Gale Warning 600, NWS Anchorage, AK

916 
FZAK52 PAFC 032013
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1213 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-040315-
1213 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
INTO THE CENTRAL BERING THROUGH SAT NIGHT. A KAMCHATKA LOW
DEEPENS TO 972 MB AS IT MOVES TO 300 NM WEST OF ATTU SAT NIGHT. AN
ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS SAT
AFTERNOON THROUGH SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-040315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
1213 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT EXCEPT 7 FT N OF CHIRIKOF
ISLAND. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ155-040315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
1213 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ160-040315-
BRISTOL BAY-
1213 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-040315-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
1213 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-040315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
1213 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-040315-
UNALASKA BAY-
1213 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT DEVELOPING IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-040315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
1213 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ173-040315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
1213 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ174-040315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
1213 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ175-040315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
1213 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ176-040315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
1213 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ177-040315-
ADAK TO KISKA-
1213 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ178-040315-
KISKA TO ATTU-
1213 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ179-040315-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
1213 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ180-040315-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
1213 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-040315-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
1213 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ185-040315-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
1213 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. ELSEWHERE...NE
15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

199 
FZAK52 PAFC 032330
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
330 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-041215-
330 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE INTO THE
EASTERN BERING SEA SUN. A 970 MB LOW 425 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA SAT
AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 275 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA AT 970 MB SUN
AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN
BERING SEA SAT AFTERNOON AND INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA SUN.

$$

PKZ150-041215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
330 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ155-041215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
330 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
8 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ160-041215-
BRISTOL BAY-
330 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. HIGHER GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. HIGHER GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-041215-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
330 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ170-041215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
330 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ171-041215-
UNALASKA BAY-
330 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. HIGHER GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. HIGHER GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-041215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
330 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ173-041215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
330 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.

$$

PKZ174-041215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
330 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ175-041215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
330 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT.

$$

PKZ176-041215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
330 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ177-041215-
ADAK TO KISKA-
330 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.

$$

PKZ178-041215-
KISKA TO ATTU-
330 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...STORM WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE WIND 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. FROM SHEMYA W...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO
50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ179-041215-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
330 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. HIGHER GUST TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ180-041215-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
330 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ181-041215-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
330 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ185-041215-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
330 PM AKDT FRI OCT 3 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE 15 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE 20 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
158 PM AKDT THU OCT 2 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN KEEPS A STRONG RIDGE OVER THE BERING SEA
WITH A HIGH AMPLITUDE TROUGH DIGGING OUT OF THE ARCTIC ACROSS THE
INTERIOR OF THE STATE. THIS COLD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE SOUTHWARD AND BRING COLDER AIR WITH IT. A UPPER LEVEL LOW
IN THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE NORTHWARD AND GET ABSORBED INTO
THE TROUGH OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.
THE STRONG SURFACE LOW IN THE SOUTHERN GULF IS MOVING NORTHWARD
AND IS EVERY BIT AS STRONG AS EXPECTED. THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER
THE BERING SEA WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS HAVE COME INTO VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE LARGE LOW IN
THE GULF OF ALASKA. PART OF THIS GOOD AGREEMENT IS THAT THE MODELS
ARE BRINING THE MOISTURE FARTHER WEST WHICH MEANS THAT THERE WILL
BE PRECIPITATION MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHERN KENAI
PENINSULA NORTHWARD THROUGH ANCHORAGE AND THE MAT-SU VALLEY
TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT.
MODELS ARE ALL KEEPING THE LARGE BERING SEA RIDGE IN PACE THROUGH
SATURDAY AND THEN PUSHING IT SLOWLY EASTWARD AS THE NEXT LOW AND
FRONT MOVE INTO THE BERING SEA FROM THE WEST.
&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
THE STRONG LOW IN THE GULF WILL BRING CLOUD COVER INTO
SOUTHCENTRAL OVERNIGHT WITH RAIN SPREADING ALONG THE NORTH GULF
COAST. AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS LIKE THE COPPER RIVER BASIN WILL SEE
SNOW DEVELOP FROM SOUTH TO NORTH OVERNIGHT. THE SNOW SHOULD MIX
WITH OR TURN TO RAIN AT LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE BASIN TOMORROW.
HOWEVER THE PASSES SUCH AS CHICKALOON PASS ON THE GLENN HIGHWAY
AND MACLAREN PASS ON THE DENALI HIGHWAY WILL LIKELY STAY SNOW AND
COULD SEE A FEW INCHES OF ACCUMULATION.
ANCHORAGE AND THE MATANUSKA VALLEY WILL SEE RAIN DEVELOP TOMORROW.
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL SEE THE RAIN TURN TO SNOW TOMORROW
EVENING AND THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THE SNOW WILL MAKE IT INTO THE
ANCHORAGE BOWL AND PALMER-WASILLA AREA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE BERING SEA WILL PERSIST THROUGH
SATURDAY. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING FROM THE INTERIOR THROUGH
THE AREA WILL BRING SOME PASSING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT AND THE LOW IN
THE GULF WILL BRING SOME CLOUD COVER INTO AREAS NEAR THE ALASKA
RANGE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. OTHERWISE THE GUSTY NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL KEEP MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
THE EASTERN BERING SEA AS WELL AS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND
EASTERN ALEUTIANS ARE UNDER A FAIRLY TIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY
FLOW WHICH CONTINUES TO BRING IN DRY AIR AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS ARE SEEING SOME CLOUDS AND AREAS OF RAIN
FROM A WEAKENING FRONT THAT IS IN THE AREA. A STRONGER FRONT WILL
MOVE INTO THE REGION SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT BRINGING IN
STRONG WINDS AND RAIN.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
MODELS HAVE CHANGED QUITE A BIT IN THE PAST 24 HOURS FOR NEXT
WEEK. YESTERDAY...THE MODELS WERE HINTING AT A LONGWAVE TROUGH
EXTENDING ACROSS THE BERING SEA AND INTO THE ALASKA MAINLAND WHICH
WOULD HAVE RESULTED IN A COLD PERIOD WITH MULTIPLE DISTURBANCES
IMPACTING SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. THAT LOOK UNLIKELY NOW. THE FIRST
NOTICEABLE CHANGE WILL BE ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE BERING
SEA WHERE AN AMPLIFYING TROUGH WILL BE HALTED WITH RIDGING
BUILDING ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN BERING SEA. A SURFACE LOW
TRAPPED IN THIS TROUGHING WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING AS IT DROPS SOUTH. AS THE LOW WEAKENS...THE REMNANTS OF
TYPHOON PHANFONE...WHICH IS CURRENTLY SOUTHEAST OF JAPAN...WILL
PUSH INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC AND PHASE WITH THIS WEAKENING LOW.
MODELS HAVE THE REMNANTS OF TYPHOON PHANFONE UNDERGOING RAPID
CYCLOGENESIS SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. ALTHOUGH MODELS DIFFER
ON THE OVERALL DEEPENING OF THE LOW...THE CLUSTER OF THE
DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MEMBERS GIVES GOOD CONFIDENCE TO THIS
SOLUTION.

WHAT THIS WILL ALL MEAN OVER SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE INTERIOR OF ALASKA
WHICH WILL BRING THE RETURN OF NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT...CLEARER
SKIES AND COLDER TEMPERATURES. A WEAK SURFACE LOW OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF WILL MOVE INLAND OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF
ALASKA AND BRING A PERIOD OF RAIN ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST...WITH A PERIOD OF SNOW IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. CLOUD
COVER AND WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE RETURN WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIAN ISLANDS SLOWLY PUSHES EASTWARD.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 119 120 131-136 138 150 155.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
&&

OCT 14