Alert archive / Georgia / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2013
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 147, NWS Tallahassee, FL
NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 15, 2013, 5:05 PM EDT for Clay County, Quitman County, Randolph County, Georgia. It was in force for 40 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 15, 2013, 5:05 PM EDT (21:05 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 15, 2013, 5:45 PM EDT
- In force
- 40 min
- Issued by
- NWS Tallahassee, FL
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
Counties Clay County, GA, Quitman County, GA, Randolph County, GA
The radar
The Ft Rucker radar (KEOX), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 12:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 57 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -101 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 673 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 11 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 18 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 16 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
187 WUUS52 KTAE 152105 SVRTAE GAC061-239-243-152145- /O.NEW.KTAE.SV.W.0147.130715T2105Z-130715T2145Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 505 PM EDT MON JUL 15 2013 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTH CENTRAL CLAY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA... EASTERN QUITMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA... RANDOLPH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF CUTHBERT... * UNTIL 545 PM EDT * AT 503 PM EDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CUTHBERT... OR NEAR PACHITLA...AND MOVING WEST AT 25 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WADES...WHITE HOUSE...RANDOLPH CO A/P...COLES...PETERSON HILL... SPRINGVALE...SPRINGVALE STATION...UNION...MORRIS...COTTON HILL... WATSON CROSSROADS...MOORES CROSSROADS...HATCHER...GARNERSVILLE AND CROSSROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. && LAT...LON 3167 8503 3194 8501 3185 8462 3171 8462 TIME...MOT...LOC 2105Z 095DEG 20KT 3180 8473 $$ 18-WOOL
2 follow-up statements
941 WWUS52 KTAE 152119 SVSTAE SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 519 PM EDT MON JUL 15 2013 GAC061-239-243-152145- /O.CON.KTAE.SV.W.0147.000000T0000Z-130715T2145Z/ RANDOLPH GA-QUITMAN GA-CLAY GA- 519 PM EDT MON JUL 15 2013 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL CLAY...EASTERN QUITMAN AND WESTERN RANDOLPH COUNTIES... AT 517 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR WHITE HOUSE...OR NEAR CUTHBERT...MOVING WEST AT 25 MPH. OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO COLES...PETERSON HILL...SPRINGVALE...SPRINGVALE STATION...UNION... MORRIS...COTTON HILL...WATSON CROSSROADS...MOORES CROSSROADS... HATCHER...GARNERSVILLE AND CROSSROADS PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. && LAT...LON 3188 8475 3175 8474 3167 8503 3194 8501 TIME...MOT...LOC 2118Z 095DEG 20KT 3181 8481 $$ 18-WOOL
382 WWUS52 KTAE 152135 SVSTAE SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 535 PM EDT MON JUL 15 2013 GAC061-243-152145- /O.CAN.KTAE.SV.W.0147.000000T0000Z-130715T2145Z/ RANDOLPH GA-CLAY GA- 535 PM EDT MON JUL 15 2013 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL CLAY AND NORTHWESTERN RANDOLPH COUNTIES IS CANCELLED... LAT...LON 3191 8491 3179 8492 3179 8502 3194 8501 TIME...MOT...LOC 2135Z 072DEG 12KT 3184 8493 $$ GAC239-152145- /O.CON.KTAE.SV.W.0147.000000T0000Z-130715T2145Z/ QUITMAN GA- 535 PM EDT MON JUL 15 2013 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT FOR EASTERN QUITMAN COUNTY... AT 531 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR UNION...MOVING WEST AT 15 MPH. OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MORRIS...HATCHER AND CROSSROADS PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. && LAT...LON 3191 8491 3179 8492 3179 8502 3194 8501 TIME...MOT...LOC 2135Z 072DEG 12KT 3184 8493 $$ 18-WOOL
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 15, 3:52 PM EDT, 1 hour 13 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 3:52 PM EDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 352 PM EDT Mon Jul 15 2013 .NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]... An upper level high remains centered over Ohio this afternoon and is ridging southward to FL. This ridge has shunted the retrograding upper low all the way over the the TX Panhandle. A TUTT is noted over the Bahamas. Surface high pressure is centered over the Mid Atlantic states with an inverted trough off the east coast of FL. Deep layer easterly flow on the southern end of the ridges is evident in morning soundings and recent VWP data and is transporting scattered showers and thunderstorms westward from the Atlantic into the forecast area. Isolated showers are also moving west across the FL Panhandle coastal waters. The wave east of FL will move west across the state and eastern Gulf of Mexico through tonight. Highest PoPs this afternoon will be over our South Central GA zones. This evening, PoPs lower to the slight to low chance category, slightly higher over the waters. After midnight, and convection should be limited to the marine area. There are no severe weather or flooding concerns with any of this activity. Overnight lows will be near normal in the lower 70s. && .SHORT TERM [Tuesday Through Wednesday Night]... Deep layer ridging will be will dominate much of the short term period, with an anomalously high pressure over central Indiana. The ridge position is such that our area will be in easterly flow regime through Thursday. Latest model guidance is in good agreement that this easterly flow will advect much drier air over our area. Thus rain chances will be slightly below climatological normals through Thursday which is good news for our area, which has seen very large amounts of rain over the past couple of weeks. The highest chance for seeing an isolated afternoon shower will be in the far eastern Florida counties where the Atlantic and Gulf sea breezes could potentially collide. Temperatures will around normal with highs in the lower 90s and lows in the lower 70s. && .LONG TERM [Thursday through Monday]... By the start of the long term period, we will be transitioning to a more southeasterly flow as the high pressure currently over the Ohio Valley weakens and Bermuda high builds to our west. A weak TUTT low currently east of the northern Bahamas will slowly move westward, and make its way into our area around Friday night. It will then be picked up by an southward digging trough and eject northeastward. Thus have enhanced PoPs slightly for the weekend and start of next week to reflect these features influences. && .AVIATION... [through 18 UTC Tuesday] A weak easterly wave in a continuing moist airmass will support scattered convection moving from east to west across northern FL, SW GA, and SE AL this afternoon and evening through about 02Z. The flow will keep showers and storms moving at 15-20kt. A similar pattern will be seen Tuesday. Expect generally VFR conditions with moderate easterly surface winds along with scattered showers and thunderstorms. From 08Z-14Z there will be widespread low/IFR cigs as stratus redevelops in the moist air mass. && .MARINE... High pressure over the Ohio Valley will keep our area in a easterly flow regime. Tonight expect enhanced easterly winds at cautionary levels. Models are indicating that winds could reach small craft advisory levels. At this time confidence is low on raising winds to advisory levels. but it may be possible later. Beginning Wednesday we will start to transition into typical summertime seas and winds. && .FIRE WEATHER... Red flag conditions are not expected through the forecast period. && .HYDROLOGY... With drier air finally forecast to overspread the region from east to west over the next day or so, rain chances and coverage will dwindle each afternoon through Thursday. Additionally, deep layer flow will at least have some eastward component around 20 or so knots, resulting in progressive storm motions and a decreased risk for localized flooding within storms that do develop. In general, we will be transitioning back into a more typical summertime pattern. Thus, expect area rivers to have time to recover, or fall back below flood stage by the end of the week. The only notable exception is the Choctawhatchee, where the most rain has fallen over the past couple of weeks. Here, the river will take some extra time to begin to subside, and is not forecast to fall out of flood stage near Bruce, Geneva, or Caryville until sometime next week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Tallahassee 73 90 72 93 71 / 30 30 20 20 10 Panama City 74 88 75 89 76 / 30 30 20 10 10 Dothan 71 90 71 92 72 / 30 30 20 10 10 Albany 72 91 72 92 72 / 20 30 20 10 10 Valdosta 72 91 70 92 71 / 20 40 20 20 10 Cross City 70 91 70 93 71 / 30 40 20 30 10 Apalachicola 76 87 76 87 76 / 30 30 20 10 10 && .TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None. && NEAR TERM...Wool SHORT TERM...Navarro/Harrigan LONG TERM...Navarro/Harrigan AVIATION...Hollingsworth MARINE...Navarro/Harrigan FIRE WEATHER...Wool HYDROLOGY...Harrigan
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Georgia, 2013Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2013
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.