Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2014

Gale Warning 426, NWS Anchorage, AK

June 12, 2014

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Jun 12, 2014, 3:13 AM AKDT. It was in force for 61 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 12, 2014, 3:13 AM AKDT (11:13 UTC)
Expired
Jun 14, 2014, 3:46 PM AKDT
In force
61 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

285 
FZAK61 PAFC 121113
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
313 AM AKDT THU JUN 12 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-130200-
313 AM AKDT THU JUN 12 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE GULF THROUGH THU EVENING.
A 997 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 57N 153W FRI MORNING AND SLOWLY WEAKEN
TO 1002 MB AS IT MOVES TO 58N 144W FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ351-130200-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
313 AM AKDT THU JUN 12 2014

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ352-130200-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
313 AM AKDT THU JUN 12 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$
5 follow-up statements
172 
FZAK61 PAFC 122341
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
341 PM AKDT THU JUN 12 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-131400-
341 PM AKDT THU JUN 12 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 1003 MB LOW NEAR 54N 159W MOVES TO 57N 150W AT 995 MB FRIDAY
MORNING. THIS LOW THEN MOVES TO 58N 141W AT 1000 MB SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ351-131400-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
341 PM AKDT THU JUN 12 2014

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W TO N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...S WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT.

$$

PKZ352-131400-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
341 PM AKDT THU JUN 12 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT.

$$
493 
FZAK61 PAFC 131110
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
310 AM AKDT FRI JUN 13 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-140100-
310 AM AKDT FRI JUN 13 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 996 MB LOW NEAR SITKINAK WILL MOVE TO 58N 148 THIS AFTERNOON 
AT 995 MB BEFORE SLOWLY WEAKENING TO 1002 MB SAT AFTERNOON AT 
57N 140W.

$$

PKZ351-140100-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
310 AM AKDT FRI JUN 13 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT BECOMING S 10 TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N TO W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

PKZ352-140100-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
310 AM AKDT FRI JUN 13 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE TO SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 8 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.

$$
786 
FZAK61 PAFC 132329
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
329 PM AKDT FRI JUN 13 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-141345-
329 PM AKDT FRI JUN 13 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 996 MB LOW NEAR 58N 148W MOVES TO 56N 137W AND WEAKENS TO 1006
MB EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. A WEAK SECONDARY LOW DEVELOPS OVER THE
NORTHWEST GULF SATURDAY EVENING AND REMAINS STATIONARY THROUGH
SUNDAY.

$$

PKZ351-141345-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
329 PM AKDT FRI JUN 13 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.SUN...W WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

PKZ352-141345-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
329 PM AKDT FRI JUN 13 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.

$$
539 
FZAK61 PAFC 141123
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
323 AM AKDT SAT JUN 14 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-150115-
323 AM AKDT SAT JUN 14 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 998 MB LOW NEAR 58N 143W WILL WEAKEN TO 1004 MB NEAR 58N 140W
THIS AFTERNOON. A 1008 LOW DEVELOPS NEAR 59N 148W SUN MORNING 
AND REMAINS STATIONARY WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING THROUGH SUN.

$$

PKZ351-150115-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
323 AM AKDT SAT JUN 14 2014

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.WED...SW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.

$$

PKZ352-150115-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
323 AM AKDT SAT JUN 14 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$
414 
FZAK61 PAFC 142346
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
346 PM AKDT SAT JUN 14 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-151330-
346 PM AKDT SAT JUN 14 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 1004 MB LOW NEAR 57N 140W WILL DRIFT SOUTHEAST AND DISSIPATE BY
SUN MORNING. A DEVELOPING NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO NEAR 54N
154W AT 994 MB MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ351-151330-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
346 PM AKDT SAT JUN 14 2014

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.

$$

PKZ352-151330-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
346 PM AKDT SAT JUN 14 2014

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jun 11, 7:38 PM AKDT, 7 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 11, 7:38 PM AKDT, 7 hours 35 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
738 PM AKDT WED JUN 11 2014

.UPDATE...
ZONES 101/111/121
THE SUBTLEST OF LIFT ALONG FAR SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF SHORTWAVE
TROUGH IS LIFTING THROUGH UPPER COOK INLET AND THE SUSITNA VALLEY
THIS EVENING. A COUPLE PASSING SHOWERS THAT HAVE FORMED NEAR THE
CHUGACH/KENAI RANGES SHOULD DIMINISH FAIRLY QUICKLY AS THE
EVENING WEARS ON.

JAM

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 401 PM AKDT WED JUN 11 2014/

ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE PERSISTENT COLD UPPER LOW OF RECENT DAYS IS NOW LOCATED OVER
THE INTERIOR OF THE STATE AND CONTINUING TO MOVE AWAY TO THE
NORTH. THE LAST VESTIGES OF THIS FEATURE ARE SOME LINGERING
INSTABILITY CLOUDS/SHOWERS OVER INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE SUSITNA
VALLEY AND COPPER RIVER BASIN...BUT THESE WILL NOT REACH THE
INTENSITY OF YESTERDAY AS INSTABILITY CONTINUES TO DIMINISH
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. MEANWHILE...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING INTO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. THIS REPRESENTS A BRIEF BREAK IN THE PARADE
OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS MOVING INTO AND THROUGH THE PERSISTENT
LONGWAVE TROUGH THAT ENCOMPASSES THE ENTIRE REGION. THIS AMPLE
SUNSHINE COMBINED WITH A MODERATING/WARMING AIRMASS ARE HELPING
BOOST TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO NORMAL VALUES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

OUT WEST...A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW IS CHURNING SLOWLY EASTWARD
THROUGH THE BERING SEA. A RAPIDLY WEAKENING ASSOCIATED FRONT IS
MOVING ONSHORE THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND COAST...WITH LIGHT RAIN
BEING REPORTED FROM NUNIVAK ISLAND DOWN TO THE ALASKA PENINSULA.
WINDS IN ALL QUADRANTS AROUND THIS LOW AS WELL AS ALONG THE FRONT
ITSELF ARE GENERALLY UNDER 25-30 MPH...WITH THE GUSTIEST
CONDITIONS OCCURRING THROUGH THE CHANNELED TERRAIN OF THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA.

MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT THROUGHOUT THE SHORT
TERM (84 HOURS) FORECAST PERIOD. THE BREAKDOWN OF THE DOWNSTREAM
RIDGE OVER WESTERN NORTH AMERICA WILL ALLOW THE JET STREAM OVER
THE GULF OF ALASKA TO BECOME MORE ZONAL. THIS WILL ALLOW THE UPPER
LOW CURRENTLY IN THE BERING TO MOVE EAST INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA
BY FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW
REFORMING/REDEVELOPING OVER THE WESTERN GULF AT THE SAME TIME. THE
ECMWF WAS THE FIRST MODEL TO DEPICT THIS SCENARIO...AND ALL THE
MODELS ARE NOW DEPICTING A SIMILAR ATMOSPHERIC EVOLUTION. THE
CHALLENGE WILL BE IN HOW QUICKLY AND HOW FAR SOUTH THIS LOW
DEVELOPS. THE SLIGHTLY FURTHER SOUTH SOLUTION SHOWN BY THE GFS
WOULD END WIDESPREAD RAINFALL ACROSS INTERIOR AREAS SOONER ON
FRIDAY...WHILE A DELAYED DEVELOPMENT WOULD PROLONG STEADY RAIN
OVER COOK INLET AND INLAND AREAS DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. AT THIS
TIME...A CONSENSUS-BASED APPROACH THAT HAPPENS TO BE FAIRLY CLOSE
TO THE INHERITED FORECAST IS PREFERRED...AND SHOULD SEE STEADY
RAINS BECOME CONFINED LARGELY TO THE GULF COASTAL AREAS BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. OUT WEST...A SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL DROP
INTO THE LONGWAVE TROUGH FROM EASTERN RUSSIA ON FRIDAY. THE NAM
SEEMS TO BE LAGGING THE GLOBAL MODELS WITH THE SPEED OF THIS
SOUTHWARD MOVEMENT...SO THE GFS/ECMWF ARE THE PREFERRED SOLUTIONS
TODAY.

SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...ABUNDANT SUNSHINE IS DOMINATING MUCH OF THE
AREA TODAY COURTESY OF A SHORTWAVE RIDGE PASSING THROUGH. THE BLUE
SKIES PROVIDE STARK CONTRAST TO THE FRESH SNOW THAT FELL DOWN TO
NEARLY 3500 FT OVER THE FRONT RANGE ON TUESDAY. AFTER THE
WIDESPREAD WETTING RAIN YESTERDAY...THE SUN IS WELCOME NEWS FOR
THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS. THE RIDGE WILL NOT LAST LONG
THOUGH. THURSDAY WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS THROUGHOUT THE DAY
WITH PRECIPITATION SPREADING FROM KODIAK IN THE LATE AFTERNOON UP
THE COOK INLET JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT. FRIDAY WILL SEE THE TRIPLE
POINT LOW STRENGTHENING IN THE WESTERN GULF. THIS WILL BRING
ANOTHER ROUND OF MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS AND A BROAD
SWATH OF PRECIPITATION. THESE SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BRING
DOWNSLOPING CONDITIONS TO THE TYPICAL AREAS DOWNSTREAM OF THE
KENAI AND CHUGACH MOUNTAINS. THIS MEANS LIMITED PRECIPITATION FOR
KENAI...THE ANCHORAGE BOWL..AND THE MAT- SU VALLEY. IT WILL ALSO
BRING GUSTY WINDS TO THE TURNAGAIN ARM AND OTHER FAVORED AREAS.
THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL IMPACT THE GULF COAST EARLY FRIDAY
AND SPREAD INTO THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND BY THE AFTERNOON. THE LOW
CENTER KEEPS TRACKING INTO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF BY SATURDAY. THAT
WILL PUSH MOST OF THE STEADIER PRECIPITATION INTO THE PANHANDLE
WHILE LEAVING MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL IN LINGERING SHOWERS BUT LIKELY
A FEW BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS LATER IN THE DAY.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...A WEAKENING WARM FRONT TRYING TO MAKE ITS WAY
INTO BRISTOL BAY IS BUTTING UP AGAINST A SHORTWAVE RIDGE THAT IS
HOLDING STRONG ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST. SO WHILE THERE IS SOME LIGHT
RAIN AND FOG ALONG THE COAST...MAINLY INLAND LOCATIONS ARE STILL
SEEING MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. THIS FIRST FRONT WILL FALL APART AS IT
SLIDES NORTH TOWARDS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA...BUT IT WILL QUICKLY BE
REPLACED BY A STRONGER SYSTEM THAT WILL MOVE INTO BRISTOL BAY ON
THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF MODERATE
PRECIPITATION THAT SHOULD BE ABLE TO PENETRATE MOST OF THE WAY TO
THE ALASKA RANGE BY THURSDAY NIGHT. AS THE ENERGY FROM THIS SYSTEM
TRANSFERS INTO THE GULF...RAIN WILL TURN MORE SHOWERY IN NATURE ON
FRIDAY. BY SATURDAY...MODELS AGREE THAT THE ATMOSPHERE SHOULD
BEGIN TO DRY OUT. BUT UNDER WEAK NORTHWESTERLY FLOW...AFTERNOON
SHOWERS ARE LIKELY TO FIRE ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...IT IS QUITE REMARKABLE HOW LITTLE CHANGE
THERE HAS BEEN IN THE LONGWAVE PATTER OVER THE REGION. AND THIS
WILL CONTINUE AT LEAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. OVER THE WESTERN
EXTENT OF THE BERING...COLDER AIR CONTINUES TO PLUNGE SOUTH OFF OF
RUSSIA. THIS THEN IN TURN GETS PICKED UP BY A FAST MOVING ZONAL
JET ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. THE COLDER AIR HELPS
REINFORCE THE TROUGH OVER THE REGION AND EVENTUALLY TURNS INTO
SOME TYPE OF WEAK BAROCLINIC ZONE OVER THE WARMER TEMPS NEAR THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THAT SAID...TYPICAL JUNE WEATHER WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE SHORT TERM WITH SHOWERS AND LIGHT WINDS.

LONG TERM FORECAST (SUN THROUGH THU)...THE ENSEMBLE MEANS SEEM
TO BE TRENDING TOWARDS SHIFTING THE LONGWAVE TROUGH SLIGHTLY TO
THE EAST. SO INSTEAD OF BEING ALIGNED THROUGH THE EASTERN
BERING...IT WOULD BE STRETCH OUT INTO THE NORTHERN GULF. THERE
CONTINUES TO BE CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF
THE TROUGH...PRIMARILY CONCERNING THE N PAC RIDGE. HOW STRONG THE
RIDGE WILL BE WILL DICTATE WHERE THE TROUGH WILL SET UP SHOP. THE
11/00Z EC ENSEMBLE MEAN SHOWED A DEEP MERIDIONAL TROUGH FAR
ENOUGH WEST IN THE GULF THAT IT WOULD PUMP SIGNIFICANT WARM AIR
AND HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES DIRECTLY INTO SOUTH CENTRAL.
BUT THE 11/12Z RUN SHIFTED THE TROUGH SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES TO
THE EAST BRINGING THE SOUTHERLY FLOW MOSTLY INTO THE WRANGELL ST
ELIAS AREA. SO A VERY BROAD BRUSH APPROACH CONTINUES TO BE USED IN
THIS TIME FRAME UNTIL MODELS SHOW MORE CERTAINTY WITH THE DETAILS.

AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

AMD/MSO JUN 14

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 12, 3:19 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Jun 12, 3:31 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC3 days
Jun 12, 3:41 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Jun 12, 3:41 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr
Jun 12, 3:45 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Jun 12, 3:45 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC60 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2014Every gale warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.