Alert archive / Kansas / Winter Storm Warnings in 2013
Winter Storm Warning 5, NWS Topeka, KS
NWS Topeka, KS issued this winter storm warning at Dec 20, 2013, 12:57 PM CST for 17 counties in Kansas. It took effect at Dec 21, 2013, 12:00 AM CST. It was in force for 28 hr. 40 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 20, 2013, 12:57 PM CST (18:57 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 21, 2013, 12:00 AM CST
- Expired
- Dec 22, 2013, 3:34 AM CST
- In force
- 28 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Topeka, KS
Counties Anderson County, KS, Brown County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Osage County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Riley County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS
The radar
The Topeka radar (KTWX), 21 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 10:30 AM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0 | Ottawa, KS | FREEZING RAIN BEGAN AT AROUND 1030 AM AND RAPIDLY ACCUMULATED ENOUGH TO CAUSE NUMEROUS ACCIDENTS ALONG INTERSTATE 35 THROUGH FRANKLIN COUNTY. |
| Dec 21, 11:33 AM CST | SLEET 0 | 3 N Topeka, KS | REPORTS OF SLEET MIXED WITH LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IN NORTHERN SHAWNEE COUNTY. |
| Dec 21, 11:40 AM CST | SLEET 0 | Valley Falls, KS | LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS A MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET FALLING IN NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY WITH ROADS BECOMING SLICK...PARTICULARLY IN THE VALLEY FALLS AREA. |
| Dec 21, 11:45 AM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.1 | Burlington, KS | EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS VERY SLICK CONDITIONS WITH AN ESTIMATED 0.1 INCH ACCUMULATION SO FAR. FREEZING RAIN CONTINUES TO FALL. |
| Dec 21, 12:24 PM CST | SLEET 0 | 5 E Manhattan, KS | SLEET BEGINNING TO FALL IN SOUTHWESTER POTTAWATOMIE COUNTY. |
| Dec 21, 12:27 PM CST | SLEET 0 | Americus, KS | SLEET BEGINNING IN AMERICUS. |
| Dec 21, 1:15 PM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.1 | Clinton, KS | HENRY COUNTY 911 DISPATCH. |
| Dec 21, 1:55 PM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0 | Abilene, KS | FREEZING RAIN JUST STARTED AT ABILENE. |
| Dec 21, 1:55 PM CST | SLEET 0 | Herington, KS | SLEET IS THE PRIMARY PRECIPITATION TYPE AT HERINGTON. |
| Dec 21, 2:21 PM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0 | Topeka, KS | FREEZING RAIN MIXED WITH SLEET IN TOPEKA. ROADS BECOMING SLICK IN AND AROUND TOPEKA. |
| Dec 21, 4:00 PM CST | FREEZING RAIN 0.1 | Quenemo, KS | |
| Dec 21, 7:04 PM CST | SNOW 2.5 | Manhattan, KS | MEASURED OVER THE PAST 4 HRS ON THE KSU CAMPUS. STILL GETTING SOME SLEET MIXED IN WITH THE SNOW. |
| Dec 21, 7:20 PM CST | SLEET 0.25 | 5 N Emporia, KS | PRECIP HAS JUST CHANGED OVER TO HUGE SNOW FLAKES. |
| Dec 21, 7:50 PM CST | SNOW 3 | Riley, KS | |
| Dec 21, 8:00 PM CST | SNOW 1 | 10 Wnw Osage City, KS | HAS ABOUT 0.1 OF SLEET ACCUMULATION PRIOR TO THE START OF SNOWFALL. |
| Dec 21, 8:00 PM CST | SNOW 1.8 | Americus, KS | |
| Dec 21, 8:00 PM CST | SNOW 4 | Ogden, KS | |
| Dec 21, 8:05 PM CST | SLEET 0.2 | 6 Sw Topeka, KS | HEAVY SNOW BEGAN ABOUT 5 MINUTES AGO. |
| Dec 21, 8:05 PM CST | SNOW 2.3 | 4 Nnw Manhattan, KS | |
| Dec 21, 8:25 PM CST | SNOW 3 | Americus, KS | PICKED UP 1.2 INCHES IN THE LAST 25 MINUTES |
| Dec 21, 8:59 PM CST | SNOW 4.2 | Nnw Leonardville, KS | |
| Dec 21, 9:10 PM CST | SNOW 4.5 | 4 Nw Fort Riley Airfiel, KS | |
| Dec 21, 9:13 PM CST | SNOW 1.2 | Holton, KS | ALSO HAD A TENTH OF AN INCH OF SLEET. |
| Dec 21, 9:15 PM CST | SNOW 9 | Abilene, KS | |
| Dec 21, 10:00 PM CST | SNOW 2 | Holton, KS | 8 TENTHS OF AN INCH IN THE PAST HOUR. |
| Dec 21, 10:30 PM CST | SNOW 6 | Leonardville, KS | |
| Dec 21, 10:45 PM CST | SNOW 2 | 3 Sw Topeka, KS | |
| Dec 21, 10:50 PM CST | SNOW 3 | 2 Se Hoyt, KS | |
| Dec 21, 10:52 PM CST | SNOW 2.5 | 1 S Topeka, KS | |
| Dec 21, 10:54 PM CST | SNOW 3.5 | 2 N Lawrence, KS | MEASURED AT PETERSON AND KASOLD. |
| Dec 21, 11:05 PM CST | SNOW 5.5 | Manhattan, KS | |
| Dec 21, 11:19 PM CST | SNOW 4 | Wamego, KS | RELAYED VIA KANSAS FIRST NEWS |
| Dec 21, 11:35 PM CST | SNOW 2.3 | 4 Ne Forbes Field, KS | |
| Dec 21, 11:41 PM CST | SNOW 8 | Junction City, KS | |
| Dec 21, 11:45 PM CST | SNOW 2.5 | 6 W Topeka, KS | |
| Dec 21, 11:47 PM CST | SNOW 4.7 | 2 Nw Lawrence, KS | |
| Dec 22, 12:00 AM CST | SNOW 2.2 | Billard Airport, KS | |
| Dec 22, 12:30 AM CST | SNOW 5.4 | 2 Nw Lawrence, KS | |
| Dec 22, 12:45 AM CST | SNOW 5.2 | Robinson, KS | |
| Dec 22, 1:05 AM CST | HEAVY SNOW 9 | 4 Sw Manhattan, KS |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 30 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 6 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 426 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 64 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 96 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 272 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS43 KTOP 201857 WSWTOP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 1257 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2013 KSZ054>056-058-059-210800- /O.UPG.KTOP.WS.A.0004.131221T0600Z-131222T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KTOP.WS.W.0005.131221T0600Z-131222T1200Z/ LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EMPORIA...OTTAWA 1257 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2013 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN, SLEET, AND SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE SOUTH OF THE KANSAS TURNPIKE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND IS LIKELY FOR MUCH OF SATURDAY. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD SWITCH TO SNOW SATURDAY EVENING WITH ACCUMULATING SNOW ENDING AROUND SUNRISE SUNDAY MORNING. * TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A BAND OF 4 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW...ALONG WITH LOCALLY UP TO A HALF INCH OF SLEET IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. MINOR ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR WITH UP TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 35. * WINDS...WINDS SATURDAY NIGHT WILL GUST UP TO 20 MPH. * IMPACTS...WEEKEND TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATION IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE LOCALIZED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ KSZ011-012-022>024-026-035>040-210800- /O.UPG.KTOP.WS.A.0004.131221T1200Z-131222T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KTOP.WS.W.0005.131221T1200Z-131222T1200Z/ NEMAHA-BROWN-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-DICKINSON-GEARY- MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...MANHATTAN...ABILENE... JUNCTION CITY...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE 1257 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2013 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SLEET POSSIBLY MIXED WITH FREEZING RAIN, AND SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING...A MIX OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND SNOW IS LIKELY SATURDAY...WITH SNOW BECOMING PERSISTENT SATURDAY EVENING. ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD END AROUND SUNRISE SUNDAY MORNING. * TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A BAND OF 4 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW...ALONG WITH LOCALLY UP TO A HALF INCH OF SLEET IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. MINOR ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR WITH UP TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 35. * WINDS...WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTH ON SATURDAY NIGHT... WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. * IMPACTS...WEEKEND TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM SYSTEM IS IMPACTING THE AREA WITH SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND SLEET. TRAVEL IS LIKELY TO BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$
6 follow-up statements
210 WWUS43 KTOP 210244 AAA WSWTOP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 844 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2013 KSZ054>056-058-059-211100- /O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0005.131221T0600Z-131222T1200Z/ LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EMPORIA...OTTAWA 844 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2013 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY. * TIMING...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 35 MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT, THEN LIKELY FOR MUCH OF THE DAY SATURDAY. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD SWITCH TO SNOW SATURDAY EVENING WITH ACCUMULATING SNOW ENDING AROUND SUNRISE SUNDAY MORNING. * TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A BAND OF 4 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW...ALONG WITH LOCALLY UP TO A HALF INCH OF SLEET IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 35. * WINDS...WINDS SATURDAY NIGHT WILL GUST UP TO 20 MPH. * IMPACTS...WEEKEND TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE. FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATIONS IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE LOCALIZED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ KSZ011-012-022>024-026-035>040-211100- /O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0005.131221T1200Z-131222T1200Z/ NEMAHA-BROWN-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-DICKINSON-GEARY- MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...MANHATTAN...ABILENE... JUNCTION CITY...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE 844 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2013 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY. * TIMING...A MIX OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND SNOW IS LIKELY SATURDAY...WITH SNOW BECOMING PERSISTENT AND POSSIBLY HEAVY SATURDAY EVENING. ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD END AROUND SUNRISE SUNDAY MORNING. * TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A BAND OF 4 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW...ALONG WITH LOCALLY UP TO A HALF INCH OF SLEET IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. MINOR ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR WITH UP TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE TO THE SOUTH NEAR THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR. * WINDS...WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTH ON SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. * IMPACTS...WEEKEND TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM SYSTEM IS IMPACTING THE AREA WITH SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND SLEET. TRAVEL IS LIKELY TO BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$
296 WWUS43 KTOP 210256 AAB WSWTOP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 856 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2013 KSZ054>056-058-059-211200- /O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0005.131221T0600Z-131222T1200Z/ LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EMPORIA...OTTAWA 856 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2013 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY. * TIMING...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 35 MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT... THEN LIKELY FOR MUCH OF THE DAY SATURDAY. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD SWITCH TO SNOW SATURDAY EVENING WITH ACCUMULATING SNOW ENDING AROUND SUNRISE SUNDAY MORNING. * TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A BAND OF 4 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW...ALONG WITH LOCALLY UP TO A HALF INCH OF SLEET IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 35. * WINDS...WINDS SATURDAY NIGHT WILL GUST UP TO 20 MPH. * IMPACTS...WEEKEND TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE. FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATIONS IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE LOCALIZED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ KSZ011-012-022>024-026-035>040-211200- /O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0005.131221T1200Z-131222T1200Z/ NEMAHA-BROWN-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-DICKINSON-GEARY- MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...MANHATTAN...ABILENE... JUNCTION CITY...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE 856 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2013 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY. * TIMING...A MIX OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND SNOW IS LIKELY SATURDAY...WITH SNOW BECOMING PERSISTENT AND POSSIBLY HEAVY SATURDAY EVENING. ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD END AROUND SUNRISE SUNDAY MORNING. * TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A BAND OF 4 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW...ALONG WITH LOCALLY UP TO A HALF INCH OF SLEET IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. MINOR ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR WITH UP TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE TO THE SOUTH NEAR THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR. * WINDS...WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTH ON SATURDAY NIGHT... WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. * IMPACTS...WEEKEND TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED WHICH WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$
849 WWUS43 KTOP 211005 WSWTOP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 405 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2013 KSZ024-026-037>040-212315- /O.EXT.KTOP.WS.W.0005.131221T1500Z-131222T1200Z/ JACKSON-JEFFERSON-MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE 405 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2013 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY... THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL STEADILY INCREASE TODAY...WITH A MIX OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND SNOW LIKELY BY EARLY AFTERNOON. IN THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS...THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION COMPLETELY TO SNOW...WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. * TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES SHOULD BE COMMON...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH COULD OCCUR. * WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH TODAY WILL BECOME NORTHWEST TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL ON UNTREATED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED TO BE DIFFICULT TO IMPOSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED WHICH WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ KSZ011-012-022-023-035-036-212315- /O.EXT.KTOP.WS.W.0005.131221T1900Z-131222T1200Z/ NEMAHA-BROWN-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-DICKINSON-GEARY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...MANHATTAN...ABILENE... JUNCTION CITY 405 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2013 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY... THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL STEADILY INCREASE TODAY...WITH A MIX OF SLEET AND SNOW LIKELY BY MID AFTERNOON. IN THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS...THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION COMPLETELY TO SNOW...WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. * TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES SHOULD BE COMMON...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. ONLY MINOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE ANTICIPATED. * WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH TODAY WILL BECOME NORTHWEST TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL ON UNTREATED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED TO BE DIFFICULT TO IMPOSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED WHICH WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ KSZ054>056-058-059-212315- /O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-131222T1200Z/ LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EMPORIA...OTTAWA 405 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2013 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY. * TIMING...PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL OCCUR THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...THE PRECIPITATION WILL SWITCH COMPLETELY TO SNOW...WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE. ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD END BY SUNRISE. * TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES SHOULD BE COMMON...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 35. * WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH TODAY WILL BECOME NORTHWEST TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL ON UNTREATED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED TO BE DIFFICULT TO IMPOSSIBLE. POWER OUTAGES DUE TO DOWNED ELECTRICAL LINES COULD ALSO OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ KSZ009-010-021-034-212315- /O.NEW.KTOP.WW.Y.0015.131221T2200Z-131222T1200Z/ WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-CLAY-OTTAWA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...CLAY CENTER 405 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2013 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH SNOW PERHAPS MIXED WITH SOME SLEET LIKELY BY SUNSET. THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION COMPLETELY TO SNOW IN THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD END BEFORE DAWN. * TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES SHOULD BE COMMON...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. * WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH TODAY WILL BECOME NORTHWEST TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE DIFFICULT ON UNTREATED ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
411 WWUS43 KTOP 212147 WSWTOP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 347 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013 KSZ011-012-022>024-026-035>040-054>056-058-059-221100- /O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-131222T1200Z/ NEMAHA-BROWN-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-DICKINSON-GEARY- MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY- ANDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...MANHATTAN...ABILENE... JUNCTION CITY...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE...EMPORIA...OTTAWA 347 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION WILL STEADILY INCREASE TONIGHT... WITH A MIX OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND SNOW LIKELY IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. IN THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION COMPLETELY TO SNOW...WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. * TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES SHOULD BE COMMON...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH COULD OCCUR. * WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH TODAY WILL BECOME NORTHWEST TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL ON UNTREATED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED TO BE DIFFICULT TO IMPOSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED WHICH WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ KSZ020-221100- /O.EXA.KTOP.WW.Y.0015.131221T2200Z-131222T1200Z/ CLOUD- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CONCORDIA 347 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH SNOW PERHAPS MIXED WITH SOME SLEET LIKELY BY SUNSET. THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION COMPLETELY TO SNOW IN THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD END BEFORE DAWN. * TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES SHOULD BE COMMON...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. * WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH TODAY WILL BECOME NORTHWEST TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE DIFFICULT ON UNTREATED ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ KSZ009-010-021-034-221100- /O.CON.KTOP.WW.Y.0015.131221T2200Z-131222T1200Z/ WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-CLAY-OTTAWA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...CLAY CENTER 347 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH SNOW PERHAPS MIXED WITH SOME SLEET LIKELY BY SUNSET. THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION COMPLETELY TO SNOW IN THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD END BEFORE DAWN. * TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES SHOULD BE COMMON...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. * WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH TODAY WILL BECOME NORTHWEST TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE DIFFICULT ON UNTREATED ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
530 WWUS43 KTOP 220319 AAA WSWTOP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 919 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013 KSZ011-012-022>024-026-035>040-054>056-058-059-221200- /O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-131222T1200Z/ NEMAHA-BROWN-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-DICKINSON-GEARY- MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY- ANDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...MANHATTAN...ABILENE... JUNCTION CITY...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE...EMPORIA...OTTAWA 919 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY. * TIMING...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISHING THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. * TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD RANGE FROM AROUND 2 INCHES IN GARNETT TO 6 TO LOCALLY 8 INCHES FROM ABILENE AND MANHATTAN NORTHEAST INTO THE HIAWATHA AREA. AMOUNTS IN THE 3 TO 6 INCHES RANGE CAN GENERALLY BE EXPECTED NEAR THE KANSAS TURNPIKE CORRIDOR. * WINDS...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL ON UNTREATED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED TO BE DIFFICULT TO IMPOSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED WHICH WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ KSZ009-010-020-021-034-221200- /O.CON.KTOP.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-131222T1200Z/ WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-CLOUD-CLAY-OTTAWA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...CONCORDIA...CLAY CENTER 919 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY. * TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT BEFORE TAPERING GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF. ANY ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL END WELL BEFORE SUNRISE. * TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD RANGE FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES IN THE CONCORDIA AREA TO 5 TO 6 INCHES FROM EASTERN OTTAWA AND CLAY COUNTIES INTO MARSHALL COUNTY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH TODAY WILL BECOME NORTHWEST TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE DIFFICULT ON UNTREATED ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
313 WWUS43 KTOP 220934 WSWTOP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 334 AM CST SUN DEC 22 2013 KSZ011-012-022>024-026-035>040-054>056-058-059-221045- /O.CAN.KTOP.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-131222T1200Z/ NEMAHA-BROWN-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-DICKINSON-GEARY- MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY- ANDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...MANHATTAN...ABILENE... JUNCTION CITY...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE...EMPORIA...OTTAWA 334 AM CST SUN DEC 22 2013 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. SNOW WAS DIMINISHING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA AT 330 AM AND WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH TO FLURRIES BY 6 AM. THEREFORE WITH ONLY SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED GENERALLY A QUARTER OF AN INCH OR LESS THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ KSZ009-010-020-021-034-221045- /O.CAN.KTOP.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-131222T1200Z/ WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-CLOUD-CLAY-OTTAWA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...CONCORDIA...CLAY CENTER 334 AM CST SUN DEC 22 2013 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. LIGHT SNOW HAS ENDED THUS THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Topeka, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Dec 20, 11:46 AM CST, 1 hour 11 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 20, 11:46 AM CST, 1 hour 11 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 1146 AM CST Fri Dec 20 2013 ...Update to aviation forecast discussion... .SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight) Issued at 428 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2013 Radar loop this morning showing freezing drizzle continuing and since 08Z has expanded and intensified from Morris county through Oskaloosa. Further west temperature profiles have cooled enough for some very light snow or flurries which was occurring across southern Nebraska and north central Kansas. The upper level wave continues to shear out as it moves northeast across Kansas this morning. This feature along with some isentropic upglide will help maintain the chances for freezing precipitation for a couple of hours after sunrise. Although only light amounts are expected any untreated or elevated surfaces will glaze over. Therefore will extend the Freezing Rain advisory for east central Kansas through 9 AM. After mid morning subsidence and isentropic downglide along with dry air advection in the lower levels to bring an end to the wintry precipitation across the CWA. From noon through midnight tonight dry and cold conditions will continue. Winds will decrease through the day as high pressure builds into north central and northeast Kansas, but gusty north winds will keep wind chills in the single digits and low teens this morning. High temperatures today from the mid 20s to around 30 are expected. Colder tonight with lows from the teens to the mid 20s. .LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday) Issued at 428 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2013 There remains much to be desired in the winter storm moving through late tonight into early Sunday. With the backside of the upper low remaining off the coast at this time, and what appear to be a few smaller scale waves further west of its center, the details aloft remain different and play significant roles in sensible weather. At least one other major player is how dry the lower levels will be. The NAM is on the far end of the spectrum in both regards, with the wave in mainly one piece, keeping the TROWAL much weaker to non-existent and the low levels quite dry, with precip relegated to far southeastern locations. The NAM has been quite consistent with this solution in its 18Z, 0Z, and 6Z runs. The 0Z GFS is the most amplified with a secondary wave lagging to the west, with a well developed TROWAL and much more moist lower levels, with the 0Z ECMWF closer to the GFS than the NAM. Have cautiously sided with the latter models, keeping the forecast very similar to earlier thoughts. The main alterations were to delay the greater chances of mixed precipitation late tonight into Saturday morning with isentropic lift and saturation holding off a bit longer. Still, went a bit conservative with watch timing alterations as models often do not respect WAA precip as well as they should. Amounts from previous forecasts still seem in line, with TROWAL precip likely to be quite heavy but also short-lived, as the system quickly exits late Saturday night. Precip types remain difficult with dry air to overcome and a few degrees of model spread in warm nose temperatures, in even the better agreed runs. Immediately following few periods still rather cold with arctic high in place. Small chances for light precip will be maintained around Christmas day with a northwest flow trough passing through. Temps modify a bit but flow regime should keep temps from breaching normal. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFs through 18Z Saturday Afternoon) Issued at 1142 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2013 Light snow from low topped cloud deck persisting at MHK, but given nearby observation sites, expect that to end by 20Z. Otherwise, expect IFR to go to MVFR and then VFR over the course of the afternoon. MVFR cigs could come back in later tonight with a chance of freezing rain developing during the morning hours at the TAF sites. && .TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WINTER STORM WATCH from late tonight through late Saturday night FOR KSZ054>056-058-059. WINTER STORM WATCH from Saturday morning through late Saturday night FOR KSZ011-012-022>024-026-035>040. && SHORT TERM...53 LONG TERM...65 AVIATION...GDP
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 20, 9:09 AM CST, 3 hours 48 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 909 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2013 KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-211515- REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY- POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS- WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON- 909 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70...WITH THE BEST CHANCES NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 35. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE CHANCES FOR WINTRY PRECIPITATION SPREAD TO THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH THE MORNING SATURDAY AS A STRONG WINTER STORM APPROACHES. FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL BE LIKELY IN MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL KANSAS SATURDAY MORNING AND INTO PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO SNOW BY LATE SATURDAY EVENING WITH WIDESPREAD SNOW...PERHAPS HEAVY AT TIMES WITH RATES IN EXCESS OF 1 INCH PER HOUR...CONTINUING THROUGH MUCH OF SATURDAY NIGHT. ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD END BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. FREEZING RAIN OF UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH IS POSSIBLE IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS ALONG WITH SLEET ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A HALF INCH.. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Kansas, 2013Every winter storm warning in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.