Red Flag Warning 22, NWS Tallahassee, FL

381 
WWUS82 KTAE 241939
RFWTAE

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
339 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR DRY AND BREEZY
CONDITIONS...

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG
BEND SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR DRY CONDITIONS...

.VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY. 

FLZ017-027-260000-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0015.130525T1800Z-130526T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0023.130525T1800Z-130526T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-130524T2300Z/
LEON-INLAND WAKULLA-
339 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY. 

* HUMIDITY...MINIMUM VALUES AROUND 20 PERCENT SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 

* ERC...37 TO 42 SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

FLZ007>010-012-108-112-127-260000-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0015.130525T1800Z-130526T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0023.130525T1800Z-130526T0000Z/
INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-INLAND BAY-
SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL WAKULLA-
339 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013 /239 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ TO 8 PM
EDT /7 PM CDT/ SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT
/7 PM CDT/ SATURDAY. 

* HUMIDITY...MINIMUM VALUES 20 TO 25 PERCENT SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* ERC...37 TO 40 SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

FLZ011-013-016-026-242300-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-130524T2300Z/
JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LIBERTY-
339 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013 /239 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING...

* HUMIDITY...MINIMUM VALUES AROUND 25 PERCENT HIS AFTERNOON.

* ERC...37 TO 41 THIS AFTERNOON.

* WIND...AROUND 15 MPH AND GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

FOURNIER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
346 AM EDT Fri May 24 2013

.NEAR TERM [Today]...
Re-enforcing surface high pressure and a very dry airmass will spill
into the region behind a cold front this morning. Even though
temperatures will be slightly cooler than what we've experienced the
past few days, they will still be near seasonal levels. Expect Max
temps around 90 inland areas and mid 80s along the coast. Northerly
winds will be breezy at times this afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM [Tonight thru Sunday]...
The large scale longwave Omega like pattern remains highly amplified
with full latitude trough axis along West coast and extreme Wrn Atlc
and a ridge anchored over Cntrl Conus. This leave local region
between ridge and Srn periphery of trough yielding dry NW steering
flow. Assocd shortwave over Ern OH Valley this morning exits into
ATLC by eve. At the surface, mainly dry cold front will have crossed
local area with high pressure over mid-South building SWD in its
wake. This translates locally to a cool, dry Cp airmass with NLY
flow and subsidence overspreading region. With local area between
departing front and ridge building SWD, gradients tighten for local
breezes especially over waters. Expect inland Lows tonight low to
mid 50s (avg min for TAE is 64 degrees). Airmass too dry for fog.

   RECORD MIN TEMPS for May 25th
Tallahassee AP 48      Valdosta    53
Marianna       53      Headland AL 52
Apalachicola   56      Cross City  54
Tifton         52      Moultrie    52

During the rest of the period, the upper air pattern will persist
but with local area increasingly on back side of lifting Ern
trough. So expect a 'chamber of commerce' type weekend with warm
days and noticeably cool nights as high pressure continues to build
NE of region. Inland dew points drop to around 40 degrees by Sat
aftn and airmass should remain to dry for fog. Model time height
profiles show H85 to H3 RH around 10%. As front departs  and high
shifts EWD, local gradients will slacken. Highs will be in the
mid 80s on Sat rising to the mid to upper 80s on Sun. Mins Sat
night again low to mid 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM [Sunday Night through Thursday]...
The overall pattern is expected to remain rather stagnant through
much of next week, with the troughs in place along the coasts and
the ridge over the center of the country. This will keep the
weather generally dry with temperatures close to seasonal norms.
ECMWF is a bit more amplified with the pattern, which may lead to
a few more showers over the Georgia zones by mid to late next
week.

&&

.AVIATION...[through 06 UTC Saturday]...
VFR conditions with mainly high level cloudiness through the TAF
cycle. Winds will be from the northwest to north 10 to 15 knots with
gusts around 20 knots later this morning and afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Offshore winds will increase to near advisory levels tonight in the
wake of a cold front. Will go with nearshore/offshore split and
insert exercise caution headlines in both zones.  Winds and seas
will diminish by late Saturday, as high pressure builds over the
waters, and remain minimal through early next week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Very dry air will filter into the Tri-State region over the next few
days. Critically low relative humidities will be reached over
interior portions of the Florida Panhandle and western Big Bend this
afternoon. This will combine with other critical fire weather
parameters resulting in red flag conditions. It will be just as dry
over our Alabama and Georgia zones but red flag criteria will not be
met. The watch that was in effect for southeast Alabama today has
been dropped. On Saturday we expect long durations of critically low
relative humidity combined with ERC's at or above 37 over Leon and
Wakulla counties in the Florida Big Bend as well as our four
westernmost panhandle counties. A fire weather watch has been issued
for these areas. Dispersion will be above 75 over all of the Florida
Panhandle and Big Bend this afternoon. High dispersions are possible
again for a portion of our Florida zones again on Saturday.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
No hydrologic concerns into next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   90  54  86  53  88 /  0   0   0   0   0
Panama City   89  64  84  64  82 /  0   0   0   0   0
Dothan        88  55  86  55  87 /  0   0   0   0   0
Albany        86  52  85  55  87 /  0   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      87  54  84  52  85 /  0   0   0   0   0
Cross City    91  56  87  54  87 /  0   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  88  65  82  64  82 /  0   0   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...RED FLAG WARNING from 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ this afternoon to 7
    PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ this evening for Calhoun-Gadsden-Inland
     Wakulla-Jackson-Leon-Liberty.
     FIRE WEATHER WATCH from Saturday afternoon through Saturday
     evening for Central Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal Wakulla-
     Holmes-Inland Bay-Inland Wakulla-Inland Walton-Leon-South
     Walton-Washington.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

NEAR TERM...Barry
SHORT TERM...Block
LONG TERM...Camp
AVIATION...Barry
MARINE...Block
FIRE WEATHER...Barry
HYDROLOGY...Godsey/Block

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
326 AM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-
GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-250730-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON-
COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-
COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-
EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
326 AM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013 /226 AM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. RAIN CHANCES REMAIN
LOW THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-250730-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
326 AM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT...OFFSHORE WINDS WILL INCREASE
TO EXERCISE CAUTION AND POSSIBLY ADVISORY LEVELS ACROSS THE
OFFSHORE WATERS TONIGHT. SEAS WILL ALSO INCREASE TO 3 TO 4 FEET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
WINDS WILL REMAIN AT EXERCISE CAUTION TO POSSIBLY ADVISORY
LEVELS INTO SATURDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY OFFSHORE...BEFORE
DECREASING TO BELOW HEADLINE CRITERIA DURING THE REST OF THE
PERIOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

BLOCK