Tornado Warning 3, NWS Rapid City, SD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
532 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

.SHORT TERM...THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 203 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

CURRENT SURFACE MAP PLACES WEAK TROF/WARM FRONT ACROSS SOUTHWEST
INTO SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA. LOW CLOUDS GRADUALLY DISSIPATING
ACROSS THE AREA. ISOLATED TSRA OVER THE BLACK HILLS AND SOUTHWEST
SOUTH DAKOTA. CONVECTION COVERAGE/INTENSITY WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY
THIS AFTERNOON WITH 1000-2000J/KB SBCAPE. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE FROM THE BLACK HILLS INTO SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

UPPER LOW CLOSES OFF OVER SOUTH DAKOTA ON SUNDAY...WITH SOME
DIFFERENCES AMONG MODELS. GFS/GEM MORE INTENSE AND A LITTLE FURTHER
WEST WITH 700MB LOW THAN NAM. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHEAST WYOMING/WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA AS STRONG THETA-E ADVECTION
WRAPS AROUND THE NORTH-NORTHWEST SIDE OF UPPER LOW. INCREASING LOW
LEVEL FLOW OUT OF THE NORTH AND STEEP LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL
RESULT IN UPSLOPE ENHANCED RAINFALL OVER THE NORTHERN BLACK HILLS
AND BEAR LODGE MOUNTAIN...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY NIGHT. WILL BECOME WINDY
ACROSS PLAINS OF WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA.

&&

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
ISSUED AT 203 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH
PROGRESSION AND TRACK OF UPPER LOW EARLY NEXT WEEK. WITH THE LOW
STILL PROJECTED TO STALL OUT ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...PLENTY OF WRAP AROUND RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED
ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AT
THIS POINT...BUT 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN SHOULD BE COMMON ACROSS THE
AREA FROM LATER SUNDAY INTO TUESDAY...WITH SOME HIGHER AMOUNTS
LIKELY ACROSS THE NORTHERN BLACK HILLS AREA...WHERE UPSLOPE ENHANCED
PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR. COOL AND WINDY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY DRIFT EAST OUT OF THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT OR
EARLY WEDNESDAY...WITH GRADUALLY IMPROVING CONDITIONS FROM WEST TO
EAST. BEYOND WEDNESDAY...THERE SHOULD BE A GRADUAL WARMUP THROUGH
THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN AREAS...AS A
WEAK RIDGE MOVES INTO THE PLAINS. WILL GO WITH A MAINLY DRY FORECAST
FOR LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL DEVELOP
AGAIN BY THE END OF THE WEEK...SO WILL SEE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS INCREASE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 520 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

AREAS OF MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT...WITH SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING FROM THE BLACK HILLS EASTWARD. LOCAL
IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED NEAR STRONGER STORMS. WIDESPREAD IFR
CIGS AND SOME -SHRA WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...7
LONG TERM...15
AVIATION...10

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
502 AM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

SDZ001-002-012>014-024>032-041>044-046-047-049-072>074-WYZ054>058-
071-191300-
BENNETT-BUTTE-CENTRAL BLACK HILLS-CUSTER CO PLAINS-FALL RIVER-HAAKON-
HARDING-HERMOSA FOOT HILLS-JACKSON-MELLETTE-NORTHEASTERN CROOK-
NORTHERN BLACK HILLS-NORTHERN CAMPBELL-NORTHERN FOOT HILLS-
NORTHERN MEADE CO PLAINS-PENNINGTON CO PLAINS-PERKINS-RAPID CITY-
SHANNON-SOUTHERN BLACK HILLS-SOUTHERN CAMPBELL-SOUTHERN FOOT HILLS-
SOUTHERN MEADE CO PLAINS-STURGIS/PIEDMONT FOOT HILLS-TODD-TRIPP-
WESTERN CROOK-WESTON-WYOMING BLACK HILLS-ZIEBACH-
502 AM MDT (602 AM CDT) SAT MAY 18 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND
NORTHEASTERN WYOMING.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE EAST AND
NORTHEAST ACROSS northeast wyoming and western south dakota through
this evening. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER
MOST OF WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL
BE THE MAIN THREAT. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday THROUGH friday

ACTIVE WEATHER is forecast to continue sunday through tuesday.
showers with a isolated thunderstorms are expected sunday
becoming mostly rain showers monday and tuesday.  another
round of thunderstorms is in the forecast for the end of next
week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...
OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/RAPIDCITY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
506 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

SDZ002-182330-
PERKINS SD-
506 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN PERKINS COUNTY UNTIL 530
PM MDT...

AT 503 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF USTA...OR 16 MILES NORTHWEST
OF FAITH...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG
WITH HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  USTA...
  CHANCE...

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 4548 10234 4544 10199 4509 10217 4513 10242
TIME...MOT...LOC 2307Z 191DEG 20KT 4520 10227

CARSTENS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
508 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

SDZ026-028-182345-
CENTRAL BLACK HILLS SD-RAPID CITY SD-
508 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL PENNINGTON COUNTY UNTIL
545 PM MDT...

AT 507 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ROCKERVILLE...OR 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF HILL
CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG
WITH HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  DOWNTOWN RAPID CITY...
  HISEGA...
  JOHNSON SIDING...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...AND A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THIS AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV
STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 4414 10340 4407 10316 4386 10339 4399 10357
TIME...MOT...LOC 2309Z 223DEG 27KT 4399 10339

CARSTENS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
518 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

WYZ058-190000-
WESTON WY-
518 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL WESTON COUNTY UNTIL 600
PM MDT...

AT 517 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES WEST OF CLARETON...OR 31 MILES EAST OF
WRIGHT...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  CLARETON...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS... FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 4392 10464 4369 10452 4362 10494 4379 10502
TIME...MOT...LOC 2318Z 250DEG 18KT 4374 10487

POJORLIE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
526 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

SDZ026-028-031-190015-
CENTRAL BLACK HILLS SD-PENNINGTON CO PLAINS SD-RAPID CITY SD-
526 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL PENNINGTON COUNTY UNTIL
615 PM MDT...

AT 521 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ROCKERVILLE...OR 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
DOWNTOWN RAPID CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG
WITH HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  DOWNTOWN RAPID CITY...
  RAPID VALLEY...
  BOX ELDER...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 90 BETWEEN SOUTH DAKOTA MILE MARKERS 54 AND
68...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...AND A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THIS AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV
STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 4414 10335 4413 10301 4390 10332 4403 10349
TIME...MOT...LOC 2327Z 227DEG 13KT 4403 10331

CARSTENS

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
536 PM MDT SAT MAY 18 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 PM     HAIL             10 WSW UPTON            44.05N 104.81W
05/18/2013  E1.00 INCH       WESTON             WY   PUBLIC

&&

POJORLIE