Gale Warning 686, NWS Anchorage, AK

900 
FZAK62 PAFC 231207
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
307 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-240245-
307 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 983 MB LOW OVER THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS MOVES TO 56N 157W AT 995 MB
SUN NIGHT...THEN MOVES INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA MON AFTERNOON WHILE
WEAKENING TO 1003 MB. A STRENGTHENING KAMCHATKA LOW MOVES TO NEAR
52N 163E AT 988 MB SUN AFTERNOON...THEN PEAKS AT 972 MB NEAR 56N
170E MON NIGHT. A 987 MB LOW NEAR 48N 172E SUN EVENING
STRENGTHENS TO 977 MB NEAR 53N 178E MON MORNING...THEN MERGES WITH
THE KAMCHATKA LOW MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-240245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
307 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.

$$

PKZ412-240245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
307 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT INCREASING TO 25 TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 11 TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.

$$

PKZ413-240245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
307 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND UP TO 20 KT BECOMING S 15 TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.

$$

PKZ414-240245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
307 AM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$

105 
FZAK62 PAFC 232357
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-241400-
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 988 MB LOW NEAR 55N 158W MOVES TO 57N 148W AT 1011 MB MONDAY
NIGHT. A 986 MB LOW NEAR 50N 173E TONIGHT MOVES TO 57N 167E AT
970 MB MONDAY NIGHT THEN WEAKENS TO 978 MB NEAR 56N 169E TUESDAY.


$$

PKZ411-241400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 20 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ412-241400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.FRI...N WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.

$$

PKZ413-241400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND UP TO 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ414-241400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
257 PM AKST SUN NOV 23 2014

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.FRI...E WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT.

$$

147 
FZAK62 PAFC 241223
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
323 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-250230-
323 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 997 MB LOW NEAR 55N 155W WEAKENS TO 1012 MB MON NIGHT AS IT
MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA. A 981 MB LOW NEAR 54N 167E
TONIGHT STRENGTHENS TO 970 MB WHILE REMAINING NEARLY STATIONARY
THROUGH MON NIGHT...THEN MOVES NORTH TO 58N 168E WHILE WEAKENING
TO 984 MB TUE NIGHT. A NORTH PACIFIC 982 MB LOW MOVES NORTHEAST
TO 50N 176E TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-250230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
323 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT...BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON SOUTH
OF 56N. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ412-250230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
323 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 TO 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.FRI...N WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.

$$

PKZ413-250230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
323 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ414-250230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
323 AM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.FRI...E WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT.

$$

786 
FZAK62 PAFC 250020
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
320 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-251430-
320 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 974 MB LOW AT 56N 167E WILL MOVE TO 56N 169E TUE AFTERNOON AT
982 MB THEN TO 55N 169E WED AFTERNOON AT 994 MB. A 985 MB LOW AT
48N 172W TUE AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 56N 173W WED AFTERNOON AND
WEAKEN TO 998 MB. A 982 MB LOW AT 49N 176E LATE TUE NIGHT WILL
MOVE TO 51N 179W WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-251430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
320 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT...EXCEPT E WIND 25 TO 40 KT N OF
56N IN THE EVENING. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.WED...E WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT.

$$

PKZ412-251430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
320 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT BECOMING S 15 TO 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.

$$

PKZ413-251430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
320 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.SAT...N WIND UP TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

PKZ414-251430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
320 PM AKST MON NOV 24 2014

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

238 
FZAK62 PAFC 251229
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
329 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-260245-
329 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 971 MB LOW NEAR 55N 168E WEAKENS TO 984 MB NEAR 57N 169E TUE
NIGHT...THEN WEAKENS TO 995 MB NEAR 54N 172E WED NIGHT. A 979 MB
LOW NEAR 45N 175W WEAKENS TO 993 MB NEAR 57N 174W WED MORNING
BEFORE DISSIPATING. A STRENGTHENING 979 MB NORTHWEST PACIFIC LOW
MOVES NORTHEAST TO 48N 173E THIS EVENING...THEN WEAKENS TO 985 MB
AS IT MOVES TO 56N 176W WED NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ411-260245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
329 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.SAT...N WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 FT.

$$

PKZ412-260245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
329 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT INCREASING TO 20 TO 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

PKZ413-260245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
329 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT INCREASING TO 20 TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT INCREASING TO 30 TO 45 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

PKZ414-260245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
329 AM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT INCREASING TO 30 TO 45 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

907 
FZAK62 PAFC 252356
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
256 PM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-261445-
256 PM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 985 MB LOW AT 49N 173W WILL MOVE TO 54N 172W LATE TONIGHT AND
WEAKEN TO 994 MB. THIS LOW WILL THEN MOVE TO 60N 175W WED
AFTERNOON AND DISSIPATE WED EVENING. A 977 MB LOW AT 56N 169E WILL
MOVE TO 57N 169E WED MORNING AT 987 MB THEN DISSIPATE WED
AFTERNOON. A 982 MB LOW AT 49N 176E LATE TONIGHT WILL MOVE TO 55N
176W LATE WED NIGHT AT 986 MB THEN TO 59N 175W THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-261445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
256 PM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT BECOMING E 20 TO 30 KT E OF 177E IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 TO 11 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ412-261445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
256 PM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT BECOMING SW 20 TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
W OF 176W...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.

$$

PKZ413-261445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
256 PM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT...EXCEPT VARIABLE 15 KT W OF 176W.
SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ414-261445-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
256 PM AKST TUE NOV 25 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT INCREASING TO 30 TO 45 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT BECOMING S 25 TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
419 AM AKST SAT NOV 22 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A BROAD LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA EARLY THIS
MORNING AND IS THE MAIN INFLUENCE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND
AND SURROUNDING WATERS. A SHORTWAVE MOVING AHEAD OF THE MAIN LOW
CENTER CAN BE SEEN ON WV/IR SATELLITE IMAGERY MOVING NORTH INTO
THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA. RAIN IS DEVELOPING ALONG THIS WAVE
WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS CONTINUING ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF ALONG A
DIMINISHING BOUNDARY. A FEW SHOWERS ARE MAKING IT INLAND ALONG THE
GULF COAST AND ACROSS THE KENAI...OTHERWISE DRY CONDITIONS
CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. A COLDER AIR MASS FILTERED
IN FROM THE YUKON AND HAS SETTLED ACROSS THE CENTRAL INTERIOR AND
INTO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. TO THE WEST ACROSS THE BERING AND
ALEUTIANS...NORTHERLY FLOW HAS SET UP ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW
WITH SHOWERY CONDITIONS CONTINUING ALONG WEAKER SHORTWAVES BEHIND
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION(SHORT TERM)...
MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN
THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH ONLY MINOR CHANGES NEEDED FOR THE CURRENT
FORECAST PACKAGE. THE UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER THE ALASKA
PENINSULA REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
THEN BEGINS TO SHIFT EAST. THE HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS OF THE NAM
AND CANADIAN REGIONAL WERE USED FOR HANDLING THE SHORTWAVES MOVING
AROUND THE LOW CENTER. THE MAIN FOCUS FOR PRECIPITATION OVER THE
WEEKEND IS ALONG SEVERAL SHORTWAVES MOVING NORTH THROUGH THE GULF
OF ALASKA AND THE NEXT FRONT APPROACHING THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
ON SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE FORECAST CHALLENGE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEKEND WILL BE TIMING
AND PLACEMENT OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES AS THEY MAKE THE JOURNEY
AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A NEARLY STATIONARY LOW ALONG THE ALASKA
PENINSULA. ASIDE FROM ONE STRONGER AND WELL-DEFINED DISTURBANCE
OVER THE GULF THIS MORNING...MODELS INDICATE A PLETHORA OF WEAK
WAVES EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW. BECAUSE OF THE DIFFICULTY IN TRYING
TO TIME THESE MORE THAN 6 HOURS OUT...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW
IN THE DETAILS OF WHEN AND WHERE PRECIP WILL FALL.

GENERALLY SPEAKING THE BULK OF PRECIP WITH THESE DISTURBANCES WILL
FALL ALONG THE GULF COAST/KODIAK ISLAND. HOWEVER...WEAK FLOW ACROSS
THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS COMBINED WITH WIDESPREAD MID LEVEL INSTABILITY
WILL ALLOW SOME SHOWERS TO MOVE INLAND DIRECTLY OUT AHEAD OF EACH
DISTURBANCE. PERSISTENT OFFSHORE FLOW AT THE SURFACE IS MAINTAINING
DRY AIR IN THE COOK INLET TO SUSITNA VALLEY CORRIDOR...SO ONLY THE
HEAVIER SHOWERS WILL REACH THE GROUND.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 THROUGH 3)...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED BETWEEN COLD BAY AND SAND POINT
CONTINUES TO REMAIN QUASISTATIONARY...WITH VERY LITTLE EASTWARD
PROPAGATION OBSERVED OVER THE PAST 12 TO 24 HOURS. WITH THE LOW
NOT EXPECTED TO MOVE MUCH OVER THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS...RAIN WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND UPSLOPE LOCATIONS ALONG
THE ALASKA RANGE. RAIN WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF TO SHOWERS BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE LOW BEGINS TO PUSH TOWARD THE GULF OF
ALASKA. FOR THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY...TEMPERATURES
WILL DROP CLOSER TO NORMAL VALUES OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON
SUNDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN BE ON A WARMING TREND
BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK AS WINDS SHIFT BACK TOWARD THE SOUTH
AND CLOUD COVER INCREASES OVER THE REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 THROUGH 3)...

THE LOW OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL ALLOW RAIN TO PERSIST ACROSS
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS DURING THE DAY TODAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO
SHOWERS BY EARLY SUNDAY. MUCH OF THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS WILL
CONTINUE TO SEE SCATTERED RAIN (MIXED WITH SNOW FOR THE WESTERN
HALF OF THE BERING SEA) THROUGH MUCH OF THE FORECAST WITH BROAD
CYCLONIC FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA
COUPLED WITH COLDER AIR FILTERING OUT OF RUSSIA. THIS SETS UP A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR COLD AIR ADVECTION SHOWERS WITH TEMPERATURES
ALOFT COOLER THAN THE PRESENT SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE PUSHING OFF OF KAMCHATKA WILL DRIVE A
FRONT ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING SEA ON SUNDAY. A SECOND AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG
THE FRONT AND PUSH NORTHWARD TOWARD THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS BY LATE
MONDAY OR EARLY TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING YET ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN
TO THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIAN ISLANDS WITH THE WESTERN HALF OF
THE BERING SEA EXPERIENCING GALE FORCE WINDS EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
SYNOPTICALLY SPEAKING THE PATTERN LOOKS GENERALLY THE SAME FOR THE
INTO NEXT WEEK BUT SOME SMALLER SCALE DIFFERENCE HAVE ARISEN. THE
CURRENT LOW NEAR THE ALASKA PENINSULA/WESTERN GULF WILL CONTINUE
TO WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS EASTWARD KEEPING MOST OF THE SHOWER
ACTIVITY CONFINED TO THE NORTH GULF COAST AND KODIAK ISLAND BEFORE
DISSIPATING ON TUESDAY. INLAND...THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS IS
GREATLY REDUCED...EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT NORTH
WINDS FOR MOST AREAS. A ROUND OF CLEAR CONDITIONS WILL SET UP MID-
WEEK BEFORE HIGHER CLOUDS BEGIN TO STREAM IN FROM THE WEST LATE
WEEK. FURTHER OUT WEST...THE FORECAST WILL CONTINUE TO BE
DOMINATED BY A DEVELOPING KAMCHATKA LOW PRESSURE AND ATTENDANT
FRONT SWINGING ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS FROM WEST TO EAST. THE BIGGEST
DIFFERENCE TODAY IS SLOWER PROGRESSION OF THE FRONT AND
DEVELOPMENT OF A NEW COMPACT SYSTEM ALONG THE FRONT ON
TUESDAY...WHICH WILL BRING A STRONG SYSTEM INTO THE CENTRAL BERING
SEA. A COMPLEX LOW PATTERN WILL SET UP THROUGH THE WEEK WITH
DETAILS STILL UNRESOLVED. THE SOUTHWESTERN MAINLAND COULD SEE
SOME PRECIPITATION WITH THE FRONT BY WEDNESDAY. COLD ARCTIC AIR
REMAINS NOWHERE OVER ALASKA AT THIS TIME WITH NO MAJOR SYSTEMS ON
THE HORIZON.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 181.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KH
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SEB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CLAY
LONG TERM...MTL