Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 18, NWS Albuquerque, NM

May 23, 2014Guadalupe County, Torrance County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 23, 2014, 5:00 PM MDT for Guadalupe County, Torrance County, New Mexico. It was in force for 60 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 23, 2014, 5:00 PM MDT (23:00 UTC)
Expired: May 23, 2014, 6:00 PM MDT
In force: 60 min
Issued by: NWS Albuquerque, NM
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Guadalupe County, NM, Torrance County, NM

The radar

The Albuquerque radar (KABX), 123 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 23, 3:57 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 100 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1514 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -27 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 19 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

010 
WUUS55 KABQ 232300
SVRABQ
NMC019-057-240000-
/O.NEW.KABQ.SV.W.0018.140523T2300Z-140524T0000Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
500 PM MDT FRI MAY 23 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN TORRANCE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
  WEST CENTRAL GUADALUPE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 600 PM MDT

* AT 455 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 16
  MILES SOUTHWEST OF ENCINO...OR ABOUT 21 MILES NORTH OF CORONA...AND
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RURAL WEST CENTRAL GUADALUPE COUNTY...
  RURAL CENTRAL TORRANCE COUNTY...

THIS WILL IMPACT HIGHWAY 285 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 223 AND 241...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINS FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE SUDDEN AND
DANGEROUS FLOWS IN ARROYOS...DITCHES AND OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS. DO
NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3488 10574 3492 10542 3463 10516 3444 10563
      3451 10584
TIME...MOT...LOC 2300Z 233DEG 8KT 3454 10570

$$

2 follow-up statements

065 
WWUS55 KABQ 232351
SVSABQ

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
551 PM MDT FRI MAY 23 2014

NMC019-057-240000-
/O.CON.KABQ.SV.W.0018.000000T0000Z-140524T0000Z/
GUADALUPE NM-TORRANCE NM-
551 PM MDT FRI MAY 23 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM MDT
FOR EASTERN TORRANCE AND WEST CENTRAL GUADALUPE COUNTIES...

AT 548 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 9 MILES WEST OF ENCINO...OR ABOUT 22 MILES WEST OF VAUGHN...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RURAL GUADALUPE COUNTY..
  RURAL TORRANCE COUNTY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY
BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

&&

LAT...LON 3488 10574 3492 10542 3463 10516 3444 10563
      3451 10584
TIME...MOT...LOC 2351Z 233DEG 8KT 3461 10559

$$

785 
WWUS55 KABQ 232359 RRA
SVSABQ

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
559 PM MDT FRI MAY 23 2014

NMC019-057-240010-
/O.EXP.KABQ.SV.W.0018.000000T0000Z-140524T0000Z/
GUADALUPE NM-TORRANCE NM-
559 PM MDT FRI MAY 23 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN TORRANCE AND WEST
CENTRAL GUADALUPE COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAINS...
SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE FROM THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

LAT...LON 3488 10574 3492 10542 3463 10516 3444 10563
      3451 10584
TIME...MOT...LOC 0000Z 233DEG 8KT 3462 10557

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 23, 3:12 PM MDT, 1 hour 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 23, 3:12 PM MDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
312 PM MDT FRI MAY 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ACTIVE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW
MEXICO THROUGH THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
MEETS UP WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO PERIODICALLY DEVELOP
OVER CENTRAL...EASTERN...AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE TODAY
AND TONIGHT WITH JUST A FEW STRAY STORMS POSSIBLE IN THE
SOUTHWESTERN MOUNTAINS. SOME STORMS IN THE EASTERN PLAINS MAY
BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. BATCHES OF RAIN
AND EMBEDDED STORMS MAY LAST WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. STORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO THEN REDEVELOP ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM INCHES CLOSER TO NEW MEXICO. BY SUNDAY
AND MONDAY STORMS WILL BECOME MOST CONCENTRATED OVER THE NORTH
CENTRAL TO NORTHEASTERN PARTS OF NEW MEXICO. COOLER THAN AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES WILL LAST THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE A BUILDING RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE ALLOWS FOR A WARMING TREND DURING THE REST OF NEXT
WEEK.

&&

...ACTIVE CONVECTIVE PATTERN TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL IN THE EASTERN PLAINS...

.DISCUSSION...UPPER LOW CIRCULATION HAS SLOWLY MADE IT INTO SW AZ
AND SEEMS TO HAVE ALREADY SEEN ITS MINIMAL CENTRAL PRESSURE.
THUS...SOME GRADUAL FILLING IN OF THE LOW IS EXPECTED AS IT VERY
SLOWLY DRIFTS EAST NORTHEAST. NAM WAS PEGGING SOME IMPRESSIVE H3
DIVERGENCE OVER CENTRAL NM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...LIKELY WHAT IS
DRIVING THE BULK OF CURRENT CONVECTION AS HEATING CONTINUES TO
DESTABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE. THIS DIVERGENT AREA WILL TRANSITION TO
NORTH CENTRAL NM THIS EVENING WITH SOME BROADER/WEAKER DIVERGENCE
ALOFT AIDING THE EASTERN ZONES THIS EVENING WHEN FULL
DESTABILIZATION HAS BEEN REACHED. FOR TONIGHT POP TRENDS ARE
ESSENTIALLY THE SAME AS PREVIOUS FORECAST PACKAGE...WITH MUCH OF
THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN ZONES STAYING ACTIVE OVERNIGHT. SEVERE
THREAT EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS WILL BE HIGHEST THROUGH
EVENING...TURNING MORE TOWARD AN ELEVATED OR NON-SURFACE-BASED
MODE THEREAFTER. THIS WILL ALSO LIKELY MORPH INTO A WIDESPREAD
STRATIFORM EVENT TOWARD EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...DEPENDENT ON ANY
LOBES OF VORTICITY GETTING SHED NORTHEASTWARD IN THE DIFFLUENT
FLOW.

NORTHERN AND EASTERN ZONES REMAIN BLANKETED IN LIKELY POPS FOR
SATURDAY AS THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE WESTERN BORDER OF
NM. CONTINUED FETCH OF UPPER LEVEL FORCING WILL BE SPREAD OVER
THESE AREAS IN THE DIFFLUENT FLOW. THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT
THE DRY SLOT CURRENTLY SEEN ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY WILL DIG ITS
WAY INTO SOUTH CENTRAL AND EASTERN NM. THE GFS IS MOST AGGRESSIVE
WITH THIS DRY PUNCH...BUT IS SOMEWHAT OF AN OUTLIER. FOR NOW HAVE
KEPT HEALTHY DEWPOINTS INTACT OVER THE EAST CENTRAL TO
SOUTHEASTERN PLAINS WITH SOME DRYING IN LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY.
THIS SHOULD STILL BE SUFFICIENT BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE FOR
WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN THE EAST...BUT A LATE INITIATION
TIME MIGHT BE IN ORDER DEPENDING ON TONIGHT'S ACTIVITY. SEVERE
THREAT WILL STILL BE INTACT IN THE EAST WITH EVEN BETTER MID
LEVEL FLOW ADDING TO BULK SHEAR PARAMETERS...AND IF A SHARP
INTERFACE DOES DEVELOP ALONG THE MID LEVEL DRY SLOT...THIS COULD
ENHANCE SEVERE DISCRETE STORMS.

INTO SUNDAY THE FORECAST MODELS ARE NOW INDICATING A MORE WOBBLY
PATH AND SLOWER TRACK TO THE UPPER LOW. RATHER THAN CONTINUING
EAST NORTHEAST IT SEEMS AS THOUGH ELONGATING AND PINWHEELING
LOBES OF VORTICITY ARE ADDING SOME ANGULAR MOMENTUM AND STEERING
THE LOW A BIT MORE NORTH...JUST EAST OF THE FOUR CORNERS. THIS
SHOULD KEEP THINGS FAIRLY ACTIVE OVER THE NORTHERN TIER OF NM WITH
STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED SEVERE ACTIVITY IN THE EAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COOLER THAN AVERAGE WITH BOUNDARY LAYER
MOISTURE EVEN RECOVERING A BIT IN SOME CENTRAL ZONES.

BY MONDAY THE LOW RESUMES ITS EASTWARD
PROGRESSION...HOWEVER...BEING CUT OFF AND DISPLACED FROM THE POLAR
JET THERE MAY BE SOME POTENTIAL FOR IT TO MOVE SLOWER THAN
CURRENTLY PROGNOSES INDICATE. HAVE INCREASED POPS MORE FOR
MONDAY...INCLUDING THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN. BY TUESDAY AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE WILL SHOW SIGNS OF CLOSING IN CLOSER TO THE STATE.
THIS WILL LET TEMPERATURES REBOUND CLOSER TO NORMAL WITH A DRASTIC
DECREASE IN PRECIPITATION...BUT SUFFICIENT MOISTURE FOR RECYCLING
WILL STILL YIELD A FEW STORMS. TOWARD THE END OF NEXT WEEK THERE
WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER SURGE OF GULF MOISTURE COMING INTO
THE EAST...A SCENARIO THAT THE GFS IS MUCH MORE ENTHUSED ABOUT
COMPARED TO ITS EUROPEAN COUNTERPART.

52

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
CURRENT SATELLITE DATA SHOWS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM OVER SW
ARIZONA HELPING IGNITE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON. THE STORM SYSTEM
WILL CONTINUE PRODUCING ACTIVE CONVECTIVE WEATHER THROUGH MEMORIAL
DAY WEEKEND. THIS SHOULD MAKE FOR A RELATIVELY QUIET FIRE WEATHER
PERIOD.

A DEVELOPING DRY SLOT WILL BEGIN SHIFTING THE ONGOING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE EASTERN PLAINS TONIGHT...LEAVING CLEARER SKIES
AND LOWER DEWPOINTS OVER THE GILA MOUNTAINS. AS THE SHOWERS MOVE
ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS TONIGHT...SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED...WHICH SHOULD HELP IMPROVE SOIL
MOISTURE. OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERIES WILL BE GOOD TO EXCELLENT OVER
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NM AND FAIR OVER THE GILAS.

THE UPPER LEVEL STORM WILL BEGIN LIFTING NE SATURDAY...AND CENTER
NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS BY SUNDAY. MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NM
WILL SEE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY...WITH THE NORTHERN MTS
AND EASTERN PLAINS FAVORED SATURDAY AND THE NORTHERN MTS FAVORED
SUNDAY. A FEW DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY MORNING AS
THE DRY SLOT WORKS INTO SW NM...BUT THE MOISTURE DEFICIT SHOULD BE
SHORT LIVED. TEMPERATURES WILL TREND DOWN EACH DAY...BECOMING WELL
BELOW NORMAL BY SUNDAY. WITH GENERALLY WEAKER WINDS AND LOWERING
MIXING HEIGHTS...VENT RATES WILL TREND DOWN THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH NW
NM SEEING FAIR TO POOR VENT RATES AND GOOD VENT RATES MOST OTHER
AREAS.

RECENT MODEL TRENDS NOW INDICATE THAT THE STORM SYSTEM WILL DIVE
SE MONDAY...CENTERING OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS. BASED ON THE LARGE
SCALE PATTERNS...IT IS EXPECTED THAT THIS TREND IS LIKELY TO OCCUR.
THIS WILL TRANSLATE TO MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY  ON MEMORIAL DAY THAN YESTERDAYS FORECAST PACKAGE.  THE
NORTHERN MTS AND EASTERN PLAINS WILL REMAIN THE FAVORED AREAS...BUT
HIGHER PRECIP CHANCES EXIST WEST TO THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE.
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN REBOUNDING MONDAY...THOUGH REMAINING BELOW
NORMAL. OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERIES WILL ALSO START TO TREND
DOWN...BECOMING FAIR WEST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND GOOD TO
EXCELLENT EAST.

A RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA TUESDAY AS THE STORM SYSTEM EXITS
EAST. MOISTURE SHOULD REMAIN TRAPPED UNDER THE RIDGE...AND COMBINED
WITH TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL...ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL INITIALLY DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS MID
WEEK...AND SPREAD TO THE EASTERN PLAINS BY THE LATE WEEK PERIOD.
OTHERWISE...EXPECT INCREASING HIGH TEMPS AREA WIDE AND DECREASING
MIN AND MAX RH VALUES FOR ALL BUT THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS.

24

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF CYCLE
MVFR CLOUD DECKS HAVE BEEN SLOW TO ERODE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
PLAINS...NOTABLY AT KROW AND KTCC...BUT CLOUDS SHOULD BREAK EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON. ONGOING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WESTERN
NM IS THE START TO A HIGHLY CONVECTIVE WX PERIOD ACROSS THE AREA.
MODELS STILL AT ODDS OVER TIMING AND LOCATION OF CONVECTION...SO
STILL LOW CONFIDENCE. STORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON APPEARS
BEST WEST AND OVER THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...BEFORE SHIFTING MORE
STRATIFORM SHOWERS ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. HIGHEST CONFIDENCE IN -TSRA THIS AFTERNOON AT
KFMN...KGUP...KSAF...AND KLVS BUT THERE IS POTENTIAL AT MOST OTHER
SITES. BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORM
THAT IMPACTS A TERMINAL SITE. OVERNIGHT PRECIPITATION MAY PRODUCE
A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES...BUT CONFIDENCE TOO LOW FOR ANY MENTION
OF VCTS AT THIS TIME. WILL CONTINUE MONITORING RADAR TRENDS AND
AMEND AS NECESSARY.

24

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  46  72  46  66 /  50  50  50  50
DULCE...........................  39  66  34  64 /  60  60  70  60
CUBA............................  42  68  38  67 /  60  60  50  60
GALLUP..........................  39  68  41  62 /  30  40  40  50
EL MORRO........................  38  63  34  61 /  40  50  40  40
GRANTS..........................  42  66  43  65 /  50  40  30  40
QUEMADO.........................  40  66  40  65 /  20  30  30  30
GLENWOOD........................  40  73  39  74 /  20  10  20  30
CHAMA...........................  36  60  31  59 /  70  70  70  60
LOS ALAMOS......................  45  64  44  65 /  60  60  40  50
PECOS...........................  47  62  42  64 /  70  60  50  50
CERRO/QUESTA....................  40  64  34  65 /  60  70  70  50
RED RIVER.......................  33  51  30  52 /  70  80  70  60
ANGEL FIRE......................  34  56  28  59 /  80  90  70  60
TAOS............................  43  66  35  67 /  60  60  60  50
MORA............................  45  60  39  63 /  80  90  60  60
ESPANOLA........................  47  72  40  72 /  60  60  40  50
SANTA FE........................  47  65  43  66 /  70  60  40  50
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  48  68  44  69 /  60  60  40  40
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  52  71  51  71 /  60  50  30  40
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  54  74  54  72 /  60  50  20  30
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  52  75  50  74 /  60  40  20  30
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  53  75  52  74 /  60  40  30  30
LOS LUNAS.......................  52  76  46  76 /  60  40  20  30
RIO RANCHO......................  54  75  50  74 /  60  50  30  30
SOCORRO.........................  55  79  51  77 /  40  30  20  20
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  46  67  45  69 /  70  60  30  40
TIJERAS.........................  51  70  46  70 /  70  60  30  40
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  46  72  39  71 /  60  70  30  40
CLINES CORNERS..................  46  64  42  67 /  70  70  40  40
GRAN QUIVIRA....................  51  71  46  70 /  50  40  20  30
CARRIZOZO.......................  53  75  48  75 /  50  30  20  20
RUIDOSO.........................  44  69  43  68 /  70  50  30  30
CAPULIN.........................  48  63  43  70 /  50  80  60  30
RATON...........................  47  67  42  71 /  60  70  60  30
SPRINGER........................  50  66  44  72 /  60  70  60  40
LAS VEGAS.......................  45  62  40  66 /  70  70  60  50
CLAYTON.........................  55  72  53  76 /  40  60  50  40
ROY.............................  52  65  50  71 /  60  80  60  30
CONCHAS.........................  58  72  54  76 /  70  70  60  30
SANTA ROSA......................  56  72  51  75 /  70  70  50  30
TUCUMCARI.......................  59  75  55  78 /  60  70  60  40
CLOVIS..........................  57  73  55  76 /  60  70  60  40
PORTALES........................  59  76  58  78 /  60  70  60  40
FORT SUMNER.....................  59  75  56  77 /  70  70  50  30
ROSWELL.........................  60  83  57  82 /  70  50  30  30
PICACHO.........................  55  75  52  74 /  70  50  40  30
ELK.............................  51  73  47  69 /  80  40  30  30

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

52

Hazardous weather outlook, May 23, 5:38 AM MDT, 11 hours 22 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
538 AM MDT FRI MAY 23 2014

NMZ501>540-241200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
538 AM MDT FRI MAY 23 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN. THE GREATEST RISK
FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE ACROSS EASTERN
LINCOLN...CHAVES...ROOSEVELT...DE BACA...CURRY...SOUTHERN QUAY
AND SOUTHERN GUADALUPE COUNTIES. SOME THUNDERSTORMS EAST OF THE
CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY
RAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MINOR FLOODING AND LOCALIZED
FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING SATURDAY AND SUNDAY EAST OF THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS SHOULD BE EAST OF A LINE FROM ROY TO ROSWELL. SOME
THUNDERSTORMS EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN WILL ALSO BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON. MINOR
FLOODING AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. DRIER AIR
MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST SHOULD LIMIT THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT
BY SUNDAY EVENING.

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY FROM THE EAST SLOPES
OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN EASTWARD. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS
AND PLAINS.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THEN AGAIN WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY...ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO DUE TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS.

44

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 23, 3:36 PM MDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
336 PM MDT FRI MAY 23 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0306 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 S ALBUQUERQUE         35.04N 106.62W
05/23/2014  M61 MPH          BERNALILLO         NM   ASOS

            KABQ ASOS.

0306 PM     HIGH SUST WINDS  5 S ALBUQUERQUE         35.04N 106.62W
05/23/2014  M40 MPH          BERNALILLO         NM   ASOS

            KABQ ASOS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1400955
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1400956

CML

Special weather statement, May 23, 4:05 PM MDT, 55 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
405 PM MDT FRI MAY 23 2014

NMZ511-232230-
JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
405 PM MDT FRI MAY 23 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL SANDOVAL COUNTY THROUGH
430 PM MDT...

AT 403 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF JEMEZ SPRINGS...OR ABOUT 23
MILES SOUTHWEST OF LOS ALAMOS...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...JEMEZ SPRINGS...JEMEZ STATE
MONUMENT...FENTON LAKE STATE PARK...BATTLESHIP ROCK...JEMEZ FALLS
CAMPGROUND...REDONDO CAMPGROUND AND SAN ANTONIO CAMPGROUND.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

&&

LAT...LON 3591 10679 3594 10644 3560 10654 3565 10678
TIME...MOT...LOC 2205Z 192DEG 20KT 3572 10665

Special weather statement, May 23, 4:10 PM MDT, 50 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
410 PM MDT FRI MAY 23 2014

NMZ512-514-515-523-529-232245-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-NORTHEAST
HIGHLANDS-SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-WEST SLOPES
SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
410 PM MDT FRI MAY 23 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN SAN MIGUEL AND EASTERN
SANTA FE COUNTIES THROUGH 445 PM MDT...

AT 407 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ROWE...OR ABOUT 22 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF LAS VEGAS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...UPPER COLONIAS...SAN JOSE...
NORTH SAN YSIDRO...MONASTERY LAKE...LISBOA SPRINGS FISH HATCHERY...
LOWER COLONIAS...FIELD TRACT CAMPGROUND...SAN PABLO...SAN GERONIMO...
OJITOS FRIOS AND MINERAL HILL.

THIS WILL IMPACT INTERSTATE 25 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 293 AND 338...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

&&

LAT...LON 3548 10524 3530 10563 3544 10573 3553 10586
      3555 10586 3576 10555
TIME...MOT...LOC 2210Z 227DEG 24KT 3546 10555

Special weather statement, May 23, 4:19 PM MDT, 41 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
419 PM MDT FRI MAY 23 2014

NMZ522>524-232245-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
419 PM MDT FRI MAY 23 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN TORRANCE COUNTY THROUGH
445 PM MDT...

AT 416 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES WEST OF CEDARVALE...OR ABOUT 20 MILES
NORTHWEST OF CORONA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL
TORRANCE COUNTY.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

&&

LAT...LON 3460 10594 3443 10562 3430 10589 3444 10603
TIME...MOT...LOC 2219Z 231DEG 25KT 3443 10587

Special weather statement, May 23, 4:30 PM MDT, 30 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
430 PM MDT FRI MAY 23 2014

NMZ519-232300-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
430 PM MDT FRI MAY 23 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN BERNALILLO AND SOUTHERN
SANDOVAL COUNTIES THROUGH 500 PM MDT...

AT 430 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ALBUQUERQUE...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...RIO RANCHO...BERNALILLO...
TAYLOR RANCH...LOS RANCHOS DE ALBUQUERQUE...NORTH
VALLEY...VENTANA RANCH...PARADISE HILLS...CABEZON...RIO RANCHO INTEL
AREA...CORRALES...VISTA HILLS...RIO RANCHO CITY CENTER...NORTHERN
MEADOWS...SANDIA PUEBLO...ENCHANTED HILLS...CORONADO STATE MONUMENT
AND ALAMEDA.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING NEW MEXICO HIGHWAYS...
  INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 148 AND 162...
  INTERSTATE 25 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 221 AND 243...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

&&

LAT...LON 3536 10682 3533 10648 3503 10661 3506 10683
TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 191DEG 15KT 3513 10670

Special weather statement, May 23, 4:40 PM MDT, 20 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
440 PM MDT FRI MAY 23 2014

NMZ522>524-232315-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
440 PM MDT FRI MAY 23 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN...SOUTHERN
TORRANCE AND EXTREME EASTERN SOCORRO COUNTIES THROUGH 515 PM MDT...

AT 438 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES EAST OF GRAN QUIVIRA...OR ABOUT 22 MILES
WEST OF CORONA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN
TORRANCE COUNTY.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
SATURDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

&&

LAT...LON 3460 10594 3443 10562 3415 10597 3426 10613
TIME...MOT...LOC 2240Z 204DEG 16KT 3428 10598

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 22, 10:48 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Roosevelt	117 min
May 23, 1:15 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Torrance	30 min
May 23, 1:20 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Cibola	25 min
May 23, 1:30 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Torrance	2 hr
May 23, 1:44 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Torrance	31 min
May 23, 1:49 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Torrance	26 min
May 23, 1:54 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Valencia	36 min
May 23, 1:59 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Torrance	2 hr
May 23, 2:03 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Socorro	117 min
May 23, 2:08 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Lincoln, Socorro, Torrance	67 min
May 23, 2:22 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Torrance	23 min
May 23, 2:35 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	San Miguel, Santa Fe, Torrance	55 min
May 23, 2:49 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Lincoln, Socorro, Torrance	116 min
May 23, 3:00 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Bernalillo	30 min
May 23, 3:09 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Bernalillo, Sandoval, Valencia	51 min
May 23, 3:18 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Torrance	42 min
May 23, 3:27 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	San Miguel, Santa Fe, Torrance	2 hr
May 23, 3:32 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Lincoln	28 min
May 23, 3:36 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	San Miguel, Santa Fe	39 min
May 23, 3:55 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Torrance	2 hr
May 23, 4:01 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Torrance	59 min
May 23, 4:02 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Colfax	58 min
May 23, 4:05 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Sandoval	25 min
May 23, 4:10 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Santa Fe	35 min
May 23, 4:19 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Torrance	26 min
May 23, 4:30 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Bernalillo	30 min
May 23, 4:40 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Torrance	35 min
May 23, 4:41 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Colfax	2 hr
May 23, 4:57 PM MDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ABQ	Torrance	2 hr
May 23, 4:57 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Colfax, Union	63 min
May 23, 5:05 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Santa Fe	25 min
May 23, 5:10 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Lincoln	35 min
May 23, 5:18 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Guadalupe	42 min
May 23, 5:29 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Lincoln	61 min
May 23, 5:33 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Torrance	42 min
May 23, 5:46 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Torrance	44 min
May 23, 5:55 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Colfax	50 min
May 23, 5:57 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Mora	33 min
May 23, 5:58 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Guadalupe	47 min
May 23, 5:59 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	ABQ	Lincoln	46 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2014 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.