River Flood Warning 1, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
949 PM EDT SAT JUN 8 2013

.UPDATE...
IT WAS A PRETTY ACTIVE AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA AS SEA BREEZE AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES SPARKED NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE ACTIVITY HAS MOSTLY DIMINISHED WITH JUST A
FEW SHOWERS LEFTOVER AROUND THE TAMPA BAY REGION. CONVECTION
SHOULD END SOON AND WILL SHOW DRY CONDITIONS IN THE FORECAST FOR
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WITH RAIN CHANCES THEN PICKING BACK UP AFTER
12Z OR SO. MADE A SLIGHT ADJUSTMENT TO POPS OVERNIGHT AND ADJUSTED
TEMPERATURES BASED ON CURRENT OBS. NO OTHER UPDATES WILL BE MADE.
ZONES WILL BE OUT SHORTLY.

&&

.AVIATION...
SHOWERS SHOULD END BY 02Z AT ALL TERMINALS...WITH VFR CONDITIONS
THEN PREVAILING THROUGH THE THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. SEA BREEZE
DRIVEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND 18Z
SUNDAY...SO WILL SHOW VCTS AT ALL TAF SITES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  73  90  75  89 /  70  50  30  40
FMY  74  92  73  92 /  40  60  30  50
GIF  73  92  73  92 /  70  60  30  50
SRQ  72  91  75  90 /  70  50  30  40
BKV  71  92  72  92 /  60  60  30  50
SPG  73  90  77  88 /  70  50  30  40

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...05/CARLISLE
AVIATION...21/JELSEMA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
530 AM EDT SAT JUN 8 2013

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830-850-853-856-870-
873-876-082130-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
TAMPA BAY WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
530 AM EDT SAT JUN 8 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN ACROSS THE
SOUTH THIS MORNING AND SPREAD NORTH DURING THE DAY...WITH THE
SHOWERS BECOMING NUMEROUS IN THE AFTERNOON. THE MAIN THREATS
WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL WITH MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE...DEADLY
LIGHTNING...AND BRIEFLY STRONG WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NUMEROUS SUNDAY BUT SCATTERED FOR THE REST OF
THE WEEK. THE LOW LEVEL FLOW BECOMES WESTERLY FOR TUESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY WITH STORMS ALONG COASTAL LOCATIONS IN THE MORNING THEN
SHIFTING INLAND FOR THE AFTERNOONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

09/RKR