River Flood Warning 58, NWS Tallahassee, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
337 PM EDT Sat Jul 6 2013

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...
Current forecast appears to be on track. There is fairly dense
coverage of showers and thunderstorms in our western CWA. Expect
most of these to diminish by 00Z except for our far eastern and
western CWA where scattered showers and storms will persist through
most of the night. For the remainder of today expect scattered
showers and thunderstorms to become more widespread (generally
west of Tallahassee). High temperatures are on track to reach the
mid 80s in our western CWA and lower 90s in our eastern CWA. For
tonight expect chance for isolated showers and thunderstorms with
low temperatures reaching the lower 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM [Sunday through Monday night]...
The flood pattern that we've been in for several days is expected
to break down on Sunday with a return to a more typical summertime
pattern. The upper level trough to our west will lift out and
weaken, and the Bermuda ridge to our east will exert a bit more
influence. We will still have moist southerly flow and daily
chances for showers and thunderstorms, but the concentrated bands
of heavy, flooding rains should end. With more sunshine expected
than recent days, temperatures should rebound back to near
seasonal levels during the day.

&&

.LONG TERM [Tuesday through Saturday]...
A fairly typical summertime pattern is expected with daily diurnal
convection through the period. By mid-week, an upper level low is
expected to approach from the southeast which could enhance rain
chances a little bit. Towards the end of the week as ridging builds
over the Plains, we may temporarily transition to more of a
northwest flow pattern with a weak front approaching from the
northwest. Near seasonal temperatures are expected.

&&

.AVIATION...
[Through 18z Sunday] Expect VFR conditions to prevail today outside
of showers and thunderstorms occurring over the terminals. Confidence
is highest that DHN and and ECP will see TSRA this afternoon. MVFR
CIGs and visibilities are expected early tomorrow morning. It is
possible IFR restrictions will occur, but at this time confidence is
low. Therefore will defer to the afternoon/evening update when more
high-resolution model guidance is available. Shortly after sunrise
tomorrow any low CIGs should dissipate leading to VFR conditions for
the remaining TAF period.

&&

.MARINE...
A surface ridge will build west from the Atlantic through the
period. As a result, winds and seas will gradually fall over rest
of the weekend and should return to more normal summertime
conditions by early next week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Red Flag conditions are not expected in the foreseeable future.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Fairly widespread rainfall is occurring across our area again today.
Although the rain rates have been very high within the strongest
rain bands, the rain bands and storms have been moving through
individual locations in an hour or less. As a result, we haven't
seen any training echoes contributing to any flash flooding yet
(through 19 UTC). That does remain possible this afternoon, but the
threat for flash flooding should begin to diminish overnight and
into tomorrow as slightly drier air builds in.

Most rivers across our area are either nearing their crest or have
recently crested. The greatest impacts are expected to be on the
Choctawhatchee River at Bruce-Ebro which will reach major flood
stage. All other rivers where flooding is expected should generally
crest in minor flood stage. We will have to keep a close eye on
Sopchoppy, though, which may rise more sharply due to heavy rainfall
today in the basin.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   73  91  73  92  72 / 30  50  20  40  20
Panama City   74  88  75  88  75 / 30  60  30  40  20
Dothan        72  90  73  90  72 / 40  60  40  50  20
Albany        73  91  74  92  72 / 30  60  40  40  20
Valdosta      73  91  71  92  71 / 40  30  20  30  20
Cross City    72  92  71  92  71 / 40  30  20  20  20
Apalachicola  75  86  75  88  75 / 30  50  20  30  20

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH until 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ this evening for
     Calhoun-Central Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal Franklin-
     Coastal Gulf-Holmes-Inland Bay-Inland Franklin-Inland
     Gulf-Inland Walton-Jackson-Liberty-South Walton-
     Washington.

GA...None.

AL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH until 7 PM CDT this evening for Coffee-
     Dale-Geneva-Henry-Houston.

GM...None.

&&

NEAR TERM...DVD/Navarro
SHORT TERM...DVD
LONG TERM...DVD
AVIATION...DVD/Navarro
MARINE...DVD
FIRE WEATHER...DVD/Navarro
HYDROLOGY...Lamers

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
219 PM EDT SAT JUL 6 2013

GAZ121>123-142-144-061900-
RANDOLPH GA-BAKER GA-CALHOUN GA-EARLY GA-CLAY GA-
219 PM EDT SAT JUL 6 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWEST
BAKER...CALHOUN...EASTERN CLAY...NORTHEAST EARLY AND SOUTHERN
RANDOLPH COUNTIES IN GEORGIA...

* UNTIL 300 PM EDT

AT 217 PM EDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BLAKELY TO 5 MILES SOUTH OF
LEARY...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  LEARY BY 225 PM EDT.
  MORGAN BY 235 PM EDT.
  SHELLMAN BY 300 PM EDT.

WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WHICH WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITY AND CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

LAT...LON 3177 8460 3177 8457 3168 8454 3162 8455
      3162 8449 3132 8448 3134 8484 3178 8503
      3179 8461
TIME...MOT...LOC 1819Z 168DEG 28KT 3141 8491 3142 8451

08-LAMERS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
309 PM EDT SAT JUL 6 2013

GAZ122-124>126-062000-
TERRELL GA-RANDOLPH GA-LEE GA-DOUGHERTY GA-
309 PM EDT SAT JUL 6 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR
DOUGHERTY...LEE...RANDOLPH AND TERRELL COUNTIES IN GEORGIA...

* UNTIL 400 PM EDT

AT 305 PM EDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CUTHBERT TO 7 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF DAWSON TO BACONTON...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
WHITE HOUSE TO CHICKASAWHATCHEE TO BACONTON...MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH.

WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WHICH MAY
REDUCE VISIBILITY AND CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

LAT...LON 3188 8435 3192 8434 3192 8401 3144 8410
      3144 8417 3164 8436 3175 8489 3193 8491
      3193 8446 3196 8445 3196 8444
TIME...MOT...LOC 1909Z 178DEG 29KT 3186 8482 3173 8437
          3145 8411

08-LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
351 PM EDT SAT JUL 06 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0348 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NE PANAMA CITY        30.20N 85.64W
07/06/2013                   BAY                FL   PUBLIC

            RESIDENT REPORTS KNEE DEEP WATER AT THE INTERSECTION OF
            FRANK NELSON DRIVE AND MERCEDES AVE IN PANAMA CITY.

&&

GODSEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
402 PM EDT SAT JUL 06 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0358 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SPRINGFIELD             30.17N 85.61W
07/06/2013                   BAY                FL   PUBLIC

            WABASH AVENUE IN SPRINGFIELD FLOODED. SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT
            RELAYED THROUGH WJHG FACEBOOK PAGE.

&&

GODSEY

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>