Freeze Warning 10, NWS Tulsa, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
310 PM CDT FRI OCT 18 2013

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT SNAKES ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED
TO PUSH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA THIS EVENING
AS THE MID-LEVEL TROF SWEEPS ACROSS THE REGION. RAIN SHOWERS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LEVEL TROF WILL END FROM WEST TO
EAST THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. HOWEVER...THE
MAIN CONCERN FOR TONIGHT WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR A FREEZE
AND FROST ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT AND EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING. THIS AREA...IS MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR. WENT A FEW DEGREES ABOVE GUIDANCE IN THIS
AREA WITH THE CONCERN THAT THE CLOUDS WILL NOT EXIT AS FAST AS
THE MODELS INDICATE AND THE WINDS WILL REMAIN UP SLIGHTLY.

TEMPERATURES WILL WARM UP OVER THE WEEKEND IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT COLD
FRONT THAT WILL SWEEP THROUGH EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS ON MONDAY. WILL KEEP SMALL POPS ACROSS THE AREA IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE. ANOTHER DRY WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL AT THE SURFACE
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH A NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   36  65  44  73 /  60   0   0   0
FSM   44  64  41  73 /  50   0   0  10
MLC   40  65  41  73 /  40   0   0  10
BVO   31  65  38  74 /  40   0   0   0
FYV   37  60  37  69 /  70   0   0  10
BYV   38  59  42  70 /  80   0   0  10
MKO   38  64  41  72 /  60   0   0   0
MIO   35  63  40  72 /  60   0   0   0
F10   37  65  42  72 /  50   0   0   0
HHW   45  65  40  73 /  30   0   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FREEZE WARNING FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO 10 AM SATURDAY FOR OKZ054-
     OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ059-OKZ064.

     FROST ADVISORY FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO 10 AM SATURDAY FOR OKZ057-
     OKZ060-OKZ061.

AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....10

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1256 PM CDT FRI OCT 18 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1256 PM CDT FRI OCT 18 2013

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

DISCUSSION...
AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. AS SKIES CLEAR LATER TONIGHT ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO AROUND THE FREEZING MARK IN
SOME LOCATIONS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
MILD AND DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH
THE NEXT COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED RAIN CHANCES COMING ON MONDAY.
COOL AND DRY WEATHER WILL THEN SETTLE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.