Alert archive / Kansas / Winter Storm Warnings in 2013

Winter Storm Warning 5, NWS Topeka, KS

December 20, 201317 counties in Kansas

NWS Topeka, KS issued this winter storm warning at Dec 20, 2013, 12:57 PM CST for 17 counties in Kansas. It took effect at Dec 21, 2013, 12:00 AM CST. It was in force for 28 hr. 40 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Dec 20, 2013, 12:57 PM CST (18:57 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 21, 2013, 12:00 AM CST
Expired
Dec 22, 2013, 3:34 AM CST
In force
28 hr
Issued by
NWS Topeka, KS

Counties Anderson County, KS, Brown County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Osage County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Riley County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 21 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Dec 21, 10:30 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0Ottawa, KSFREEZING RAIN BEGAN AT AROUND 1030 AM AND RAPIDLY ACCUMULATED ENOUGH TO CAUSE NUMEROUS ACCIDENTS ALONG INTERSTATE 35 THROUGH FRANKLIN COUNTY.
Dec 21, 11:33 AM CSTSLEET 03 N Topeka, KSREPORTS OF SLEET MIXED WITH LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IN NORTHERN SHAWNEE COUNTY.
Dec 21, 11:40 AM CSTSLEET 0Valley Falls, KSLAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS A MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET FALLING IN NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY WITH ROADS BECOMING SLICK...PARTICULARLY IN THE VALLEY FALLS AREA.
Dec 21, 11:45 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.1Burlington, KSEMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS VERY SLICK CONDITIONS WITH AN ESTIMATED 0.1 INCH ACCUMULATION SO FAR. FREEZING RAIN CONTINUES TO FALL.
Dec 21, 12:24 PM CSTSLEET 05 E Manhattan, KSSLEET BEGINNING TO FALL IN SOUTHWESTER POTTAWATOMIE COUNTY.
Dec 21, 12:27 PM CSTSLEET 0Americus, KSSLEET BEGINNING IN AMERICUS.
Dec 21, 1:15 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.1Clinton, KSHENRY COUNTY 911 DISPATCH.
Dec 21, 1:55 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0Abilene, KSFREEZING RAIN JUST STARTED AT ABILENE.
Dec 21, 1:55 PM CSTSLEET 0Herington, KSSLEET IS THE PRIMARY PRECIPITATION TYPE AT HERINGTON.
Dec 21, 2:21 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0Topeka, KSFREEZING RAIN MIXED WITH SLEET IN TOPEKA. ROADS BECOMING SLICK IN AND AROUND TOPEKA.
Dec 21, 4:00 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.1Quenemo, KS
Dec 21, 7:04 PM CSTSNOW 2.5Manhattan, KSMEASURED OVER THE PAST 4 HRS ON THE KSU CAMPUS. STILL GETTING SOME SLEET MIXED IN WITH THE SNOW.
Dec 21, 7:20 PM CSTSLEET 0.255 N Emporia, KSPRECIP HAS JUST CHANGED OVER TO HUGE SNOW FLAKES.
Dec 21, 7:50 PM CSTSNOW 3Riley, KS
Dec 21, 8:00 PM CSTSNOW 110 Wnw Osage City, KSHAS ABOUT 0.1 OF SLEET ACCUMULATION PRIOR TO THE START OF SNOWFALL.
Dec 21, 8:00 PM CSTSNOW 1.8Americus, KS
Dec 21, 8:00 PM CSTSNOW 4Ogden, KS
Dec 21, 8:05 PM CSTSLEET 0.26 Sw Topeka, KSHEAVY SNOW BEGAN ABOUT 5 MINUTES AGO.
Dec 21, 8:05 PM CSTSNOW 2.34 Nnw Manhattan, KS
Dec 21, 8:25 PM CSTSNOW 3Americus, KSPICKED UP 1.2 INCHES IN THE LAST 25 MINUTES
Dec 21, 8:59 PM CSTSNOW 4.2Nnw Leonardville, KS
Dec 21, 9:10 PM CSTSNOW 4.54 Nw Fort Riley Airfiel, KS
Dec 21, 9:13 PM CSTSNOW 1.2Holton, KSALSO HAD A TENTH OF AN INCH OF SLEET.
Dec 21, 9:15 PM CSTSNOW 9Abilene, KS
Dec 21, 10:00 PM CSTSNOW 2Holton, KS8 TENTHS OF AN INCH IN THE PAST HOUR.
Dec 21, 10:30 PM CSTSNOW 6Leonardville, KS
Dec 21, 10:45 PM CSTSNOW 23 Sw Topeka, KS
Dec 21, 10:50 PM CSTSNOW 32 Se Hoyt, KS
Dec 21, 10:52 PM CSTSNOW 2.51 S Topeka, KS
Dec 21, 10:54 PM CSTSNOW 3.52 N Lawrence, KSMEASURED AT PETERSON AND KASOLD.
Dec 21, 11:05 PM CSTSNOW 5.5Manhattan, KS
Dec 21, 11:19 PM CSTSNOW 4Wamego, KSRELAYED VIA KANSAS FIRST NEWS
Dec 21, 11:35 PM CSTSNOW 2.34 Ne Forbes Field, KS
Dec 21, 11:41 PM CSTSNOW 8Junction City, KS
Dec 21, 11:45 PM CSTSNOW 2.56 W Topeka, KS
Dec 21, 11:47 PM CSTSNOW 4.72 Nw Lawrence, KS
Dec 22, 12:00 AM CSTSNOW 2.2Billard Airport, KS
Dec 22, 12:30 AM CSTSNOW 5.42 Nw Lawrence, KS
Dec 22, 12:45 AM CSTSNOW 5.2Robinson, KS
Dec 22, 1:05 AM CSTHEAVY SNOW 94 Sw Manhattan, KS

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 30 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2013-12-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 6 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2013-12-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 96 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
6 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
426 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
96 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
272 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS43 KTOP 201857
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1257 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2013

KSZ054>056-058-059-210800-
/O.UPG.KTOP.WS.A.0004.131221T0600Z-131222T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KTOP.WS.W.0005.131221T0600Z-131222T1200Z/
LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EMPORIA...OTTAWA
1257 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM
CST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN, SLEET, AND SNOW...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE SOUTH OF THE 
  KANSAS TURNPIKE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND IS LIKELY FOR MUCH 
  OF SATURDAY. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD SWITCH TO SNOW SATURDAY 
  EVENING WITH ACCUMULATING SNOW ENDING AROUND SUNRISE SUNDAY 
  MORNING. 

* TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A BAND OF 4 TO 7 INCHES OF
  SNOW...ALONG WITH LOCALLY UP TO A HALF INCH OF SLEET IS POSSIBLE
  SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. MINOR ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE
  ALONG THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR WITH UP TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH
  OF ICE NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 35.

* WINDS...WINDS SATURDAY NIGHT WILL GUST UP TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACTS...WEEKEND TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE
  ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATION IN EAST
  CENTRAL KANSAS MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE LOCALIZED POWER
  OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW...SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT
AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY
TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KSZ011-012-022>024-026-035>040-210800-
/O.UPG.KTOP.WS.A.0004.131221T1200Z-131222T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KTOP.WS.W.0005.131221T1200Z-131222T1200Z/
NEMAHA-BROWN-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-DICKINSON-GEARY-
MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...MANHATTAN...ABILENE...
JUNCTION CITY...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE
1257 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM CST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SLEET POSSIBLY MIXED WITH FREEZING RAIN, AND
SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY.
THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...A MIX OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND SNOW IS LIKELY 
  SATURDAY...WITH SNOW BECOMING PERSISTENT SATURDAY EVENING. 
  ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD END AROUND SUNRISE SUNDAY MORNING. 

* TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A BAND OF 4 TO 7 INCHES OF
  SNOW...ALONG WITH LOCALLY UP TO A HALF INCH OF SLEET IS POSSIBLE
  SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. MINOR ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE
  ALONG THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR WITH UP TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH
  OF ICE NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 35.

* WINDS...WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTH ON SATURDAY NIGHT...
   WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. 

* IMPACTS...WEEKEND TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE
  ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET MEANS THAT A WINTER
STORM SYSTEM IS IMPACTING THE AREA WITH SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW AND SLEET. TRAVEL IS LIKELY TO BE SEVERELY IMPACTED.
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL
DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP
AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF
AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
210 
WWUS43 KTOP 210244 AAA
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
844 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2013

KSZ054>056-058-059-211100-
/O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0005.131221T0600Z-131222T1200Z/
LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EMPORIA...OTTAWA
844 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
6 AM CST SUNDAY. 

* TIMING...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE
  35 MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT, THEN LIKELY FOR MUCH OF THE DAY
  SATURDAY. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD SWITCH TO SNOW SATURDAY
  EVENING WITH ACCUMULATING SNOW ENDING AROUND SUNRISE SUNDAY
  MORNING.

* TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A BAND OF 4 TO 7 INCHES OF
  SNOW...ALONG WITH LOCALLY UP TO A HALF INCH OF SLEET IS POSSIBLE
  SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO TWO TENTHS
  OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 35.

* WINDS...WINDS SATURDAY NIGHT WILL GUST UP TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACTS...WEEKEND TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE.
  FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATIONS IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS MAY BE
  SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE LOCALIZED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KSZ011-012-022>024-026-035>040-211100-
/O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0005.131221T1200Z-131222T1200Z/
NEMAHA-BROWN-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-DICKINSON-GEARY-
MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...MANHATTAN...ABILENE...
JUNCTION CITY...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE
844 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO
6 AM CST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO
6 AM CST SUNDAY. 

* TIMING...A MIX OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND SNOW IS LIKELY
  SATURDAY...WITH SNOW BECOMING PERSISTENT AND POSSIBLY HEAVY SATURDAY
  EVENING. ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD END AROUND SUNRISE SUNDAY
  MORNING.

* TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A BAND OF 4 TO 7 INCHES OF
  SNOW...ALONG WITH LOCALLY UP TO A HALF INCH OF SLEET IS POSSIBLE
  SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. MINOR ICE ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE
  ALONG THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR WITH UP TO TWO TENTHS OF AN
  INCH OF ICE TO THE SOUTH NEAR THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR.

* WINDS...WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTH ON SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH
  OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACTS...WEEKEND TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE
  ACROSS THE AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET MEANS THAT A WINTER
STORM SYSTEM IS IMPACTING THE AREA WITH SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW AND SLEET. TRAVEL IS LIKELY TO BE SEVERELY IMPACTED.
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL
DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP
AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF
AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$
296 
WWUS43 KTOP 210256 AAB
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
856 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2013

KSZ054>056-058-059-211200-
/O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0005.131221T0600Z-131222T1200Z/
LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EMPORIA...OTTAWA
856 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
6 AM CST SUNDAY. 

* TIMING...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE SOUTH OF 
  INTERSTATE 35 MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT... THEN LIKELY FOR 
  MUCH OF THE DAY SATURDAY. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD SWITCH TO 
  SNOW SATURDAY EVENING WITH ACCUMULATING SNOW ENDING AROUND 
  SUNRISE SUNDAY MORNING. 

* TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A BAND OF 4 TO 7 INCHES OF 
  SNOW...ALONG WITH LOCALLY UP TO A HALF INCH OF SLEET IS 
  POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 
  TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE NEAR AND SOUTH OF 
  INTERSTATE 35. 

* WINDS...WINDS SATURDAY NIGHT WILL GUST UP TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACTS...WEEKEND TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE. 
  FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATIONS IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS MAY BE 
  SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE LOCALIZED POWER OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KSZ011-012-022>024-026-035>040-211200-
/O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0005.131221T1200Z-131222T1200Z/
NEMAHA-BROWN-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-DICKINSON-GEARY-
MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...MANHATTAN...ABILENE...
JUNCTION CITY...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE
856 PM CST FRI DEC 20 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO
6 AM CST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO
6 AM CST SUNDAY. 

* TIMING...A MIX OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND SNOW IS LIKELY 
  SATURDAY...WITH SNOW BECOMING PERSISTENT AND POSSIBLY HEAVY 
  SATURDAY EVENING. ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD END AROUND SUNRISE 
  SUNDAY MORNING. 

* TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A BAND OF 4 TO 7 INCHES OF 
  SNOW...ALONG WITH LOCALLY UP TO A HALF INCH OF SLEET IS 
  POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. MINOR ICE ACCUMULATION 
  IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR WITH UP TO TWO 
  TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE TO THE SOUTH NEAR THE INTERSTATE 35 
  CORRIDOR. 

* WINDS...WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTH ON SATURDAY NIGHT...
   WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. 

* IMPACTS...WEEKEND TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE 
  ACROSS THE AREA. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET MEANS THAT 
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED WHICH WILL MAKE
TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$
849 
WWUS43 KTOP 211005
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
405 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

KSZ024-026-037>040-212315-
/O.EXT.KTOP.WS.W.0005.131221T1500Z-131222T1200Z/
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE
405 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 AM CST SUNDAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING
TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY. 

* TIMING...PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL STEADILY INCREASE
  TODAY...WITH A MIX OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND SNOW LIKELY BY
  EARLY AFTERNOON. IN THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS...THE PRECIPITATION
  WILL TRANSITION COMPLETELY TO SNOW...WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW
  EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL
  SLOWLY DIMINISH DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

* TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7
  INCHES SHOULD BE COMMON...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.
  ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH COULD OCCUR.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH TODAY WILL BECOME
  NORTHWEST TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL ON UNTREATED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED TO BE
  DIFFICULT TO IMPOSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT
AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED WHICH WILL MAKE TRAVEL
DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP
AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF
AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KSZ011-012-022-023-035-036-212315-
/O.EXT.KTOP.WS.W.0005.131221T1900Z-131222T1200Z/
NEMAHA-BROWN-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-DICKINSON-GEARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...MANHATTAN...ABILENE...
JUNCTION CITY
405 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 AM CST SUNDAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY. 

* TIMING...PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL STEADILY INCREASE
  TODAY...WITH A MIX OF SLEET AND SNOW LIKELY BY MID AFTERNOON. IN
  THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS...THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION
  COMPLETELY TO SNOW...WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED THROUGH
  THE EVENING HOURS. ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH DURING
  THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

* TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6
  INCHES SHOULD BE COMMON...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.
  ONLY MINOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE ANTICIPATED.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH TODAY WILL BECOME
  NORTHWEST TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL ON UNTREATED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED TO BE
  DIFFICULT TO IMPOSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT
AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED WHICH WILL MAKE TRAVEL
DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP
AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF
AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KSZ054>056-058-059-212315-
/O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-131222T1200Z/
LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EMPORIA...OTTAWA
405 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY. 

* TIMING...PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL OCCUR THROUGH
  MUCH OF THE DAY. IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...THE
  PRECIPITATION WILL SWITCH COMPLETELY TO SNOW...WITH PERIODS OF
  HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE. ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD END BY SUNRISE.

* TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5
  INCHES SHOULD BE COMMON...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. ICE
  ACCUMULATIONS UP TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH ARE
  POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 35.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH TODAY WILL BECOME
  NORTHWEST TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL ON UNTREATED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED TO BE
  DIFFICULT TO IMPOSSIBLE. POWER OUTAGES DUE TO DOWNED ELECTRICAL
  LINES COULD ALSO OCCUR. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KSZ009-010-021-034-212315-
/O.NEW.KTOP.WW.Y.0015.131221T2200Z-131222T1200Z/
WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-CLAY-OTTAWA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...CLAY CENTER
405 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 AM CST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 AM CST SUNDAY.

* TIMING...PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE FROM LATE THIS
  MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH SNOW PERHAPS MIXED
  WITH SOME SLEET LIKELY BY SUNSET. THE PRECIPITATION WILL
  TRANSITION COMPLETELY TO SNOW IN THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.
  ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD END BEFORE DAWN. 

* TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
  INCHES SHOULD BE COMMON...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH TODAY WILL BECOME
  NORTHWEST TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE DIFFICULT ON UNTREATED ROADS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$
411 
WWUS43 KTOP 212147
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
347 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

KSZ011-012-022>024-026-035>040-054>056-058-059-221100-
/O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-131222T1200Z/
NEMAHA-BROWN-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-DICKINSON-GEARY-
MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-
ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...MANHATTAN...ABILENE...
JUNCTION CITY...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE...EMPORIA...OTTAWA
347 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY. 

* TIMING...PRECIPITATION WILL STEADILY INCREASE TONIGHT... WITH A
  MIX OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND SNOW LIKELY IN THE LATE
  AFTERNOON. IN THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...THE PRECIPITATION WILL
  TRANSITION COMPLETELY TO SNOW...WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW
  EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL
  SLOWLY DIMINISH DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

* TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7
  INCHES SHOULD BE COMMON...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. ICE
  ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH COULD OCCUR.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH TODAY WILL BECOME 
  NORTHWEST TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH TONIGHT. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL ON UNTREATED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED TO BE 
  DIFFICULT TO IMPOSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND SLEET MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT
AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED WHICH WILL MAKE TRAVEL
DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP
AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF
AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KSZ020-221100-
/O.EXA.KTOP.WW.Y.0015.131221T2200Z-131222T1200Z/
CLOUD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CONCORDIA
347 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SUNDAY.

* TIMING...PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE FROM LATE THIS 
  MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH SNOW PERHAPS MIXED 
  WITH SOME SLEET LIKELY BY SUNSET. THE PRECIPITATION WILL 
  TRANSITION COMPLETELY TO SNOW IN THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. 
  ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD END BEFORE DAWN. 

* TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 
  4 INCHES SHOULD BE COMMON...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. 

* WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH TODAY WILL BECOME 
  NORTHWEST TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH TONIGHT. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE DIFFICULT ON UNTREATED ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

KSZ009-010-021-034-221100-
/O.CON.KTOP.WW.Y.0015.131221T2200Z-131222T1200Z/
WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-CLAY-OTTAWA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...CLAY CENTER
347 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SUNDAY. 

* TIMING...PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE FROM LATE THIS 
  MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH SNOW PERHAPS MIXED 
  WITH SOME SLEET LIKELY BY SUNSET. THE PRECIPITATION WILL 
  TRANSITION COMPLETELY TO SNOW IN THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. 
  ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD END BEFORE DAWN. 

* TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 
  4 INCHES SHOULD BE COMMON...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. 

* WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH TODAY WILL BECOME 
  NORTHWEST TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH TONIGHT. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE DIFFICULT ON UNTREATED ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$
530 
WWUS43 KTOP 220319 AAA
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
919 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

KSZ011-012-022>024-026-035>040-054>056-058-059-221200-
/O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-131222T1200Z/
NEMAHA-BROWN-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-DICKINSON-GEARY-
MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-
ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...MANHATTAN...ABILENE...
JUNCTION CITY...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE...EMPORIA...OTTAWA
919 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY. 

* TIMING...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT
  THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISHING THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT.

* TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD
  RANGE FROM AROUND 2 INCHES IN GARNETT TO 6 TO LOCALLY 8 INCHES
  FROM ABILENE AND MANHATTAN NORTHEAST INTO THE HIAWATHA AREA.
  AMOUNTS IN THE 3 TO 6 INCHES RANGE CAN GENERALLY BE EXPECTED
  NEAR THE KANSAS TURNPIKE CORRIDOR. 

* WINDS...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WILL CONTINUE WITH
  SOME GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL ON UNTREATED ROADS CAN BE EXPECTED TO BE 
  DIFFICULT TO IMPOSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE EXPECTED WHICH WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL
IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KSZ009-010-020-021-034-221200-
/O.CON.KTOP.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-131222T1200Z/
WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-CLOUD-CLAY-OTTAWA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...CONCORDIA...CLAY CENTER
919 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SUNDAY. 

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT BEFORE TAPERING
  GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF. ANY ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL END WELL BEFORE
  SUNRISE.

* TOTAL SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD RANGE
  FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES IN THE CONCORDIA AREA TO 5 TO 6 INCHES FROM
  EASTERN OTTAWA AND CLAY COUNTIES INTO MARSHALL COUNTY.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH TODAY WILL BECOME 
  NORTHWEST TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH TONIGHT. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BE DIFFICULT ON UNTREATED ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$
313 
WWUS43 KTOP 220934
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
334 AM CST SUN DEC 22 2013


KSZ011-012-022>024-026-035>040-054>056-058-059-221045-
/O.CAN.KTOP.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-131222T1200Z/
NEMAHA-BROWN-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-DICKINSON-GEARY-
MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-
ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HIAWATHA...MANHATTAN...ABILENE...
JUNCTION CITY...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE...EMPORIA...OTTAWA
334 AM CST SUN DEC 22 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

SNOW WAS DIMINISHING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA AT 330 AM AND WILL
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH TO FLURRIES BY 6 AM. THEREFORE WITH ONLY SOME
LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED GENERALLY A QUARTER OF AN INCH OR
LESS THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

KSZ009-010-020-021-034-221045-
/O.CAN.KTOP.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-131222T1200Z/
WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-CLOUD-CLAY-OTTAWA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...CONCORDIA...CLAY CENTER
334 AM CST SUN DEC 22 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

LIGHT SNOW HAS ENDED THUS THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Topeka, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Dec 20, 11:46 AM CST, 1 hour 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 20, 11:46 AM CST, 1 hour 11 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1146 AM CST Fri Dec 20 2013

...Update to aviation forecast discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 428 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2013

Radar loop this morning showing freezing drizzle continuing and
since 08Z has expanded and intensified from Morris county through
Oskaloosa. Further west temperature profiles have cooled enough for
some very light snow or flurries which was occurring across southern
Nebraska and north central Kansas.

The upper level wave continues to shear out as it moves northeast
across Kansas this morning. This feature along with some isentropic
upglide will help maintain the chances for freezing precipitation
for a couple of hours after sunrise. Although only light amounts are
expected any untreated or elevated surfaces will glaze over.
Therefore will extend the Freezing Rain advisory for east central
Kansas through 9 AM. After mid morning subsidence and isentropic
downglide along with dry air advection in the lower levels to bring
an end to the wintry precipitation across the CWA.

From noon through midnight tonight dry and cold conditions will
continue. Winds will decrease through the day as high pressure
builds into north central and northeast Kansas, but gusty north
winds will keep wind chills in the single digits and low teens this
morning. High temperatures today from the mid 20s to around 30 are
expected. Colder tonight with lows from the teens to the mid 20s.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 428 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2013

There remains much to be desired in the winter storm moving through
late tonight into early Sunday. With the backside of the upper low
remaining off the coast at this time, and what appear to be a few
smaller scale waves further west of its center, the details aloft
remain different and play significant roles in sensible weather. At
least one other major player is how dry the lower levels will be.
The NAM is on the far end of the spectrum in both regards, with the
wave in mainly one piece, keeping the TROWAL much weaker to
non-existent and the low levels quite dry, with precip relegated to
far southeastern locations. The NAM has been quite consistent with
this solution in its 18Z, 0Z, and 6Z runs. The 0Z GFS is the most
amplified with a secondary wave lagging to the west, with a well
developed TROWAL and much more moist lower levels, with the 0Z ECMWF
closer to the GFS than the NAM. Have cautiously sided with the
latter models, keeping the forecast very similar to earlier
thoughts. The main alterations were to delay the greater chances of
mixed precipitation late tonight into Saturday morning with
isentropic lift and saturation holding off a bit longer. Still, went
a bit conservative with watch timing alterations as models often do
not respect WAA precip as well as they should. Amounts from previous
forecasts still seem in line, with TROWAL precip likely to be quite
heavy but also short-lived, as the system quickly exits late
Saturday night. Precip types remain difficult with dry air to
overcome and a few degrees of model spread in warm nose
temperatures, in even the better agreed runs.

Immediately following few periods still rather cold with arctic high
in place. Small chances for light precip will be maintained around
Christmas day with a northwest flow trough passing through. Temps
modify a bit but flow regime should keep temps from breaching
normal.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFs through 18Z Saturday Afternoon)
Issued at 1142 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2013

Light snow from low topped cloud deck persisting at MHK, but given
nearby observation sites, expect that to end by 20Z. Otherwise,
expect IFR to go to MVFR and then VFR over the course of the
afternoon. MVFR cigs could come back in later tonight with a
chance of freezing rain developing during the morning hours at the
TAF sites.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WATCH from late tonight through late Saturday night
FOR KSZ054>056-058-059.

WINTER STORM WATCH from Saturday morning through late Saturday
night FOR KSZ011-012-022>024-026-035>040.

&&

SHORT TERM...53
LONG TERM...65
AVIATION...GDP
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 20, 9:09 AM CST, 3 hours 48 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
909 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2013

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-211515-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
909 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT ALONG AND
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70...WITH THE BEST CHANCES NEAR AND SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 35.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE CHANCES FOR WINTRY PRECIPITATION SPREAD TO THE ENTIRE AREA
THROUGH THE MORNING SATURDAY AS A STRONG WINTER STORM APPROACHES.
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL BE LIKELY IN MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL
KANSAS SATURDAY MORNING AND INTO PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST KANSAS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE
TO SNOW BY LATE SATURDAY EVENING WITH WIDESPREAD SNOW...PERHAPS
HEAVY AT TIMES WITH RATES IN EXCESS OF 1 INCH PER HOUR...CONTINUING
THROUGH MUCH OF SATURDAY NIGHT. ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD END BY
MIDDAY SUNDAY. FREEZING RAIN OF UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH IS
POSSIBLE IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS ALONG
WITH SLEET ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A HALF INCH..

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Kansas, 2013Every winter storm warning in 2013

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.