Gale Warning 115, NWS Anchorage, AK

774 
FZAK51 PAFC 272106 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1205 PM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

UPDATED ZONE 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-280300-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 27 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 965 MB LOW 210 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT WILL MOVE TO 170 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT TONIGHT AT 977 MB THEN TO 70 NM SOUTHEAST OF
SAND POINT AT 982 MB TUE MORNING. THIS LOW WILL THEN DISSIPATE. AN
ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF THIS
MORNING. 
$$

PKZ119-280300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 AM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO E 35 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 18
FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ120-280300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-280300-
RESURRECTION BAY
1205 PM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-280300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN DEVELOPING.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-280300-
PORT VALDEZ
400 AM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ127-280300-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 AM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ128-280300-
VALDEZ ARM
400 AM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-280300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-280300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 AM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ131-280300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 AM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-280300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
26 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-280300-
CHINIAK BAY
400 AM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT
SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ137-280300-
MARMOT BAY
400 AM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT
SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-280300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT
SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ139-280300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 AM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-280300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 AM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE 
WATERS 1 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-280300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

JM

646 
FZAK51 PAFC 280041
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-281500-
400 PM AKST MON JAN 27 2014
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 971 MB LOW 240 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT WILL MOVE TO CHIGNIK TUE
EVENING AT 993 MB THEN DISSIPATE TUE NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE
INTO THE NORTHERN GULF ON WED. 
$$

PKZ119-281500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE
400 PM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ120-281500-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-281500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING N LESS THAN
10 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT BY MIDNIGHT. HIGHER
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-281500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ126-281500-
PORT VALDEZ
400 PM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ127-281500-
VALDEZ NARROWS
400 PM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ128-281500-
VALDEZ ARM
400 PM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT BY MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-281500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-281500-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY
400 PM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ131-281500-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST
400 PM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-281500-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ136-281500-
CHINIAK BAY
400 PM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT DIMINISHING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ137-281500-
MARMOT BAY
400 PM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-281500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ139-281500-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE
400 PM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-281500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND
400 PM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-281500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST MON JAN 27 2014

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKST SUN JAN 26 2014

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THERE IS AN UPPER LOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA CENTERED SOUTH
OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM IS SPINNING UP
OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF AND MOVING NORTHWEST. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE REMAINS ALONG THE CANADIAN WEST COAST EXTENDING INTO EASTERN
ALASKA. A LOW NEAR THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA IS SPINNING UP AND MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. THERE IS A WEAK SHORT-WAVE RIDGE OVER THE
WESTERN/CENTRAL ALEUTIANS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH 60 HOURS
(TUESDAY AFTERNOON) THEN BEGIN TO DIVERGE. THE NAM QUICKLY BECOMES
AN OUTLIER AND WAS DISREGARDED. BEYOND 60 HOURS THE MODELS TAKE
BASICALLY TWO PATHS...WITH THE ECMWF AND GEM WEAKER AND MORE
PROGRESSIVE WITH A LOW (MORE OF A WEAK FRONT) OVER THE ALASKA
PENINSULA AND THE GFS AND UKMET MORE AMPLIFIED WITH A LOW SOUTH OF
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA...SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT AS THE WEST
COAST RIDGE REASSERTS ITSELF OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA. THE SYSTEM
CURRENTLY OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL MOVE NORTH TONIGHT AND REACH
THE NORTH GULF COAST LATE MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE OVER THE AREA
INTO THE EVENING. THIS IS ANOTHER VERY WARM SYSTEM BUT DOES NOT
CONTAIN A STRONG MOISTURE TAP...AND THUS RAINFALL WILL GENERALLY BE
ON THE LIGHT SIDE WITH VERY LITTLE PRECIPITATION GETTING INLAND.
PRECIPITATION WILL THEN TAPER OFF TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND NO STORM SYSTEMS OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA.

FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...A FRONTAL SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH THE SOUTHERN
GULF LOW WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA TONIGHT. MOST OF THE RAIN
AND WINDS WILL BE ALONG THE BERING/BRISTOL BAY COAST WITH DRY
CONDITIONS IN THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. THE UPPER LOW WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH MONDAY NIGHT AND CROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA TUESDAY AFTERNOON
AND INTO THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA MAINLAND TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
THE MOVEMENT OF THIS LOW WILL BE AFFECTED BY A MORE PROGRESSIVE
PATTERN TO THE WEST...AS THE KAMCHATKA LOW PUSHES NORTHEAST AND
OPENS UP WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH 161.
         FLASH FLOOD WATCH 131.
MARINE...STORM WARNING 130 131 132 138 150 160 178 180.
         GALE WARNING 120 121 132 136 137 139 140 155 165 170 172
                     173 174 175 176.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

LUDWIG JAN 14