Gale Warning 715, NWS Anchorage, AK

973 
FZAK51 PAFC 101237
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
337 AM AKST MON NOV 10 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-110115-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 10 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL DISSIPATE BY THIS AFTERNOON.
ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF LATE MON NIGHT
AND TRACK TO THE NORTHWESTERN GULF EARLY TUE MORNING BEFORE
DISSIPATING BY LATE TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-110115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 10 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-110115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 10 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ121-110115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-110115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-110115-
PORT VALDEZ-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 10 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-110115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 10 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-110115-
VALDEZ ARM-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 10 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-110115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-110115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-110115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 10 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-110115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N
OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ136-110115-
CHINIAK BAY-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ137-110115-
MARMOT BAY-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ138-110115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-110115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-110115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-110115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
337 AM AKST MON NOV 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
251 PM AKST SUN NOV 9 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER LEVEL PATTERN
IS DEVELOPING OVER ALASKA WITH A DEEP VERTICALLY STACKED LOW
SPINNING OVER THE BERING SEA AND A 175 KT SUBTROPICAL JET/DIGGING
TROUGH OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC INDUCING DOWNSTREAM RIDGING
OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC AND EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA. STRONG
SOUTHERLY FLOW HAS SET UP ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE AMPLIFYING
RIDGE...TRANSPORTING DEEP MOISTURE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN
GULF INTO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA AND INTERIOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA.

THE REMNANTS OF THE OCCLUDED FRONT FROM THE BERING SEA LOW ARE
PUSHING INLAND ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA...ENHANCED BY UPPER WAVES
MOVING ALONG THE FRONT. THERE IS STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW AHEAD
OF THE FRONT..BUT IT IS FAIRLY SHALLOW WITH DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW
ABOVE. THIS IS ALLOWING PRECIP TO REACH THE GROUND IN TYPICAL
DOWNSLOPE AREAS. WARMER AIR IS ALSO ARRIVING WITH THE OCCLUDED
FRONT AND SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT. THE COASTAL ZONE HAS CHANGED TO
ALL RAIN WITH TEMPERATURES NOW WELL INTO THE 30S AND 40S. INTERIOR
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA ARE STILL COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW
OR FREEZING RAIN (AS IS BEING OBSERVED IN THE SOUTHERN SUSITNA
VALLEY THIS MORNING)...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
CLIMB IN ALL AREAS.

THE LOW OUT IN THE BERING SEA IS STILL STRONG WITH AN ESTIMATED
CENTRAL PRESSURE SOMEWHERE AROUND 950 MB AS OF EARLY THIS MORNING.
HOWEVER THE STRONGEST WINDS NOW TOP OUT AT GALE FORCE. THE IMPACTS
ARE QUITE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS
BEING OBSERVED ACROSS MUCH OF THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS WITH GENERAL EVOLUTION OF THE HIGHLY AMPLIFIED
PATTERN. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS GENERALLY ABOVE AVERAGE. HOWEVER
THERE ARE SOME FORECAST CHALLENGES INCLUDING EXTENT OF PRECIP IN
DOWNSLOPE AREAS...PRECIP-TYPE OVER INTERIOR AREAS OF SOUTHCENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA...AND EXACT STRENGTH OF GAP WINDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
A WET PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK WITH
DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW ESTABLISHED OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA AND A
SERIES OF FRONTS APPROACHING THE GULF COAST. THE BULK OF THE
PRECIPITATION WILL BE CONFINED TO THE GULF COAST AS STRONG
SOUTHEASTERLY MID LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE CHUGACH RANGE KEEPS INLAND
AREAS LIMITED TO MAINLY TO SCATTERED SHOWERS. ONE EXCEPTION WILL
BE THIS EVENING AS A WEAK UPPER TROUGH LIFTS NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
AREA...BRINGING A BRIEF WINDOW OF MORE NUMEROUS SHOWERS TO
ANCHORAGE AND THE MAT-SU. SOME SNOW WILL MIX IN OVER INLAND
LOCATIONS BUT PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL BE MOSTLY RAIN OVER THE
COMING DAYS AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO WARM IN SOUTHERLY
FLOW...WITH ANY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS MOSTLY LIMITED TO HIGHER
ELEVATIONS SUCH AS TURNAGAIN AND THOMPSON PASSES. THE NEXT FRONT
APPROACHING THE COAST LATE SUNDAY WILL LEAD TO ANOTHER ROUND OF
STRONGER SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS THROUGH FAVORED AREAS SUCH AS
TURNAGAIN ARM. INLAND LOCATIONS WILL THEN SEE AN INCREASED CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION ON MONDAY AS MID LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE
SOUTHERLY AND DOWNSLOPE FLOW WEAKENS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
STEADY RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW AT TIMES WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO
EAST TONIGHT ACROSS BRISTOL BAY AND THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AS
A SHORTWAVE MOVING UP FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC DEPARTS INTO THE
INTERIOR. THIS WILL LEAVE A SHOWERY PATTERN AND ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS AS BROAD SOUTHERLY FLOW REMAINS ENTRENCHED OVER THE
AREA. ANOTHER ROUND OF STEADIER RAIN WILL APPROACH THE REGION
FROM THE SOUTH AND EAST LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AS A WARM
FRONT MOVES IN FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC. GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH TONIGHT BUT THEN RETURN TO AREAS ALONG THE
AKPEN AND ALASKA RANGE AS THIS NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES LATE
TUESDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STRONG WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN
INTENSITY THROUGH TUESDAY AS THE LARGE DEEP LOW OVER THE CENTRAL
BERING CONTINUES TO MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHWEST AND WEAKEN. WEST TO
SOUTHWESTERLY GALE FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE WESTERN
AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT BEFORE TRENDING
DOWN ON TUESDAY...BUT GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL REMAIN OVER THE
AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK AS THE WEAKENING LOW REMAINS OVER
THE NORTHWEST BERING. ANOTHER WEAKER LOW APPROACHING FROM THE
NORTH PACIFIC WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY TO THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND AKPEN LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH
STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THAT TIME PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
A BLOCKING RIDGE STRETCHING FROM THE PANHANDLE THROUGH THE ALCAN
BORDER WILL AMPLIFY AND ORIENTATE ITSELF NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST
OVER SOUTHCENTRAL BY MID WEEK...AND PERSISTS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
THIS BLOCKING RIDGE WILL KEEP A SERIES OF WEAK BERING AND NORTH
PACIFIC LOWS CONFINED MAINLY TO THE BERING SEA AND SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND. THE FEW WAVES OF PRECIPITATION THAT WILL MAKE IT INTO
SOUTHCENTRAL BY THE LATER PART OF THIS WEEK WILL MAINLY REMAIN
AROUND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST AND EASTERN KENAI...AS WELL AS
OVER KODIAK ISLAND. GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT REGARDING THE RIDGE
CONTINUES TO BUILD CONFIDENCE IN A GENERAL WARMING TREND OVER
MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL...AS WELL AS WHERE PRECIPITATION AND
DOWNSLOPING/DRYING WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
HOWEVER...MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH THE PLACEMENT AND
STRENGTH OF THE MULTIPLE SYSTEMS THAT TRACK UP THE WESTERN PART
OF THE RIDGE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEKEND. THIS CREATES MUCH
UNCERTAINTY WITH THE TRACKS OF THESE SYSTEMS OVER THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND OR BERING SEA...AND HOW STRONG THEY WILL BECOME. MAINLY
SIDED WITH WPC GUIDANCE AND TOOK A MORE BROAD BRUSH APPROACH TO
THESE SYSTEMS UNTIL MODELS COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT.

OVER THE BERING SEA AND WESTERN GULF...A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW
OVER THE NORTHWEST BERING WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND TRACK
WESTWARD THROUGH MID WEEK...BEFORE DISSIPATING OVER THE EASTERN
SIBERIAN COAST. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH COVERING MUCH OF THE BERING
WILL ELONGATE AND DIVE SOUTH INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC BY MID WEEK.
EXPECT CLOUDY AND SHOWERY CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THROUGH MID WEEK
WITH WINDS SLOWLY DIMINISHING THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. GALE FORCE
WINDS OVER THE WESTERN BERING/ALEUTIANS WILL DIMINISH BY MID
WEEK...AS JET SUPPORT BEGINS TO DECREASE AND PUSH SOUTH OF THE
CHAIN. A SET OF FRONTAL SYSTEMS WILL APPROACH THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS FROM THE WEST STARTING FRIDAY...BRINGING PRECIP AND
GUSTY WINDS BACK TO THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MODELS CONTINUE
TO STRUGGLE WITH THE TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THESE FRONTAL SYSTEMS
AS THEY MAKE THEIR WAY INTO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 119 120 130 131 173 174 175 176 177
              178 179 181 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SB
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DS
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CB
LONG TERM...TP