Gale Warning 189, NWS Anchorage, AK

472 
FZAK51 PAFC 131237
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-140300-
400 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 975 MB COMPLEX LOW OVER THE NORTHWESTERN GULF WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY THROUGH FRI NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ119-140300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-140300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-140300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-140300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-140300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-140300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-140300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-140300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-140300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-140300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-140300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT EXCEPT NW 20 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-140300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-140300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-140300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 
5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 5
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-140300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-140300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-140300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

574 
FZAK51 PAFC 140054 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

CORRECTED ZONE 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-141500-
400 PM AKST THU FEB 13 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 975 MB COMPLEX LOW OVER THE NORTHWESTERN GULF WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY AND SLOWLY STRENGTHEN TO 966 MB BY SAT AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ119-141500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 PM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. ALONG
THE COAST...S WIND 25 KT SHIFTING TO E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI..S WIND 25 KT. ALONG THE COAST...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-141500-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-141500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT N THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-141500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND PASSES
IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-141500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-141500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-141500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-141500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-141500-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 PM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-141500-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 PM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 10
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-141500-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S OF DANGEROUS
CAPE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. S OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ136-141500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-141500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-141500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW BY MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT
OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ139-141500-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 PM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.

.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-141500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 PM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO
3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-141500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST THU FEB 13 2014

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
330 PM AKST WED FEB 12 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A DEEP UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO DIG SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE MAINLAND
ACCOMPANIED BY VERY COLD ARCTIC AIR AND GUSTY WINDS. A SURFACE LOW IN
THE NORTHWEST GULF IS DEVELOPING AS EXPECTED...AND IS ENHANCING
PRESSURE GRADIENTS AND ASSOCIATED OUTFLOW GAP WINDS ACROSS THE GULF
COAST. THE BULK OF THE ARCTIC AIRMASS IS DROPPING AROUND THE WEST
SIDE OF THE ALASKA RANGE INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA...WHERE TEMPERATURES
AND WIND CHILL VALUES ARE ALREADY WELL BELOW ZERO AND WILL CONTINUE
DROPPING THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. OUT WEST...THERE IS A RELATIVELY
LOW-AMPLITUDE RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN BERING WITH A SHORTWAVE JUST
BEGINNING TO DROP DOWN THE FRONT/EAST SIDE. A WEAK AND ELONGATED
SURFACE LOW HAS DEVELOPED IN RESPONSE TO THIS WAVE...BUT IS STRONG
ENOUGH TO GENERATE A SMALL AREA OF NORTHWESTERLY GALE-FORCE WINDS
MOVING INTO THE WESTERN BERING.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN UNCHARACTERISTICALLY OUTSTANDING AGREEMENT THROUGHOUT
THE SHORT TERM WITH ALL MAJOR FEATURES. IT WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO
PINPOINT MORE THAN 6-12 HOURS IN ADVANCE EXACTLY WHERE INDIVIDUAL
SURFACE LOWS WILL PINWHEEL AROUND IN THE NORTHWEST GULF OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...SO WILL ADOPT A FAIRLY BROAD-BRUSHED APPROACH THAT FOCUSES
ON IMPACTS AND GAP WINDS...AND RELY ON RADAR AND SATELLITE TRENDS TO
FINE-TUNE THE FORECASTS WHILE THIS PATTERN PERSISTS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF SNOW BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF AND COASTAL LOCATIONS. THE PRIMARY
FORECAST CHALLENGE WILL REMAIN SNOW AMOUNTS AROUND THE REGION...WITH
THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS FALLING AROUND AND EAST OF PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.
WHILE SNOWFALL RATES WILL BE MODERATE BY RELATIVE STANDARDS...THE
LONGEVITY OF THE SNOWFALL OVER THE COMING DAYS WILL BECOME FAIRLY
SIGNIFICANT...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE RECENT LONG RUN OF DRIER THAN
NORMAL WEATHER. AS THE LOW IN THE GULF BECOMES MORE VERTICALLY
STACKED TONIGHT...DEEP-LAYER SOUTHEAST FLOW IS STILL EXPECTED TO
ALLOW WARMER AIR AND AN OVERRUNNING PRECIPITATION PROCESS TO SPREAD
SOME SNOW BACK INTO UPPER COOK INLET...THOUGH SNOW AMOUNTS SHOULD BE
MINOR. THE MORE IMPACTFUL WEATHER WILL BE THROUGH THOMPSON
PASS...WHERE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN HIGH ENOUGH TO CREATE SOME BLOWING
SNOW CONCERNS THROUGH MIDDAY THURSDAY AND POTENTIALLY BEYOND.

SOUTHWEST...CONTINUED COLD ADVECTION AND MODERATELY GUSTY WINDS WILL
CREATE DANGEROUS WIND CHILL CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA
THROUGH FRIDAY. WITH WEAK UPPER LEVEL WAVES MOVING SOUTHWARD THERE IS
ALSO A GOOD CHANCE THAT A FEW SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST ALONG THE
COAST OF THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE AND
EVEN STRENGTHEN THROUGH TERRAIN GAPS ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE AND
ALASKA PENINSULA AS A POTENT POTENTIAL VORTICITY ANOMALY DROPPING
DOWN FROM THE NORTH HELPS SQUEEZE THE LOWEST LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE
AND ACCELERATE WINDS.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...AS MENTIONED ABOVE A SHORTWAVE COMING DOWN
THE FRONT OF THE RIDGE WILL BRING A QUICK SHOT OF WIND AND SNOW TO
THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS AS WELL AS THE PRIBILOFS THROUGH
THIS EVENING. AS THIS FEATURE MOVES OUT INTO THE PACIFIC THE ARCTIC
AIRMASS WILL BEGIN TO ELONGATE WESTWARD FROM THE MAINLAND AND
KICK START SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE BERING
SEA ON THURSDAY. COUPLED WITH THE ENHANCED WIND SPEEDS (SEE PREVIOUS
SECTION) THERE IS AN INCREASING LIKELIHOOD OF SIGNIFICANT BLOWING
SNOW CONCERNS DEVELOPING THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM DUTCH HARBOR
EASTWARD ALONG THE PENINSULA. HAVE ISSUED A BLIZZARD WATCH FOR THE
PENINSULA AND THE DUTCH HARBOR AREA FOR TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THINKING FOR THE EXTENDED TERM AS FORECAST
CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGHER THAN NORMAL WITH THE DEEP UPPER LOW
DROPPING SOUTHWARD FROM THE ARCTIC AND REMAINING ENTRENCHED OVER THE
WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
GENERALLY CONTINUE TO YIELD COLD TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS
FOR THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE MAINLAND...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION REMAINING ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. PRECIPITATION
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE FOR INLAND PORTIONS OF SOUTHCENTRAL AK
DEPENDING ON THE EXACT POSITION OF THE LOW AND THE VARIOUS WAVES
ROTATING AROUND IT. MEANWHILE...A MORE ACTIVE PATTERN WILL BE IN
STORE FOR THE BERING AS THE RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN BERING BREAKS DOWN
AND SEVERAL SYSTEMS MOVE THROUGH...PROVIDING OCCASIONAL CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WATCH 181 185
         WIND CHILL ADVISORY 131 152 155 161
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY 131
MARINE...GALE 121 127 128 130 131 132 150 155 165 170 171 172 173
              174 175 176 177 178 179 180 185 411 412 413 414
         HVY FRZG SPRY 121 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 136 137 138

                       139 140 141 150 155 160 165 170 171 179 180
                       185 352 411 412 414
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

AMD FEB 14