Gale Warning 295, NWS Anchorage, AK

175 
FZAK52 PAFC 122342
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT WED MAR 12 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-131500-
400 PM AKDT WED MAR 12 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE BERING SEA THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON.
A 966 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY WILL MOVE WELL INTO THE GULF
THU AFTERNOON. A WEATHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS 
ON FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-131500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE
400 PM AKDT WED MAR 12 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 45
KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 17
FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN
THE EVENING. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-131500-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT WED MAR 12 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT...EXCEPT SW 30 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS
E IN THE EVENING. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT 35 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E
IN THE EVENING. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-131500-
BRISTOL BAY
400 PM AKDT WED MAR 12 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING
NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-131500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT WED MAR 12 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT W OF PORT MOLLER
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-131500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE
400 PM AKDT WED MAR 12 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 11
FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-131500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT WED MAR 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 12 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-131500-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKDT WED MAR 12 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT...EXCEPT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT W OF UNALASKA
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ173-131500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE
400 PM AKDT WED MAR 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ174-131500-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKDT WED MAR 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-131500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE
400 PM AKDT WED MAR 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-131500-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE
400 PM AKDT WED MAR 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ177-131500-
ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT WED MAR 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ178-131500-
KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT WED MAR 12 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-131500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT WED MAR 12 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-131500-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT
400 PM AKDT WED MAR 12 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT N OF CAPE NEWENHAM IN THE
EVENING. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT N OF CAPE NEWENHAM IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING 
SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ181-131500-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
400 PM AKDT WED MAR 12 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ185-131500-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT WED MAR 12 2014

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 AM AKDT WED MAR 12 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS POSITIONED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF
EXTENDING THROUGH THE KENAI PENINSULA INTO THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS LOCATED EAST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND
WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING TOWARDS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. AN AMPLIFIED
RIDGE THROUGH THE AK PENINSULA EXTENDING THROUGH KODIAK TOWARDS 53N
144W WITH A STRONG ZONAL JET STREAK SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. THE
SATELLITE IMAGERY REFLECTS THE WEAK LOW POSITIONED OVER NORTHERN
KENAI PENINSULA THIS MORNING WITH A LARGE SWATH OF MOISTURE OVER THE
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND EXTENDING THROUGH THE CHUGACH MOUNTAINS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE HANDLING THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW SOUTH OF THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS WELL UP THROUGH 30 HOURS. AS THE LOW TRACKS CLOSER TO THE
SOUTH WESTERN GULF THERE IS UNCERTAINTY WITH PLACEMENT OF THE LOW AND
FORMATION OF A TRIPLE POINT LOW. THEREFORE...THE FORECAST CONFIDENCE
IS GOOD UP THROUGH 30 HOURS BUT DIMINISHES TO FAIR FOR REST OF THE
SHORT TERM FORECAST.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION INTO THE
AFTERNOON. THE TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR OR JUST BELOW FREEZING WITH
COLD AIR ADVECTION FROM THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW PRESSURE FILTERING
INTO THE AREA. THE PRECIPITATION WILL A MIXTURE OF SNOW/RAIN CHANGING
TO ALL SNOW BY THIS MORNING. THE TEMPERATURES WILL START TO WARM AS
THE NEXT WEATHER FRONT APPROACHES THE NORTHERN GULF LATE THIS
EVENING. THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS IS
TRACKING ALONG THE SAME PATH TRAJECTORY AS THE PREVIOUS LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM. THE WEATHER FRONT WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED NEW LOW WILL ENTER
THE SOUTH WESTERN GULF BY THIS AFTERNOON AND TRACK TO NORTHERN GULF
BY THE LATE EVENING. HIGH WIND WARNINGS WERE ISSUED FOR OVERNIGHT
WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING FOR THE PORTAGE VALLEY AND
TURNAGAIN ARM/HIGHER ELEVATIONS AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT STRENGTHENS
WITH THE LOW APPROACHING THE GULF OF ALASKA. AS THE LOW TRACKS EAST
OF THE BARREN ISLANDS THURSDAY EVENING...KODIAK ISLAND WILL HAVE COLD
AIR ADVECTION WITH GUSTY WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS AND COMBINED WITH
PRECIPITATION THERE IS A CHANCE FOR BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE ON THE RISE THIS
AFTERNOON AS A WARM FRONT FROM A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC
PUSHES INLAND AND BRINGS A SURGE OF MOISTURE FROM THE SUBTROPICS.
SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE THIS MORNING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
BRISTOL BAY AREA AND SPREAD NORTH INTO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND LOWER
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TAPER
OFF THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON THURSDAY BEFORE FINALLY TAPERING OFF TO
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS THURSDAY EVENING. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL VARY
ACROSS THE AREA...BUT THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED IN
THE BRISTOL BAY AREA AS PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY LINGER IN THIS AREA
FOR A LONGER PERIOD OF TIME AND BE CLOSER TO LARGE SCALE SYNOPTIC
FORCING. ANOTHER THING OF NOTE IS THE PRESENCE OF STRONG WINDS ACROSS
THE BRISTOL BAY AREA THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LOW SKIRTS TO THE SOUTH OF
THE AREA. THIS WILL LIKELY CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW...ESPECIALLY
THROUGH THE CHANNELED TERRAIN ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE.

THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIAN CHAIN...
AS A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC
SKIRTS SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS TODAY...WIDESPREAD
SNOW AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE OBSERVED FROM DUTCH HARBOR EASTWARD.
THE BIGGEST IMPACTS WILL BE OBSERVED ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA WHERE
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS STRONG WINDS (GUSTING OVER 45
MPH AT TIMES) COMBINE WITH HEAVY SNOWFALL TO CREATE VISIBILITY
REDUCTIONS TO ONE QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS. THE HEAVIEST SNOW AND
STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE OBSERVED LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING AS THE LOW PUSHES TOWARD THE GULF OF ALASKA.
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL LIKELY BE SEEN DURING
THIS PERIOD. ACROSS THE BERING SEA AND WEST OF DUTCH
HARBOR...SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE AS COLD NORTHERLY WINDS
AID IN CREATING INSTABILITY SHOWERS OVER THE BERING SEA. AS THESE
SHOWERS INTERACT WITH THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN AND PRIBILOF ISLANDS...THEY
WILL BE OROGRAPHICALLY ENHANCED...LEADING TO SLIGHTLY HEAVIER AND
LONGER DURATION SHOWERS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE BEGINNING
OF NEXT WEEK CONTINUES TO APPEAR FAVORABLE AS THE SUBTROPICAL JET
CONTINUES TO INCH NORTHWARD. MODELS HAVE DECENT AGREEMENT ON TWO
DISTINCT FEATURES OVER THE WEEKEND. THE FIRST FEATURE WILL BE AN
OCCLUDING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GULF THAT WILL MOVE
INLAND NEAR THE PANHANDLE AND HAVE MINIMAL IMPACTS ON THE AOR. THE
SECOND FEATURE IS A LOW PUSHING OFF THE COAST OF RUSSIA THAT WILL
MATURE PRIOR TO ENTERING THE BERING SEA. HOWEVER...BY SATURDAY
EVENING...MODELS ARE HINTING AT ANOTHER LOW DEVELOPING ALONG THE
FRONT IN THE BERING SEA ASSOCIATED WITH THE PARENT LOW. THIS LOW WILL
QUICKLY DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA ON SUNDAY...LEADING TO
GALE FORCE WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE BERING SEA. IN ADDITION...THIS
NEW LOW SHOULD ALSO BRING WIDESPREAD GUSTY WINDS AND SNOW TO MUCH OF
THE MAINLAND THROUGH NEXT WEEK. DETAILS WILL CONTINUE TO BE IRONED
OUT IN THE COMING DAYS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 101 125
         BLIZZARD WARNING 181
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY 185
MARINE...STORM WARNING 119 120 155
         GALE WARNING 125 130 131 132 136 137 138 139 141 150 160 165
                      170 172 180 351 352
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING 155 160 165 170 171 180 411 412
                                      413 414
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

MC/PLD MAR 14

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
540 AM AKDT WED MAR 12 2014

AKZ171-130000-

...FALLING TEMPERATURES AND BLOWING SNOW THREAT FOR KODIAK ISLAND
THURSDAY...

A PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SKIRTING SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA
WILL PASS SOUTH OF THE ISLAND THURSDAY MORNING AND THEN TRACK NORTH
TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN KENAI PENINSULA EARLY ON FRIDAY. THIS LOW WILL
INITIALLY PUSH A WARM FRONT THROUGH THE ISLAND THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW QUICKLY TRANSITIONING TO RAIN. AS
THIS LOW PIVOTS SOUTH OF THE ISLAND ON THURSDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL
SHIFT WINDS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND USHER IN MARKEDLY COOLER AIR.
THIS TRANSITION WILL FEATURE PRECIPITATION CHANGING QUICKLY TO ALL
SNOW. INITIALLY THIS WILL OCCUR OVER THE SOUTH TO WEST PART OF THE
ISLAND THURSDAY AFTERNOON...BUT IT MAY SPREAD EASTWARD TOWARDS KODIAK
CITY THURSDAY EVENING. THE DEGREE OF COLD AIR FILTERING IN FROM THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND COUPLED WITH  STRONG WINDS INTRODUCES A BLOWING
SNOW WITH REDUCED VISIBILITY THREAT.

AT THIS JUNCTURE THERE IS A FAIR AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY ON HOW CLOSE
THE THE LOW WILL TRACK TO THE ISLAND AS WELL AS HOW FAR EAST THE
BLOWING SNOW THREAT WILL PUSH INTO THE ISLAND. HOWEVER IT IS A
NOTABLE POSSIBILITY (ALBEIT LOW) AND AREA RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO
BEAR THIS IN MIND IF OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES ARE PLANNED.

JAM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
540 AM AKDT WED MAR 12 2014

AKZ171-130000-

...FALLING TEMPERATURES AND BLOWING SNOW THREAT FOR KODIAK ISLAND
THURSDAY...

A PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SKIRTING SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA
WILL PASS SOUTH OF THE ISLAND THURSDAY MORNING AND THEN TRACK NORTH
TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN KENAI PENINSULA EARLY ON FRIDAY. THIS LOW WILL
INITIALLY PUSH A WARM FRONT THROUGH THE ISLAND THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW QUICKLY TRANSITIONING TO RAIN. AS
THIS LOW PIVOTS SOUTH OF THE ISLAND ON THURSDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL
SHIFT WINDS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND USHER IN MARKEDLY COOLER AIR.
THIS TRANSITION WILL FEATURE PRECIPITATION CHANGING QUICKLY TO ALL
SNOW. INITIALLY THIS WILL OCCUR OVER THE SOUTH TO WEST PART OF THE
ISLAND THURSDAY AFTERNOON...BUT IT MAY SPREAD EASTWARD TOWARDS KODIAK
CITY THURSDAY EVENING. THE DEGREE OF COLD AIR FILTERING IN FROM THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND COUPLED WITH  STRONG WINDS INTRODUCES A BLOWING
SNOW WITH REDUCED VISIBILITY THREAT.

AT THIS JUNCTURE THERE IS A FAIR AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY ON HOW CLOSE
THE LOW WILL TRACK TO THE ISLAND AS WELL AS HOW FAR EAST THE BLOWING
SNOW THREAT WILL PUSH INTO THE ISLAND. HOWEVER IT IS A NOTABLE
POSSIBILITY (ALBEIT LOW) AND AREA RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO BEAR THIS
IN MIND IF OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES ARE PLANNED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
800 AM AKDT WED MAR 12 2014

AKZ101-111-150000-

...ESPECIALLY SLICK ROADS POSSIBLE FOR THE EVENING COMMUTE...

TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION ARE HOLDING IN THE LOWER 30S TO LOWER
40S WITH LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. TOWARD
EARLY EVENING...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY SOUTH OF HOMER WILL
TRACK UP COOK INLET. COLDER AIR WRAPPING AROUND THIS LOW WILL SURGE
NORTHWARD AND BRING SOME STEADIER SNOW BACK TO THE ANCHORAGE AND
MAT-SU REGION. WITH TEMPERATURES QUICKLY FALLING INTO THE 20S...ANY
RESIDUAL WET SURFACES AND ROADWAYS WILL FREEZE OVER AND COULD BE
SUBTLY HIDDEN UNDER ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL.

AREA RESIDENTS AND MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO BE EXTRA VIGILANT AND
CAUTIOUS PARTICULARLY DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE WHEN SNOW WILL
LIKELY BECOME HEAVIER IN INTENSITY.

JM/AMD