Gale Warning 472, NWS Anchorage, AK

737 
FZAK51 PAFC 082350
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
350 PM AKDT FRI AUG 8 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-091245-
350 PM AKDT FRI AUG 8 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 990 MB LOW NEAR COLD BAY WILL MOVE TO 160 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK
AT 992 MB BY SAT AFTERNOON THEN TO 110 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY
AT 999 MB BY SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-091245-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
350 PM AKDT FRI AUG 8 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT BY MIDNIGHT.
RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-091245-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
350 PM AKDT FRI AUG 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-091245-
RESURRECTION BAY-
350 PM AKDT FRI AUG 8 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-091245-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
350 PM AKDT FRI AUG 8 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT BY MIDNIGHT.
RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-091245-
PORT VALDEZ-
350 PM AKDT FRI AUG 8 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2
FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-091245-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
350 PM AKDT FRI AUG 8 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-091245-
VALDEZ ARM-
350 PM AKDT FRI AUG 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-091245-
PASSAGE CANAL-
350 PM AKDT FRI AUG 8 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-091245-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
350 PM AKDT FRI AUG 8 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-091245-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
350 PM AKDT FRI AUG 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-091245-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
350 PM AKDT FRI AUG 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-091245-
CHINIAK BAY-
350 PM AKDT FRI AUG 8 2014

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-091245-
MARMOT BAY-
350 PM AKDT FRI AUG 8 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-091245-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
350 PM AKDT FRI AUG 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-091245-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
350 PM AKDT FRI AUG 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-091245-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
350 PM AKDT FRI AUG 8 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-091245-
KACHEMAK BAY-
350 PM AKDT FRI AUG 8 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

725 
FZAK51 PAFC 091153
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
353 AM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-100045-
353 AM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 992 MB LOW 210 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK WILL MOVE TO 150 NM
SOUTH OF SITKINAK AT 993 MB EARLY SUN MORNING THEN MOVE TO 90 NM
SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY AT 1002 MB EARLY MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-100045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
353 AM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-100045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
353 AM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-100045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
353 AM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-100045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
353 AM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-100045-
PORT VALDEZ-
353 AM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-100045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
353 AM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-100045-
VALDEZ ARM-
353 AM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-100045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
353 AM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-100045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
353 AM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-100045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
353 AM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-100045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
353 AM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-100045-
CHINIAK BAY-
353 AM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-100045-
MARMOT BAY-
353 AM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-100045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
353 AM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-100045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
353 AM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-100045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
353 AM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-100045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
353 AM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

089 
FZAK51 PAFC 092336
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
336 PM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-101300-
336 PM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 992 MB LOW 270 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK WILL MOVE TO 260 NM SOUTH OF
CAPE SUCKLING LATE SUN MORNING AT 997 MB THEN TO NEAR HOMER LATE
SUN NIGHT. THIS LOW WILL MOVE WEST AND DISSIPATE MON MORNING. A
998 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 100 NM EAST OF SITKINAK LATE SUN MORNING
AND WEAKEN TO 1005 MB BY MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-101300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
336 PM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-101300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
336 PM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-101300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
336 PM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-101300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
336 PM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-101300-
PORT VALDEZ-
336 PM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

.TONIGHT...SOUTHWEST WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-101300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
336 PM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-101300-
VALDEZ ARM-
336 PM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-101300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
336 PM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-101300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
336 PM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-101300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
336 PM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-101300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
336 PM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-101300-
CHINIAK BAY-
336 PM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-101300-
MARMOT BAY-
336 PM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-101300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
336 PM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ139-101300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
336 PM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-101300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
336 PM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-101300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
336 PM AKDT SAT AUG 9 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

488 
FZAK51 PAFC 101146
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
346 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-110030-
346 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A BROAD 995 MB LOW 110 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK ISLAND WILL REDEVELOP
AS A 994 MB LOW 175 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND BY LATE THIS MORNING.
THIS NEW LOW WILL MOVE WEST AND DISSIPATE INTO A TROUGH BY MON
EVENING ALONG THE NORTHWEST GULF COAST. ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM
WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-110030-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
346 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ120-110030-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
346 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN AND FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-110030-
RESURRECTION BAY-
346 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND FOG.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-110030-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
346 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-110030-
PORT VALDEZ-
346 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-110030-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
346 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-110030-
VALDEZ ARM-
346 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-110030-
PASSAGE CANAL-
346 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.

$$

PKZ130-110030-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
346 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-110030-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
346 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-110030-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
346 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ136-110030-
CHINIAK BAY-
346 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-110030-
MARMOT BAY-
346 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-110030-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
346 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-110030-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
346 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-110030-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
346 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2014

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-110030-
KACHEMAK BAY-
346 AM AKDT SUN AUG 10 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
118 PM AKDT THU AUG 7 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A LARGE VERTICALLY STACKED LOW IS
DRIFTING WESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA WHILE A STRONG
SUBTROPICAL JET ALONG THE ALEUTIANS CONTINUES TO DRIVE THE
OCCLUDED FRONT EASTWARD TOWARD THE GULF OF ALASKA. THE PORTION
OF THE FRONT OVER THE EASTERN BERING AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA IS
BEGINNING TO ELONGATE...ALTHOUGH RADAR SHOWS A SOLID BAND OF
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND BRISTOL BAY.
THERE ARE STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WHICH OFTEN INDICATES THE POTENTIAL FOR DOWNSLOPING ON THE WEST
SIDE OF THE ALEUTIAN AND ALASKA RANGES. FURTHER INVESTIGATION
SHOWS THE DEPTH OF SOUTHEASTERLIES IS RELATIVELY SHALLOW AND WINDS
VEER TO SOUTHERLY AS YOU GO UP IN HEIGHT FROM 850 MB TO 500 MB.
THUS...THERE IS LIKELY SOME DOWNSLOPE DRYING OCCURRING IN THE LOW
LEVELS BUT RAIN IS FALLING ALOFT FROM FAIRLY HIGH CEILINGS. OUT
AHEAD OF THE FRONT A SERIES OF WEAK UPPER WAVES ARE PRODUCING
SHOWERS FROM PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND ACROSS THE KENAI PENINSULA INTO
NORTHERN COOK INLET.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE GENERALLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THE
LARGEST DIFFERENCES ARE CENTERED SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA
AND KODIAK ISLAND AS THE LOW OVER THE BERING SEA CROSSES THE
ALASKA PENINSULA AND MERGES WITH A NEWLY FORMING LOW ON THE EAST
SIDE OF THE DIGGING UPPER TROUGH. THE GFS IS MOST AGGRESSIVE WITH
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS NEW LOW (AS WELL AS FARTHER EAST THAN ANY
OTHER SOLUTION)...BUT GOOD UPPER SUPPORT LENDS SOME CREDENCE TO
THIS SOLUTION. NOT READY TO BUY COMPLETELY INTO IT YET...BUT WILL
TREND TOWARD IT. REGARDLESS OF LOW STRENGTH ALL MODELS ARE
STRONGER WITH THE SECOND OCCLUDED FRONT SPREADING ACROSS THE GULF
SATURDAY AND REINFORCING THE BARRIER JET ALONG THE NORTH GULF
COAST. ANOTHER FORECAST CHALLENGE IS DECIDING HOW FAR NORTHWARD
THE FRONTS WILL PUSH. UPPER LEVEL STEERING FLOW IS SOUTHERLY
BEHIND THE FIRST FRONT BUT FAIRLY WEAK...SO EXPECT SOME OF THE
STRONGEST WINDS TO MAKE IT INTO SOUTHERN PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND...BUT NOT PUSH ALL THE WAY ONSHORE. UPPER FLOW IS
SOUTHEASTERLY BEHIND THE SECOND FRONT SO THINK IT WILL LIKELY
STALL A LITTLE BIT FURTHER SOUTH. THE HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS
(NAM/GEM-REG) HAVE A MUCH BETTER DEPICTION OF STRONGER WINDS
MAKING IT INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. LASTLY...MODELS ALL DIFFER
WITH STRENGTH/LOCATION OF THE MANY WAVES EMBEDDED IN THE UPPER
LEVEL FLOW. WITH STRONGER DOWNSLOPING EXPECTED OVER SOUTHCENTRAL
THAN OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA THESE WAVES WOULD BE THE ONE THING THAT
COULD DISTURB THE FLOW (OR OVERCOME THE DOWNSLOPING) AND PRODUCE
RAIN ON THE LEE SIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS. BECAUSE OF THE MODEL
DIFFERENCES MENTIONED ABOVE ALONG WITH THE CHALLENGE ASSOCIATED
WITH FORECASTING SMALLER SCALE FEATURES FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
AVERAGE TO SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...THE CHARACTER OF THE STORM SYSTEMS IS
BEGINNING TO CHANGE AS WE HEAD THROUGH EARLY AUGUST...WITH
A STRONGER JET STREAM LEADING TO MORE WELL DEFINED STORM SYSTEMS
AND DEEPER MOISTURE. THE GULF COASTAL REGION WILL CERTAINLY TAKE
THE BRUNT OF THE WEATHER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH PERIODS OF
STRONG WINDS AND MODERATE RAIN. WITH A SERIES OF FEATURES MOVING
THROUGH COMBINED WITH SOMEWHAT VARIABLE LOW LEVEL FLOW (LOCATION
OF HEAVIEST RAIN WILL CHANGE WITH TIME) FLOODING POTENTIAL LOOKS
TO BE LOW.

IT LOOKS LIKE A FAIRLY CLASSIC EXAMPLE OF DOWNSLOPE DRYING IN THE
LEE OF THE CHUGACH AND KENAI MOUNTAINS...BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR
STRONGER UPPER WAVES TO MOVE OVERHEAD COULD LEAD TO A BRIEF PERIOD
OF LIGHT RAIN. RIGHT NOW THERE SEEMS TO BE SOME MODEL AGREEMENT IN
ONE OF THESE UPPER WAVE MOVING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE UPPER LOW WILL SET UP SHOP IN THE VICINITY OF KODIAK
ISLAND FOR THE WEEKEND...SO EXPECT CONTINUED COOL AND WET
CONDITIONS ALONG THE GULF COAST AS WAVES CONTINUE TO ROTATE
AROUND THE UPPER CENTER. INLAND AREAS WILL DEFINITELY BE
DRIER...BUT CLOUD COVER WILL BE EXTENSIVE AND ONCE DOWNSLOPE WINDS
WEAKEN AN INCREASED CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THE FRONT CURRENTLY OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL
CONTINUE TO ELONGATE AND WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INLAND...SO EXPECT
MUCH LOWER QPF OVER THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL
WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSIT THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
PRODUCING MORE SHOWERY TYPE PRECIPITATION. WITH ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE AND FAIRLY LIGHT SURFACE WINDS ALONG THE COAST...EXPECT
LOW CLOUDS TO BECOME WIDESPREAD TONIGHT ALONG WITH SOME AREAS OF
FOG. AS THE BERING LOW SETS UP SHOP SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND
SATURDAY LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL BACK TO OFFSHORE...PROVIDING SOME
MARGINAL IMPROVEMENT IN CLOUD CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES. THE
THREAT FOR SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS UPPER WAVES
MOVE IN FROM THE EAST. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN LOCATION AND TIMING
OF INDIVIDUAL WAVES IS LOW...MAKING FOR A CHALLENGING
PRECIPITATION FORECAST.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...EXPECT IMPROVING CONDITIONS AS THE BERING
LOW TRACKS TO SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND SATURDAY AND A SHORT-WAVE
RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN
PROGRESSIVE HOWEVER...WITH ANOTHER TROUGH MOVING OUT OF ASIA INTO
THE WESTERN BERING OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST...

INITIALLY THERE WILL BE AN OLD COMPLEX UPPER-LOW MEANDERING IN THE
GULF EARLY NEXT WEEK BUT THE INCREASINGLY DOMINANT FEATURE IN THE
AOR WILL BE THE BERING SEA/ALEUTIAN SYSTEM SWEEPING EASTWARD.
MODELS HAVE REASONABLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON A DEEPER AND SLOWER
MOVING SYSTEM ON MON COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAYS AS IT TAPS INTO
STRONG JET STREAM ENERGY ALOFT. THIS FEATURE EVENTUALLY ABSORBS
THE COMPLEX LOW IN THE GULF. THERE IS THE TYPICAL INCREASED MODEL
SOLUTION DIVERGENCE BY MID WEEK REGARDING HOW FAR EAST THE PARENT
ALEUTIAN UPPER-LOW WILL TRACK...WITH THE GFS NOSING IT TOWARDS
KODIAK ISLAND AND THE ECMWF HANGING IT BACK NEAR THE PRIBILOF
ISLANDS NEXT WED. THE SENSIBLE WEATHER IMPACTS FROM A GFS SOLUTION
WOULD BE STRONGER FRONTS SWEEPING THROUGH THE GULF THE MIDDLE PART
OF NEXT WEEK WITH HEAVIER QPF. HAVE TRENDED TO AN ENSEMBLE LEANING
WPC SOLUTION FOR MID NEXT WEEK WHICH TEMPERS THE DIFFERENCES IN
POSITIONS AND ORIENTATIONS OF THE MAIN FEATURES. THE BRUNT OF
PRECIPITATION WOULD LIKELY BE ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND TO PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND AS EAST TO SOUTHEAST ONSHORE FLOW PREVAILS. THE
REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND LOOKS TO REMAIN MORE ON THE
CLOUDY SIDE WITH AT LEAST SOME CHANCES FOR RAIN AS SPOKES OF
MOISTURE AND ENERGY PERIODICALLY MOVE INLAND FROM THE GULF.
FURTHER WEST BEHIND THE ALEUTIAN SYSTEM...EXPECTING CONDITIONS TO
BE SHOWERY WITH DIMINISHING WINDS AS THE BRUNT OF THE ENERGY
PROGRESSES EASTWARD.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 119 125.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SEB/JAM AUG 14