Red Flag Warning 32, NWS Albuquerque, NM

976 
WWUS85 KABQ 210205
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
805 PM MDT TUE MAY 20 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON THROUGH 8 PM WEDNESDAY
FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND THE MIDDLE
RIO GRANDE VALLEY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS WILL REDEVELOP WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS...THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...AND THE MIDDLE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY DUE TO STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AND A WARM AND
UNSTABLE AIRMASS. FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE THURSDAY AS
AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM INCREASES MOISTURE AREA WIDE AND
WEAKENS WINDS ALOFT.

NMZ103-107-211400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0031.000000T0000Z-140521T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0032.140521T1800Z-140522T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
805 PM MDT TUE MAY 20 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING EXPIRED AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY. 

* AREA AND TIMING...ANOTHER ROUND OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL
  DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS NORTHEAST
  HIGHLANDS AND THE SANDIA...MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35
  MPH ON WEDNESDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT MINIMUM ON WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ106-211400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0031.000000T0000Z-140521T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0032.140521T1800Z-140522T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
805 PM MDT TUE MAY 20 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING EXPIRED AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY. 

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL REDEVELOP BY OR NOT
  LONG AFTER NOON WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...MAINLY SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
  TO 35 MPH WEDNESDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...SEVERAL HOURS OF SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITIES
  BETWEEN 5 TO 9 PERCENT WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ104-105-108-109-210315-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0031.000000T0000Z-140521T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
805 PM MDT TUE MAY 20 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING EXPIRED AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW CRITICAL VALUES ACROSS ALMOST ALL OF
THE WARNED AREAS AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH THE
EVENING. HUMIDITIES WILL MORE SLOWLY TREND BACK ABOVE CRITICAL
VALUES BY LATE EVENING OR BY AN HOUR OR TWO AFTER MIDNIGHT.

$$

43

110 
WWUS85 KABQ 211019
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
419 AM MDT WED MAY 21 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON THROUGH 8 PM TODAY FOR THE
NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AS WELL AS AREAS ALONG AND
IMMEDIATELY EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND THE MIDDLE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS WILL REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW MEXICO AS WELL AS THE
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...AND THE MIDDLE AND
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY DUE TO STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AND A WARM
AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS. FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
THURSDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM INCREASES MOISTURE AREA
WIDE AND WINDS ALOFT WEAKEN.

NMZ105-109-212130-
/O.EXA.KABQ.FW.W.0032.140521T1800Z-140522T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
419 AM MDT WED MAY 21 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...ANOTHER ROUND OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL
  DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND WEST
  CENTRAL HIGHLANDS.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH
  GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM VALUES OF 8 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ103-107-212130-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0032.140521T1800Z-140522T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
419 AM MDT WED MAY 21 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...ANOTHER ROUND OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL
  DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
  HIGHLANDS...SANDIA...MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS
  THE ADJACENT SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH
  GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM VALUES OF 8 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ106-212130-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0032.140521T1800Z-140522T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
419 AM MDT WED MAY 21 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL REDEVELOP THIS
  AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING FOR THE MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO
  GRANDE VALLEY.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...MAINLY SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
  35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...SEVERAL HOURS OF SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITIES
  BETWEEN 5 TO 9 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

597 
WWUS85 KABQ 212123
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
323 PM MDT WED MAY 21 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TODAY FOR THE NORTHWEST
AND WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AND AREAS ALONG AND IMMEDIATELY EAST
OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY DUE TO
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

.CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW MEXICO...THE NORTHEAST
HIGHLANDS...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...AND THE MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO
GRANDE VALLEY DUE TO STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AND A WARM AND
UNSTABLE AIRMASS. FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE THURSDAY AS
AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM INCREASES MOISTURE AREA WIDE AND WINDS
ALOFT WEAKEN.

NMZ103-107-220200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-140522T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
323 PM MDT WED MAY 21 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
  HIGHLANDS...SANDIA...MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS AND
  THE ADJACENT SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH 
  GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM VALUES OF 8 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ105-106-109-220200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-140522T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
323 PM MDT WED MAY 21 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND
  WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH 
  GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM VALUES OF 8 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
308 PM MDT TUE MAY 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE WEST
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE WILL SURGE BACK
NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH WEST TEXAS AND INTO SOUTHEAST AND EAST-
CENTRAL NEW MEXICO OVERNIGHT. THIS MOISTURE WILL MOVE FARTHER NORTH AND
WEST THAN PREVIOUS NIGHTS AND BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH DRIER AIR TO
THE WEST AND RESULT IN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FAR EASTERN
PLAINS NEAR THE TEXAS BORDER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE GULF MOISTURE
WILL SURGE EVEN FARTHER NORTH AND WEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING
GOOD CHANCES FOR WET SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MUCH OF THE AREA
EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN. ELSEWHERE...MID LEVEL PACIFIC
MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY INCREASE LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...RESULTING
IN SCATTERED CUMULUS CLOUDS AND A FEW VIRGA SHAFTS WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. A BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN AREAS THURSDAY AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH
THE MAIN IMPACT FROM THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL LIKELY BE STRONG
AND GUSTY WINDS...SPRINKLES AND LITTLE IN THE WAY OF MEASURABLE
RAINFALL. CENTRAL AND WESTERN AREAS FINALLY MOISTEN UP ENOUGH FOR
MAINLY WET SHOWERS AND STORMS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ALBEIT
EXCEPT FOR THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS WHERE 20S DEWPOINTS HANG ON THERE.
DRIER AIR WORKS NORTHWARD INTO THE RG VALLEY AND WEST-CENTRAL AREAS
SATURDAY...LIMITING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THERE. THE
UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO TRACK ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO SUNDAY
AFTERNOON WITH THE BEST SHOT AT SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER THE
NORTHERN AND WEST-CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. WEATHER PREDICTION MODELS
ARE TRENDING SLIGHTLY FASTER WITH THE UPPER LOW FOR MONDAY...LIMITING
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES TO THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND
NORTHEAST QUARTER OF THE STATE FOR THE MEMORIAL DAY HOLIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
SURFACE PRESSURES FALLING NICELY THIS AFTERNOON OVER SERN NM...HELPING
TO DRAW UP UPPER 50S AND 60S DEWPOINTS NORTH AND NORTHWESTWARD
INTO CENTRAL TX. CLOSED UPPER LOW CENTER JUST NORTH OF FRESNO CA
DROPPING SLOWLY SOUTH AND SOUTHEASTWARD THIS AFTERNOON. MODELS
REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT...TAKING THE UPPER LOW SLOWLY SWD INTO
SRN CA BY WED NIGHT. NAM AND GFS BACKED OFF ON THE AMOUNT OF MID
LEVEL PACIFIC MOISTURE MOVING UP FROM THE SW AHEAD OF THE LOW FOR
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. LIKELY TO SEE MAINLY SCATTERED HIGH BASED
CUMULUS CLOUDS AND LITTLE IN THE WAY OF VIRGA SHAFTS. SFC PRESSURES
START FALLING OVER AZ WED NIGHT...PULLING THE GULF MOISTURE
FARTHER NORTH AND WEST. GOOD CHANCES FOR WET SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EAST SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN
AND SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS EASTWARD THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. ISOLATED HIGH BASED STORMS OVER CENTRAL AND WESTERN AREAS
THURSDAY AFTERNOON WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MAINLY DRY STORMS AS SFC
DEWPOINTS REMAIN IN THE 20S. A FEW STRONG STORMS LIKELY TO DEVELOP
OVER THE EAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WITH THE BEST
CHANCES FOR A SEVERE STORM OR TWO IN CURRY AND ROOSEVELT COUNTIES.

MODELS AT ODDS SOMEWHAT FOR FRIDAY. GFS CONTINUES IDEA OF BRINGING
IN DRY LOW LEVEL AIR FROM THE SOUTH INTO WESTERN AND CENTRAL NM.
ECMWF AND NAM HOLD OFF THE DRY AIR INTRUSION UNTIL THE EVENING HOURS.
SUSPECT THAT MUCH OF THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING OVER THE RG VALLEY AND WEST-CENTRAL AREAS WILL
DEPEND ON CONVECTION THAT WILL HAVE FIRED EAST OF THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN EARLIER IN THE AFTERNOON...POSSIBLY SENDING RAIN
COOLED AIR AND HIGHER DEWPOINTS WWD.

MAIN FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY DEVELOP IN AN
ARC FROM THE SE PLAINS NORTHWEST TO THE NE PLAINS AND HIGHLANDS
WEST THROUGH THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND THEN BACK SWWD AS THE DRY
AIR INTRUSION FROM THE SOUTH BEGINS TO WIN OUT. BY SUNDAY...THE
UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO SLOWLY FILL AND IS CENTERED ALONG THE NM/CO
LINE. BEST CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE ANTICIPATED ON THE
BACK SIDE OF THE UPPER LOW FROM THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS NORTH TO THE
NW PLATEAU AND THEN EASTWARD TO THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. GFS AND
ECMWF IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO FILL/WEAKEN
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MEMORIAL DAY WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CONVECTION
MEMORIAL DAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH SLIGHT CHANCES FOR SPOT
SHOWERS AND STORMS FROM THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS EASTWARD OUT ONTO
THE NE PLAINS.

33

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
...WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AND AREAS OF
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY...

.FIRE WEATHER...
HIGH CLOUDS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NM DELAYED THE
MIXING OF STRONGER WINDS TO THE SURFACE TODAY. DESPITE
THIS...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING
BEFORE WINDS FALL BELOW THRESHOLDS AFTER SUNSET. MOIST SOUTHEASTERLY
FLOW AT THE SURFACE WILL RETURN TONIGHT...RESULTING IN FAIR TO GOOD
RH RECOVERIES ACROSS THE SE PLAINS AND THE FAR NE. POOR RH
RECOVERIES EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.

AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MEANDER EAST INTO WESTERN AZ
WEDNESDAY...AND BEGIN PUSHING THE VERY DRY AIR MASS EAST OF THE
STATE. LATEST GUIDANCE HAS ENOUGH STRONG WINDS TO COMBINE WITH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPS...HAINES OF 5 TO 6...AND GUSTY WINDS TO CREATE CRITICAL
FIRE CONDITIONS. THUS...UPGRADED FIRE WX WATCH TO RED FLAG WARNING
FOR WEDNESDAY AND EXPANDED AREAL COVERAGE TO INCLUDE THE MIDDLE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY AND THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS.  A DRYLINE WILL DEVELOP
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE FLOW
ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS CLASHES WITH THE DRIER SOUTHWEST FLOW TO
THE WEST. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND EAST OF
THE DRYLINE...THOUGH REMAIN FAIRLY ISOLATED AND FARTHER EAST INTO
TX.

MOIST SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY AND PUSH FARTHER WEST. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN
IMPROVED RH RECOVERIES AREAWIDE...THOUGH MOST AREAS WILL STILL SEE
FAIR TO POOR VALUES. EAST WINDS MAY DEVELOP THROUGH THE GAPS OF THE
SANDIA MOUNTAINS THURSDAY MORNING...THOUGH ITS STRENGTH WILL BE
DEPENDENT ON CONVECTION THE PREVIOUS NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE COOLING THURSDAY AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP OVER
MUCH OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN NM. DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
WEST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS MOISTENING OF
THE LOWER LEVELS WILL TAKE LONGER TO OCCUR. NOT EXPECTING WIDESPREAD
DRY TSTM EVENT...SO NOT PUTTING 6 IN LAL. SIGNIFICANT LOWER AND
MID LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION THROUGHOUT THE DAY SHOULD YIELD FAIR TO
GOOD RH RECOVERIES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH
EXCELLENT RECOVERIES POSSIBLE FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN PLAINS.

AS THE STORM SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVES OVER THE STATE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...WIDESPREAD SHOWER ACTIVITY AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
WILL BE THE THEME. LOOK FOR WINDS AND MIXING HEIGHTS TO TREND DOWN
EACH DAY...WITH IMPROVING RECOVERIES. TEMPERATURES WILL LEVEL OFF BY
SUNDAY...WHERE HIGHS WILL BE 5 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. SHOWER
ACTIVITY FRIDAY WILL FAVOR ALL BUT THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY BEFORE
SHIFTING FARTHER NORTH AND EAST SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. CURRENTLY...THE
GFS MODEL DEPICTS A DRY AIR INTRUSION LIMITING SHOWER ACTIVITY
ACROSS SW NM SATURDAY...BUT OTHER MODELS DONT. HEDGING AWAY FROM GFS
SOLUTION...BUT IT WILL BE SOMETHING TO MONITOR. THE STORM SYSTEM
WILL BEGIN LIFTING OUT OF THE STATE SUNDAY...WITH SHOWER ACTIVITY
FOCUSED AND LIMITED TO THE NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS AND NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS.

AS THE STORM SYSTEM EXITS EARLY NEXT WEEK...SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL
DIMINISH OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY
REBOUND AREA WIDE. CRITICAL FIRE WX CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED FOR
DURING THIS TIME FRAME.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF CYCLE
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST AREA WIDE THROUGH TAF PERIOD. HIGH
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE MOVING TO THE NE...THINNING OUT THROUGH THE
DAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND DIMINISH
AFTER SUNSET...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE NM/AZ BORDER AND
AREAS JUST EAST OF SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS. GUSTS UP TO 35 KTS
TO 40KTS POSSIBLE AT KLVS AND KTCC...BUT THINKING HIGH CLOUDS
WILL PREVENT MIXING OF STRONGEST WINDS TO SURFACE. THE OTHER
TERMINAL SITES WILL SEE GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS. AREAS OF BROKEN AND
LOWERING CLOUD DECKS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS DURING
THE LATE MORNING HOURS TUESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  45  81  44  79 /   0   5   0  10
DULCE...........................  35  79  36  76 /   0   5   0  20
CUBA............................  41  79  41  77 /   0   5   0  10
GALLUP..........................  40  78  38  76 /   0   5   0  20
EL MORRO........................  32  73  31  70 /   0   5   0  30
GRANTS..........................  35  78  34  75 /   0   5   0  10
QUEMADO.........................  42  74  42  72 /   0   5   0  20
GLENWOOD........................  38  80  38  78 /   0   5   0  10
CHAMA...........................  35  71  36  69 /   0   5   5  20
LOS ALAMOS......................  53  77  52  74 /   0   5   0  20
PECOS...........................  49  74  47  71 /   0   5   5  30
CERRO/QUESTA....................  36  75  37  73 /   0   5   5  20
RED RIVER.......................  41  65  40  62 /   0  10   5  50
ANGEL FIRE......................  30  69  32  66 /   0  10   5  30
TAOS............................  38  76  40  74 /   0   5   5  20
MORA............................  46  75  46  72 /   0  10   5  50
ESPANOLA........................  45  83  45  80 /   0   5   5  10
SANTA FE........................  49  77  48  74 /   0   5   5  20
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  43  81  44  78 /   0   5   5  20
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  53  82  53  79 /   0   5   0   5
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  55  84  55  81 /   0   5   0   5
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  50  86  50  83 /   0   5   0   5
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  52  85  52  82 /   0   5   0   5
LOS LUNAS.......................  47  85  47  82 /   0   5   0   5
RIO RANCHO......................  53  85  52  82 /   0   5   0   5
SOCORRO.........................  54  87  53  83 /   0   0   0   5
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  49  80  47  75 /   0   5   0  20
TIJERAS.........................  50  81  49  76 /   0   5   0  10
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  37  82  39  77 /   0   5   5  20
CLINES CORNERS..................  48  77  46  74 /   0   5   5  40
GRAN QUIVIRA....................  51  80  51  77 /   0   5   5  20
CARRIZOZO.......................  53  83  52  80 /   0   5   5  10
RUIDOSO.........................  50  77  46  73 /   5   5   5  30
CAPULIN.........................  49  75  48  73 /   0  20  10  40
RATON...........................  45  82  45  80 /   0  20  10  40
SPRINGER........................  47  81  47  79 /   0  10  10  50
LAS VEGAS.......................  47  77  45  74 /   0  10   5  40
CLAYTON.........................  55  83  55  83 /   0  10  20  30
ROY.............................  53  80  51  77 /   0  20  10  30
CONCHAS.........................  55  85  55  81 /   0  10  10  30
SANTA ROSA......................  58  84  55  80 /   5  10  10  30
TUCUMCARI.......................  60  89  59  85 /   0  20  20  40
CLOVIS..........................  57  86  56  80 /   0  20  30  40
PORTALES........................  58  88  59  82 /   0  20  30  50
FORT SUMNER.....................  60  86  59  81 /   5  20  20  40
ROSWELL.........................  56  93  59  86 /   5  10  10  30
PICACHO.........................  58  86  54  80 /   5   5  10  30
ELK.............................  55  81  50  75 /   5   5  10  30

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ103>109.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ103.

&&

33

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
542 AM MDT TUE MAY 20 2014

NMZ501>540-211200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
542 AM MDT TUE MAY 20 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT BETWEEN NOON AND 8 PM TODAY FOR
ALL AREAS EXCEPT THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND NORTH CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS. LOW HUMIDITIES COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY RETURN ON WEDNESDAY FOR
THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS. SPOTTY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM TO THE WEST OF NEW MEXICO WILL DRAW
MOISTURE INTO THE LAND OF ENCHANTMENT...FIRST OVER THE EASTERN
PLAINS LATE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...BEFORE SPREADING WESTWARD
FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL LEAD TO INCREASED CHANCES OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN
NEW MEXICO. ADDITIONALLY...A FEW STRONG OR SEVERE STORMS WITH HAIL
AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

CONTACT YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AT 911 AND THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 1.888.386.7637 TO REPORT WILDFIRE OUTBREAKS.

34