Wind Advisory 1, NWS Albuquerque, NM

822 
WWUS75 KABQ 101807
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1107 AM MST FRI JAN 10 2014

...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW
MEXICO...

.STRONG...BLUSTERY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT
PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN...AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF
THE EASTERN PLAINS...THE REMAINDER OF TODAY INTO THE EVENING. WIND
SPEEDS WILL DECREASE GRADUALLY THROUGH LATE EVENING TO EASE THESE
HAZARDOUS WIND CONDITIONS. LOCALIZED HAZARDOUS DOWNSLOPE WIND
CONDITIONS WILL ALSO REMAIN PRESENT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE EAST
SLOPES OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS. 

NMZ512-514-101915-
/O.CAN.KABQ.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-140110T1800Z/
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
1107 AM MST FRI JAN 10 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS CANCELLED THE
WIND ADVISORY. 

NORTHWEST WINDS AVERAGING 20 TO 30 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS AROUND
40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST OF TODAY BEFORE GRADUALLY
TAPERING OFF BY LATE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.

$$

NMZ526-537>540-110100-
/O.EXA.KABQ.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-140111T0500Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-DE BACA COUNTY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
1107 AM MST FRI JAN 10 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MST THIS EVENING. 

* LOCATION...THE SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...DE BACA AND CHAVES
  COUNTIES AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS
  TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING...WIND SPEEDS WILL PEAK BY MID AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS
  WILL REMAIN STRONG THROUGH EARLY EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF
  GRADUALLY BY LATE EVENING.

* VISIBILITY...LOCALLY REDUCED TO TWO MILES OR LESS IN BLOWING 
  DUST. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...EXPECT STRONGEST WINDS TO THE LEE OF THE SOUTH
  CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...AS WELL AS THE HIGH PLAINS FROM CLINES
  CORNERS TO VAUGHN TO WEST OF ROSWELL. THOSE DRIVING LARGE OR
  HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD PLAN ON EXTRA CAUTION AND MOMENTARY
  POOR CONTROL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELLING. SUDDEN GUSTS
OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA
ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

NMZ515-110100-
/O.EXT.KABQ.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-140111T0500Z/
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
1107 AM MST FRI JAN 10 2014

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...EAST SLOPES OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS.

* WINDS...WEST AND NORTHWEST 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL PEAK DURING THE AFTERNOON BEFORE DECREASING
  GRADUALLY BY EARLY EVENING. LOCALIZED STRONG DOWNSLOPE WINDS
  WILL PERSIST THROUGH LATE EVENING.

* VISIBILITY...LOCALLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW...
  BUT WIDESPREAD VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...EXPECT STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE EAST
  SLOPES OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS. THOSE PLANNING HIGH
  COUNTRY TRAVEL IN LARGE OR TALL VEHICLES SHOULD EXPECT DIFFICULT
  DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES... WITH BLOWING LOOSE SNOW DRIFTING
  ACROSS ROADS IN SPOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELLING. SUDDEN GUSTS
OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA
ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

NMZ521>524-533-110100-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-140111T0500Z/
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
1107 AM MST FRI JAN 10 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN...ESTANCIA VALLEY AND 
  CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...AND THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR FROM 
  TIJERAS ACROSS GUADALUPE COUNTY. 

* WINDS...WEST WINDS INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 MPH AND SHIFTING 
  NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH. 

* TIMING...WIND SPEEDS INCREASING THROUGH MID MORNING WILL PEAK 
  BY MID AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN STRONG THROUGH EARLY 
  EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF GRADUALLY BY LATE EVENING. 

* VISIBILITY...LOCALLY REDUCED TO TWO MILES OR LESS IN BLOWING 
  DUST. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...EXPECT STRONGEST WINDS OVER SUMMITS...THROUGH 
  GAPS...AND OVER HILLTOPS. THOSE DRIVING LARGE OR TALL VEHICLES 
  SHOULD PLAN ON EXTRA CAUTION AND MOMENTARY POOR CONTROL... 
  ESPECIALLY ALONG INTERSTATE 40 FROM TIJERAS...TO MORIARTY...TO 
  CLINES CORNERS...TO SANTA ROSA...AND ACROSS EASTERN GUADALUPE 
  COUNTY. EXPECT GUSTY WINDS ACROSS HIGHWAY 285 NEAR VAUGHN...
  AND HIGHWAY 54 ACROSS GUADALUPE COUNTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELLING. SUDDEN GUSTS
OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA
ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

766 
WWUS75 KABQ 102202
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
302 PM MST FRI JAN 10 2014

...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS TO PERSIST FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
   SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO INTO THE EVENING...

.STRONG...BLUSTERY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT
PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND ADJACENT HIGHLANDS INTO
THE EVENING HOURS. OF PARTICULAR CONCERN WILL BE THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS AND SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AND AREAS IMMEDIATELY EAST OF
MOUNTAIN RANGES WHERE FREQUENT GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 55 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. THE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH AS THE EVENING
PROGRESSES. HOWEVER... LOCALIZED HAZARDOUS DOWNSLOPE WIND
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN PRESENT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE EAST SLOPES OF
THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN TONIGHT.

NMZ533-537-538-110000-
/O.EXT.KABQ.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-140111T0000Z/
GUADALUPE COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
302 PM MST FRI JAN 10 2014

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON...

* LOCATION...GUADALUPE AND DE BACA COUNTIES AND THE HIGH PLAINS OF
  CHAVES COUNTY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH
  GRADUALLY DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 25 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON.

* TIMING...WIND SPEEDS PEAKED IN STRENGTH EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON
  AND WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON
  HOURS. 

* VISIBILITY...LOCALLY REDUCED TO TWO MILES OR LESS IN BLOWING 
  DUST. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL IMPACT WESTERN PORTIONS
  OF GUADALUPE...DE BACA AND CHAVES COUNTIES PARTICULARLY ALONG
  THE HIGHWAY 285 CORRIDOR BETWEEN VAUGHN AND THE NORTH SIDE OF
  ROSWELL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELLING. SUDDEN GUSTS
OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA
ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

NMZ515-110000-
/O.EXT.KABQ.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-140111T0000Z/
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
302 PM MST FRI JAN 10 2014

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON...

* LOCATION...EAST SLOPES OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS.

* WINDS...STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WITH
  GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL REMAIN LOCALIZED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE EAST
  SLOPES OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE REMAINDER
  OF THE AFTERNOON.

* TIMING...WINDS THAT PEAKED EARLIER TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
  DIMINISH IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY DURING THE MID TO LATE
  AFTERNOON HOURS. THE THREAT FOR LOCALIZED STRONG DOWNSLOPE WINDS
  WILL DIMINISH SIGNIFICANTLY BY EARLY EVENING.

* VISIBILITY...LOCALLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW... 
  BUT WIDESPREAD VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...LOCALIZED STRONG WIND GUSTS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
  EAST SLOPES OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS. THOSE PLANNING
  HIGH COUNTRY TRAVEL IN LARGE OR TALL VEHICLES SHOULD EXPECT
  DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELLING. SUDDEN GUSTS
OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA
ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

NMZ521>524-526-539-540-110500-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-140111T0500Z/
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
302 PM MST FRI JAN 10 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...SANDIA AND MANZANO MOUNTAINS...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
  AND ESTANCIA VALLEY...SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT
  HIGHLANDS. .

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY EVENING
  BEFORE GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF THEREAFTER. 

* VISIBILITY...LOCALLY REDUCED TO TWO MILES OR LESS IN BLOWING
  DUST FOR LOCATIONS IN THE ESTANCIA VALLEY.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...OF PARTICULAR CONCERN WILL BE EAST-WEST ORIENTED
  ROADS THROUGHOUT THE ADVISORY AREA. THIS INCLUDES PORTIONS OF
  INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN EDGEWOOD AND CLINES CORNERS...PORTIONS OF
  HIGHWAY 60 BETWEEN MOUNTAINAIR AND ENCINO...AND PORTIONS OF
  HIGHWAYS 70 AND 82.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELLING. SUDDEN GUSTS
OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA
ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

KJ

836 
WWUS75 KABQ 110057
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
557 PM MST FRI JAN 10 2014

...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS TO PERSIST FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND 
SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO THROUGH THE EVENING...

.STRONG...BLUSTERY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT
PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND ADJACENT HIGHLANDS
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. OF PARTICULAR CONCERN WILL BE THE CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS AND SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AND AREAS IMMEDIATELY EAST
OF MOUNTAIN RANGES WHERE FREQUENT GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 55 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. THE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH AS THE EVENING
PROGRESSES. HOWEVER...LOCALIZED HAZARDOUS DOWNSLOPE WIND
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN PRESENT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE EAST SLOPES OF
THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN TONIGHT.

NMZ521>524-526-539-540-110500-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-140111T0500Z/
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
557 PM MST FRI JAN 10 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...SANDIA AND MANZANO MOUNTAINS...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS 
  AND ESTANCIA VALLEY...SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT 
  HIGHLANDS. . 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY 
  EVENING BEFORE GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF THEREAFTER. 

* VISIBILITY...LOCALLY REDUCED TO TWO MILES OR LESS IN BLOWING 
  DUST FOR LOCATIONS IN THE ESTANCIA VALLEY. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...OF PARTICULAR CONCERN WILL BE EAST-WEST 
  ORIENTED ROADS THROUGHOUT THE ADVISORY AREA. THIS INCLUDES 
  PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN EDGEWOOD AND CLINES 
  CORNERS... PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 60 BETWEEN MOUNTAINAIR AND 
  ENCINO...AND PORTIONS OF HIGHWAYS 70 AND 82. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELLING. SUDDEN GUSTS
OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA
ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
315 AM MST FRI JAN 10 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENTLY...TURBULENT NORTHWEST FLOW SQUARELY OVER NEW MEXICO AS
TROUGH OVERHEAD HAS MADE ITS MOVE DEEP INTO THE HEART OF TEXAS. IR
IMAGERY SHOWING DISTINCT WESTERN EDGE OF CLOUD SHIELD LYING ALONG
A PENCIL LINE FROM CLOVIS TO ROSWELL...AND THIS WILL PUSH FURTHER
EAST OVER THE NEXT FEW HORUS. SOME WRAP AROUND CLOUD PENETRATING
NORTHERN NEW MEXICO...BUT LITTLE SNOWFALL IS MAKING IT TO THE
GROUND AS DOME OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. COMPLEX FRONTAL
STRUCTURE AT THE SURFACE...WITH FRONTAL SPOKES RADIATING FROM
SURFACE LOW OVER THE WESTERN TIP OF THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE.
STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS NORTH TO SOUTH ALONG THE EASTERN BORDER
OF NEW MEXICO...WHILE COLD PUSH OUT OF THE PASSING SYSTEM SETS UP
A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY DRAPED ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE
STATE WITH SOUTH AND EAST MOVEMENT THROUGH THE DAYTIME TODAY.

MODELS...IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT THROUGH THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK
AND INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND. SOME DIFFERENCES
IN UPSTREAM PATTERN EVOLUTION AND TIMING EMERGE LATE IN THE
FOLLOWING WEEKEND...BEYOND THE REACH OF OUR CURRENT FORECAST
PACKAGE THIS ROUND. PLAUSIBLE CONSENSUS PLACES NEW MEXICO IN
TURBULENT AND BLUSTERY NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE DAY TODAY IN THE
WAKE OF THE PASSING SYSTEM. NEXT NORTH PACIFIC SYSTEM CRANKING UP
OFF THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST WILL MAKE LANDFALL OVER VANCOUVER
ISLAND AND PUGET SOUND SATURDAY AND DIG SOUTHWARD TO THE FOUR
CORNERS ON SUNDAY. TROUGH WILL SOUTH AND EAST INTO TEXAS THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...RETURNING NEW MEXICO TO TURBULENT NORTHWEST FLOW
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. UPSTREAM EAST PACIFIC RIDGE CORE WILL DRIFT
INTO THE LOWER SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY OF CENTRAL CALIFORNIA TUESDAY
NIGHT...EASING NORTHWEST WIND SPEEDS ALOFT THROUGH THE HEART OF
THE WORK WEEK. NEXT SYSTEM AMPLIFYING OVER THE CANADIAN ROCKIES
WEDNESDAY WILL DIG TO OKLAHOMA ON THURSDAY...LEAVING NEW MEXICO ON
THE WESTERN SIDELINES OUT OF THE WEATHER EXCITEMENT. AMPLIFYING
RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WILL COLLAPSE OVER NEW MEXICO HEADING
INTO THE WEEKEND. SOME DIFFERENCES EMERGING ON WHATS TO
COME...WITH ECMWF BRINGING A PACIFIC WAVE ONSHORE LATE IN THE
WEEKEND AND DIGGING IT TO THE FOUR CORNERS ON MONDAY. GFS BRINGS A
MUCH MORE AMPLIFIED TROUGH ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. LATE IN THE
WEEKEND...BUT KEEPS SYSTEM SLOWER AND WEST OF NEW MEXICO THROUGH
MONDAY. UNCERTAINTY UNDERPINNED BY A BROADER TROUGH COMMON
SIGNAL...THUS HAVE TILTED EXTENDED THINKING TOWARD A MORE
UNSETTLED PATTERN FOR LATE NEXT WEEKEND INTO THE FOLLOWING WORK WEEK.

FOR TODAY...SOME FREEZING FOG OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS NEAR THE
COLORADO LINE TO START...BURNING OFF AS NORTHWEST FLOW KICKS IN
ALOFT AND WEATHER SYSTEM CLEARS TO THE EAST. HAVE KEPT SOME
ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS IN OVER THE SUMMITS OF THE SAN JUANS AND
SANGRE DE CRISTOS...BUT EXPECTED ONLY MODEST ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS. DOME OF HIGH SURFACE PRESSURE BUILDING INTO WESTERN
COLORADO AS SURFACE LOW DEEPENS OVER NORTH TEXAS WILL SET UP
AGGRESSIVE NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS NEW MEXICO...AND WILL HOIST WIND
ADVISORY TO START THE SANGRE DE CRISTO SUMMITS AND EASTERN SLOPES
THIS MORNING...WITH WINDY CONDITIONS EXPANDING DOWN THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN...THE EAST SLOPES...AND ADJACENT EASTERN PLAINS BY
LATE MORNING WELL INTO THE EVENING. COOL PUSH SOUTH AND EAST
ACROSS THE STATE WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES PRETTY CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR
MID JANUARY...A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL IN THE EAST OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

FOR SATURDAY...NORTHWEST WIND SPEEDS ALOFT EASING UP WITH DOME OF
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING OVER WESTERN COLORADO...AND TROUGH
WEAKENING OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE...ALL COMBINING TO BRING
SATURDAY WIND SPEEDS DOWN A NOTCH. BREEZES WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
EAST SLOPES AND ADJACENT EASTERN PLAINS OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN
CHAIN WILL INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...AS WIND DIRECTIONS BACK TO
WESTERLY IN ADVANCE OF NEXT INBOUND WEATHER SYSTEM. A DRY
DAY...WITH STRONG WARM UP PUSHING TEMPERATURES 8 TO 15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL IN THE EAST...AND 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE MID JANUARY
NORMALS IN THE WEST. SOME MORNING FREEZING FOG POSSIBLE FOR THE
COLORADO BORDER COUNTRY NEAR THE SAN JUANS AND SANGRE DE CRISTO
MOUNTAINS BURNING OFF BY LATE MORNING.

FOR SUNDAY...INBOUND PACIFIC NORTHWEST SYSTEM WILL SWEEP ACROSS
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE SUNDAY...AS SURFACE LOW DEEPENS
RAPIDLY OVER WESTERN KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...AND HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS EASTWARD OUT OF NORTHERN NEVADA INTO UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO. TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT SETTING UP ACROSS NEW
MEXICO COMBINED WITH SOUTHEASTBOUND COLD FRONT WILL KICK UP
WESTERLY WIND SPEEDS FROM THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN EAST ON THE
EARLY SIDE OF SUNDAY MORNING...WITH WIND SPEEDS UP TO ADVISORY
LEVELS BY LATE MORNING...AND FLIRTING WITH HIGH WIND WARNING
CRITERIA OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AS DIRECTIONS VEER TO NORTHWESTERLY. A GOOD SOLID BREEZY
DAY ELSEWHERE...WITH COLD PUSH FROM THE NORTHWEST BRINGING WESTERN
TEMPERATURES BACK DOWN TO NORMAL...AS THE EAST BASKS IN 8 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE MID JANUARY NORMALS WARMTH. DRY EASTERN CONDITIONS
AND GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER...WITH FIRE WEATHER WATCH GOING UP FOR THIS AREA WITH
THIS MORNINGS PACKAGE. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS WILL FOLLOW SYSTEM MOVEMENT
ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. DRY ORIGINS WILL PRECLUDE MUCH SNOW
ACCUMULATION...AS SPOTTY SNOW SHOWER FOCUS SHIFTS TOT HE NORTHEAST
PLAINS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

FOR MONDAY...NORTHWEST FLOW AND COLD PUSH WILL PUSH TEMPERATURES
BACK TO NORMAL OR A FEW DEGREES BELOW IN THE WEST...AND BRING THE
EAST MUCH CLOSER TO NORMAL TO REVERSE THE WEEKEND WARM UP.
CONTINUED TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN WESTERN COLORADO
HIGH PRESSURE DOME AND TROUGH FROM WESTERN NEBRASKA SOUTH AND WEST
TO THE NEW MEXICO BOOT HEEL. NORTHWEST AFTERNOON BREEZES WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE EASTERN SLOPES AND ADJACENT EASTERN PLAINS OF
THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN...WITH SPEEDS CONSIDERABLY REDUCED OVER
THOSE OBSERVED ON SUNDAY.

OUTLOOK...TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD AS
RIDGE BUILDS IN THE WEST AND FAST NORTHWESTERLY FLOW IS SHOVED OFF
INTO THE PLAINS STATES TO THE EAST. WEAK SHORTWAVE IN GENTLE
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL DROP SOUTHWARD ACROSS NEW MEXICO ON
THURSDAY...USHERING IN SLOP OF COLDER AIR WESTWARD ACROSS THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY. WARMING
TREND THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL LEVEL OFF AND REVERSE ON THURSDAY AS
THE COOLER AIR MOVES THROUGH...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN A FEW
DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF MID JANUARY NORMALS OVER THE HEART OF THE
WORK WEEK.

SHY

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
STILL LOOKING AT A POSSIBLE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER GROWTH EVENT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN PLAINS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ESPECIALLY CENTERED
ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS BUT INCLUDING PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHEAST PLAINS. WILL GO AHEAD AND ISSUE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. UNUSUALLY HIGH MIXING HEIGHTS/MARGINALLY LOW
RH/STRONG WINDS/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND A FAIRLY CONTINUOUS
AND DORMANT GRASS CROP ARE THE DRIVING FACTORS FOR THIS DECISION.

AS FAR AS THE NEAR TERM...PACIFIC TROUGH CURRENTLY EXITING THE AREA
TO THE EAST. IN ITS WAKE WILL BE STRONG TO VERY STRONG NORTHWEST
FLOW. WINDS LOOK TO BE ESPECIALLY STRONG AT TIMES ALONG THE HIGHER
RIDGES OF THE CENTRAL MTNS AS WELL AS TO THE LEE OF THE CENTRAL
MTNS. SNOW SHOWERS IMPACTED THE FAR NORTH OVERNIGHT BUT CHANCES WILL
BE PRETTY MINIMAL DURING THE DAY PERIOD TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
COOL PRETTY MUCH AREA WIDE. LOOKING AT NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
AFTERNOON READINGS WESTERN AND CENTRAL AREAS BUT DUE TO DOWN SLOPING
EFFECTS 3 TO 6 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS.
CURRENTLY HAVE RH VALUES ABOVE 15 PCT ACROSS THE EAST BUT CANT RULE
OUT SOME ISOLD 15 PCT READINGS EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST PLAINS.
MIXING HEIGHTS APPEAR TO BE ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR SO
VENTILATION RATES WILL BE PRETTY GOOD.

STRONG LEE MTN WAVE WINDS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE AT LEAST INTO THE
EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE SANDIA/MANZANO MTNS AND ADJACENT HIGH
PLAINS. RH RECOVERIES WILL GO UP ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE
AREA.

SATURDAY REMAINS THE TRANSITION DAY AS THE UPPER WIND FLOW LESSENS
SOME. THIS WILL TRANSLATE TO LESSER SFC WINDS. TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM DUE TO THE NEAR ZONAL FLOW AHEAD OF THE NEXT PACIFIC TROUGH.
LOOKING AT A FAIRLY SUNNY DAY WITH HIGH TEMPS RANGING BETWEEN 5 TO
10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WESTERN AND CENTRAL AREAS. AROUND 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS. DESPITE THE SFC
WARMING...MIXING HEIGHTS WILL LOWER SUBSTANTIALLY THANKS TO POST
COLD FRONTAL INVERSION EFFECTS. THUS VENT RATES WILL LOWER QUITE A
BIT.

ALL OF THE MODELS REMAIN PRETTY BULLISH FOR A STRONGER WIND SCENARIO
ON SUNDAY. THE GFS IS A BIT QUICKER ON THE TROUGH AXIS PROGRESSION
THAN THE ECMWF AND FAIRLY SIMILAR TO THE NAM MODEL. EITHER
WAY...RESIDUAL DOWN SLOPE WARMING SHOULD REMAIN ACROSS THE EASTERN
PLAINS. WIND FLOWS LOOK TO BE QUITE STRONG ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
EAST AND BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPACT MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE CURRENT MIXING HEIGHT FORECAST
CALLS FOR UNUSUALLY HIGH VALUES. BETWEEN 90 TO 95 PERCENTILE VALUES.
CONTINUED TO UNDERCUT MODEL GUIDANCE FOR DEW POINTS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE EAST DUE TO INCREASED MECHANICAL MIXING. MODELS HAVE
OVER FORECASTED HUMIDITY VALUES UNDER SIMILAR CONDITIONS THE PAST FEW
WEEKS. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER GROWTH CONDITIONS ARE VERY POSSIBLE
WITH THIS TROUGH PATTERN ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS. DECIDED TO ISSUE
A WATCH FOR ZONES 104 AND 108. LEFT 103 OUT DUE TO SOME CLOUD COVER
AND COLD AIR ADVECTION UNCERTAINTIES. THE GFS IS SOMEWHAT BULLISH ON
A NORTHERN WIND SHIFT ACROSS THE FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS AND THAT COULD
MITIGATE CRITICAL CONDITIONS. WONT GET TOO FANCY ON THE WORDING
RIGHT NOW BUT COULD SEE PORTIONS OF ZONE 104 TRIMMED FROM THE WATCH
AND/OR WARNING AS WE GET NEARER TO THE EVENT.

ANOTHER STRONGER NORTHWEST WIND WILL DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE
TROUGH PASSAGE SUNDAY NIGHT WITH LASTING EFFECTS INTO MONDAY. COLD
AIR ADVECTION WILL ALLOW DEW POINTS TO DROP LIKE A ROCK DURING THIS
PERIOD SO WE ARE GETTING SOME SUB 15 PCT VALUES ACROSS THE EASTERN
PLAINS. WIND SPEEDS WILL ALSO LOWER SO NOT LOOKING FOR CRITICAL
CONDITIONS. HIGH TEMP ANOMALIES WOULD ALSO BE RATHER PALTRY DUE TO
THE COOLING BEHIND THE TROUGH. VENTILATION WILL PEAK ON SUNDAY AND
LOWER MONDAY. STILL LOOKING AT SOME DECENT VALUES ON MONDAY THOUGH.
SHOULD MENTION THAT THE ECMWF IS BACK TO PAINTING SOME PRECIPITATION
ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN TIER LATER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. GFS
REMAINS LESS BULLISH BUT SOMETHING TO WATCH.

WEATHER MODELS REMAIN STEADFAST WITH DEVELOPING A DRIER
NORTH/NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE STATE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
VENTILATION WOULD LOWER AS A RESULT OF LESSENING SFC WINDS. GFS IS A
BIT MORE BULLISH ON A DRY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WED NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. ECMWF LAGS BY 12 TO 24 HRS BUT ALSO SHOWS SOME SORT OF
FRONTAL PASSAGE. FIGURE THIS WOULD BE A COLD AIR ADVECTION PATTERN
AND LOWERED DEW POINTS A LITTLE BELOW MODEL GUIDANCE AS A RESULT.

50

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFT CYCLE
OCCASIONAL VFR CIGS OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE
TROUGH. WESTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE ON THE INCREASE THROUGH THE
TAFT PERIOD WITH SOME GUSTS TO BETWEEN 30-35KTS FORECAST FRIDAY.
MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS WILL BE FEW ARE FAR BETWEEN AND GENERALLY
CONFINED TO THE HIGHER PEAKS OF THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS.

11

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  43  19  47  23 /   0   0   0   5
DULCE...........................  40   5  46  14 /   5   0   0   5
CUBA............................  40  18  48  24 /   0   0   0   5
GALLUP..........................  45  16  52  19 /   0   0   0   0
EL MORRO........................  43  17  51  21 /   0   0   0   0
GRANTS..........................  47  16  53  19 /   0   0   0   0
QUEMADO.........................  44  21  53  25 /   0   0   0   0
GLENWOOD........................  55  21  63  24 /   0   0   0   0
CHAMA...........................  36   9  40  14 /  10   5   0  10
LOS ALAMOS......................  38  23  45  29 /   0   0   0   0
PECOS...........................  40  26  48  32 /   0   0   0   0
CERRO/QUESTA....................  28   2  36  11 /   5   5   0   5
RED RIVER.......................  31  10  39  17 /  10   5   0   5
ANGEL FIRE......................  34   7  43  16 /   5   5   0   5
TAOS............................  37  10  42  17 /   5   5   0   5
MORA............................  40  23  50  32 /   0   0   0   5
ESPANOLA........................  45  20  51  23 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA FE........................  40  22  46  27 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  43  23  49  27 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  47  27  53  31 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  50  29  54  32 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  51  25  55  28 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  50  26  54  29 /   0   0   0   0
LOS LUNAS.......................  52  23  54  27 /   0   0   0   0
RIO RANCHO......................  50  27  55  30 /   0   0   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  55  26  59  29 /   0   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  45  25  51  30 /   0   0   0   0
TIJERAS.........................  44  29  50  33 /   0   0   0   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  45  20  52  23 /   0   0   0   0
CLINES CORNERS..................  43  26  50  32 /   0   0   0   0
GRAN QUIVIRA....................  46  29  53  32 /   0   0   0   0
CARRIZOZO.......................  49  28  55  30 /   0   0   0   0
RUIDOSO.........................  47  32  55  34 /   0   0   0   0
CAPULIN.........................  43  21  52  32 /   0   0   0   0
RATON...........................  47  17  57  27 /   0   0   0   0
SPRINGER........................  49  18  58  27 /   0   0   0   0
LAS VEGAS.......................  47  26  56  34 /   0   0   0   0
CLAYTON.........................  53  28  62  35 /   0   0   0   0
ROY.............................  49  26  58  32 /   0   0   0   0
CONCHAS.........................  53  30  61  38 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA ROSA......................  53  31  62  37 /   0   0   0   0
TUCUMCARI.......................  58  28  65  39 /   0   0   0   0
CLOVIS..........................  55  28  62  34 /   0   0   0   0
PORTALES........................  57  26  64  34 /   0   0   0   0
FORT SUMNER.....................  57  31  65  36 /   0   0   0   0
ROSWELL.........................  61  28  65  29 /   0   0   0   0
PICACHO.........................  56  34  64  38 /   0   0   0   0
ELK.............................  53  35  60  38 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR
THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ521>524-533.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
NMZ104-108.

WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM MST THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ512-514-515.

&&

SHY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
551 AM MST THU JAN 9 2014

NMZ501>540-101300-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
551 AM MST THU JAN 9 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO HIGH COUNTRY SNOW THIS EVENING OVER THE
NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU. EXPECT SEVERAL
INCHES OF ACCUMULATION OVER THE NORTHERN RIO ARRIBA COUNTY HIGH
COUNTRY NEAR THE COLORADO LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW ON FRIDAY.
HOWEVER...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OVER THE EASTERN SLOPES AND
ADJACENT PLAINS OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN WILL BEGIN FRIDAY
MORNING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...AS SNOW SHOWERS
TAPER OFF OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS.

NORTHWEST WINDS SUNDAY WILL PRODUCE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE SUMMITS...EASTERN SLOPES...AND ADJACENT PLAINS OF THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN. STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW HUMIDITIES WILL
PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER PORTIONS OF THE
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS...THE NORTHEAST PLAINS...AND THE NORTHEAST
HIGHLANDS.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ABQ
OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

SHY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1227 AM MST FRI JAN 10 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1007 PM     SNOW             CHAMA                   36.89N 106.58W
01/09/2014  E1.0 INCH        RIO ARRIBA         NM   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1400007

SHY