Severe Thunderstorm Warning 24, NWS Tulsa, OK

679 
WWUS54 KTSA 100258
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
858 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013

OKC061-077-079-100308-
/O.EXP.KTSA.SV.W.0024.000000T0000Z-130310T0300Z/
HASKELL OK-LE FLORE OK-LATIMER OK-
858 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR LATIMER...WESTERN LE FLORE AND
SOUTHERN HASKELL COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 900 PM CST...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...THEREFORE THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3479 9540 3493 9549 3503 9540 3503 9535
      3508 9535 3530 9515 3518 9492 3489 9472
      3468 9539
TIME...MOT...LOC 0258Z 226DEG 52KT 3517 9509 3509 9502
          3500 9502

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
510 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.

LINE OF STORMS JUST MOVING INTO E OK WILL AFFECT BVO/TUL/RVS/MLC
WITHIN THE FIRST TWO TO FOUR HOURS OF THE TAF PERIOD...WITH
FYV/XNA/FSM AFFECTED AFTER 04Z. MAIN EFFECT WILL BE IFR/MVFR
VSBYS. SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MAINLY THE NW AR TERMINALS
THROUGH THE REST OF THE NIGHT. LOWER CIGS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TAF
SITES FOLLOWING THE COLD FROPA TOMORROW...AND WINDS WILL BECOME
GUSTY FROM THE W AND NW. A LOW CHANCE OF ADDITIONAL PRECIP WILL
EXIST...ALTHOUGH IT IS TOO LOW TO MENTION ATTM.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 259 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013/

DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA BY THE BEGINNING OF THE FIRST PERIOD. THIS ACTIVITY
WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AND SPREAD EASTWARD THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. WITH THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS... COUPLED WITH DECENT MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY... THERE
WILL GE A CHANCE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS. HAVE LIMITED THE
MENTION OF SEVERE IN THE FIRST PERIOD FORECAST TO THE FAR
SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE CONDITIONS WILL BE
MOST CONDUCIVE.

PRECIPITATION WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST BEGINNING EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING AND SHOULD MOVE EAST OF OUR ARKANSAS COUNTIES BY 6Z MONDAY.
SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO CLEAR OUT FROM WEST TO EAST MONDAY MORNING
INTO AFTERNOON AS A PERIOD OF TRANQUIL SPRING-LIKE WEATHER BEGINS.
AFTER A COLD START MONDAY... A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN IN EARNEST.
BY THURSDAY... AFTERNOON MAXIMUMS ARE EXPECTED TO EXCEED 70 DEGREES
ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL LIKELY BE SLIGHTLY
WARMER STILL. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL REMAIN MINIMAL FROM MONDAY
THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

AVIATION...22

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
457 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-101100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
457 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013

...SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL INCREASES THIS EVENING...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...PRIMARILY SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...AFTER 7 PM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 44.
	ONSET...AFTER 6 PM.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 44.
	ONSET...THIS EVENING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...ALL EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING LATE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A BAND OF
STORMS STRETCHING FROM WESTERN OSAGE COUNTY INTO SOUTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA...JUST AHEAD OF A DRYLINE. THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY ENTERING
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA WILL ENCOUNTER LESSER INSTABILITY...AND ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. HOWEVER...STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO THE EVENING
HOURS.

WINDS ALOFT ARE STRONG ALLOWING FOR A BROAD AREA OF HIGH WIND
SHEAR...AND A SURGE OF EVEN STRONGER MID LEVEL WINDS IS EXPECTED TO
ROTATE FROM CENTRAL TEXAS THOUGH EASTERN OKLAHOMA DURING THE EVENING
INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.  AS THIS OCCURS...THERE MAY DEVELOP A
PERIOD OF HIGHER WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL ALONG WITH AN UPTICK IN
TORNADIC POTENTIAL.  SHOULD THIS SCENARIO UNFOLD...THEN A SWATH OF
HIGHER SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL IS LIKELY...GENERALLY SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 40 IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING EARLY SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT SWEEPS
THROUGH WESTERN ARKANSAS.  STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE EASTWARD
WITH THE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL ENDING FOR THE FORECAST AREA BY NOON
SUNDAY.  BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL FOLLOW BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.
DRY AND MILD WEATHER WILL PREVAIL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
817 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013

OKZ049-073-075-100245-
LATIMER OK-PITTSBURG OK-PUSHMATAHA OK-
817 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 845 PM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHEASTERN PITTSBURG...NORTHERN PUSHMATAHA AND WESTERN LATIMER

AT 817 PM CST...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HAILEYVILLE TO 7 MILES NORTHWEST
OF STANLEY TO 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF MOYERS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55
MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
WILBURTON...YANUSH...HIGGINS...DAMON...GOWEN...HARTSHORNE...
HAILEYVILLE...DOW...BACHE...ALDERSON...CLAYTON...MOYERS...KOSOMA...
SNOW...NASHOBA...STANLEY...TUSKAHOMA...KIAMICHI...EUBANKS...DUNBAR...
SARDIS...ROBBERS CAVE STATE PARK AND CLAYTON LAKE STATE PARK.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3451 9574 3451 9568 3459 9568 3459 9574
      3488 9575 3508 9539 3485 9515 3438 9515
      3429 9577
TIME...MOT...LOC 0217Z 231DEG 48KT 3482 9558 3462 9552
          3441 9565