Gale Warning 71, NWS Anchorage, AK

242 
FZAK51 PAFC 141729 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
825 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

UPDATED ZONE 136 137

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-150300-
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 969 MB LOW CENTERED OVER KODIAK ISLAND WILL MOVE INLAND NEAR VALDEZ
AT 979 MB THIS EVENING. A WEATHER FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHERN GULF LATE
TUE NIGHT AND TRACKS TO THE NORTHERN GULF WED AFTERNOON. A 988 MB
PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 57N 148W THU MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-150300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 26 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
27 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-150300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT
BUILDING TO 26 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 25 FT
SUBSIDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-150300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-150300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT E OF NAKED ISLAND. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS S OF SEAL
ISLAND. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-150300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT BY LATE
EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-150300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-150300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-150300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-150300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-150300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT
SUBSIDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-150300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-150300-
CHINIAK BAY
825 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 12 FT
SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-150300-
MARMOT BAY
825 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 12 FT
SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-150300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-150300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 5
FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-150300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY
FOG. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N BY LATE MORNING. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-150300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

127 
FZAK51 PAFC 142115 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1215 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

UPDATED ZONE 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-150300-
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 969 MB LOW CENTERED OVER KODIAK ISLAND WILL MOVE INLAND NEAR VALDEZ
AT 979 MB THIS EVENING. A WEATHER FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHERN GULF LATE
TUE NIGHT AND TRACKS TO THE NORTHERN GULF WED AFTERNOON. A 988 MB
PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 57N 148W THU MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-150300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 26 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
27 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-150300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT
BUILDING TO 26 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 25 FT
SUBSIDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-150300-
RESURRECTION BAY
1215 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-150300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT E OF NAKED ISLAND. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS S OF SEAL
ISLAND. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-150300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT BY LATE
EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-150300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-150300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-150300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-150300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-150300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT
SUBSIDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-150300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-150300-
CHINIAK BAY
825 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 12 FT
SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-150300-
MARMOT BAY
825 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 12 FT
SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-150300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-150300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 5
FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-150300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY
FOG. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N BY LATE MORNING. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-150300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

887 
FZAK51 PAFC 142359
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-151500-
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 976 MB LOW OVER WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND MOVES NORTHEAST AND
INLAND THIS EVENING. A 986 MB LOW 210 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND
WED EVENING MOVES TO 100 NM EAST OF KODIAK ISLAND AT 989 MB THU. 

$$

PKZ119-151500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
26 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-151500-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
23 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-151500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-151500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS S OF SEAL ISLAND. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-151500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-151500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-151500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. WIND
SHIFTING TO SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-151500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-151500-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-151500-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT
SUBSIDING TO 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-151500-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N BY
MIDNIGHT. S OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT BY
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-151500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-151500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-151500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. WIND
BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-151500-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-151500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-151500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE JAN 14 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
LONGWAVE TROUGH GENERALLY DOMINANT OVER THE AOR...WITH SHARP
UPPER-LVL RIDGING OVER THE NE PACIFIC. AN UPPER-LOW IN THE NW BERING
SEA IS SLOWLY DRIFTING SOUTHWEST. RESIDUAL SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ROTATING
THROUGH THE FLOW IN SOUTHCENTRAL AND INTERIOR SW AK KEPT PRECIP
LINGERING IN AREAS THROUGH MIDDAY TODAY...BUT HAVE LARGELY PUSHED
AWAY FROM THE AOR. THE FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES TO AMPLIFY WITH THE FLOW
TURNING SOUTHERLY IN ADVANCE OF A LOW APPROACHING KODIAK ISLAND. THUS
MORE CLOUDS AND PRECIP IS UNDERWAY FOR THE MAINLAND. THE LOW CENTERED
AROUND 130 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT AT 967 MB IS MOVING
NORTHEAST. SNOW AND RAIN HAS ALREADY OVERSPREAD KODIAK ISLAND AND THE
AKPEN PUSHING TOWARDS BRISTOL BAY AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. GALES
HAVE ALSO PUSHED INTO MARINE AREAS OF THE GULF AND WATERS OFFSHORE
THE AKPEN. THERE IS ALSO A LOW AROUND 700 MILES SOUTH OF KISKA MOVING
EAST WHICH WILL PLAY A ROLE FOR WEATHER CONDITIONS THE NEXT FEW DAYS
IN THE AOR.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
ADEQUATE MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE MAIN WEATHER FEATURES...BUT NOT
GREAT. OUT WEST...THE LOW SOUTH OF KISKA TRACKS TO AROUND 200 MILES
SOUTH OF NIKOLSKI BY WED...THEN TO NEAR UNALASKA ON THU. THE GFS AND
NAM DO NOT TRACK THIS FEATURE AS FAR NORTH AS QUICKLY...BUT DO SHOW A
DEEPER/STRONGER LOW WITH A LARGER ASSOCIATED STRONG WIND FIELD.
BECAUSE THE ECMWF TRACKS THE LOWER CLOSER TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS IT
ALSO ALLOWS FOR WARMER AIR (TRANSITION TO RAIN) AND A MORE RELAXED
PRESSURE GRADIENT TO THE EASTERN CHAIN/BERING WITH FROPA MID WEEK.
THE GFS/NAM BY CONTRAST KEEP STRONGER WINDS AROUND LONGER WITH COLDER
TEMPERATURES (HIGHER CHANCE OF SNOW). HAVE TENDED TO SIDE WITH THE
WARMER SOLUTION AS THE ECMWF HAS HAD BETTER TRACK RECORD OF LATE WITH
THESE PACIFIC SYSTEMS.

FURTHER EAST...THE GEM AND ECMWF HAVE INITIALIZED BEST WITH THE LOW
MOVING TOWARDS THE GULF/KODIAK. THE 12Z GFS AND NAM INITIALIZED
POORLY...BUT THE 18Z RUNS ARE A BIT MORE IN LINE WITH THE PREFERRED
SOLUTION. THE 967 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO AROUND 50 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
HOMER AT 971 MB TUE MORNING THEN PUSH ASHORE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
NEAR VALDEZ AT 979 MB BY EARLY TUE EVENING. ALOFT...MODELS SHOW THE
LOW'S SUPPORTING SHORTWAVE ENERGY CLEARING THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL AK
DURING BY TUE EVENING. MODELS SHOW THE PASSAGE OF THIS TROUGH ALOFT
COUPLED WILL SIGNAL THE START OF SIGNIFICANT AMPLIFICATION OF THE NE
PACIFIC RIDGE. THIS WILL BE AIDED BY THE AFOREMENTIONED N PAC LOW
SOUTH OF KISKA DEEPENING THE TROUGH UPSTREAM. THE LOW WILL HELP PUSH
A WARM FRONT THROUGH THE GULF ON WED TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND.
850 MB TEMPERATURES THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL OF -7 CELSIUS WED MORNING
ARE SHOWN WARMING TO AROUND 0 CELSIUS BY THU MORNING. THESE
TEMPERATURES BECOME WIDESPREAD IN SCOPE...PUSH INLAND...AND ARE GIVEN
AN ADDED BOOST OF WARMING BY A SURFACE WAVE THAT TRACKS FROM THE
PACIFIC SUBTROPICS TO AROUND 300 MILES SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND WED
AFTERNOON THAT PUSHES TOWARDS THE KENAI PENINSULA ON THU.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL/GULF...
THE SNOW AND RAIN OVER KODIAK ISLAND SHOULD TAPER TO OFF TO PASSING
SHOWERS BY MIDDAY TUE AS THE SURFACE LOW PASSES BY USHERING IN A
BRIEF PERIOD OF WEST OFF-SHORE FLOW. MARINE AREAS OF THE GULF WILL
SEE MIN GALE FORCE SOUTH TO EASTERLIES SHIFT TO A STRONGER SW GALES
NEAR STORM FORCE WITH THE FAST MOVING LOW. THE NEXT SLUG OF
PRECIPITATION WILL BE MAINLY IN THE FORM OF RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH A
STRONGER WARM FRONT AND SUSTAINED PUSH OF WARM ADVECTION LATE TUE
NIGHT INTO WED INTO KODIAK ISLAND.

THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND WILL SEE PRECIPITATION IN THE GULF WORK UP
TONIGHT. ALL AREAS OF THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND SHOULD START AS
SNOW...THOUGH MINOR WARM ADVECTION SHOULD ALLOW SOME MIXING WITH RAIN
FOR IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS OF THE KENAI PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. REGARDLESS...THERE WILL BE PERIODS OF MODERATE
SNOW ON TAP FOR INTERIOR PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE PASSES OF THE
KENAI PENISNULA. NORTH AND WEST OF THE CHUGACH/KENAI RANGES...A BRIEF
PERIOD OF ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL ALLOW FOR SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BEFORE A STRONGER SOUTHEAST TO EAST FLOW BEGINS
TYPICAL DOWNSLOPING. THIS SE FLOW HAS ALREADY MANIFESTED A BIT WITH
SOME GUSTY WINDS ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM/PORTAGE VALLEY. THE DOWNSLOPING
DIMINISHES BY TUE AFTERNOON AS THE LOW WORKS UP TOWARDS VALDEZ. SOME
WEAK COLD ADVECTION WITH THE SUPPORTING SHORTWAVE ALOFT WILL SUPPORT
ANOTHER BRIEF PERIOD OF  STEADY SNOW TUE AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TUE
EVENING. A BRIEF LULL THEN OCCURS UNTIL IMPACTS FROM THE STRONGER
WARM FRONT AND STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW MOVE UP TO THE MAINLAND THE
LATTER PART OF WED.

SOUTHWEST/AKPEN...
LAST VESTIGES OF SHOWERS FROM SHORTWAVE TROUGHS EXITING THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA/VALLEY THIS EVENING. PERIPHERAL SNOW FROM THE SYSTEM NEARING
KODIAK ISLAND ALREADY FILLING IN ON THE KING SALMON RADAR AND THIS
MOISTURE WILL SPREAD NORTH OVERNIGHT. SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATION
LIKELY OVER THE AHKLUN AND ALEUTIAN RANGES DUE TO ADDED UPSLOPE
LIFT...WITH SLIGHTLY LESSER AMOUNTS ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS. PENDING
TEMPERATURES...THERE MAY BE SOME LOCAL BLOWING SNOW
OVERNIGHT...THOUGH SHOULD BE TEMPERED SOMEWHAT BY SNOW BEING SOMEWHAT
WET. THE STORM SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED DYNAMICS MOVE THROUGH BY MIDDAY
ALLOWING PRECIP TO TAPER OFF. LIKE SOUTHCENTRAL...A LULL EXPECTED TUE
NIGHT BEFORE IMPACTS FROM THE NEXT STORM MOVE UP WED.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
UPPER-LOW CONTINUES TO KEEP INSTABILITY SHOWERS AROUND THROUGH THE
CHAIN AND BERING SEA. THE FEATURE WILL BE SLOW MOVING...WITH ONLY
SOME DRIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS...SO
CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY PERSISTENT AND STEADY STATE. SOME
STRENGTHENING OF THE PRESSURE GRADIENT EXPECTED TO RETURN SOME GALES
TO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CHAIN LATE TUE NIGHT AS THE LOW SOUTH OF
KISKA BEGINS TO EXERT SOME INFLUENCE TO THE AREA. PRECIPITATION
LIKELY TO BE WET SNOW INITIALLY WITH THAT FEATURE.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
WHILE THE DETAILS GET MURKY WITH SOME SPECIFIC FEATURES AND
TIMING...THE SPIRIT OF STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW...HIGH QPF AND
ANOMALOUSLY WARM AIR IS SHOWN CONTINUING RIGHT INTO THE EARLY PART OF
THE WEEKEND WITH DECENT MODEL AGREEMENT. THE LATTER PART OF THE
WEEKEND FEATURES A BREAKDOWN IN THE WARM PATTERN TO MORE SEASONABLE
AIR AS STORMS SCOOTING SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN AND THE UPPER-LOW
IN THE BERING PUSH UP AGAINST THE STOUT RIDGE.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE...119 120 130 131 132 150 155 170 172 173 174 181 185
                351 352 411
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...179 180 181 185 411 412 414
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

MALOY