Gale Warning 15, NWS Anchorage, AK

954 
FZAK61 PAFC 111232
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-120300-
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 978 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR KODIAK ISLAND LATE THIS EVENING AND
THEN MOVE TO 59N 141W AT 979 MB SUN AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL DISSIPATE
AS IT MOVES ONSHORE NEAR 60N 140W MON MORNING.  
$$

PKZ351-120300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE TO SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-120300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE TO SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

426 
FZAK61 PAFC 112356
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-121500-
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 978 MB LOW NEAR 57N 154W WILL QUICKLY TRACK TO 59N 141W AT 983 MB
SUN AFTERNOON THEN MOVE ASHORE NEAR YAKUTAT SUN NIGHT. A PACIFIC LOW
WILL MOVE TO NEAR 54N 153W AT 973 MB MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ351-121500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE TO SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 TO 20 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-121500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 11 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

046 
FZAK61 PAFC 121241
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-130300-
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 980 MB LOW NEAR 58N 149W WILL DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES INLAND NEAR 60N
140W TUE MORNING. A 985 MB LOW FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE TO
52N 158W MON MORNING AND THEN STRENGTHEN TO 969 MB AS IT MOVES TO 56N
155W TUE MORNING. 
$$

PKZ351-130300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-130300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

185 
FZAK61 PAFC 130002
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-131500-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 985 MB LOW NEAR 59N 143W WILL MOVE INLAND NEAR YAKUTAT LATE
TONIGHT. A 975 MB PACIFIC LOW CENTERED NEAR 51N 160W MON MORNING 
WILL MOVE TO 57N 154W AT 969 MB LATE MON NIGHT THEN TRACK TO NEAR 61N
147W AT 981 MB TUE AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ351-131500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-131500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 12 2014

...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 40 TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

400 
FZAK61 PAFC 131257
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-140300-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 970 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 53N 159W THIS AFTERNOON AND
THEN TO 58N 154W TUE MORNING AT THE SAME STRENGTH...IT WILL CONTINUE
TO 61N 147W TUE AFTERNOON AND THEN DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES INLAND TUE
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ351-140300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO S 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-140300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 AM AKST MON JAN 13 2014

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 40 TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
25 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

050 
FZAK61 PAFC 132358
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-141500-
400 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 967 MB LOW AT 53N 158W WILL MOVE TO 59N 151W AT 971 MB TUE MORNING
THEN MOVE INLAND NEAR 61N 147W AT 979 MB BY TUE EVENING. A WEATHER
FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHERN GULF LATE TUE NIGHT AND TRACKS TO THE
NORTHERN GULF WED AFTERNOON. A 990 MB PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 51N 150W
WED AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ351-141500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT BUILDING TO 28 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
27 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-141500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 PM AKST MON JAN 13 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO SW 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
355 AM AKST FRI JAN 10 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

THE RELEVANT UPPER AIR FEATURES REMAIN MUCH THE SAME AS THE LAST
THREE DAYS...WITH A CLOSED UPPER HIGH CENTERED OVER NORTHEAST SIBERIA
AND THE SIBERIAN SEA...A PACIFIC JET STREAM NOSING EAST OF THE
DATELINE...AND AN UPPER LEVEL VORTEX NEAR BANKS ISLAND EXTENDING INTO
THE NORTH SLOPE. A MIGRATORY TROUGH SOUTH OF THE GULF OF ALASKA IS
TRANSLATING TO THE EAST AS IT BREAKS AWAY FROM THE LARGER JET STREAM
SYSTEM. OVER THE BERING SEA...A STACKED LOW CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT
MIGRATES TOWARD BRISTOL BAY. ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL...THE FLOW ALOFT IS
NEARLY STAGNANT...WITH LESS THAN 30 KNOTS OF UPPER TROPOSPHERIC FLOW
TO 30000 FEET NOTED ON THE 12Z PANC SOUNDING. A WEAK TROUGH CAN BE
SEEN ON WATER VAPOR ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF...WITH THAT FEATURE
TRACKING EAST INTO CANADA.

THE FIRST OF A SERIES OF FAST MOVING LOWS FORMING ALONG THE PACIFIC
JET IS TRACKING INTO THE WESTERN BERING...WITH NUMEROUS LOWS
EVENTUALLY EXPECTED TO TRACK INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH THE LARGE SCALE
PATTERN THROUGH NEXT WEEK...BUT CONTINUE TO HAVE DIFFICULTIES
HANDLING THE VERY LOW AMPLITUDE AND FAST MOVING WAVE DISTURBANCES
EXPECTED TO SKIRT THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE BERING SEA AND GULF OF
ALASKA. NO PARTICULAR MODEL WAS FAVORED...WITH A BLEND TO THE GFS AND
ECMWF CONTINUING TO BE THE FAVORED APPROACH...WITH A BLEND TO WPC
GUIDANCE IN THE EXTENDED.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL...
FLURRIES AND OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER OVER MOST OF
THE COOK INLET REGION TODAY BEFORE DIMINISHING TONIGHT. LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE GULF COAST...COPPER BASIN...AND PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND...WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE BEFORE
ACTIVITY TAPERS OFF TONIGHT. LOCAL AREAS OF PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A POSSIBILITY INTO SATURDAY AS WINDS REMAIN LIGHT.

A FAST MOVING LOW WILL TRACK INTO THE GULF SATURDAY
MORNING...REACHING THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATE SATURDAY...BRINGING
RAIN AND SNOW TO THE COAST.

SOUTHWEST...
AREAS OF FOG AND LOW STRATUS WILL REMAIN OVER MUCH OF SOUTHWEST TODAY
AS WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTS OVER THE AREA. A FEW ISOLATED
SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY NEAR THE ALASKA PENINSULA...BUT
LARGELY DRY CONDITIONS ARE OTHERWISE EXPECTED. A FRONT WILL PUSH INTO
BRISTOL BAY SATURDAY...WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TRACKING INTO THE
ALASKA PENINSULA AND COASTAL REGIONS. WITH THE INCREASING PRESSURE
GRADIENT...OFFSHORE WINDS WILL INCREASE...WITH FOG AND STRATUS
DIMINISHING OVER THE INLAND AREAS.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...
A MODERATELY STRONG LOW TRACKING INTO THE WESTERN BERING SEA THIS
MORNING WILL CONTINUE EAST THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH STORM FORCE
SOUTHWEST WINDS TRACKING OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. RAIN AND SNOW
WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT...WITH MORE SHOWERY ACTIVITY BEHIND THE LOW.
THE LOW WILL REACH THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS THIS EVENING...WEAKENING TO
GALE FORCE IN THE PROCESS. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER OVER
MUCH OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...

MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...TWO FAST MOVING WAVE DISTURBANCES WILL
TRACK THROUGH THE GULF OF ALASKA...WITH RAIN AND SNOW IMPACTING THE
COAST. THE GENERAL STORM TRACK WOULD GENERALLY KEEP MOST INLAND
LOCATIONS WEST OF THE COPPER BASIN ON THE DRIER SIDE...BUT THERE IS
THE POSSIBILITY...SHOULD THE LOW TRACK WEST OR INTENSIFY MORE THAN
CURRENTLY EXPECTED...THAT SOME SNOW COULD DEVELOP INLAND MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.

WEDNESDAY AND BEYOND...THE EXPECTED PATTERN WILL CHANGE DRAMATICALLY
AS A POWERFUL 220 KNOT EAST ASIAN PACIFIC JET SENDS A SERIES OF
STRONG LOWS AND A VIGOROUS WARM FRONT INTO THE BERING SEA AND GULF OF
ALASKA. THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE IN VERY GOOD GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH A
LEADING WARM FRONT TRACKING INTO SOUTHERN ALASKA WEDNESDAY. GIVEN THE
COLD AIR IN PLACE...THIS WOULD LIKELY BEGIN AS OVERRUNNING SNOW
ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS...TURNING TO RAIN ALONG THE COAST.
THEREAFTER...UNCERTAINTY RAPIDLY GROWS WITH THE TIMING AND TRACK OF
INDIVIDUAL LOWS...BUT THERE IS HIGH CERTAINTY STORMINESS WILL
INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY ACROSS THE BERING SEA AND GULF...WITH A
CHINOOK DRIVING INTO SOUTHERN ALASKA...AND HEAVY RAIN IMPACTING
PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST. INLAND AREAS WILL SEE THE FULL SPECTRUM
OF PRECIPITATION TYPES...INCLUDING RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 155 170-175 178 180 185.
         STORM 176 177.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

AHSENMACHER JAN 14