Alert archive / Oklahoma / River Flood Warnings in 2013

River Flood Warning 33, NWS Tulsa, OK

August 4, 2013Ottawa County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this river flood warning at Aug 4, 2013, 2:47 AM CDT for Ottawa County, Oklahoma. It took effect at Aug 4, 2013, 8:25 PM CDT. It was in force for 6 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 4, 2013, 2:47 AM CDT (07:47 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 4, 2013, 8:25 PM CDT
Expired
Aug 10, 2013, 7:40 PM CDT
In force
6 days
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Ottawa County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Neosho River near Commerce (COMO2). The gauge peaked at 18.95 ft at Aug 7, 2013, 3:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate510152008/0408/0508/0608/0708/0808/0908/1008/1108/12
Action stage
14 ft
Minor stage
15 ft
Moderate stage
18 ft
Major stage
24 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07185000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

129 
WGUS44 KTSA 040747
FLWTSA
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
247 AM CDT SUN AUG 4 2013


...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN Tulsa HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING 
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN Oklahoma...

  Neosho River Near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-041547-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0033.130805T2024Z-130806T1600Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.130805T2024Z.130806T0600Z.130806T1000Z.NO/
247 AM CDT SUN AUG 4 2013

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Neosho River Near Commerce.
* from Monday afternoon to Tuesday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  200 AM Sunday the stage was  3.56 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River Near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage Monday afternoon and continue to rise to near 15.4 feet
  by Tuesday before dawn . The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs. Low lying 
  areas in Riverview Park experience minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
29 follow-up statements
613 
WGUS84 KTSA 041417
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
916 AM CDT SUN AUG 4 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River Near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-042216-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.130805T0916Z-130807T1100Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.130805T0916Z.130806T1800Z.130807T0500Z.NO/
916 AM CDT SUN AUG 4 2013

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Neosho River Near Commerce.
* from late tonight to Wednesday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  800 AM Sunday the stage was  4.41 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River Near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage early Monday morning and continue to rise to near 17.0 
  feet by early Tuesday afternoon. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage Wednesday before dawn .
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
090 
WGUS84 KTSA 041914
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
214 PM CDT SUN AUG 4 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River Near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-050314-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.130805T0630Z-130806T2007Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.130805T0630Z.130806T0000Z.130806T1407Z.NO/
214 PM CDT SUN AUG 4 2013

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River Near Commerce.
* from late tonight to Tuesday afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  100 PM Sunday the stage was  9.13 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River Near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage Monday before dawn and continue to rise to near 16.9 
  feet by Monday evening. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage late Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
013 
WGUS44 KTSA 050104
FLWTSA
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
804 PM CDT SUN AUG 4 2013



...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OKLAHOMA...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-050904-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.130805T0125Z-130807T1400Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0125Z.130806T0600Z.130807T0800Z.NO/
804 PM CDT SUN AUG 4 2013

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Wednesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  700 PM Sunday the stage was 14.50 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage this evening and continue to rise to near 19.2 feet by 
  Tuesday before dawn. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
685 
WGUS84 KTSA 050911
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
411 AM CDT MON AUG 5 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAOMA...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-051711-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130807T2207Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130806T0000Z.130807T1607Z.NO/
411 AM CDT MON AUG 5 2013

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Wednesday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  300 AM Monday the stage was 16.85 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 18.9 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage late Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
181 
WGUS84 KTSA 050913 CCA
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
411 AM CDT MON AUG 5 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-051711-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130807T2207Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130806T0000Z.130807T1607Z.NO/
411 AM CDT MON AUG 5 2013

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Wednesday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  300 AM Monday the stage was 16.85 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 18.9 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage late Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
130 
WGUS84 KTSA 051302
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
802 AM CDT MON AUG 5 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-052102-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130807T1930Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130806T0600Z.130807T1330Z.NO/
802 AM CDT MON AUG 5 2013

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Wednesday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  700 AM Monday the stage was 17.40 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 18.8 feet Tuesday before dawn. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
288 
WGUS84 KTSA 051906
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
206 PM CDT MON AUG 5 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-060306-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130807T2226Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130806T1200Z.130807T1626Z.NO/
206 PM CDT MON AUG 5 2013

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Wednesday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  100 PM Monday the stage was 18.06 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River Near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 18.9 feet Tuesday morning. The river is expected to fall below
  flood stage late Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
535 
WGUS84 KTSA 060142
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
842 PM CDT MON AUG 5 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-060942-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130808T1236Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130807T0000Z.130808T0636Z.NO/
842 PM CDT MON AUG 5 2013

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Thursday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  800 PM Monday the stage was 18.31 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.8 feet Tuesday evening. The river is expected to fall below
  flood stage Thursday before dawn .
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
520 
WGUS84 KTSA 060814
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
314 AM CDT TUE AUG 6 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-061614-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130808T1630Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130807T0000Z.130808T1030Z.NO/
314 AM CDT TUE AUG 6 2013

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Thursday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  200 AM Tuesday the stage was 18.50 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 19.8 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs. 
  Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. State Highway 125 
  near the fairgrounds will be closed.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
243 
WGUS84 KTSA 061254
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
754 AM CDT TUE AUG 6 2013

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...

  Neosho River Near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-062054-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130807T2226Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130806T1800Z.130807T1626Z.NO/
754 AM CDT TUE AUG 6 2013

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River Near Commerce.
* until Wednesday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 700 AM Tuesday the stage was 18.66 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River Near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 18.7 feet this afternoon. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage late Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
861 
WGUS84 KTSA 061850
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
150 PM CDT TUE AUG 6 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-070250-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130808T1900Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130807T0000Z.130808T1300Z.NO/
150 PM CDT TUE AUG 6 2013

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Thursday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  100 PM Tuesday the stage was 18.65 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River Near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 18.8 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
234 
WGUS84 KTSA 070134
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
834 PM CDT TUE AUG 6 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-070934-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130808T2230Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130806T2300Z.130808T1630Z.NO/
834 PM CDT TUE AUG 6 2013

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Thursday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  700 PM Tuesday the stage was 18.77 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by late Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
609 
WGUS84 KTSA 070655
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
155 AM CDT WED AUG 7 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-071455-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130809T1418Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130807T0500Z.130809T0818Z.NO/
155 AM CDT WED AUG 7 2013

...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Friday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  100 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.78 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will rise to near 18.9 
  feet this morning. The river will then fall blow flood stage by 
  early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
241 
WGUS84 KTSA 071318
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
818 AM CDT WED AUG 7 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-072118-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130808T2151Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130807T0800Z.130808T1551Z.NO/
818 AM CDT WED AUG 7 2013

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Thursday afternoon, or longer if additional heavy rain
  occurs over the basin overnight.
* At  700 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.82 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is near its crest.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will begin falling 
  today. However, additional heavy rain may occur over the river
  basin late tonight and into tomorrow morning. If this happens, 
  the Neosho River near Commerce will rise again and could remain 
  above flood stage for several more days. If this rain does not occur, 
  the river should fall below flood stage by late Thursday morning.
  Continue to monitor later forecasts for the latest information.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
260 
WGUS84 KTSA 071900
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
200 PM CDT WED AUG 7 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-080300-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130809T0207Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130807T0800Z.130808T2007Z.NO/
200 PM CDT WED AUG 7 2013

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Thursday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  100 PM Wednesday the stage was 18.79 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling today. 
  However, additional heavy rain may occur over the river basin late 
  tonight and into tomorrow morning. If this happens, the Neosho River 
  near Commerce will rise again and could remain above flood stage for 
  several more days. If this rain does not occur, the river should fall 
  below flood stage by Thursday afternoon. Continue to monitor later 
  forecasts for the latest information.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
886 
WGUS84 KTSA 080115
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
815 PM CDT WED AUG 7 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...

  Neosho River Near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-080915-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130809T0400Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130807T0800Z.130808T2200Z.NO/
815 PM CDT WED AUG 7 2013

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Neosho River Near Commerce.
* until Thursday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  700 PM Wednesday the stage was 18.37 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling
  tonight. However, additional heavy rain may occur over the river
  basin late tonight and into tomorrow morning. If this happens, the
  Neosho River near Commerce will rise again and could remain above
  flood stage for several more days. If this rain does not occur, the
  river should fall below flood stage by Thursday afternoon. Continue
  to monitor later forecasts for the latest information.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
204 
WGUS84 KTSA 080716
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
216 AM CDT THU AUG 8 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-081516-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130809T0349Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130807T0800Z.130808T2149Z.NO/
216 AM CDT THU AUG 8 2013

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until this evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  100 AM Thursday the stage was 17.71 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River Near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
588 
WGUS84 KTSA 081326
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
826 AM CDT THU AUG 8 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-082126-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130810T0051Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130807T0800Z.130809T1851Z.NO/
826 AM CDT THU AUG 8 2013

...Flood Warning extended until Friday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Friday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  700 AM Thursday the stage was 16.98 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling and
  then remain nearly steady this afternoon and evening. The river is 
  then expected to start falling again by early Friday morning and 
  fall below flood stage by early Friday afternoon. However, additional 
  rainfall is again possible tonight, which may cause the river to rise 
  again or remain above flood stage for a longer time. Continue to 
  monitor later forecasts.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
452 
WGUS84 KTSA 081856
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
156 PM CDT THU AUG 8 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-090256-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130810T0600Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130807T0800Z.130810T0000Z.NO/
156 PM CDT THU AUG 8 2013

...Flood Warning extended until late Friday night...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until late Friday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Thursday the stage was 17.41 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will rise again to 
  near 17.7 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Friday evening. However, additional rainfall is again 
  possible tonight, which may cause the river to rise again or 
  remain above flood stage for a longer time. Continue to monitor 
  later forecasts.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access. At 17.0 feet, 
  minor agricultural flooding occurs and Riverview Park experiences 
  minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
897 
WGUS84 KTSA 090101
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
801 PM CDT THU AUG 8 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River Near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-090901-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130810T1800Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130807T0800Z.130810T1200Z.NO/
801 PM CDT THU AUG 8 2013

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Neosho River Near Commerce.
* until Saturday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  700 PM Thursday the stage was 17.65 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River Near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
090 
WGUS84 KTSA 090757
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
257 AM CDT FRI AUG 9 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...

  Neosho River Near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-091557-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130810T1920Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130807T0800Z.130810T1320Z.NO/
257 AM CDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River Near Commerce.
* until Saturday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  200 AM Friday the stage was 17.51 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River Near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
533 
WGUS84 KTSA 091310
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
810 AM CDT FRI AUG 9 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-092110-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130810T2320Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130807T0800Z.130810T1720Z.NO/
810 AM CDT FRI AUG 9 2013

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Saturday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 AM Friday the stage was 17.18 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River Near Commerce will rise again to 
  near 17.7 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
489 
WGUS84 KTSA 091928
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
228 PM CDT FRI AUG 9 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-100328-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130810T1842Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130807T0800Z.130810T1242Z.NO/
228 PM CDT FRI AUG 9 2013

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Saturday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Friday, the stage was 16.82 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
121 
WGUS84 KTSA 100135
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
835 PM CDT FRI AUG 9 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River Near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-100935-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130810T1600Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130807T0800Z.130810T1000Z.NO/
835 PM CDT FRI AUG 9 2013

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River Near Commerce.
* until Saturday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  700 PM Friday, the stage was 16.42 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River Near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
052 
WGUS84 KTSA 100750
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
250 AM CDT SAT AUG 10 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...

  Neosho River Near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-101550-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130810T2230Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130807T0800Z.130810T1630Z.NO/
250 AM CDT SAT AUG 10 2013

...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River Near Commerce.
* until this afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  200 AM Saturday, the stage was 16.22 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River Near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by late this morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
014 
WGUS84 KTSA 101314
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
814 AM CDT SAT AUG 10 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...

  Neosho River Near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-102114-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130810T2320Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130807T0800Z.130810T1720Z.NO/
814 AM CDT SAT AUG 10 2013

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Neosho River Near Commerce.
* until this evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  700 AM Saturday, the stage was 15.80 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring, but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River Near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by this afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
369 
WGUS84 KTSA 101902
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
202 PM CDT SAT AUG 10 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River Near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-110040-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130811T0040Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130807T0800Z.130810T1840Z.NO/
202 PM CDT SAT AUG 10 2013

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Neosho River Near Commerce.
* until this evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  100 PM Saturday, the stage was 15.05 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The Neosho River Near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by this evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs. Low lying 
  areas in Riverview Park experience minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
067 
WGUS84 KTSA 101904 CCA
FLSTSA

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
204 PM CDT SAT AUG 10 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...

  NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY. 
  
OKC115-110040-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130811T0040Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130807T0800Z.130810T1840Z.NO/
204 PM CDT SAT AUG 10 2013

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING, OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  100 PM SATURDAY, THE STAGE WAS 15.05 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE NEOSHO RIVER NEAR COMMERCE WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET, MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS. LOW LYING 
  AREAS IN RIVERVIEW PARK EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$
334 
WGUS84 KTSA 110051
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
751 PM CDT SAT AUG 10 2013


...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
OKLAHOMA...

  Neosho River  Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-110121-
/O.EXP.KTSA.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-130811T0040Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.130805T0110Z.130807T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
751 PM CDT SAT AUG 10 2013

The Flood Warning has expired for
  The Neosho River Near Commerce.
* At  700 PM Saturday, the stage was 14.35 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs. Low lying 
  areas in Riverview Park experience minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Aug 3, 11:32 PM CDT, 3 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 3, 11:32 PM CDT, 3 hours 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1132 PM CDT SAT AUG 3 2013

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
CONVECTION CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY EXPAND INTO NE OK...AND THIS
TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
EVENTUALLY WIDESPREAD CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ACROSS NE OK / FAR NW
AR WITH ASSOCIATED AVIATION IMPACTS. FLIGHT CONDITION ARE LIKELY
TO IMPROVE AREA WIDE BY MID AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 848 PM CDT SAT AUG 3 2013/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...

FORECAST IS LARGELY ON TRACK...WITH THE MAIN CHANGES BEING TO
SPEED UP THE INCREASE IN POPS TONIGHT AND EARLY TOMORROW BY ABOUT
3 HOURS IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE LATEST OBSERVATIONAL AND MESOSCALE
MODEL DATA. THE LATEST HRRR HAS A FAIRLY GOOD HANDLE ON THE
ONGOING STORMS ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES...AND INTO
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE
OVERNIGHT AND TRACK TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST ALONG THE
INSTABILITY AXIS NEAR AND JUST SOUTH OF THE OKLAHOMA/KANSAS
BORDER. ALTHOUGH SOME OF THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA /NAMELY THE
ARKANSAS COUNTIES/ MAY NOT SEE HEAVY RAIN UNTIL AFTER 12Z...IT
APPEARS INCREASINGLY LIKELY THAT PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
WATCH AREA WILL SEE RAINS BEFORE THEN. DUE TO THIS...THE WATCH
WILL NOW BEGIN AT 09Z. RAINFALL AMOUNTS STILL LOOK TO BE IN THE 1
TO 2 INCH RANGE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS. RELATIVELY MINOR TWEAKS WERE MADE TO OTHER FORECAST
ELEMENTS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 625 PM CDT SAT AUG 3 2013/

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
ONGOING LIGHT CONVECTION ACROSS NE OK WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH
THE EVENING WITH LITTLE TO NO FLIGHT IMPACTS. A LARGE THUNDERSTORM
COMPLEX IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NE OK LATE TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE
INTO NW AR AROUND SUNRISE WITH CORRESPONDING AVIATION IMPACTS
PERSISTING INTO THE AFTERNOON.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 326 PM CDT SAT AUG 3 2013/

DISCUSSION...
OVERNIGHT/EARLY MORNING MCS PROVED TO BE AN EFFICIENT
RAINMAKER...WITH 3+ INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING
REPORTED ACROSS NW AR. ONLY A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS NOTED ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA AT THIS TIME...BUT EXPECT YET ANOTHER BOUT OF
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW.

SHORT-RANGE GUIDANCE IS SIMILAR KEYING ON A SUBTLE MID-LEVEL
SHORTWAVE ACROSS THE CNTRL ROCKIES ROUNDING THE TOP OF THE RIDGE AND
MOVING INTO KS LATE TONIGHT. EXPECT DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THIS FEATURE LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS
PARTS OF WRN KS...WITH VEERING LOW-LEVEL JET AIDING AN EWD/SEWD
MOVEMENT INTO FAR NE OK/NW AR BY SUNDAY MORNING. WITH PRECIP WATER
VALUES REMAINING AT OR ABOVE 2 INCHES...EXPECT LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
ACROSS SOME AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN
OVER THE PAST 5-10 DAYS. WILL GO WITH A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR SUNDAY
FOR FAR NERN OK AND NW AR. WATCH MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED INTO SUNDAY
NIGHT WITH FORECAST AREA REMAINING UNDER NWLY UPPER FLOW.

UPPER RIDGE EXPANDS SOME BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH LOW-LEVEL FLOW
BECOMING MORE SWLY. THIS WILL BRING IN WARMER AIR AND SHOULD
SHUNT MOST OF THE CONVECTION TO OUR N...ALTHOUGH WILL KEEP SOME LOW
POPS GOING ALONG THE NRN FRINGES OF THE FORECAST AREA. WILL LIKELY
NEED HEAT HEADLINES FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WITH AFTERNOON HEAT
INDICES LIKELY BREACHING 105F ACROSS A LARGE PART OF THE AREA.

A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND LIKELY STALL NEAR THE RED RIVER FOR THE END OF
THE WEEK. ECMWF RATHER BULLISH WITH POST-FRONTAL PRECIP AND COOLER
TEMPS THURSDAY/FRIDAY...AND HAVE GONE WITH A GENERAL GFS/ECWMF BLEND
FOR NOW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   74  92  76  98 /  60  80  30  10
FSM   76  92  73  97 /  20  50  40  30
MLC   75  97  76  99 /  20  20  20  10
BVO   74  87  74  97 /  80  80  40  10
FYV   71  87  73  92 /  40  70  50  40
BYV   69  85  71  91 /  40  80  50  40
MKO   74  91  74  98 /  30  50  30  20
MIO   72  85  73  94 /  70  80  50  30
F10   75  94  75  98 /  30  40  20  10
HHW   75  98  75  99 /  10  20  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 7 PM SUNDAY FOR OKZ056-
     OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ063.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 7 PM SUNDAY FOR ARZ001-
     ARZ002-ARZ010-ARZ011.

&&

AVIATION...07
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 3, 7:02 PM CDT, 7 hours 45 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
702 PM CDT SAT AUG 3 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-041000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
702 PM CDT SAT AUG 3 2013

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...OVERNIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM NOWATA TO JAY TO FAYETTEVILLE.
	ONSET...OVERNIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM NOWATA TO JAY TO FAYETTEVILLE.
	ONSET...OVERNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT AND THIS MORNING
IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN KANSAS THIS EVENING...AND MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TONIGHT
AND EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING
CONCERNS WILL BE HEIGHTENED...AS WELL AS A SMALL THREAT OF DAMAGING
WINDS AND HAIL.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL...
         HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX SHOULD BE ONGOING ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND POSSIBLY NORTHWEST ARKANSAS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WITH A
CONTINUED THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY
NORTHEAST OF A NOWATA TO JAY TO FAYETTEVILLE LINE. SOME THREAT OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL EXIST...PRIMARILY WITH
THUNDERSTORMS THAT REMAIN INTO OR REDEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON.

SMALL CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY AND TUESDAY OVER FAR
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...WITH A BETTER CHANCE
LATER IN THE WEEK.

HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK UNTIL A
COOL FRONT MOVES SOUTHWARD INTO THE REGION...PROVIDING SOME RELIEF
BY THE END OF THE WEEK...ESPECIALLY TO PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 4, 3:54 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSASequoyah36 min
Aug 4, 4:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah29 min
Aug 4, 4:25 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSASequoyah35 min
Aug 4, 4:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSASequoyah39 min
Aug 4, 5:22 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSASequoyah38 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 2013Every river flood warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.