Gale Warning 691, NWS Anchorage, AK

409 
FZAK62 PAFC 291244
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
344 AM AKST SAT NOV 29 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-300245-
344 AM AKST SAT NOV 29 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 982 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO NEAR 46N 179E THIS EVENING
AND THEN DISSIPATE NEAR 49N 176W SUN MORNING. A SECONDARY 983 MB LOW
WILL FORM NEAR 54N 178E TONIGHT AND THEN MOVE TO NEAR 59N 174E
WHILE STRENGTHENING TO 970 MB BY EARLY MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ411-300245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
344 AM AKST SAT NOV 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT...BECOMING NW 30 TO 40 KT S OF 56N
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...W WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 31 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ412-300245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
344 AM AKST SAT NOV 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 30 TO 45 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.

$$

PKZ413-300245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
344 AM AKST SAT NOV 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 30 TO 45 KT THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 TO 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 TO 24 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

$$

PKZ414-300245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
344 AM AKST SAT NOV 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S WIND 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

380 
FZAK62 PAFC 300007
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 29 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-301400-
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 29 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 988 MB LOW NEAR 51N 177E WILL STRENGTHEN TO 971 MB NEAR 60N 175E
SUN EVENING BEFORE BECOMING STATIONARY AND WEAKENING TO 979 BY MON
AFTERNOON. A SECONDARY 978 MB LOW WILL FORM NEAR 59N 171W MON
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-301400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 29 2014

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...W WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 26 FT. SNOW SHOWERS
AND RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 33 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 TO 31 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ412-301400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 TO 17 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ413-301400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 TO 26 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 TO 26 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ414-301400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
307 PM AKST SAT NOV 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.THU...NE WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

627 
FZAK62 PAFC 301245
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
345 AM AKST SUN NOV 30 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-010145-
345 AM AKST SUN NOV 30 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 982 MB LOW NEAR 46N 179W STRENGTHENS TO 980 MB NEAR 58N 171W
MON MORNING...THEN REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH THROUGH MON NIGHT. A 982 MB LOW NEAR 56N 179E STRENGTHENS
TO 970 MB NEAR 59N 175E...THEN MOVES TO 56N 180 WHILE WEAKENING
TO 981 MB MON EVENING BEFORE DISSIPATING MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-010145-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
345 AM AKST SUN NOV 30 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 TO 26 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 31 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 31 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ412-010145-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
345 AM AKST SUN NOV 30 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ413-010145-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
345 AM AKST SUN NOV 30 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 TO 27 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 TO 27 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ414-010145-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
345 AM AKST SUN NOV 30 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.THU...NE WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

063 
FZAK62 PAFC 302340
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
240 PM AKST SUN NOV 30 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-011430-
240 PM AKST SUN NOV 30 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 974 MB LOW NEAR 59N 178E WILL MOVE TO 57N 177E MON AFTERNOON
THEN DISSIPATE MON EVENING AS IT NEARS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. 
A 979 MB LOW WILL FORM NEAR 58N 170W MON MORNING. THIS LOW WILL
REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH MON NIGHT THEN TRACK TO 55N 172W
TUE AFTERNOON AT 987 MB.

$$

PKZ411-011430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
240 PM AKST SUN NOV 30 2014

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 40 KT INCREASING TO 35 TO 50 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 17 TO 32 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 TO 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 TO 45 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 TO 31 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 20 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ412-011430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
240 PM AKST SUN NOV 30 2014

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND UP TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 TO 20 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.

$$

PKZ413-011430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
240 PM AKST SUN NOV 30 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 TO 27 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 TO 29 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 15 TO 22 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$

PKZ414-011430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
240 PM AKST SUN NOV 30 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

882 
FZAK62 PAFC 011243
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
343 AM AKST MON DEC 1 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-020230-
343 AM AKST MON DEC 1 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 971 MB LOW NEAR 59N 175E MOVES TO 54N 175W WHILE WEAKENING TO
988 MB MON NIGHT...THEN MOVES TO THE NORTH PACIFIC NEAR 50N 161W
WHILE WEAKENING TO 989 MB TUE NIGHT. A 979 MB LOW FORMS ALONG A
STRONG WEATHER FRONT NEAR 59N 171W LATER THIS MORNING...THEN
REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH MON NIGHT WHILE WEAKENING TO
985 MB. THIS LOW THEN MOVES TO 55N 167W WHILE WEAKENING TO 990 MB
TUE AFTERNOON BEFORE DISSIPATING.

$$

PKZ411-020230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
343 AM AKST MON DEC 1 2014

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 17 TO 32 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 31 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 TO 21 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.

$$

PKZ412-020230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
343 AM AKST MON DEC 1 2014

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 TO 20 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.

$$

PKZ413-020230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
343 AM AKST MON DEC 1 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 TO 24 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 TO 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 15 TO 22 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 13 TO 17 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$

PKZ414-020230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
343 AM AKST MON DEC 1 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 TO 19 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

615 
FZAK62 PAFC 020009
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
309 PM AKST MON DEC 1 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-021415-
309 PM AKST MON DEC 1 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 976 MB LOW NEAR 57N 179E WILL MOVE TO 51N 164W AT 989 MB TUE
EVENING THEN TO 48N 156W AT 992 MB WED AFTERNOON. A NORTH PACIFIC
LOW MOVES TO 51N 174E AT 997 MB WED MORNING. A 998 MB LOW FORMS
NEAR 59N 166W WED MORNING. 

$$

PKZ411-021415-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
309 PM AKST MON DEC 1 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 TO 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 TO 45 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. N OF 56N...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 17 TO 36 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 TO 40 KT BECOMING N 20 TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 TO 21 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
.WED...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.

$$

PKZ412-021415-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
309 PM AKST MON DEC 1 2014

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND UP TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 17 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

PKZ413-021415-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
309 PM AKST MON DEC 1 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 TO 45 KT BECOMING NW 20 TO 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 TO 30 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT.
.WED...NE WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT.

$$

PKZ414-021415-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
309 PM AKST MON DEC 1 2014

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND TO 20 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 TO
13 FT.
.WED...NW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
457 AM AKST FRI NOV 28 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
MAINLY CLEAR SKIES PREVAIL ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THIS MORNING
BENEATH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW
PERSISTENT AREAS OF LOW STRATUS AND FOG FROM THE ANCHORAGE BOWL
AND MATANUSKA VALLEY INTO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AS MOISTURE
REMAINS TRAPPED BENEATH A LOW LEVEL INVERSION. A FEW MID AND HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS ARE BEGINNING TO WORK THEIR WAY INTO THE COOK INLET
REGION AND SUSITNA VALLEY AS THE RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS GRADUALLY
EASTWARD. A WEAKENING FRONT IS SPREADING A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS OVER PORTIONS OF BRISTOL BAY AND THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY AS IT PUSHES INLAND FROM THE EASTERN BERING SEA. STRONG
WINDS HAVE GENERALLY SUBSIDED ACROSS THE BERING AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM TRACKS NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE BERING STRAIT...BUT WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS REMAIN OVER THE REGION BENEATH CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE REMAINS ABOVE AVERAGE IN THE SHORT TERM AS
MODELS SHOW GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO SYNOPTIC FEATURES
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. PREFERRED THE GFS OVER THE WESTERN PART OF
THE DOMAIN AND CONTINUED TO UTILIZE HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS
CLOSER TO THE GULF FOR THEIR HANDLING OF SMALL SCALE FEATURES.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

WITH THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVING TO THE EAST THERE ARE SOME
CLOUDS MOVING INTO SOUTHCENTRAL FROM WEST TO EAST TODAY. MOST OF
THE AREA WILL REMAIN WITHOUT PRECIPITATION TODAY EXCEPT FOR KODIAK
WHICH WILL BE IN THE RAIN. THE INCREASING CLOUDINESS WILL HELP TO
REDUCE THE FOG IN THE COOK INLET REGION TODAY BUT A STRONG
INVERSION TO AROUND 1300 FT...AS SEEN ON THE ANCHORAGE RAOB THIS
MORNING...WILL KEEP SOME AREAS OF FOG AND STRATUS AROUND THROUGH
THE MORNING. THE COPPER RIVER BASIN REMAINS ENTRENCHED IN THE
STRATUS AND MAY HAVE A DIFFICULT TIME BREAKING OUT TODAY. THE
INCREASING MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS MAY HELP TO BRING SOME MORE
MIXING THROUGH THE ATMOSPHERE AND IMPROVE CONDITIONS THIS
AFTERNOON.

A STRONG SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA SATURDAY
AND THIS IS WHAT WILL BRING IN THE SNOWFALL LATE TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA RATHER
QUICKLY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES INTO THE AREA LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THIS WILL LIMIT THE SNOWFALL TO JUST A
FEW INCHES FOR MOST LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
SURFACE RIDGING ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND BREAKS DOWN TODAY
AS A COMBINATION OF WEAK TROUGHING WORKS INLAND FROM THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA AND ANOTHER SURFACE LOW MOVES A FRONT UP FROM THE NORTH
PACIFIC. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME NUMEROUS
IN THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM AND BRISTOL BAY. A WARMER
AIR MASS ALONG AND SOUTH OF KING SALMON WILL SUPPORT
PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS RAIN...WITH SNOW MIXED AT TIMES.
PRECIPITATION WILL DIMINISH ON SATURDAY FROM WEST TO EAST AS
RIDGING BUILDS BACK INTO THE SOUTHWEST FROM THE BERING.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN BERING PUSHES A SHORTWAVE OVER THE
EASTERN BERING TODAY. PRECIPITATION DEVELOPS ALONG THIS WAVE AS RAIN
WITH SNOW MIXED NORTH OF THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS. THE NEXT
SIGNIFICANT FRONT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS BY SATURDAY
MORNING BRINGING HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY GALE WINDS. THE LOW CENTER
DRIVING THE FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS LATE SATURDAY
PUSHING THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THROUGH MUCH OF THE BERING BY
SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

BY SUNDAY AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE EASTERN BERING WHILE
A TROUGH WITH EMBEDDED CUT-OFF LOW DIGS INTO THE WESTERN BERING.
AS THE RIDGE MOVES TO THE ALCAN BY TUE THE CUT-OFF WILL CROSS THE
BERING AND THEN THE AKPEN INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC ON WED. AN UPPER
LOW FROM NORTHERN CANADA WILL ROTATE AROUND THE REMAINS OF THE
RIDGE AND ARRIVE NEAR THE BERING STRAIT EARLY ON THU. AT THE
SURFACE...A LOW MOVING ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS WILL BE FORCED TO
PINWHEEL IN THE WESTERN BERING ON MON BEFORE RECROSSING THE
ALEUTIANS NEAR DUTCH HARBOR LATE ON TUE AND THEN MOVING INTO THE
NORTH PACIFIC ON WED. A LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN BERING ON
THU. A WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE ORIGINAL BERING LOW WILL
CROSS SOUTHWEST AK ON SUN AND THEN SOUTHCENTRAL SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MON. THE TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE
ALEUTIANS SUN AND MON. FINALLY THE OCCLUDED FRONT WILL AFFECT
SOUTHWEST AK AND SOUTHCENTRAL TUE AND WED.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIRLY HIGH SUN THROUGH TUE...AND THEN
BECOMES LESS SO AS MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE WITH POSITIONS OF THE
LOWS BOTH IN THE NORTHERN BERING AND SOUTH OF THE AKPEN. WPC WAS
USED AS A GOOD AVERAGE POSITION OF FEATURES THROUGH THU. THIS
SOLUTION BRINGS WIND AND RAIN TO THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS ON THE
EASTERN FLANK OF THE LOW THROUGH AT LEAST TUE...WITH WIND...AND
RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS ON THE WESTERN FLANK THROUGH THU.
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL WILL HAVE RAIN AND SNOW SUN NIGHT
THROUGH WED...WITH RAIN ON THE COAST AND SNOW SHOWERS INLAND ON
THU.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...173 174 175 176 177 178.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...CB
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...DS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1132 AM AKST FRI NOV 28 2014

AKZ121-292045-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...
COOPER LANDING
1132 AM AKST FRI NOV 28 2014

...HIGH WATER ON THE KENAI RIVER...

WATER LEVEL ON THE UPPER KENAI RIVER AT COOPER LANDING HAS FALLEN
STEADILY OVER THE PAST FIVE DAYS WHILE THE KENAI RIVER LEVEL AT
THE OUTLET OF SKILAK LAKE HAS CONTINUED TO RISE. THIS MAY INDICATE
SKILAK GLACIER DAM LAKE IS RELEASING. SKILAK GLACIER DAM LAKE LAST
RELEASED IN SEPTEMBER 2013 THEREFORE THE VOLUME OF THE LAKE SHOULD
BE RELATIVELY SMALL AS COMPARED TO PREVIOUS RELEASES. IF THE
GLACIER DAM LAKE IS RELEASING THE KENAI RIVER COULD POTENTIALLY
RISE ANOTHER COUPLE OF FEET DEPENDING ON LOCATION BETWEEN THE
SKILAK LAKE OUTLET AND THE MOUTH OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

LIMITED ICE COVER IS BEING REPORTED ON THE LOWER KENAI RIVER WHICH
SHOULD REDUCE THE THREAT OF ICE JAM AND ICE RELATED IMPACTS DURING THIS
EVENT.

EXPECTED IMPACTS:
RESIDENTS ALONG THE RIVER...PARTICULARLY IN THE KENAI KEYS AND
BIG EDDY AREA...SHOULD BE AWARE THAT KENAI RIVER LEVELS ARE
RISING AND MAY CONTINUE TO RISE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.