River Flood Warning 13, NWS Aberdeen, SD

724 
WGUS83 KABR 011401
FLSABR
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
901 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTH 
DAKOTA...

  JAMES RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA

.THE FOLLOWING RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE FORECAST PRECIPITATION THROUGH
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANY ADDITIONAL FUTURE PRECIPITATION COULD AFFECT 
THE FORECASTS. 

THE JAMES RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA HAS CRESTED AND IS NOW FALLING SLOWLY.
IT IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...FLOOD WATERS CAN BE VERY DANGEROUS. NEVER DRIVE 
ACROSS A FLOODED ROAD...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN!

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...
OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...CHECK OUT OUR WEB SITE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ABR...THEN LEFT CLICK ON THE RIVERS AND LAKES LINK.

&&

SDC013-020600-
/O.EXT.KABR.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-140902T0600Z/
/CMBS2.1.ER.140831T1245Z.140901T1030Z.140902T0000Z.NO/
901 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA
* UNTIL THIS EVENING...
* AT 08AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.0 FEET...
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST...
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET...
* AT 13.0 FEET...FLOODING OF THE LOWER LYING AGRICULTURAL AREAS 
  BEGINS.  

&&
LAT...LON 4594 9820 4563 9837 4552 9830 4552 9818
      4563 9827 4594 9813             

$$
TDK

694 
WGUS83 KABR 020359
FLSABR
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1059 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTH 
DAKOTA...

  JAMES RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA

.THE FOLLOWING RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE FORECAST PRECIPITATION THROUGH
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANY ADDITIONAL FUTURE PRECIPITATION COULD AFFECT 
THE FORECASTS. 

THE JAMES RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA HAS FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE...AND IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE A STEADY DOWNWARD TREND IN RIVER STAGE OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...FLOOD WATERS CAN BE VERY DANGEROUS. NEVER DRIVE 
ACROSS A FLOODED ROAD...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN!

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...
OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...CHECK OUT OUR WEB SITE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ABR...THEN LEFT CLICK ON THE RIVERS AND LAKES LINK.

&&

SDC013-020429-
/O.CAN.KABR.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-140902T0600Z/
/CMBS2.1.ER.140831T1245Z.140901T1030Z.140901T2230Z.NO/
1059 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
  JAMES RIVER NEAR COLUMBIA
* AT 10PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET...
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST...
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET...
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE A SLOW AND STEADY FALL
  OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...
* AT 13.0 FEET...FLOODING OF THE LOWER LYING AGRICULTURAL AREAS 
  BEGINS.  

&&



LAT...LON 4594 9820 4563 9837 4552 9830 4552 9818
      4563 9827 4594 9813             

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
657 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.UPDATE...
12Z AVIATION FORECAST DISCUSSION UPDATED BELOW.

&&
.SHORT TERM...THROUGH TUESDAY

WARM ADVECTION/LOW LEVEL JET LINE OF STORMS PUSHING RAPIDLY TO THE
EAST/NORTHEAST. THE SURFACE LOW IS POSITIONED BACK TOWARDS THE MO
RIVER...AND THE UPPER TROF AXIS IS POSITIONED BACK IN WY. WHILE
THE SURFACE LOW/TROF IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO THE FAR EASTERN
CWA...COOLER AIR ALOFT WILL HELP DESTABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE ACROSS
THE REGION. THE FAR EASTERN CWA WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A FAVORABLE
SHEAR PROFILE FOR SEVERE WEATHER...AND THE REST OF THE CWA WILL
REMAIN CONVECTIVELY UNSTABLE. LOSS TO DAYTIME HEATING WILL REMOVE
THE THREAT OF STORMS...HOWEVER CLOUDS AND LIGHT SHOWERS MAY
PERSIST AS THE UPPER TROF REMAINS OVERHEAD. A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE
MOVES IN MONDAY EVENING...WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES...LOOK FOR HIGHS IN THE 70S BOTH TODAY AND
MONDAY. TUESDAY WILL SEE WARMER READINGS UNDER A WARM ADVECTION
REGIME.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
THE MODELS AGREE WELL IN THE LONG TERM WITH KEEPING IT MAINLY DRY
ALONG WITH A COOL DOWN. THE PERIOD BEGINS WITH AN UPPER LOW PRESSURE
TROUGH DROPPING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS
THEN TRACKS ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER INTO THURSDAY. AT THE
SURFACE...A LOW PRESSURE AREA AND COOL FRONT SWEEP FROM NORTHWEST
TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS OUR REGION FROM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
THUS...WARMER AIR AND SUNSHINE IN ADVANCE OF THIS WILL BRING ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO THE CWA FOR WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO AROUND 90 DEGREES IN THE SOUTHWEST CWA. AS THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
AREA/COOL FRONT PUSH ACROSS THE REGION FOR THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...
TEMPERATURES WILL COOL TO MAINLY THE 70S FOR FRIDAY CONTINUING
INTO SATURDAY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO BE IN CONTROL OF THE
WEATHER FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. HAVE IN A FEW CHANCES OF
SHOWERS/STORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD MAINLY EARLY WITH THE SURFACE
LOW AND COOL FRONT.

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS FOR THE KABR...KATY...KPIR AND KMBG TERMINALS

WINDS WILL COME AROUND TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST AND INCREASE THIS
MORNING BEHIND A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA MOVING ACROSS NORTHEAST
SD. OTHERWISE...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OUT WEST WILL
BE MOVING INTO THE REGION TODAY. THIS WILL SPREAD IN VFR MID LEVEL
CLOUDS ALONG WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FOR
LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY EVENING. INSERTED SOME VICINITY
SHOWERS IN FOR ALL LOCATIONS AT THIS TIME. THE CLOUDS AND
PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST THIS EVENING WITH WINDS
BECOMING LIGHT.

&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...MOHR
SHORT TERM...CONNELLY
LONG TERM...MOHR
AVIATION...MOHR

WEATHER.GOV/ABERDEEN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
425 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

MNZ039-046-SDZ003>011-015>023-033>037-045-048-051-010930-
TRAVERSE-BIG STONE-CORSON-CAMPBELL-MCPHERSON-BROWN-MARSHALL-
ROBERTS-WALWORTH-EDMUNDS-DAY-DEWEY-POTTER-FAULK-SPINK-CLARK-
CODINGTON-GRANT-HAMLIN-DEUEL-STANLEY-SULLY-HUGHES-HYDE-HAND-JONES-
LYMAN-BUFFALO-
425 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014 /325 AM MDT SUN AUG 31 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...NORTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL EXIST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY.
THE GREATEST INSTABILITY AND BEST SHEAR PROFILES FOR SEVERE
WEATHER ARE EXPECTED TO SET UP OVER FAR EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND
INTO WESTERN MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON. THE REST OF THE AREA WILL
BE MARGINALLY UNSTABLE...THOUGH AN ISOLATED STRONG STORM OR TWO
COULD STILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

STORMS COULD PASS THROUGH THE AREA LATE MONDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT ANTICIPATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...PARTICULARLY EAST
OF THE INTERSTATE 29 CORRIDOR.

CONNELLY