Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2014
Gale Warning 681, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 17, 2014, 3:28 AM AKST. It was in force for 62 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 17, 2014, 3:28 AM AKST (12:28 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 19, 2014, 5:45 PM AKST
- In force
- 62 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
987 FZAK61 PAFC 171228 OFFAER OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 328 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2014 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ399-180230- 328 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A 1014 MB LOW NEAR 59N 152W WILL DISSIPATE BY MON AFTERNOON. A 987 MB LOW NEAR 55N 147W TUE MORNING MOVES TO 59N 155W AT 982 MB TUE AFTERNOON BEFORE DISSIPATING BY TUE NIGHT. $$ PKZ351-180230- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W- 328 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 11 TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 25 TO 40 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 TO 19 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT. .WED...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. $$ PKZ352-180230- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF 144W- 328 AM AKST MON NOV 17 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING 25 TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 13 TO 16 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. $$
5 follow-up statements
758 FZAK61 PAFC 180007 OFFAER OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 307 PM AKST MON NOV 17 2014 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ399-181400- 307 PM AKST MON NOV 17 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A 1014 MB LOW NEAR 59N 152W WILL DISSIPATE BY MON AFTERNOON. A 987 MB LOW NEAR 55N 147W TUE MORNING MOVES TO 59N 155W AT 982 MB TUE AFTERNOON BEFORE DISSIPATING BY TUE NIGHT. $$ PKZ351-181400- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W- 307 PM AKST MON NOV 17 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 35 TO 45 KT BECOMING S 25 TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 TO 20 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 15 TO 18 FT. .WED...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. $$ PKZ352-181400- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF 144W- 307 PM AKST MON NOV 17 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 12 TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. .WED...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. $$
451 FZAK61 PAFC 180012 OFFAER OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 312 PM AKST MON NOV 17 2014 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ399-181400- 312 PM AKST MON NOV 17 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A 991 MB LOW NEAR 49N 145W WILL STRENGTHEN TO 978 MB AS IT MOVES TO 57N 151W TUE MORNING. THIS LOW WILL THEN DISSIPATE AS IT CROSSES INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA TUE AFTERNOON THROUGH TUE EVENING. $$ PKZ351-181400- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W- 312 PM AKST MON NOV 17 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 35 TO 45 KT BECOMING S 25 TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 TO 20 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 15 TO 18 FT. .WED...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. $$ PKZ352-181400- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF 144W- 312 PM AKST MON NOV 17 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 12 TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. .WED...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. $$
076 FZAK61 PAFC 181211 OFFAER OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 311 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ399-190300- 311 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A 985 MB LOW NEAR 54N 147W TUE MORNING MOVES TO 59N 153W AT 976 MB TUE AFTERNOON BEFORE DISSIPATING BY TUE NIGHT. A FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF BY THU AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ351-190300- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W- 311 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 TO 50 KT BECOMING S 25 TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 TO 22 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT BECOMING S 15 TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. .WED...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. $$ PKZ352-190300- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF 144W- 311 AM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 15 TO 19 FT. .WED...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT. .FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT. $$
985 FZAK61 PAFC 190037 OFFAER OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 337 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ399-191445- 337 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A 976 MB LOW OVER SHELIKOF STRAIT MOVES INLAND AND DISSIPATES THROUGH THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH WED AND PERSISTS THROUGH THU. A 957 MB LOW NEAR 50N 160W WED EVENING MOVES TO 55N 157W AT 955 MB THU AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ351-191445- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W- 337 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 TO 18 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. .FRI...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. $$ PKZ352-191445- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF 144W- 337 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. .WED...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 14 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 16 TO 24 FT. .FRI THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT. $$
950 FZAK61 PAFC 191207 OFFAER OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 307 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2014 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ399-200245- 307 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA... HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD OVER THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH THU. A 952 MB LOW MOVES NEAR 54N 159W THU MORNING WITH A FRONT THROUGH THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF. THIS LOW MOVES NEAR 55N 162W AT 959 MB FRI MORNING WITH THE FRONT MOVING TO THE NORTHERN GULF. $$ PKZ351-200245- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W- 307 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2014 ...GALE WARNING THURSDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. .FRI...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. $$ PKZ352-200245- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF 144W- 307 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT. .FRI THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 16, 4:59 PM AKST, 10 hours 29 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 16, 4:59 PM AKST, 10 hours 29 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
459 PM AKST SUN NOV 16 2014
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN HAS A LONGWAVE RIDGE THAT EXTENDS UP THE
COAST OF NORTH AMERICA THROUGH THE YUKON AND THEN CURVES OVER THE
ALASKA ARCTIC COAST. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS SITUATED NEAR ATTU
WITH A STRONG 250 MB JET RUNNING SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
AND REMAINING SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. THIS PATTERN IS BRINGING
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST UPPER LEVEL FLOW OVER THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.
AT THE SURFACE THERE IS HIGH PRESSURE OVER CANADA THAT STRETCHES
THROUGH THE YUKON AND INTO NORTHERN ALASKA. A LOW IN THE GULF OF
ALASKA IS MOVING NORTHWEST OVER THE SOUTHERN KENAI PENINSULA. THIS
IS CREATING STRONG WINDS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST IN BETWEEN
THIS LOW AND THE HIGH IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE STATE. THIS
TIGHT GRADIENT IS CAUSING DOWNSLOPING OVER MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALASKA TODAY.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE HANDLING THE LOW EAST OF KODIAK WELL AND ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE WAY IT TRACKS NORTHWEST AND THEN DISSIPATES
LATE TONIGHT. MODEL SPREAD GROWS TUESDAY AS ANOTHER LOW MOVES UP
FROM THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC AND TRACKS TOWARD KODIAK
ISLAND...WHICH IS MOST PROBLEMATIC FOR THE WIND FORECAST OVER THE
WESTERN GULF AND KODIAK ISLAND. THE GFS BRINGS THE LOW TO THE
SOUTH SIDE OF KODIAK ISLAND TUESDAY AFTERNOON WHILE THE NAM AND
ECMWF RUN IT NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS AT THAT TIME. THE GEM MODEL
HAS THE MORE NORTHERN TRACK BUT BRINGS IT ALL THE WAY TO NEAR
ILIAMNA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. IT MAY TAKE A FEW MODEL RUNS TO GAIN
CONFIDENCE IN THE TRACK OF THIS LOW.
THE BROAD AND COMPLEX AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MAJORITY
OF THE BERING SEA CURRENTLY HAS THREE SEPARATE CENTERS AND MODELS
ARE ALL DOING WELL RESOLVING ALL THREE. THE ONE SOUTH OF THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL STRENGTHEN TONIGHT AND MOVE TOWARD DUTCH
HARBOR AND THEN ALL MODELS DEPICT IT CURVING BACK TO THE
NORTHWEST AS IS COMMON IN COMPLEX LOWS SUCH AS THIS. THE ONLY
MODEL THAT GETS A LITTLE OFF WITH THIS LOW IS THE GFS WHICH IS
PUSHING THE LOW CENTER 200 PLUS MILES FARTHER WEST THAN ANY OF
THE OTHER MODELS BY TUESDAY NIGHT.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE FOCUS OF THE FORECAST FOR TONIGHT AND EARLY TOMORROW WILL
REVOLVE AROUND THE CHANCES FOR FREEZING RAIN AROUND PARTS OF THE
SOUTHCENTRAL. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ATTENDANT FRONT ARE MOVING
ONSHORE THE KENAI PENINSULA WHICH WILL SPREAD AREAS OF RAIN OVER
KACHEMAK BAY AND THE KENAI PENINSULA. THE REMAINDER OF THE WESTERN
KENAI WILL REMAIN MOSTLY DRY DUE TO DOWNSLOPE FLOW...THOUGH SOME
SPRINKLES MAY REACH THE GROUND AS CROSS BARRIER FLOW BEGINS TO
WEAKEN THIS EVENING. FURTHER TO THE NORTH...ANCHORAGE AND THE
MATANUSKA VALLEY ARE UNDER THE SAME REGIME. A TROUGH PASSAGE LATER
THIS EVENING MAY MOISTEN THE COLUMN ENOUGH FOR SOME PRECIPITATION
TO REACH THE GROUND...HOWEVER PRECIPITATION TYPE IS GOING TO BE
TRICKY. THE 00Z/17 SOUNDING FROM ANCHORAGE INDICATES A FREEZING
RAIN THERMAL PROFILE WITH 925 MB TEMPERATURES AROUND +3C. THE WET
BULB TEMPERATURE REMAINS BELOW ZERO THROUGHOUT THE COLUMN WHICH
WOULD SIGNIFY SNOW BUT DOWNSLOPE DRYING SHOULD PRECLUDE THAT FROM
HAPPENING. EXPECT SOME SPRINKLES OR VERY LIGHT RAIN/FREEZING RAIN
AROUND ANCHORAGE AND THE MATANUSKA VALLEY TONIGHT TAPERING OFF
TOMORROW MORNING.
A BETTER CHANCE FOR FREEZING RAIN EXISTS IN THE SUSITNA VALLEY.
STEADY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP IN THE LATE EVENING AND
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...FIRST AROUND WILLOW/HOUSTON THEN SPREADING
NORTHWARD. NORTH OF TALKEETNA SHOULD REMAIN COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW.
OVERNIGHT MONDAY INTO TUESDAY ANOTHER LOW/FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
GULF AND BRING A SIMILAR LOOKING SYSTEM TO THE AREA.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A CONTINUED AND PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN
OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA THROUGH MID WEEK. WIDE SPREAD SHOWERY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO EFFECT MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND...AS MULTIPLE WEAK DISTURBANCES TRAVERSE THE AREA
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. RAIN WILL BE THE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION
TYPE THROUGH MUCH OF THE MAINLAND...WITH POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY WHERE SURFACE
TEMPERATURES REMAIN BELOW FREEZING. A MORE VIGOROUS FRONT WILL
SPREAD INTO THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT...SPREADING WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL GIVE WAY TO WIDESPREAD RAIN AND RAIN
SHOWERS AS A STRENGTHENING NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES INTO THE
BERING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND PRIBILOF ISLANDS
TOMORROW...AS WELL AS ACROSS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WEST OF DUTCH
HARBOR AS NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASE BEHIND THE LOW. THE LOW WILL
SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH WEDNESDAY...AS IT SLOWLY DRIFTS INTO THE
CENTRAL BERING.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE BLOCKING PATTERN LOOKS TO CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK
WITH A PERSISTENT RIDGE OVER WESTERN CANADA AND A BROAD UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA. THIS WILL RESULT
IN A CONTINUATION OF SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA AND
HELP TO KEEP THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION FOCUSED ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST INTO NEXT WEEKEND...WITH OCCASIONAL CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION FURTHER INLAND AS OCCASIONAL DISTURBANCES ROTATE
THROUGH THE GULF. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
AND ALLOW MOST OF THE PRECIP TO FALL AS RAIN...WITH SNOW MIXING IN
AT TIMES. MEANWHILE...THE BERING SEA WILL REMAIN IN A SHOWERY
REGIME WITH AN ELONGATED UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER THE ALEUTIAN
CHAIN AND VARIOUS WAVES ROTATING THROUGH THE EASTERN BERING. THE
STRONGEST OF THESE FEATURES LOOKS TO APPROACH THE AKPEN LATE IN
THE WEEK AS A NORTH PACIFIC SHORT WAVE ROUNDS THE BASE OF THE
TROUGH AND AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW RAPIDLY DEEPENS BENEATH THE
LEFT EXIT REGION OF A 160 KT JET STREAK. THE DETAILS OF THIS
SYSTEM WILL COME INTO BETTER FOCUS LATER IN THE WEEK...BUT THE
MAIN IMPACTS WILL LIKELY BE WIDESPREAD RAIN AND GUSTY SOUTHEAST
WINDS OVER THE EASTERN BERING.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...119 120 125 130 131 139 155 165 170 172
174 176 177 179 180 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MTL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TP
LONG TERM...CBThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 3:09 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Nov 16, 3:09 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Nov 16, 3:13 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Nov 16, 7:01 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 21 hr | |
| Nov 17, 3:23 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Nov 17, 3:35 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 4 days | |
| Nov 17, 3:35 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Nov 17, 1:54 PM AKST | High Wind Warning | AFC | 2 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.