Alert archive / South Dakota / Winter Storm Warnings in 2014

Winter Storm Warning 1, NWS Aberdeen, SD

March 17, 2014Big Stone County, Traverse County, Minnesota; 6 counties in South Dakota

NWS Aberdeen, SD issued this winter storm warning at Mar 17, 2014, 2:56 PM CDT for Big Stone County, Traverse County, Minnesota; 6 counties in South Dakota. It took effect at Mar 18, 2014, 1:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 18 hr. 15 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Mar 17, 2014, 2:56 PM CDT (19:56 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 18, 2014, 1:00 AM CDT
Expired
Mar 18, 2014, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
18 hr
Issued by
NWS Aberdeen, SD

Counties Big Stone County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Clark County, SD, Codington County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Roberts County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 121 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Mar 18, 7:00 AM CDTSNOW 24 Nne Victor, SD
Mar 18, 7:00 AM CDTSNOW 2.8Wheaton, MN
Mar 18, 7:00 AM CDTSNOW 410 Ene Sisseton, SD
Mar 18, 7:50 AM CDTSNOW 2Browns Valley, MN
Mar 18, 8:17 AM CDTSNOW 2.24 W Sisseton, SD
Mar 18, 11:44 AM CDTHEAVY SNOW 6Clear Lake, SDESTIMATED 5 TO 6 INCHES IN CLEAR LAKE WITHIN THE PAST 2 HOURS. HEAVY SNOWFALL CONTINUES.
Mar 18, 11:50 AM CDTHEAVY SNOW 0Clear Lake, SDDEUEL COUNTY SHERIFF REPORTS VERY HEAVY SNOW WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY. SNOWFALL RATES 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR. NO TRAVEL ADVISED WITH MANY CARS IN THE DITCH.
Mar 18, 11:53 AM CDTSNOW 2Hayti, SDHAMLIN COUNTY SHERIFF OFFICE REPORTS 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW IN HAYTI. HEAVY SNOWFALL ONGOING.
Mar 18, 11:59 AM CDTSNOW 1Revillo, SDAROUND AN INCH OF SNOW IN REVILLO. STILL SNOWING.
Mar 18, 12:04 PM CDTHEAVY SNOW 6Estelline, SDVERY HEAVY SNOW ONGOING IN ESTELLINE. ESTIMATED DEPTH AT LEAST 5 TO 6 INCHES.
Mar 18, 1:44 PM CDTHEAVY SNOW 75 Ese Revillo, SDESTIMATED 6 TO 8 INCHES. SOME DRIFTING SNOW. STILL SNOWING.
Mar 18, 1:50 PM CDTHEAVY SNOW 8.5Clear Lake, SD8 TO 9 INCHES IN CLEAR LAKE. HEAVY SNOW CONTINUES...VISIBILITY ABOUT 1 CITY BLOCK.
Mar 18, 1:55 PM CDTHEAVY SNOW 6Correll, MNHEAVY SNOW CONTINUES.
Mar 18, 2:04 PM CDTSNOW 1.55 Ssw Goodwin, SDTOTAL SNOWFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES. STILL SNOWING LIGHTLY.
Mar 18, 5:42 PM CDTHEAVY SNOW 10.5Clear Lake, SDSTOPPED SNOWING. 1.07 WATER .

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 120 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2014-03-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2014-03-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 71 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1382 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
71 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
196 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

394 
WWUS43 KABR 171956
WSWABR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
256 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2014

...ACCUMULATING SNOW LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

MNZ039-046-SDZ008-020>023-180800-
/O.UPG.KABR.WS.A.0001.140318T0600Z-140319T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KABR.WS.W.0001.140318T0600Z-140319T0000Z/
TRAVERSE-BIG STONE-ROBERTS-CODINGTON-GRANT-HAMLIN-DEUEL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHEATON...ORTONVILLE...SISSETON...
WATERTOWN...MILBANK...CASTLEWOOD...CLEAR LAKE
256 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ABERDEEN HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7
PM CDT TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW LATE
  TONIGHT AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH A GOOD PART OF TUESDAY. SNOW
  WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO
  35 MPH ON TUESDAY. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO BELOW ONE HALF
  MILE AT TIMES IN AREAS OF HEAVIER SNOW.

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 8 INCHES.

* OTHER IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME DIFFICULT LATE TONIGHT AND
  TUESDAY OVER THE REGION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

SDZ007-011-019-180800-
/O.UPG.KABR.WS.A.0001.140318T0600Z-140319T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KABR.WW.Y.0014.140318T0600Z-140319T0000Z/
MARSHALL-DAY-CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRITTON...WEBSTER...CLARK
256 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM CDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ABERDEEN HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW LATE
  TONIGHT AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH A GOOD PART OF TUESDAY. SNOW
  WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. 

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO
  35 MPH ON TUESDAY. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO BELOW ONE HALF
  MILE AT TIMES IN AREAS OF HEAVIER SNOW. 

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
  AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* OTHER IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME DIFFICULT LATE TONIGHT AND
  TUESDAY OVER THE REGION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

&&

$$

SDZ006-017-018-033>037-045-048-051-180800-
/O.NEW.KABR.WW.Y.0014.140318T0600Z-140318T2100Z/
BROWN-FAULK-SPINK-STANLEY-SULLY-HUGHES-HYDE-HAND-JONES-LYMAN-
BUFFALO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ABERDEEN...FAULKTON...REDFIELD...
FORT PIERRE...ONIDA...PIERRE...HIGHMORE...MILLER...MURDO...
PRESHO...FORT THOMPSON
256 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2014 /156 PM MDT MON MAR 17 2014/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/
TO 4 PM CDT /3 PM MDT/ TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ABERDEEN HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ TO 4 PM CDT /3 PM MDT/ TUESDAY.

* TIMING...MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW LATE
  TONIGHT AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH A GOOD PART OF TUESDAY. SNOW
  MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO
  35 MPH ON TUESDAY. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO BELOW ONE HALF
  MILE AT TIMES IN AREAS OF HEAVIER SNOW.

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
  AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* OTHER IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME DIFFICULT LATE TONIGHT AND
  TUESDAY OVER THE REGION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

&&

$$
TMT
7 follow-up statements
116 
WWUS43 KABR 180215
WSWABR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
915 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2014

...ACCUMULATING SNOW LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

MNZ039-046-SDZ008-020>023-181100-
/O.CON.KABR.WS.W.0001.140318T0600Z-140319T0000Z/
TRAVERSE-BIG STONE-ROBERTS-CODINGTON-GRANT-HAMLIN-DEUEL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHEATON...ORTONVILLE...SISSETON...
WATERTOWN...MILBANK...CASTLEWOOD...CLEAR LAKE
915 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM CDT
TUESDAY...

* TIMING...MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW LATE 
  TONIGHT AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH A GOOD PART OF TUESDAY. SNOW 
  WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. 

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 20 
  TO 35 MPH ON TUESDAY. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO BELOW ONE 
  HALF MILE AT TIMES IN AREAS OF HEAVIER SNOW. 

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 8 INCHES.

* OTHER IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME DIFFICULT LATE TONIGHT AND 
  TUESDAY OVER THE REGION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

SDZ007-011-019-181100-
/O.CON.KABR.WW.Y.0014.140318T0600Z-140319T0000Z/
MARSHALL-DAY-CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRITTON...WEBSTER...CLARK
915 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM
CDT TUESDAY...

* TIMING...MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW LATE 
  TONIGHT AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH A GOOD PART OF TUESDAY. SNOW 
  WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. 

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 20 
  TO 35 MPH ON TUESDAY. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO BELOW ONE 
  HALF MILE AT TIMES IN AREAS OF HEAVIER SNOW. 

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER 
  AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME DIFFICULT LATE TONIGHT AND 
  TUESDAY OVER THE REGION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

&&

$$

SDZ006-017-018-033>037-045-048-051-181100-
/O.CON.KABR.WW.Y.0014.140318T0600Z-140318T2100Z/
BROWN-FAULK-SPINK-STANLEY-SULLY-HUGHES-HYDE-HAND-JONES-LYMAN-
BUFFALO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ABERDEEN...FAULKTON...REDFIELD...
FORT PIERRE...ONIDA...PIERRE...HIGHMORE...MILLER...MURDO...
PRESHO...FORT THOMPSON
915 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2014 /815 PM MDT MON MAR 17 2014/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM CDT
/MIDNIGHT MDT/ TO 4 PM CDT /3 PM MDT/ TUESDAY...

* TIMING...MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW LATE 
  TONIGHT AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH A GOOD PART OF TUESDAY. SNOW 
  MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. 

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 20 
  TO 35 MPH ON TUESDAY. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO BELOW ONE 
  HALF MILE AT TIMES IN AREAS OF HEAVIER SNOW. 

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER 
  AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME DIFFICULT LATE TONIGHT AND 
  TUESDAY OVER THE REGION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

&&

$$
045 
WWUS43 KABR 180909
WSWABR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
409 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...ACCUMULATING SNOW THROUGH THIS EVENING...

SDZ019-182115-
/O.UPG.KABR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-140319T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KABR.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140319T0000Z/
CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CLARK
409 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ABERDEEN HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT
THIS EVENING. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 20 
  TO 35 MPH TODAY. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO BELOW ONE 
  HALF MILE AT TIMES IN AREAS OF HEAVIER SNOW. 

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
  AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* OTHER IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME DIFFICULT OVER THE REGION
  THROUGH THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

MNZ039-046-SDZ008-020>023-182115-
/O.CON.KABR.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140319T0000Z/
TRAVERSE-BIG STONE-ROBERTS-CODINGTON-GRANT-HAMLIN-DEUEL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHEATON...ORTONVILLE...SISSETON...
WATERTOWN...MILBANK...CASTLEWOOD...CLEAR LAKE
409 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

* TIMING...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 20 
  TO 35 MPH ON TUESDAY. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO BELOW ONE 
  HALF MILE AT TIMES IN AREAS OF HEAVIER SNOW. 

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 8 INCHES.

* OTHER IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME DIFFICULT OVER THE REGION
  THROUGH THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

SDZ007-011-182115-
/O.CON.KABR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-140319T0000Z/
MARSHALL-DAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRITTON...WEBSTER
409 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

* TIMING...LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 20 
  TO 35 MPH ON TUESDAY. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO BELOW ONE 
  HALF MILE AT TIMES IN AREAS OF HEAVIER SNOW.

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER 
  AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME DIFFICULT OVER THE REGION
  THROUGH THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

&&

$$

SDZ006-017-018-033>037-045-048-051-182100-
/O.CON.KABR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-140318T2100Z/
BROWN-FAULK-SPINK-STANLEY-SULLY-HUGHES-HYDE-HAND-JONES-LYMAN-
BUFFALO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ABERDEEN...FAULKTON...REDFIELD...
FORT PIERRE...ONIDA...PIERRE...HIGHMORE...MILLER...MURDO...
PRESHO...FORT THOMPSON
409 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014 /309 AM MDT TUE MAR 18 2014/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT /3 PM
MDT/ THIS AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 20 
  TO 35 MPH ON TUESDAY. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO BELOW ONE 
  HALF MILE AT TIMES IN AREAS OF HEAVIER SNOW.

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
  AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* OTHER IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME DIFFICULT OVER THE REGION
  THROUGH THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

&&

$$
434 
WWUS43 KABR 181031
WSWABR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
531 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...ACCUMULATING SNOW THROUGH THIS EVENING...

SDZ006-017-033>036-181145-
/O.CAN.KABR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-140318T2100Z/
BROWN-FAULK-STANLEY-SULLY-HUGHES-HYDE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ABERDEEN...FAULKTON...FORT PIERRE...
ONIDA...PIERRE...HIGHMORE
531 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014 /431 AM MDT TUE MAR 18 2014/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ABERDEEN HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

THE MAIN SNOW BAND IS NOW EXPECTED TO FORM EAST OF THIS
REGION...THUS THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

MNZ039-046-SDZ008-019>023-182245-
/O.CON.KABR.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140319T0000Z/
TRAVERSE-BIG STONE-ROBERTS-CLARK-CODINGTON-GRANT-HAMLIN-DEUEL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHEATON...ORTONVILLE...SISSETON...
CLARK...WATERTOWN...MILBANK...CASTLEWOOD...CLEAR LAKE
531 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

* TIMING...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...DEVELOPING THIS MORNING AND
  PERSISTING INTO THE EARLY EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO
  35 MPH. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO BELOW ONE HALF MILE AT
  TIMES IN AREAS OF HEAVIER SNOW.

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 8 INCHES.

* OTHER IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME DIFFICULT OVER THE REGION 
  THROUGH THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

SDZ007-011-182245-
/O.CON.KABR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-140319T0000Z/
MARSHALL-DAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRITTON...WEBSTER
531 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

* TIMING...LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING AND
  PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE TAPERING OFF. 

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO
  35 MPH. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO BELOW ONE HALF MILE AT
  TIMES IN AREAS OF HEAVIER SNOW.

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER 
  AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME DIFFICULT OVER THE REGION 
  THROUGH THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

&&

$$

SDZ018-037-045-048-051-182100-
/O.CON.KABR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-140318T2100Z/
SPINK-HAND-JONES-LYMAN-BUFFALO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...REDFIELD...MILLER...MURDO...PRESHO...
FORT THOMPSON
531 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW DEVELOPING THIS
  MORNING...TAPERING OFF BY NOON.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO
  35 MPH. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO BELOW ONE HALF MILE AT
  TIMES IN AREAS OF HEAVIER SNOW.

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER 
  AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME DIFFICULT OVER THE REGION 
  THROUGH THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

&&

$$
TDK
118 
WWUS43 KABR 181245
WSWABR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
745 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...ACCUMULATING SNOW THROUGH THIS EVENING...

MNZ039-SDZ008-019-190000-
/O.CAN.KABR.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140319T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KABR.WW.Y.0015.140318T1245Z-140319T0000Z/
TRAVERSE-ROBERTS-CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHEATON...SISSETON...CLARK
745 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ABERDEEN HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT
THIS EVENING. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* TIMING...SNOW...DEVELOPING THIS MORNING AND PERSISTING INTO THE
  EARLY EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 20 
  TO 35 MPH. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO BELOW ONE HALF MILE 
  AT TIMES IN AREAS OF HEAVIER SNOW. 

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES.

* OTHER IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME DIFFICULT OVER THE REGION 
  THROUGH THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

SDZ018-037-045-048-051-181345-
/O.CAN.KABR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-140318T2100Z/
SPINK-HAND-JONES-LYMAN-BUFFALO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...REDFIELD...MILLER...MURDO...PRESHO...
FORT THOMPSON
745 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ABERDEEN HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. ONLY LIGHT SNOW IS NOW EXPECTED.  

$$

SDZ007-011-181345-
/O.CAN.KABR.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-140319T0000Z/
MARSHALL-DAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRITTON...WEBSTER
745 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ABERDEEN HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. ONLY LIGHT SNOW IS NOW EXPECTED. 

$$

MNZ046-SDZ020>023-190000-
/O.CON.KABR.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140319T0000Z/
BIG STONE-CODINGTON-GRANT-HAMLIN-DEUEL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORTONVILLE...WATERTOWN...MILBANK...
CASTLEWOOD...CLEAR LAKE
745 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

* TIMING...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...DEVELOPING THIS MORNING AND 
  PERSISTING INTO THE EARLY EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF. 

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 20 
  TO 35 MPH. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO BELOW ONE HALF MILE 
  AT TIMES IN AREAS OF HEAVIER SNOW. 

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* OTHER IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME DIFFICULT OVER THE REGION 
  THROUGH THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$
213 
WWUS43 KABR 181725
WSWABR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1225 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...HEAVY SNOW THROUGH THIS EVENING...

MNZ039-SDZ008-181830-
/O.CAN.KABR.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-140319T0000Z/
TRAVERSE-ROBERTS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHEATON...SISSETON
1225 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ABERDEEN HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

$$

MNZ046-SDZ020>023-190000-
/O.CON.KABR.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140319T0000Z/
BIG STONE-CODINGTON-GRANT-HAMLIN-DEUEL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORTONVILLE...WATERTOWN...MILBANK...
CASTLEWOOD...CLEAR LAKE
1225 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

* TIMING...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS
  EVENING.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 35 MPH.
  VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO BELOW ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES IN
  AREAS OF HEAVIER SNOW.

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 4
  TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED HEAVIER AMOUNTS FROM 8 TO 10 INCHES
  ACROSS PORTIONS OF HAMLIN AND DEUEL COUNTIES.

* OTHER IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OVER THE REGION
  THROUGH THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS HAMLIN AND DEUEL
  COUNTIES...AS WELL AS INTERSTATE 29 BETWEEN WATERTOWN AND
  BROOKINGS.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

SDZ019-190000-
/O.CON.KABR.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-140319T0000Z/
CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CLARK
1225 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHERN CLARK COUNTY
  UNTIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON. 

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 35 MPH.
  VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO BELOW ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES IN
  AREAS OF HEAVIER SNOW.

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES MAINLY IN SOUTHERN CLARK
  COUNTY. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME DIFFICULT OVER THE REGION 
  THROUGH THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$
TMT
883 
WWUS43 KABR 182016
WSWABR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
316 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...SNOW WINDING DOWN INTO THE EVENING...

SDZ019-182130-
/O.CAN.KABR.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-140319T0000Z/
CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CLARK
316 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ABERDEEN HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

$$

MNZ046-SDZ020>023-190000-
/O.CON.KABR.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140319T0000Z/
BIG STONE-CODINGTON-GRANT-HAMLIN-DEUEL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORTONVILLE...WATERTOWN...MILBANK...
CASTLEWOOD...CLEAR LAKE
316 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO TAPER OFF INTO THE EVENING
  HOURS...WITH ANY ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS MAINLY OVER DEUEL
  COUNTY. 

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH.
  VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO BELOW ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES IN
  AREAS OF FALLING SNOW.

* SNOW/ICE ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS FROM 8 TO 12 INCHES
  ACROSS HAMLIN AND DEUEL COUNTIES...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS FROM 4 TO
  8 INCHES FURTHER NORTH ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.

* OTHER IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT OVER THE REGION 
  THROUGH THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS HAMLIN AND DEUEL 
  COUNTIES...AS WELL AS INTERSTATE 29 BETWEEN WATERTOWN AND 
  BROOKINGS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$
TMT
539 
WWUS43 KABR 182356
WSWABR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
656 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...SNOW HAS MOVED AWAY FROM THE REGION...

.THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA RESPONSIBLE FOR THE HEAVY SNOW WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST AND AWAY FROM THE REGION TONIGHT. 

MNZ046-SDZ020>023-190100-
/O.EXP.KABR.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140319T0000Z/
BIG STONE-CODINGTON-GRANT-HAMLIN-DEUEL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORTONVILLE...WATERTOWN...MILBANK...
CASTLEWOOD...CLEAR LAKE
656 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THE SNOW HAS MOVED EAST OF THE REGION EARLY THIS EVENING.
THUS...THE WINTER STORM WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

MOHR

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Aberdeen, SD wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Mar 17, 12:51 PM CDT, 2 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 17, 12:51 PM CDT, 2 hours 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1251 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2014

.UPDATE...
FIRST UPDATE THIS MORNING WAS TO LOWER HIGHS TODAY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES. GIVEN LATEST MODEL PROGS OF 925MB TEMPS
AND SFC WINDS...IT DOES NOT FAVOR IMPRESSIVE WARMING ACROSS THE
NORTH AS WHAT PREVIOUS FORECAST SHOWED. WITH COOLER TEMPS ALOFT
AND EAST TO NORTHEAST SFC WINDS DEVELOPING BY THIS
AFTERNOON...ALONG WITH INCREASING CLOUDS...TEMPS WILL BE A BIT
COOLER. ALSO DELAYED ONSET OF PRECIP ACROSS THE FAR WEST A COUPLE
HOURS BASED ON LATEST MODEL DATA. 12Z NAM COMING IN AND IT HAS
BACKED OFF ON SNOW TOTALS CONSIDERABLY FOR MUCH OF THE
CWA...LOOKING A BIT LIKE WHAT THE EC AND CANADIAN SOLUTIONS ARE
SHOWING AND TO SOME EXTENT THE GFS. ALTHOUGH IT STILL DOES HIT THE
FAR EAST/SOUTHEAST PARTS OF THE CWA WITH CLOSE TO 6 INCHES...WHERE
CURRENT WATCH RESIDES. WILL CONTINUE TO ANALYZE MODEL DATA AS IT
COMES IN AND MAKE THE NECESSARY PRODUCT UPGRADES/CHANGES LATER
TODAY.

&&
.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
.SHORT TERM...THROUGH WEDNESDAY

QUITE A BIT OF HIGH/MID CLOUDS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...AND EVEN
SCATTERED RETURNS FROM SISSETON TO BISMARCK. A WARM/DRY SUBCLOUD
LAYER IS LIMITING SHOWERS TO VERY LITTLE IF ANY QPF...AND AS THE
DAY PROGRESSES...WARM ADVECTION WILL PUSH THESE EAST. H85
TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT AROUND +3 TO +10C TODAY...THOUGH AS A
SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS OVER CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...AND WINDS SHIFT
TO NORTHEAST. THIS...COMBINED WITH CLOUD COVER WILL LIMIT MIXING
AND TEMPER THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR TODAY.

MODEL GUIDANCE IS COMING INTO BETTER ALIGNMENT CONCERNING THE STORM
SYSTEM TONIGHT/TUESDAY...WITH TIMING AND TRACK...HOWEVER THE FINE
DETAILS REMAIN UNCERTAIN. THE SREF...NAM...AND SOME OF THE HIGHER
RESOLUTION MESOSCALE MODELS ARE PROVIDING THE GREATEST EVIDENCE FOR
WARNING LEVEL SNOWS IN EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA. THE GFS AND ECMWF
REMAIN MORE RESERVED...WITH LESS INTENSE FORCING OVER THE CWA.
THE RESULT IS A CONTINUED LOW CONFIDENCE FOR SNOW TOTALS. WILL
ALSO HAVE TO DEAL WITH TIMING OF THE RAIN TO SNOW TRANSITION
DURING THE MORNING HOURS AS MODELS DIFFER ON HOW RAPIDLY THE
COLUMN WILL COOL. FEEL THERE IS AT LEAST ENOUGH EVIDENCE FOR A
WATCH...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN HIGHLY SKEPTICAL ON MODEL
OUTPUT SNOW TOTALS.

ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE SYSTEM...A LITTLE DAYTIME HEATING WILL
RESULT IN A FEW INSTABILITY SHOWERS. THIS WILL OCCUR AGAIN ON
WEDNESDAY AS THE AIRMASS OVERHEAD REMAINS RELATIVELY COOL...WITH
H85 TEMPERATURES BETWEEN -1 AND -6C.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
DURING THE LONG TERM IT APPEARS THE SAME OLD PATTERN THAT HAS
PERSISTED FOR MUCH OF THE WINTER WILL RETURN. THAT PATTERN
FEATURING POSITIVE PNA...MEANING RIDGE OVER FAR WEST CONUS AND
TROF IN THE EASTERN CONUS. HOWEVER WE SHOULD SQUEEZE OUT ONE NICE
DAY ON THURSDAY BEFORE THE COLD AIR RETURNS. THE COLDER AIR WILL
BE ACCOMPANIED BY SOME CHANCES FOR PCPN...ESPECIALLY THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS A NICE LOOKING WAVE TRACKS ACROSS THE REGION.
OTHERWISE IT WILL BE COLD...AND BELOW NORMAL TEMP-WISE...THROUGH
THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND. SUNDAY SHOULD FEATURE WARMER
TEMPERATURES BUT THEN SOME MODELS SUGGEST AN EVEN COLDER AIRMASS
COMING DOWN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK!

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS FOR THE KABR...KATY...KPIR AND KMBG TERMINALS

THE MAIN CONCERN THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WILL BE THE APPROACHING
STORM SYSTEM WHICH WILL RESULT IN THE RETURN OF WINTRY CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE REGION. A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY STILL REMAINS IN THIS
FORECAST HOWEVER...ESPECIALLY WHERE THE HEAVIEST BAND OF SNOWFALL
WILL SET UP. INITIALLY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AS RAIN
OR A RAIN SNOW MIX. THE BEST GUESS FOR THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION
IS BETWEEN 03Z-06Z AT KMBG...06Z-09Z AT KABR AND KPIR...AND 09Z-
12Z AT KATY. PRECIPITATION WILL QUICKLY SWITCH OVER TO SNOW...WITH
A HEAVY BAND OF SNOW LIKELY SETTING UP FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE STATE OF SD. THIS WILL PLACE THE KATY TAF SITE UNDER
THE HEAVIEST BAND OF SNOW...WITH LIFR VSBYS LIKELY. THE PLACEMENT OF
THE HEAVIEST SNOW BAND IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE HOWEVER...AND
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION WILL BE PROVIDED WITH SUBSEQUENT
FORECASTS. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE...WITH GUSTS GREATER
THAN 30 MPH LIKELY ACROSS THE AREA...PERHAPS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH
ACROSS THE KPIR REGION.

&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR
     CLARK-CODINGTON-DAY-DEUEL-GRANT-HAMLIN-MARSHALL-ROBERTS.

MN...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR
     BIG STONE-TRAVERSE.

&&

UPDATE...TMT
SHORT TERM...CONNELLY
LONG TERM...TDK
AVIATION...SERR

WEATHER.GOV/ABERDEEN
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 17, 4:24 AM CDT, 10 hours 32 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
424 AM CDT MON MAR 17 2014

MNZ039-046-SDZ003>011-015>023-033>037-045-048-051-180930-
TRAVERSE-BIG STONE-CORSON-CAMPBELL-MCPHERSON-BROWN-MARSHALL-
ROBERTS-WALWORTH-EDMUNDS-DAY-DEWEY-POTTER-FAULK-SPINK-CLARK-
CODINGTON-GRANT-HAMLIN-DEUEL-STANLEY-SULLY-HUGHES-HYDE-HAND-JONES-
LYMAN-BUFFALO-
424 AM CDT MON MAR 17 2014 /324 AM MDT MON MAR 17 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...NORTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT.
INITIALLY...THE AREA WILL SEE RAIN...WHICH WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATION ACROSS
EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA EARLY TUESDAY...WITH LOWER AMOUNTS FOR
CENTRAL AND WESTERN COUNTIES. THERE IS STILL A LOT OF
UNCERTAINTY OVER THE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THIS SYSTEM
HOWEVER...AND THUS HOW MUCH SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

CONNELLY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Aberdeen, SD issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 3:34 AM CDTWinter Storm WatchABRBig Stone, Traverse11 hr
Mar 17, 2:56 PM CDTWinter Weather AdvisoryABRBrown, Buffalo, Clark, Day, Faulk, Hand and 8 more17 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in South Dakota, 2014Winter Storm Warnings in Minnesota, 2014Every winter storm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.