULD TIGHTEN THE GRADIENT ENOUGH TO MAKE
FOR A DECENT SWATH OF STORM FORCE WINDS WITH POSSIBLY HURRICANE
FORCE GUSTS OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. MEANWHILE...THE LOW WILL
PRODUCE A MASSIVE WARM OCCLUSION THAT WILL HEAD TOWARDS BRISTOL
BAY LATE SUNDAY AND INTO SOUTH CENTRAL BY LATE MONDAY. WITH
SEVERAL WEAK UPPER LEVEL WAVES ACCOMPANYING THIS FEATURE AND WARM
AIR OVERRIDING COLDER AIR AT THE SURFACE...THIS WILL MAKE FOR A
VERY MESSY PATTERN WITH POSSIBLE MIXED PRECIP TYPES.

THE PARENT LOW REJOINS THE 100KT+ JET OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC AND
TRACKS ALONG THE ALEUTIANS THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS WILL SERVE TO
KEEP AREAS FROM THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL RATHER
WARM AND MOIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 127 170 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 181 185 411
               412 413 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JA
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DEK
LONG TERM...MO