Alert archive / New Mexico / Red Flag Warnings in 2014

Red Flag Warning 40, NWS Albuquerque, NM

June 16, 20148 counties in New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this red flag warning at Jun 16, 2014, 6:09 AM MDT for 8 counties in New Mexico. It took effect at Jun 17, 2014, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 9 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jun 16, 2014, 6:09 AM MDT (12:09 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 17, 2014, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
Jun 17, 2014, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Albuquerque, NM

Counties Bernalillo County, NM, Cibola County, NM, McKinley County, NM, Rio Arriba County, NM, San Juan County, NM, Sandoval County, NM, Socorro County, NM, Valencia County, NM

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jun 17, 5:11 PM MDTNON-TSTM WND GST 641 Ese Contreras, NMSEVILLETA RAWS.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 0.2 hours before the alert went out and 74 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 12:00Z on 2014-06-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 12:00Z on 2014-06-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 91 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3821 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
91 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

964 
WWUS85 KABQ 161209
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
609 AM MDT MON JUN 16 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING MID MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING FOR THE
NORTHWEST PLATEAU...NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...NORTHWEST
HIGHLANDS...MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...SANDIA/MANZANO AND GALLINAS
MOUNTAINS AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WIND...LOW
HUMIDITY AND HIGH INSTABILITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING WARNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
FOR THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU...NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS DUE TO STRONG
WIND...LOW HUMIDITY AND HIGH INSTABILITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY AND FOR THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS
WEDNESDAY...

.A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY CROSS THE
WESTERN UNITED STATES THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK CAUSING
WINDS TO STRENGTHEN OVER NEW MEXICO. A PERSISTENT LEE TROUGH WILL
ALSO DEVELOP MONDAY...HELPING SURFACE WINDS TO STRENGTHEN. IN
ADDITION...LOW HUMIDITIES AND A VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL
CREATE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

NMZ101-105-170300-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0045.140617T1800Z-140618T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0040.140617T1800Z-140618T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0046.140618T1800Z-140619T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0039.140616T1600Z-140617T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101
NORTHWEST PLATEAU/FARMINGTON BLM/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
609 AM MDT MON JUN 16 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT TUESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT TUESDAY. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...NORTHWEST PLATEAU MID MORNING THROUGH EARLY
  EVENING TODAY AND TUESDAY...THEN POSSIBLY AGAIN WEDNESDAY. THE
  MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS SHOULD OCCUR DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 
  40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...4 TO 10 PERCENT TODAY AND 7 TO 18 PERCENT
  TUESDAY. 8 TO 18 PERCENT WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY 
  AND WILL BE HARD TO CONTROL. LONG RANGE SPOTTING AND EXTREME 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD NOT BE 
  DONE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ106-170300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0039.140616T1600Z-140617T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0045.140617T1800Z-140618T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
609 AM MDT MON JUN 16 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY LATE MORNING TO MID
  EVENING TODAY. THE MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS SHOULD OCCUR DURING
  THE LATE AFTERNOON. POSSIBLE AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 
  40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...5 TO 13 PERCENT TODAY AND 6 TO 18 PERCENT
  TUESDAY.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY 
  AND WILL BE HARD TO CONTROL. LONG RANGE SPOTTING AND EXTREME 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD NOT BE 
  DONE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ102-107-108-170300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0039.140616T1600Z-140617T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 102
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS/WESTERN CARSON-SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
609 AM MDT MON JUN 16 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...SANDIA/MANZANO AND
  GALLINAS MOUNTAINS...AS WELL AS THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS...FROM
  MID MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING TODAY. THE MOST CRITICAL
  CONDITIONS SHOULD OCCUR DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.
  THE WEAKER WINDS SHOULD OCCUR SOUTH OF A LINE FROM FORT SUMNER
  TO TEXACO.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 TO 18 PERCENT...EXCEPT FOR SOME HIGHER 
  READINGS EAST AND SOUTH OF CLOVIS AND PORTALES.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
431 
WWUS85 KABQ 162029
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
229 PM MDT MON JUN 16 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE
NORTHWEST PLATEAU...NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...NORTHWEST
HIGHLANDS...MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...SANDIA...MANZANO AND
GALLINAS MOUNTAINS AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO STRONG
WIND...LOW HUMIDITY AND HIGH INSTABILITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT TUESDAY
FOR THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND HIGHLANDS...NORTH CENTRAL AND
SANDIA...MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS...MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY
AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WIND...LOW HUMIDITY AND HIGH
INSTABILITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH WEDNESDAY FOR THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS...

.A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY STRETCHED
ACROSS THE WESTERN UNITED STATES WILL GRADUALLY TRACK THROUGH THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES WEDNESDAY. A PERSISTENT LEE SURFACE TROUGH WILL
ALSO SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. IN
ADDITION...LOW HUMIDITIES AND A VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL
CREATE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

NMZ106-170300-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0045.140617T1800Z-140618T0300Z/
/O.EXA.KABQ.FW.W.0040.140617T1800Z-140618T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0039.000000T0000Z-140617T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
229 PM MDT MON JUN 16 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT TUESDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. CRITICAL CONDITIONS
  WILL PERSIST THROUGH MID EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING AND WILL
  REDEVELOP BY MIDDAY TUESDAY...THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE
  AFTERNOON BEFORE TAPERING OFF.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST 20 TO 30 WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
  TO 40 MPH THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...AND AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...5 TO 10 PERCENT BEFORE 9 PM THIS
  EVENING...AND 9 TO 14 PERCENT TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY 
  AND WILL BE HARD TO CONTROL. LONG RANGE SPOTTING AND EXTREME 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD NOT BE 
  DONE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ102-107-108-170300-
/O.EXA.KABQ.FW.W.0040.140617T1800Z-140618T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0039.000000T0000Z-140617T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 102
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS/WESTERN CARSON-SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
229 PM MDT MON JUN 16 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT TUESDAY. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...NORTH CENTRAL..SANDIA...MANZANO AND GALLINAS
  MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS. CRITICAL
  CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH EARLY THIS EVENING...BUT WILL
  REDEVELOP BY MIDDAY TUESDAY...THEN PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY
  AFTERNOON BEFORE EASING TUESDAY EVENING. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST 20 TO 35 WITH OCCASIONAL
  GUSTS TO 45 MPH THROUGH EARLY EVENING AND AGAIN TUESDAY
  AFTERNOON.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...4 TO 10 PERCENT THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.
  EIGHT TO 15 PERCENT TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY 
  AND WILL BE HARD TO CONTROL. LONG RANGE SPOTTING AND EXTREME 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD NOT BE 
  DONE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ101-105-170300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0039.000000T0000Z-140617T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0040.140617T1800Z-140618T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0046.140618T1800Z-140619T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101
NORTHWEST PLATEAU/FARMINGTON BLM/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
229 PM MDT MON JUN 16 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
TUESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.
A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
TUESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND HIGHLANDS. CRITICAL
  CONDITIONS PERSISTING THROUGH MID EVENING...THEN REDEVELOPING BY
  MIDDAY TUESDAY AND PERSISTING THROUGH MID EVENING. CRITICAL
  CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST 20 TO 35 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
  GUSTS TO 45 MPH THROUGH EARLY EVENING AND AGAIN TUESDAY
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH
  GUSTS TO 40 MPH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...4 TO 10 PERCENT THROUGH MID EVENING. SIX TO
  15 PERCENT TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND 8 TO 15 PERCENT WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY 
  AND WILL BE HARD TO CONTROL. LONG RANGE SPOTTING AND EXTREME 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD NOT BE 
  DONE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$
338 
WWUS85 KABQ 170237
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
837 PM MDT MON JUN 16 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR
THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND HIGHLANDS...NORTH CENTRAL AND SANDIA...
MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS...MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WIND...LOW HUMIDITY AND HIGH
INSTABILITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH WEDNESDAY FOR THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS DUE TO STRONG WIND...LOW HUMIDITY...AND HIGH
INSTABILITY...

.A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY STRETCHED
ACROSS THE WESTERN UNITED STATES WILL GRADUALLY TRACK THROUGH THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES WEDNESDAY. A PERSISTENT LEE SURFACE TROUGH WILL
ALSO SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. IN ADDITION...
LOW HUMIDITIES AND A VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL CREATE A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

NMZ101-105-171400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0039.000000T0000Z-140617T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0040.140617T1800Z-140618T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0046.140618T1800Z-140619T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101
NORTHWEST PLATEAU/FARMINGTON BLM/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
837 PM MDT MON JUN 16 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
TUESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
TUESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND HIGHLANDS. CRITICAL
  CONDITIONS REDEVELOPING BY MIDDAY TUESDAY AND PERSISTING
  THROUGH MID EVENING. CRITICAL CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AGAIN
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST 20 TO 35 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
  GUSTS TO 45 MPH TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WEST TO
  NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WEDNESDAY
  AFTERNOON.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...6 TO 15 PERCENT TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND 8 TO
  15 PERCENT WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY 
  AND WILL BE HARD TO CONTROL. LONG RANGE SPOTTING AND EXTREME 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD NOT BE 
  DONE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ102-106>108-171400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0039.000000T0000Z-140617T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0040.140617T1800Z-140618T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 102
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS/WESTERN CARSON-SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
837 PM MDT MON JUN 16 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
TUESDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
TUESDAY. 

* AREA AND TIMING...NORTH CENTRAL..SANDIA...MANZANO AND GALLINAS
  MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS. CRITICAL
  CONDITIONS WILL REDEVELOP BY MIDDAY TUESDAY...THEN PERSIST
  THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE EASING TUESDAY EVENING.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST 20 TO 35 WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
  TO 45 MPH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...8 TO 15 PERCENT TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY 
  AND WILL BE HARD TO CONTROL. LONG RANGE SPOTTING AND EXTREME 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD NOT BE 
  DONE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

SHY
878 
WWUS85 KABQ 171315
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
715 AM MDT TUE JUN 17 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT TODAY FOR THE
NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND HIGHLANDS...NORTH CENTRAL AND SANDIA...
MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS...MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND EAST
CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WIND...LOW HUMIDITY AND HIGH
INSTABILITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH WEDNESDAY FOR THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS DUE TO STRONG WIND...LOW HUMIDITY...AND HIGH
INSTABILITY...

.A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY STRETCHED
ACROSS THE WESTERN UNITED STATES WILL GRADUALLY TRACK THROUGH THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES WEDNESDAY. A PERSISTENT LEE SURFACE TROUGH WILL
ALSO SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. IN ADDITION...
LOW HUMIDITIES AND A VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL CREATE A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

NMZ101-105-172130-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0040.140617T1800Z-140618T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0046.140618T1800Z-140619T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101
NORTHWEST PLATEAU/FARMINGTON BLM/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
715 AM MDT TUE JUN 17 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND HIGHLANDS. CRITICAL
  CONDITIONS REDEVELOPING BY MIDDAY TODAY AND PERSISTING THROUGH
  MID EVENING. MARGINALLY CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
  GUSTS TO 40 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WEST TO NORTHWEST
  WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...8 TO 15 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND 10 TO 15
  PERCENT WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY 
  AND WILL BE HARD TO CONTROL. LONG RANGE SPOTTING AND EXTREME 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD NOT BE 
  DONE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ102-106>108-172130-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0040.140617T1800Z-140618T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 102
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS/WESTERN CARSON-SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
715 AM MDT TUE JUN 17 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...NORTH CENTRAL..SANDIA...MANZANO AND GALLINAS
  MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS. MARGINALLY
  CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP TODAY AND PERSIST THROUGH
  EARLY THIS EVENING.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST 20 TO 30 WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
  TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY 
  AND WILL BE HARD TO CONTROL. LONG RANGE SPOTTING AND EXTREME 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD NOT BE 
  DONE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$
243 
WWUS85 KABQ 172117
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
317 PM MDT TUE JUN 17 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE
NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND HIGHLANDS...NORTH CENTRAL AND SANDIA...
MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS...MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND EAST
CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WIND...LOW HUMIDITY AND HIGH
INSTABILITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH WEDNESDAY FOR THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS DUE TO STRONG WIND...LOW HUMIDITY...AND HIGH
INSTABILITY...

.A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY STRETCHED
ACROSS THE WESTERN UNITED STATES WILL SLOWLY TRACK ACROSS THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES WEDNESDAY. A PERSISTENT LEE SURFACE TROUGH WILL
SUPPORT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING. LOW
HUMIDITIES AND AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL LINGER OVER MUCH OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO THROUGH THIS EVENING...AND OVER
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY. ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS
WILL ALSO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WEST AND CENTRAL UNTIL
AROUND SUNSET THIS EVENING.

NMZ101-105-180300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0040.000000T0000Z-140618T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0046.140618T1800Z-140619T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101
NORTHWEST PLATEAU/FARMINGTON BLM/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
317 PM MDT TUE JUN 17 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND HIGHLANDS. CRITICAL
  CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MID EVENING. MARGINALLY
  CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
  EVENING.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
  GUSTS TO 40 MPH THROUGH MID EVENING. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 20
  TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...8 TO 15 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND 10 TO
  15 PERCENT WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY 
  AND WILL BE HARD TO CONTROL. LONG RANGE SPOTTING AND EXTREME 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD NOT BE 
  DONE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ102-106>108-180300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0040.000000T0000Z-140618T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 102
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS/WESTERN CARSON-SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
317 PM MDT TUE JUN 17 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

* AREA AND TIMING...NORTH CENTRAL..SANDIA...MANZANO AND GALLINAS
  MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS AND MIDDLE RIO
  GRANDE VALLEY. MARGINALLY CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
  THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST 20 TO 30 WITH OCCASIONAL
  GUSTS TO 40 MPH. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY 
  AND WILL BE HARD TO CONTROL. LONG RANGE SPOTTING AND EXTREME 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD NOT BE 
  DONE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$
710 
WWUS85 KABQ 180255
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
855 PM MDT TUE JUN 17 2014

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH WEDNESDAY FOR THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS DUE TO STRONG WIND...LOW HUMIDITY...AND HIGH
INSTABILITY...

.A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY STRETCHED
ACROSS THE WESTERN UNITED STATES WILL SLOWLY TRACK ACROSS THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES WEDNESDAY. LOW HUMIDITIES AND AN UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE WILL LINGER OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY.

NMZ101-105-181400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0040.000000T0000Z-140618T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0046.140618T1800Z-140619T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101
NORTHWEST PLATEAU/FARMINGTON BLM/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
855 PM MDT TUE JUN 17 2014

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND HIGHLANDS. MARGINALLY
  CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
  EVENING.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS
  TO 35 MPH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY 
  AND WILL BE HARD TO CONTROL. LONG RANGE SPOTTING AND EXTREME 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD NOT BE 
  DONE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ102-106>108-180400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0040.000000T0000Z-140618T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 102
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS/WESTERN CARSON-SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
855 PM MDT TUE JUN 17 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

LOCAL GUSTS TO 35 MPH WITH SOME LOW HUMIDITIES WILL PERSIST IN
SPOTS THROUGH LATE EVENING...BUT WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED.

$$

SHY

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Jun 16, 5:48 AM MDT, 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 16, 5:48 AM MDT, 21 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
548 AM MDT MON JUN 16 2014

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF CYCLE
SURFACE WINDS ARE RAMPING OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN ALREADY EARLY THIS
MORNING. EXPECT A WINDY DAY FOR MOST LOCALES...PARTICULARLY NORTH
AND WEST WHERE GUSTS UP TO 35 AND 40 KTS ARE POSSIBLE. SMOKE FROM
THE ASAAYI FIRE NORTH OF GALLUP MAY BECOME A CONCERN FOR AVIATION
AROUND KFMN BUT HAVE NOT INCLUDED ANY IMPACTS TO VSBY AT THIS TIME.
A COUPLE WEAK VIRGA SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP BY MID/LATE DAY AROUND
CATRON...SOCORRO...AND LINCOLN COUNTIES WITH EVEN GUSTIER WINDS
POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL TAPER OFF SLOWLY AFTER SUNSET ALL AREAS.

GUYER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...330 AM MDT MON JUN 16 2014...
...LONG DURATION CRITICAL FIRE GROWING PATTERN CONTINUES THIS WEEK...

.SYNOPSIS...
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY CROSS THE
NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL U.S. TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
KEEPING WINDS STRONG OVER NEW MEXICO. STRONG SURFACE WINDS...LOW
HUMIDITY AND HIGH INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
EACH DAY...ESPECIALLY WEST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN. THE UPPER
LOW WILL DRAW ENOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE NORTHWESTWARD FOR A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST AREAS
TODAY...THEN ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE
TUESDAY. SOME DRY CELLS COULD REDEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN AND
SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS WEDNESDAY...WHILE DRY LINE THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST
ON THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS. WEAKER WINDS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES MAY IMPROVE
FROM THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN EASTWARD STARTING FRIDAY AS MOISTURE
BEGINS TO SEEP NORTHWARD OUT OF MEXICO.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ABOUT HOW MUCH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL BE DRAWN NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...AND ALSO ABOUT HOW FAR IT
WILL PROGRESS. MODELS SEEM TO BE PICKING UP ON SOME MID LEVEL
MOISTURE TOO...WHICH JUSTIFIES A SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY
THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE TO AROUND THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN MAINLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE BEST CHANCE OF ANY
WETTING PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE FOUND EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

OTHERWISE THE BIG CONCERN WILL BE WIND AND FIRE WEATHER TODAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS LOOK TO BE MOST
WIDESPREAD TODAY DUE TO LOWER HUMIDITIES...STRETCHING EVEN ACROSS
PARTS OF THE PLAINS. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN THE CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND AROUND
GALLUP. WILL ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY THERE FOR TODAY.

THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE BOTH TRENDING TOWARD A WETTER WEEKEND
AHEAD...THOUGH THERE IS STILL SIGNIFICANT DISAGREEMENT ON THE
SOURCE OF THE MOISTURE. THE ECMWF IS SHOWING MOISTURE SEEPING
NORTHWARD UNDER AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AHEAD OF A WEAK UPPER TROUGH
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. THIS COULD BEGIN AS EARLY AS FRIDAY.
HOWEVER...THE GFS DELAYS IMPROVED MOISTURE AND THUNDERSTORM
COVERAGE UNTIL A MOIST BACK DOOR COLD FRONT MAKES A STRONG
SOUTHWESTWARD PUSH LATE SUNDAY OR SUNDAY NIGHT. THE ECMWF SHOWS
THIS MOIST FRONT ARRIVING TOO...SO THE LATTER PART OF THE COMING
WEEKEND COULD BE QUITE WET...AT LEAST IN THE EAST.

44

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A POTENT DRY SLOT NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE REGION IN ASSOCIATION
WITH A LATE SEASON LARGE SCALE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN NM
TODAY THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY. RECOVERIES EARLY THIS MORNING ARE
SERIOUSLY BAD...WITH MANY AREAS STILL IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AT 3AM.
FARMINGTON HAS SEEN 21 CONSECUTIVE HOURS OF SINGLE DIGIT RH AND
GALLUP AND ABQ ARE NOT FAR BEHIND. WINDS WILL BE STRONGER THAN
SUNDAY FOR MANY AREAS AND WIND ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY FROM
THE CHUSKAS TO GALLUP AND ZUNI. WARM TEMPS AND HIGH HAINES WILL
ACCOMPANY STRONG WINDS AND SINGLE DIGIT RH TO MAKE FOR A CHALLENGING
DAY AT THE ASAAYI FIRE. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN RH WILL OCCUR FOR AREAS
WITHIN THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND EASTERN PLAINS... HOWEVER IT WILL
STILL BE DRY AND TREND WINDIER THAN SUNDAY. THE EAST WILL SEE DRY
AND WINDY CONDITIONS AS WELL BUT GREEN-UP WILL MITIGATE FIRE
CONCERNS FOR THE NE PLAINS. A COUPLE DRY VIRGA SHOWERS ARE ON TAP AS
WELL FOR CATRON...SOCORRO...AND LINCOLN COUNTIES.

TONIGHT WILL SEE A BIG IMPROVEMENT IN RH RECOVERIES FOR CENTRAL AND
WESTERN NM HOWEVER THEY WILL STILL AVERAGE POOR TO FAIR. THIS WILL
LEAD INTO A SLIGHT TREND UP WITH RH VALUES TUESDAY HOWEVER WIDESPREAD
CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY FOR THE NORTHWEST. HAVE UPGRADED
TO RED FLAG WARNINGS THERE...BUT KEPT RIO GRANDE VALLEY IN A WATCH.
SOME MID LEVEL MOISTURE SEEPAGE FROM THE SOUTH MAY MITIGATE SEVERAL
HOURS OF THE CRITICAL CONDITIONS. HAINES REMAIN HIGH MOST AREAS AND
TEMPS ARE STILL ABOVE NORMAL. WIND ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
AGAIN FOR THE CHUSKAS TO GALLUP AND ZUNI. MORE VIRGA IS POSSIBLE FOR
THE SOUTH AND EAST.

CRITICAL CONDITIONS CONTINUE WEDNESDAY AS THE BASE OF THE UPPER
TROUGH CROSSES NM. THIS WILL KEEP WINDS STRONG WITH DRY AND UNSTABLE
CONDITIONS ESPECIALLY FOR THE NORTHWEST. ISSUED FIRE WEATHER WATCH.
MORE VIRGA TYPE ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE AGAIN FOR AREAS AROUND THE HIGH
TERRAIN AS JUST ENOUGH MID LEVEL MOISTURE SEEPS NORTH AHEAD OF THE
TROUGH AXIS.

ANOTHER BLAST OF DRIER AND BREEZY CONDITIONS THEN SURGES ACROSS MOST
OF THE STATE FOR THURSDAY BEHIND THE DEPARTING UPPER TROUGH. THIS
WILL LIKELY PROVIDE ONE LAST DAY OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS OVER THE
NORTHWEST...DESPITE TEMPS TRENDING COOLER. BEYOND THURSDAY...MODEL
GUIDANCE IS A MESS WITH REGARD TO THE OVERALL PATTERN. THERE ARE
SOME INDICATIONS DEPENDING ON WHICH MODEL RUN WE ANALYZE THAT
MOISTURE MAY SURGE INTO THE STATE BY THE WEEKEND.

GUYER

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ101-102-105>108.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ101-105.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ101-105.

WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ502-505.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ106.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 16, 5:45 AM MDT, 24 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
545 AM MDT MON JUN 16 2014

NMZ501>540-171200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
545 AM MDT MON JUN 16 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE CHUSKA
MOUNTAINS AND WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST WIND
ADVISORY FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MID MORNING THROUGH EARLY
EVENING FOR THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND HIGHLANDS...MIDDLE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY...NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...SANDIA/MANZANO AND
GALLINAS MOUNTAINS AND THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS...WHERE LOW
HUMIDITIES COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

TUESDAY...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH FROM LATE
MORNING UNTIL SUNSET ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL
PLATEAU...AS WELL AS THE CHUSKA MOUNTAINS.

TUESDAY...RED FLAG WARNINGS AND FIRE WEATHER WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT
FROM THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS AND PLATEAU DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
TO BECOME EVEN MORE WIDESPREAD DURING THIS PERIOD.

WEDNESDAY...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ACROSS A
BROAD AREA OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. IN ADDITION...
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL IMPACT MANY AREAS WITH THE
GREATEST CONCERN ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS AND PLATEAU. THE
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND SANDIA/MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS
MAY ALSO BE IMPACTED.

TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE THAT THE DRYLINE
WILL TRIGGER SPOTTY THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS. A
FEW STRONG TO SEVERE CELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY WHEN THE WIND SHEAR PROFILE MAY BE
SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE ROTATING UPDRAFTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED WEDNESDAY FOR COUNTIES NEAR THE
TEXAS BORDER DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
THE DRYLINE.

44

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 16, 4:09 AM MDTWind AdvisoryABQ16 hr
Jun 16, 6:09 AM MDTFire Weather WatchABQCibola, McKinley, Rio Arriba, Sandoval, San Juan46 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in New Mexico, 2014Every red flag warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.