Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2014
Gale Warning 426, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Jun 12, 2014, 3:13 AM AKDT. It was in force for 61 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 12, 2014, 3:13 AM AKDT (11:13 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 14, 2014, 3:46 PM AKDT
- In force
- 61 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
285 FZAK61 PAFC 121113 OFFAER OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 313 AM AKDT THU JUN 12 2014 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ399-130200- 313 AM AKDT THU JUN 12 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA... WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE GULF THROUGH THU EVENING. A 997 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 57N 153W FRI MORNING AND SLOWLY WEAKEN TO 1002 MB AS IT MOVES TO 58N 144W FRI NIGHT. $$ PKZ351-130200- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W- 313 AM AKDT THU JUN 12 2014 .TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ352-130200- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF 144W- 313 AM AKDT THU JUN 12 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 13 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. .SAT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
5 follow-up statements
172 FZAK61 PAFC 122341 OFFAER OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 341 PM AKDT THU JUN 12 2014 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ399-131400- 341 PM AKDT THU JUN 12 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A 1003 MB LOW NEAR 54N 159W MOVES TO 57N 150W AT 995 MB FRIDAY MORNING. THIS LOW THEN MOVES TO 58N 141W AT 1000 MB SATURDAY AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ351-131400- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W- 341 PM AKDT THU JUN 12 2014 .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...W TO N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. RAIN. .SAT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. .SUN THROUGH TUE...S WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT. $$ PKZ352-131400- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF 144W- 341 PM AKDT THU JUN 12 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. .SAT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. .SUN THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT. $$
493 FZAK61 PAFC 131110 OFFAER OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 310 AM AKDT FRI JUN 13 2014 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ399-140100- 310 AM AKDT FRI JUN 13 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A 996 MB LOW NEAR SITKINAK WILL MOVE TO 58N 148 THIS AFTERNOON AT 995 MB BEFORE SLOWLY WEAKENING TO 1002 MB SAT AFTERNOON AT 57N 140W. $$ PKZ351-140100- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W- 310 AM AKDT FRI JUN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT BECOMING S 10 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N TO W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN. .SAT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. .SUN...SW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. $$ PKZ352-140100- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF 144W- 310 AM AKDT FRI JUN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...SE TO SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. RAIN. .SAT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 8 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. $$
786 FZAK61 PAFC 132329 OFFAER OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 329 PM AKDT FRI JUN 13 2014 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ399-141345- 329 PM AKDT FRI JUN 13 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A 996 MB LOW NEAR 58N 148W MOVES TO 56N 137W AND WEAKENS TO 1006 MB EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. A WEAK SECONDARY LOW DEVELOPS OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF SATURDAY EVENING AND REMAINS STATIONARY THROUGH SUNDAY. $$ PKZ351-141345- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W- 329 PM AKDT FRI JUN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN. .SAT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. .SUN...W WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. $$ PKZ352-141345- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF 144W- 329 PM AKDT FRI JUN 13 2014 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. RAIN. .SAT...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. .SUN...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. $$
539 FZAK61 PAFC 141123 OFFAER OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 323 AM AKDT SAT JUN 14 2014 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ399-150115- 323 AM AKDT SAT JUN 14 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A 998 MB LOW NEAR 58N 143W WILL WEAKEN TO 1004 MB NEAR 58N 140W THIS AFTERNOON. A 1008 LOW DEVELOPS NEAR 59N 148W SUN MORNING AND REMAINS STATIONARY WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING THROUGH SUN. $$ PKZ351-150115- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W- 323 AM AKDT SAT JUN 14 2014 .TODAY...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. .WED...SW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. $$ PKZ352-150115- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF 144W- 323 AM AKDT SAT JUN 14 2014 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. $$
414 FZAK61 PAFC 142346 OFFAER OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 346 PM AKDT SAT JUN 14 2014 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ399-151330- 346 PM AKDT SAT JUN 14 2014 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A 1004 MB LOW NEAR 57N 140W WILL DRIFT SOUTHEAST AND DISSIPATE BY SUN MORNING. A DEVELOPING NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO NEAR 54N 154W AT 994 MB MON AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ351-151330- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W- 346 PM AKDT SAT JUN 14 2014 .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...W WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. $$ PKZ352-151330- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF 144W- 346 PM AKDT SAT JUN 14 2014 .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jun 11, 7:38 PM AKDT, 7 hours 35 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 11, 7:38 PM AKDT, 7 hours 35 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 738 PM AKDT WED JUN 11 2014 .UPDATE... ZONES 101/111/121 THE SUBTLEST OF LIFT ALONG FAR SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS LIFTING THROUGH UPPER COOK INLET AND THE SUSITNA VALLEY THIS EVENING. A COUPLE PASSING SHOWERS THAT HAVE FORMED NEAR THE CHUGACH/KENAI RANGES SHOULD DIMINISH FAIRLY QUICKLY AS THE EVENING WEARS ON. JAM && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 401 PM AKDT WED JUN 11 2014/ ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS... THE PERSISTENT COLD UPPER LOW OF RECENT DAYS IS NOW LOCATED OVER THE INTERIOR OF THE STATE AND CONTINUING TO MOVE AWAY TO THE NORTH. THE LAST VESTIGES OF THIS FEATURE ARE SOME LINGERING INSTABILITY CLOUDS/SHOWERS OVER INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND COPPER RIVER BASIN...BUT THESE WILL NOT REACH THE INTENSITY OF YESTERDAY AS INSTABILITY CONTINUES TO DIMINISH THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MEANWHILE...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING INTO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. THIS REPRESENTS A BRIEF BREAK IN THE PARADE OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS MOVING INTO AND THROUGH THE PERSISTENT LONGWAVE TROUGH THAT ENCOMPASSES THE ENTIRE REGION. THIS AMPLE SUNSHINE COMBINED WITH A MODERATING/WARMING AIRMASS ARE HELPING BOOST TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO NORMAL VALUES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. OUT WEST...A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW IS CHURNING SLOWLY EASTWARD THROUGH THE BERING SEA. A RAPIDLY WEAKENING ASSOCIATED FRONT IS MOVING ONSHORE THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND COAST...WITH LIGHT RAIN BEING REPORTED FROM NUNIVAK ISLAND DOWN TO THE ALASKA PENINSULA. WINDS IN ALL QUADRANTS AROUND THIS LOW AS WELL AS ALONG THE FRONT ITSELF ARE GENERALLY UNDER 25-30 MPH...WITH THE GUSTIEST CONDITIONS OCCURRING THROUGH THE CHANNELED TERRAIN OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA. MODEL DISCUSSION... THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT THROUGHOUT THE SHORT TERM (84 HOURS) FORECAST PERIOD. THE BREAKDOWN OF THE DOWNSTREAM RIDGE OVER WESTERN NORTH AMERICA WILL ALLOW THE JET STREAM OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA TO BECOME MORE ZONAL. THIS WILL ALLOW THE UPPER LOW CURRENTLY IN THE BERING TO MOVE EAST INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA BY FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW REFORMING/REDEVELOPING OVER THE WESTERN GULF AT THE SAME TIME. THE ECMWF WAS THE FIRST MODEL TO DEPICT THIS SCENARIO...AND ALL THE MODELS ARE NOW DEPICTING A SIMILAR ATMOSPHERIC EVOLUTION. THE CHALLENGE WILL BE IN HOW QUICKLY AND HOW FAR SOUTH THIS LOW DEVELOPS. THE SLIGHTLY FURTHER SOUTH SOLUTION SHOWN BY THE GFS WOULD END WIDESPREAD RAINFALL ACROSS INTERIOR AREAS SOONER ON FRIDAY...WHILE A DELAYED DEVELOPMENT WOULD PROLONG STEADY RAIN OVER COOK INLET AND INLAND AREAS DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME...A CONSENSUS-BASED APPROACH THAT HAPPENS TO BE FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE INHERITED FORECAST IS PREFERRED...AND SHOULD SEE STEADY RAINS BECOME CONFINED LARGELY TO THE GULF COASTAL AREAS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. OUT WEST...A SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL DROP INTO THE LONGWAVE TROUGH FROM EASTERN RUSSIA ON FRIDAY. THE NAM SEEMS TO BE LAGGING THE GLOBAL MODELS WITH THE SPEED OF THIS SOUTHWARD MOVEMENT...SO THE GFS/ECMWF ARE THE PREFERRED SOLUTIONS TODAY. SHORT TERM FORECAST... SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...ABUNDANT SUNSHINE IS DOMINATING MUCH OF THE AREA TODAY COURTESY OF A SHORTWAVE RIDGE PASSING THROUGH. THE BLUE SKIES PROVIDE STARK CONTRAST TO THE FRESH SNOW THAT FELL DOWN TO NEARLY 3500 FT OVER THE FRONT RANGE ON TUESDAY. AFTER THE WIDESPREAD WETTING RAIN YESTERDAY...THE SUN IS WELCOME NEWS FOR THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS. THE RIDGE WILL NOT LAST LONG THOUGH. THURSDAY WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH PRECIPITATION SPREADING FROM KODIAK IN THE LATE AFTERNOON UP THE COOK INLET JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRIDAY WILL SEE THE TRIPLE POINT LOW STRENGTHENING IN THE WESTERN GULF. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS AND A BROAD SWATH OF PRECIPITATION. THESE SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BRING DOWNSLOPING CONDITIONS TO THE TYPICAL AREAS DOWNSTREAM OF THE KENAI AND CHUGACH MOUNTAINS. THIS MEANS LIMITED PRECIPITATION FOR KENAI...THE ANCHORAGE BOWL..AND THE MAT- SU VALLEY. IT WILL ALSO BRING GUSTY WINDS TO THE TURNAGAIN ARM AND OTHER FAVORED AREAS. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL IMPACT THE GULF COAST EARLY FRIDAY AND SPREAD INTO THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND BY THE AFTERNOON. THE LOW CENTER KEEPS TRACKING INTO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF BY SATURDAY. THAT WILL PUSH MOST OF THE STEADIER PRECIPITATION INTO THE PANHANDLE WHILE LEAVING MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL IN LINGERING SHOWERS BUT LIKELY A FEW BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS LATER IN THE DAY. SOUTHWEST ALASKA...A WEAKENING WARM FRONT TRYING TO MAKE ITS WAY INTO BRISTOL BAY IS BUTTING UP AGAINST A SHORTWAVE RIDGE THAT IS HOLDING STRONG ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST. SO WHILE THERE IS SOME LIGHT RAIN AND FOG ALONG THE COAST...MAINLY INLAND LOCATIONS ARE STILL SEEING MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. THIS FIRST FRONT WILL FALL APART AS IT SLIDES NORTH TOWARDS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA...BUT IT WILL QUICKLY BE REPLACED BY A STRONGER SYSTEM THAT WILL MOVE INTO BRISTOL BAY ON THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF MODERATE PRECIPITATION THAT SHOULD BE ABLE TO PENETRATE MOST OF THE WAY TO THE ALASKA RANGE BY THURSDAY NIGHT. AS THE ENERGY FROM THIS SYSTEM TRANSFERS INTO THE GULF...RAIN WILL TURN MORE SHOWERY IN NATURE ON FRIDAY. BY SATURDAY...MODELS AGREE THAT THE ATMOSPHERE SHOULD BEGIN TO DRY OUT. BUT UNDER WEAK NORTHWESTERLY FLOW...AFTERNOON SHOWERS ARE LIKELY TO FIRE ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN. BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...IT IS QUITE REMARKABLE HOW LITTLE CHANGE THERE HAS BEEN IN THE LONGWAVE PATTER OVER THE REGION. AND THIS WILL CONTINUE AT LEAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. OVER THE WESTERN EXTENT OF THE BERING...COLDER AIR CONTINUES TO PLUNGE SOUTH OFF OF RUSSIA. THIS THEN IN TURN GETS PICKED UP BY A FAST MOVING ZONAL JET ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. THE COLDER AIR HELPS REINFORCE THE TROUGH OVER THE REGION AND EVENTUALLY TURNS INTO SOME TYPE OF WEAK BAROCLINIC ZONE OVER THE WARMER TEMPS NEAR THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THAT SAID...TYPICAL JUNE WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE SHORT TERM WITH SHOWERS AND LIGHT WINDS. LONG TERM FORECAST (SUN THROUGH THU)...THE ENSEMBLE MEANS SEEM TO BE TRENDING TOWARDS SHIFTING THE LONGWAVE TROUGH SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST. SO INSTEAD OF BEING ALIGNED THROUGH THE EASTERN BERING...IT WOULD BE STRETCH OUT INTO THE NORTHERN GULF. THERE CONTINUES TO BE CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE TROUGH...PRIMARILY CONCERNING THE N PAC RIDGE. HOW STRONG THE RIDGE WILL BE WILL DICTATE WHERE THE TROUGH WILL SET UP SHOP. THE 11/00Z EC ENSEMBLE MEAN SHOWED A DEEP MERIDIONAL TROUGH FAR ENOUGH WEST IN THE GULF THAT IT WOULD PUMP SIGNIFICANT WARM AIR AND HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES DIRECTLY INTO SOUTH CENTRAL. BUT THE 11/12Z RUN SHIFTED THE TROUGH SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES TO THE EAST BRINGING THE SOUTHERLY FLOW MOSTLY INTO THE WRANGELL ST ELIAS AREA. SO A VERY BROAD BRUSH APPROACH CONTINUES TO BE USED IN THIS TIME FRAME UNTIL MODELS SHOW MORE CERTAINTY WITH THE DETAILS. AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...NONE. MARINE...NONE. FIRE WEATHER...NONE. AMD/MSO JUN 14
The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 3:19 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Jun 12, 3:31 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 3 days | |
| Jun 12, 3:41 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Jun 12, 3:41 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Jun 12, 3:45 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Jun 12, 3:45 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 60 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.