Gale Warning 358, NWS Anchorage, AK

053 
FZAK62 PAFC 291144
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
344 AM AKDT TUE APR 29 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-300215-
344 AM AKDT TUE APR 29 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 984 MB LOW NEAR 50N 171E WILL MOVE TO 54N 175E AT 979 MB THIS
EVENING AND THEN MOVE TO EASTERN RUSSIA AND WEAKEN TO 993 MB WED
NIGHT. AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL SPREAD FROM THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS INTO THE CENTRAL BERING BY WED...THEN WEAKEN OVER THE
EASTERN BERING LATE WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-300215-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
344 AM AKDT TUE APR 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT EXCEPT NORTH 15 TO 25 KT W OF 175E.
SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT EXCEPT NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT W OF 175E.
SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ412-300215-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
344 AM AKDT TUE APR 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.SAT...E WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT.

$$

PKZ413-300215-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
344 AM AKDT TUE APR 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING.
SEAS 12 TO 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.SAT...E WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ414-300215-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
344 AM AKDT TUE APR 29 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT...STRONGEST W. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.WED...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.FRI...E WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

803 
FZAK62 PAFC 292318
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
318 PM AKDT TUE APR 29 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-301415-
318 PM AKDT TUE APR 29 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 980 MB LOW NEAR 53N 174E WILL MOVE TO 61N 175E AT 990 MB WED
EVENING AND THEN MOVE RAPIDLY NORTH AND WEAKEN. AN ASSOCIATED
WEATHER FRONT WILL SPREAD FROM THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS INTO THE
CENTRAL BERING WED...THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN OVER THE EASTERN BERING
THROUGH THU.

$$

PKZ411-301415-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
318 PM AKDT TUE APR 29 2014

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT EXCEPT N WIND 35 KT WEST OF 175E.
SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ412-301415-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
318 PM AKDT TUE APR 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT.

$$

PKZ413-301415-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
318 PM AKDT TUE APR 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ414-301415-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
318 PM AKDT TUE APR 29 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
SNOW.
.THU...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

478 
FZAK62 PAFC 301123
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
323 AM AKDT WED APR 30 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-010130-
323 AM AKDT WED APR 30 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 980 MB LOW NEAR 55N 176E THIS MORNING WILL MOVE NEAR 61N 175E
AT 991 MB WED EVENING. AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT OVER THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL TRACK THROUGH THE CENTRAL BERING SEA TOWARDS
THE NORTHERN BERING BY WED MORNING AND WEAKEN THROUGH THU.

$$

PKZ411-010130-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
323 AM AKDT WED APR 30 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 FT.

$$

PKZ412-010130-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
323 AM AKDT WED APR 30 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...S WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ413-010130-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
323 AM AKDT WED APR 30 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND UP TO 15 KT BECOMING E 10 TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 FT.

$$

PKZ414-010130-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
323 AM AKDT WED APR 30 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.THU...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT.
.SAT...W WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.

$$

845 
FZAK62 PAFC 302259
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
259 PM AKDT WED APR 30 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-011315-
259 PM AKDT WED APR 30 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 987 MB LOW NEAR 59N 175E WILL MOVE NORTH AND WEAKEN THROUGH
THU. AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT IN THE CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL WEAKEN
AS HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS IN THE EASTERN BERING SEA THU.

$$

PKZ411-011315-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
259 PM AKDT WED APR 30 2014

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 FT.

$$

PKZ412-011315-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
259 PM AKDT WED APR 30 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...S WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ413-011315-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
259 PM AKDT WED APR 30 2014

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 FT.

$$

PKZ414-011315-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
259 PM AKDT WED APR 30 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.THU...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 FT.

$$

409 
FZAK62 PAFC 011108
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
308 AM AKDT THU MAY 1 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-020215-
308 AM AKDT THU MAY 1 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A WEATHER FRONT IN THE CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL WEAKEN AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA THIS MORNING. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE BERING INTO SAT.

$$

PKZ411-020215-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
308 AM AKDT THU MAY 1 2014

.TODAY...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ412-020215-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
308 AM AKDT THU MAY 1 2014

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ413-020215-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
308 AM AKDT THU MAY 1 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 FT.

$$

PKZ414-020215-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
308 AM AKDT THU MAY 1 2014

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
147 PM AKDT MON APR 28 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IS IN THE MIDDLE OF A SHIFT WHICH WILL
RESULT IN HIGH PRESSURE OVER MOST OF THE STATE WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA...AND
THE TROUGH FROM IT THAT EXTENDS INTO SOUTHCENTRAL...IS BEGINNING
TO GET SQUEEZED BY AMPLIFYING UPPER LEVEL RIDGES. ONE IS ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF NORTH AMERICA AND THE OTHER IN THE BERING SEA.
BY TUESDAY...THE LOW IN THE GULF WILL CUTOFF...AND WILL AMPLIFY
THE WESTERN U.S. RIDGE AXIS INTO ALASKA. THIS FEATURE WILL
INTERACT WITH THE BERING SEA RIDGE...FORMING A STRONG 500 MB HIGH
LATITUDE BLOCK (570+ DM) OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA. ACCOMPANYING THIS
WILL BE WARM TEMPERATURES...SOME OF WHICH MAY APPROACH RECORD
LEVELS. AFTER TUESDAY...VERY DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS LOOK TO
PERSIST OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE NUMERICAL MODELS REMAIN IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH THE LARGE
SCALE PATTERN INTO NEXT WEEKEND...BUT CONTINUE TO STRUGGLING WITH
THE SURFACE LOW ROTATING INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA ON TUESDAY.
HOWEVER...THE SENSIBLE WEATHER IMPACTS ARE LARGELY NEGLIGIBLE. THE
GFS WAS FAVORED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH SOME NAM DETAILS
BEING UTILIZED IN INLAND AREAS.
&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
THE TROUGH THAT STRETCHES FROM KODIAK ISLANDS THROUGH THE NORTH
GULF COAST IS SERVING AS A CATALYST FOR SOME RAIN SHOWERS THIS
AFTERNOON. A FEW OF THESE SHOWERS ARE ALSO DEVELOPING IN A
SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND WESTERN
KENAI PENINSULA AS WELL. THERE HAS BEEN ENOUGH DAYTIME HEATING IN
THESE AREAS TO KICK OFF THE CONVECTION...WHICH WILL RAPIDLY
DIMINISH IN THE EVENING.
TUESDAY WILL DRY OUT AND WARM UP AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDS
IN. A FEW RAIN SHOWERS MAY CLIP THE ALASKA RANGE...BUT MOST
LOCATIONS WILL BE DRY. WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WILL PROGRESSIVELY
WARM AS A STOUT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN. EACH DAY WILL BE WELL
ABOVE AVERAGE...WITH TEMPERATURES FRIDAY POSSIBLY REACHING RECORD
HIGHS ACROSS SOME LOCATIONS. EVEN ANCHORAGE...WHICH NORMALLY SEES
A SEA BREEZE IN THE AFTERNOON...MAY HAVE STRONG ENOUGH NORTHERLY
WINDS TO ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH THE MID TO UPPER 60S...AND
POSSIBLY INTO THE LOWER 70S. THE MAT-SU VALLEY WILL LIKELY SEE
SOME LOCATIONS HIT THE 70 DEGREE MARK.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION IS KEEPING CLEAR SKIES OVER A GOOD
PART OF THE INLAND AREAS...BUT ALSO CONTRIBUTING TO DENSE FOG
ALONG THE BERING SEA COAST. NEAR THE ALASKA AND ALEUTIAN RANGES
THERE IS ENOUGH INSTABILITY AND OROGRAPHIC LIFT TO CAUSE A FEW
RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME WILL DRIFT TOWARD
THE LOWER ELEVATION OF THE BRISTOL BAY REGION BUT WILL BE LESS
NUMEROUS THE FARTHER WEST ONE GOES.
A FRONT TRACKING ACROSS THE NORTHERN BERING SEA WILL LIKELY BRING
SOME RAIN TO THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA TONIGHT AND
SOME CLOUDS FARTHER INLAND TOMORROW...BUT THIS WILL PASS THROUGH
QUICKLY AS IT WEAKENS AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN EVEN STRONGER
TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
THE FRONT THAT IS IN THE NORTHERN BERING SEA WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN AS IT HEADS EASTWARD OVERNIGHT AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN
BEHIND IT. THIS WILL KEEP WIDESPREAD FOG OVER A GOOD PART OF THE
BERING SEA. THERE IS A MODERATE LOW SOUTHWEST OF ATTU THAT
WILL STRENGTHEN A LITTLE AS IT MOVES INT THE WESTERN BERING SEA
TOMORROW. THE HIGH PRESSURE IN THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL KEEP
IT IN THE WESTERN BERING AS IT HEADS NORTHWARD. THE WEATHER FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW THIS WILL BRING RAIN TO THE ALEUTIANS AS
IT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK WILL SEE CLEAR AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH
WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
ALASKA. THIS WILL INCREASE THE RISK OF FIRE DANGER...ESPECIALLY
SINCE MOST OF THE TREES AND OTHER PLANTS HAVE NOT GONE THROUGH
'GREEN UP' YET. THE BIGGEST QUESTION THIS EQUATION WILL BE HOW
STRONG THE WINDS BECOME. STRONGER NORTHERLY WINDS WILL NOT ONLY
CAUSE HIGHER TEMPERATURES BUT ALSO INCREASE THE RATE OF SPREAD FOR
ANY FIRES THAT DO OCCUR. THAT WILL BE THE BIGGEST ITEM TO WATCH AS
THE WEEK PROGRESSES. &&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 173 175 176 177.
FIRE WEATHER...RED FLAG WARNING 171.
&&

APR 14